Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (10/11/6/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $15.40 $5.40 54%
ELP-5   DD (10/11/6/12/1)-(9/3/2/10/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00  1-9 $53.58 $3.58 7%
ELP-6   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $27.52 $19.52 244%
    DD (9/3/2/10/6)-(3/7/5/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-5 $165.70 $125.70 314%
    PK3 (10/11/6/12/1)-(9/3/2/10/6)-(3/7/5/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00  1-9-5 $269.08 $219.08 438%
ELP-7   DD (3/7/5/6)-(7/11/13/10/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-7 $168.10 $128.10 320%
    PK3 (9/3/2/10/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(7/11/13/10/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00  9-5-7 $83.96 $33.96 68%
ELP-9   EXA (11/3/2/6/1)-(11/3/2/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-6 $61.70 $21.70 54%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT JEANIE 1 6 31 3½   12 15 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 1.49  
4  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY 4 8 75¾ 64   43½ 25 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
2  COASTLINE HOTTIE 2 2 1nk 1½   22 37½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 46% 1.20 2.26 S
8  ITSABLINGTHING 8 5 52¾ 52½   33½ 49 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 8.00 12.15  
6  MABEE LUCKYNWILD 6 1 2nk 2½   54½ 510¼ (parker don)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 10.00 34.33  
5  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT 5 4 41¼ 41½   76 612¼ (williams matt)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00 14.38  
7  TRAVAILLE 7 3 63¾ 74¼   65½ 713½ (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.00 12% 7.30 6.67  
3  MARIPOSA DE PISTA 3 7 86¾ 86¾   89 816½ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 12.00 11% 8.30 16.25  
 
ELP-2   08/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($108K) 3 F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:212 :434 :55     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULTIPLICATION 1 2 11 1½   11½ 11¼ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 6.47  
2  NINTH ISLAND 2 3 21 2½   21½ 21¼ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 10% 9.20 2.55 P
5  FAVOR TO YOU 5 4 63¾ 63¼   55 32¾ (damato phili)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 3.03  
6  WANDERING KIRBY 6 5 52¼ 51¾   43½ 42¾ (ramirez-rodrig)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
3  MENDELA 3 6 32 31½   32½ 53½ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 65% 0.50 1.09  
4  MASCARA 4 1 42 41½   65 66¼ (troiani nicc)TORRES A 118 30.00 41.87  
 
ELP-3   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLAZING FREEDOM 7 2 11 1nk   11 12¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 4.45  
1  LIGHT MY FLAME 1 4 63 54¾   54½ 22¾ (melton chris)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 32% 2.10 3.50 P
3  SYNOPTIC 3 3 41½ 42¼   32½ 34½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.00 S
10  WANNA GO HOME 9 7 21 2nk   21 45 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 45% 1.20 4.37  
2  STARLIT NITE 2 1 31 32   43 57 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 3.64  
6  RUN MAMA RUN 5 9 73½ 64¾   66 68¾ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 7.98  
9  ZAFYRE 8 6 84½ 78¼   77½ 79¾ (o'dwyer jere)TORRES A 119 8.00 30.96  
7  SMOOCHIE BOO 6 8 95½ 89¼   811 821 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 7.36  
4  CAROL'S MELODY 4 5 52 99½   914 930½ (ennis john)MURGIA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.68  
SCR  LUCKY LIS               (jeffries patr)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
 
ELP-4   08/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOST 1 11 104¼ 72   3.2 12 (walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 W
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WATER WHITE by CONVEYANCE)
6  LA NORME DE JOUR 4 6 1½ 1nk   1nk 22 (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 5.00 17% 4.70 1.83 P
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of LA BELLE DE JOUR by STRONG MANDATE)
15  HYPERLINK 11 1 61¾ 51¼   41¾ 33½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 30.43  
  (by TOCCET out of LA PANZANELLA by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  EQUATOR 9 4 114½ 114   52¼ 43½ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 12% 7.10 5.66  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of SURGING STORM by STORM CREEK)
11  DIRECT STRIKE 8 3 93¾ 93½   62¾ 53¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.40 4.58  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAY OF VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
10  ALPYLAND 7 2 3½ 3.2   2nk 64¼ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 25% 3.00 6.70  
  (by VEKOMA out of IL BRIGANTE by KELA)
3  SEPTEMBER SILVER 3 9 51½ 83½   95¾ 78¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 14.59  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
14  SOUTHERN SOUL 10 7 71¾ 41¼   74¼ 810 (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 55.61  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of FLORIDA FABULOUS by HIGH COTTON)
9  PETOSKEY STONES 6 10 82¾ 104   117¾ 912½ (cox h)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★ 19.32  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of MEZINKA by BODEMEISTER)
8  YORQUICK 5 5 2½ 2nk   85¼ 1012½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 22.28  
  (by YORKTON out of QUICK AND GOLDEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  MARAUDER 2 8 41 61½   106¼ 1115 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 14.33  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DREAM PAULINE by TAPIT)
SCR  HIGHLY CONNECTED               (williams matt)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
  (by CONNECT out of CALL OF LOVE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  KELZ               (mcpeek kennet)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of I'M COZY by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  WADO               (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CLAUDELLE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  YOUR WILDEST DREAM               (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by CEFIS out of BONNEVILLE FLATS by FLAT OUT)
 
