Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - July 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.56 $1.56 26%
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/8/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-8 $43.94 $25.94 144%
ELP-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-6 $18.74 $6.74 56%
ELP-7   WIN (3/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.24 $3.24 41%
    EXA (3/7/1/4)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $33.76 $9.76 41%
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/7/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $72.92 $48.92 204%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAD ABOUT MARIE 5 4 42½ 31½ 12 15 110 (rice linda)TORRES A 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.78 W
8  HEARTS UNITED 7 5 65½ 63½ 33 35½ 210 (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 6% 15.30 7.55 P
7  CATCHING HEAT 6 3 21 21 22 25 311¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 2.62  
4  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY 3 2 32 42 66 57½ 411¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 123 12.00 11.38  
5  STARLIT SOFI 4 7 710 78 76¼ 68 512¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 4.50 10.46  
3  AMADORA'S EMPIRE 2 6 53½ 53½ 54½ 47½ 612¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 25% 3.00 3.20  
1  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 1 1 11 11 44½ 710 725¼ (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 ★ 5.69  
SCR  WORD GAME               (pompell robert)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
ELP-2   07/21/2025 3630ft TURF RC2 GOOD Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EASY WIND (CHI) 5 5 42¼ 51¾   1nk 1nk (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 9.56  
2  GNOME 1 7 52¼ 41¾   2nk 2nk (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 23% 3.30 5.10 P
4  PROPS 3 6 812¾ 810¼   85¼ 34¾ (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 18.00 8.64 S
11  MO BEACH TIME 8 3 2nk 3.2   3½ 46½ (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 10.00 10.18  
10  DURABLE 7 1 62¾ 62¾   63¾ 57 (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00 34.75  
3  JOCK FROST 2 8 76¾ 75¾   73¾ 67¼ (davis christop)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 16.26  
5  SUPER KICK 4 2 1nk 1nk   51¾ 78 (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
9  QUARRY 6 4 3.2 2nk   41½ 88¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.00  
SCR  HAPPY HENNEY               (hamm timothy)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  KING PRINCE               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  ORVILLE'S MAP               (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  TIMELY AGENDA               (hamm timoth)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
 
ELP-3   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPLIT SUCCESS 2 5 52½ 41½   1nk 11¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 4.00 6.15  
5  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE 5 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 21¾ (williams)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 2.24  
4  DIVINE WIND 4 8 86½ 64½   43 36¾ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 10.51  
8  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 8 2 64 75½   65½ 49¼ (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.34  
9  KISSIN RICHES 9 7 31 31   53½ 510¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 6.00 32% 2.10 17.40  
1  SCHOOL SPIRIT 1 9 98 910   99¾ 612 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 38% 1.70 3.05  
6  ROCKAWAY REEF 6 6 74½ 89   87¾ 712½ (miller kenny)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 16.35  
3  REST OF THE WORLD 3 3 1½ 2nk   32 812¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 4.66  
7  SUNSET LINES 7 4 42 52½   75¾ 915¼ (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 15.39  
 
ELP-4   07/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:144 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GLOVES OFF 3 5 79½ 77 75¼ 44½ 1¾ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 9.01  
  (by U S RANGER out of TEASE by CROWD PLEASER)
5  SPUN LEGACY 5 1 12 12 12 12½ 2¾ (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 13.78  
  (by HARD SPUN out of TIZ A LEGACY by TIZNOW)
8  MAGINNESONTAP 8 2 45 33½ 32 22½ 3¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 2.90 2.41 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
1  FULLEFFORT 1 4 34 43½ 63¾ 54¾ 42 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 24% 3.10 3.35  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  IRISH LAW 4 8 911 99½ 87¾ 76¾ 52½ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 10% 8.90 3.69  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of NIMBLE FOOT by DANEHILL DANCER)
2  COLLECTING 2 6 56 55 43½ 34½ 62¾ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.85  
  (by COLLECTED out of HEIDI MARIA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  SWAMP KING 9 7 66½ 65½ 53¾ 64¾ 74¾ (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 32.16  
  (by VICE REGENT out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  VULCAN'S BOOTS 6 10 1012½ 1010½ 99¾ 910¾ 813¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 32.26  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SISTAS STROLL by STROLL)
7  MCFASTY 7 3 22 22 22 89¼ 915¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by MITOLE out of WITHYOURPERMISSION by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
10  PIASTRI 10 9 89½ 87½ 1010¼ 1013¾ 1020 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 21.36  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  AMERICAN BEAR               (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN DAY out of GO ALI (GB) by ALYDAR)
SCR  HAPPY PRINCE               (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HAPPY MOTORING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  KING OF HEAT               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TEPIN THRU LIFE by CURLIN)
SCR  MODERATOR               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PEACE OPPORTUNITY by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
ELP-5   07/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPYING 3 3 54½ 43½ 41¾ 31½ 11 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 3.82  
7  MALIBU SMART 7 5 65½ 75½ 63¼ 54 21 (hartman chri)RAMOS D 123 2.00 31% 2.30 2.13 P
1  PRINCESS NY 1 1 31½ 32½ 2nk 11½ 31 (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.48 S
5  SPUN UP 5 4 43½ 54 51¾ 42½ 42½ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.17  
6  TAKE CHARGE OMAHA 6 6 76½ 65 73½ 64¼ 54 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 2.50 25% 2.90 3.02  
8  HAND IT OVER 8 7 21 21 1nk 21½ 64¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 21.12  
2  APPEALING ADDIE 2 8 88 87½ 85½ 78¾ 712 (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 123 6.00 6.08  
4  WEDDING MARCH 4 2 11 11 31½ 811¾ 828½ (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00 12% 7.20 22.66  
 
ELP-6   07/21/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:13 1:382   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  POPPY THE PRINCESS 4 3 21 2½ 1nk 11½ 11¼ (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 10% 9.10 3.30 W
6  FLEETINGLY 5 4 52½ 42½ 32 21½ 21¼ (brown c)TORRES A 123 1.80 56% 0.80 0.78 P
4  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 3 5 32 31½ 42¼ 33 34 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 3.89  
8  HEART SPIN 6 6 64 64 54¼ 47 49¼ (navarrete)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 8.78  
2  FAITH UNDERSTOOD 2 1 11 1½ 2nk 59½ 516½ (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 9% 9.80 10.53  
1  PURRING 1 2 42½ 53½ 614¼ 629½ 663 (deville j)JUAREZ NIK 123 30.00 37.68  
SCR  CALL ME TONI               (hughes g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
SCR  QUIETLY               (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 2.50    
 
ELP-7   07/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:103 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCE OF POWER 4 2 11½ 12 11½ 13½ 15¾ (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.62 W
3  SECRET CHAT 3 3 52½ 43 33½ 34 25¾ (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.84 P
8  CAN'T HUSH THIS 8 8 42 32½ 21½ 23½ 39¼ (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 11.04  
2  DAI VERNON 2 6 87 75 76¾ 58½ 410¼ (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 5.29  
7  IMPERIAL GUN 7 5 64 64½ 56½ 48 513 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 24% 3.20 6.01  
5  SINGLE DOT YAHT 5 4 76 85½ 89¾ 711½ 618¾ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 14.08  
6  PASSING GAME 6 7 32 54½ 66½ 610½ 719 (rice linda)TORRES A 122 5.00 7.48  
1  FORT SAM 1 1 21½ 22 45½ 814½ 834¾ (fawkes david)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 7% 13.80 7.76  
 
ELP-8   07/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Twin Bridges Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ASTERNIA 5 3 2½ 1½   13 11 (morse rand)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 2.62  
  (by ASTERN out of LA CHEPIS by SUPER SAVER)
6  MINK'S PALACE 4 6 67½ 65½   65¼ 21 (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 4.15  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
8  TAPIT QUICK 6 7 53½ 54½   44½ 33½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 ★ 5.33 S
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
9  POPPERINA 7 5 79 77   76¼ 46¼ (moquett rona)TORRES A 122 15.00 16.29  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of BLOOMING by GRAYDAR)
4  FIBBER 2 4 43½ 42½   34½ 57½ (hartman chri)RAMOS D 122 1.80 53% 0.90 2.56  
  (by FROSTED out of DEVIOUS INTENT by DIXIE UNION)
5  DASHINGLY 3 1 1½ 2½   23 611 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 8% 12.30 11.81  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TIGER SILK by ALL AMERICAN)
1  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 1 2 32½ 31½   54¾ 711¾ (williams matt)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00 14% 6.00 4.97  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
SCR  CLIQUE               (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE ALEXIS by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  LEGADEMA               (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARLET LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  SULTRY LASS               (jacobson dav)TORRES A 122 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
 
ELP-9   07/21/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112 1:38   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARDIS 1 7 52½ 42 32 1½ 1¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 33% 2.00 2.31 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
7  ABBI FEDE 6 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 2¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 10.04  
  (by ENTICED out of JENNYS PRAYER by TAPIT)
12  CHAPMAN'S PEAK 10 6 85¾ 86¼ 54½ 34 34¼ (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 25% 3.00 1.68 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DICKINSON by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  WISH CAREFULLY 9 5 73¾ 76¼ 76½ 57 44¾ (lovell mic)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.83  
  (by MITOLE out of FORGIVENESS by MEADOWLAKE)
4  SEND COINS 4 3 32 32 42½ 46½ 57¾ (mcvickers lama)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 30.00 17.00  
  (by COLLECTED out of TEN COINS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  INWOOD DRIVE 8 10 99¼ 910¾ 811 812½ 613¾ (mott william)TORRES A 118 15.00 31.47  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
6  STREETCAR (IRE) 5 4 1½ 1½ 2nk 610 720¼ (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 118 10.00 7.86  
  (by IN THE WINGS (GB) out of PROCTOR'S LEDGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  LEBOMBO 2 8 63½ 54 65½ 711 821½ (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 8% 12.30 11.19  
  (by CUPID out of DARING GREATLY by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  PACIFIC 7 1 42 64¼ 912½ 915 923 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 19.58  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WORSHIPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  BRAVITAS 3 9 109¼ 1017¼ 1057½ 10100 10100 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 10% 9.40 28.92  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BRAGGING by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  RULE SEVENTY SIX               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BENVENUTTA by TAPIT)
SCR  VIVALDI               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.