ELP-5   08/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:423 :543     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HOT MASH 7 3 21 2½   12 17¾ (servis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 30% 2.30 1.55 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORE OATS PLEASE by SMART STRIKE)
2  WINDY HOUSTON 2 4 44 44½   34½ 27¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 13% 6.60 4.46 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of WINDY FORECAST by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  DAPHNE BLUE 3 1 11 1½   22 311 (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.88 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE HOT WISH by BRING THE HEAT)
11  MI DIAMANTE 9 7 57 58   47 413¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 10.00 21.93  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of TEQUILA QUEEN by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
6  AUTHENTIC CHARM 5 8 913 714½   711½ 513½ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.23  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SCOOTER BIRD by WAR PASS)
1  HONEY RACER 1 5 68½ 610   610 619¼ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 13.92  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of A P'S HIDDEN HONEY by A.P. INDY)
10  RIVER WAVENEY 8 6 710 915½   813½ 721½ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00 43.19  
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET OF GOLD by BAY STREET STAR)
4  LADY NVIDA 4 9 813 815   914 821¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 22.97  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of THREE D FLAG by SUPER SAVER)
7  CARL'S FAULT 6 2 32½ 33   58½ 928½ (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5.33  
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of NEW EMERALD BAY by NEW BAY)
SCR  CARDIFF REEF               (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRINCESS VIVIAN by UH OH BANGO)
SCR  FINAL SHIPMAN               (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FINAL ADVENTURE by ORB)
SCR  LADY LAW               (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LADY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  STARBRITE STARLITE               (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PLACE DES VOSGES by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  VANISH               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of ELUSIVE HOPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
ELP-6   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($46.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWIFTWIND 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 11¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 6% 16.90 12.76 W
1  MOM'S CHEESECAKE 1 5 63¼ 53   42½ 21¾ (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 13.58  
3  TRUE PASSION 3 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31¾ (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 118 1.80 52% 0.90 0.61 S
6  MISS ELLE 5 3 3½ 3½   32 45 (medina robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
2  WONDER OF YOU 2 4 41 41½   52¾ 56¾ (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 10.95  
7  COMMANDED 6 6 53 63¼   64¾ 67¼ (amoss thoma)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00 16% 5.40 3.18  
SCR  KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
 
ELP-7   08/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
1:39         1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SANDBORN 6 6 41½ 33 31 12 18 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
10  BON TEMPS 9 9 62¾ 66 53½ 44½ 28 (harty eoin)POSTON K 108 12.00 10% 9.10 8.15 P
1  YOU BELONG HERE 1 3 94¾ 98¾ 116½ 76 38½ (nihei mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 11.60  
8  RITUAL 7 5 2½ 21½ 2nk 22 48¾ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 5.07  
2  PACIFIC 2 1 52½ 56 63¾ 65½ 59 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 23.31  
5  WHERE Y'AT 5 4 31½ 44 42 54½ 69 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 20.00 8% 11.30 35.71  
4  FROSTY BEER 4 7 84¾ 87¼ 74¼ 86¼ 79¾ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 17.60  
9  BIG ROG 8 10 105¾ 119 106¼ 108¾ 812 (king barr)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 55.73  
14  GET ON THE BUS GUS 12 12 116 108¾ 96¼ 118¾ 912¼ (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 10.00 17.96  
13  STEEL VENOM 11 8 1½ 11½ 1nk 33½ 1012½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10% 8.70 10.02  
3  TIMBOS TANGLER 3 2 73¾ 77 85¾ 97¼ 1113 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00 26.05  
11  BRAVITAS 10 11 128 1215½ 1215 1218¾ 1232¾ (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13% 7.00 8.46  
SCR  FILM AT ELEVEN               (deville j)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  GLOBALIST               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
SCR  LEVITATING               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN RUN (IRE)               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
 
ELP-8   08/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
1:50         1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KING RUSSELL 5 4 21 2½ 21 2½ 1¼ (moquett rona)TORRES A 122 4.50 12.13  
4  EL MAGNIFICO 4 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 2¼ (dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 45% 1.20 0.81 P
2  UNLOAD 2 3 31½ 32 33 31½ 32½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 5.00 4.22  
3  CAROLO RAPIDO 3 6 66 64½ 54 52½ 43½ (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 122 10.00 7.47  
1  IMPERIAL GUN 1 1 43½ 43½ 43 42 55¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.99  
7  D'ORO UNBRIDLED 6 5 54 54½ 66 65 611¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 28% 2.60 8.18  
SCR  FRIAR NEWTON               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
1:391         1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BITE AND STRIKE 3 3 32 33 21 12 13¼ (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 12% 7.60 3.99 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BERNADETTA by BERNARDINI)
6  COPP 6 8 75 65½ 74¾ 52¾ 23¼ (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40 P
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
5  MR BOBO 5 5 53½ 54 42½ 32 33½ (o'dwyer jeremia)LANERIE J 124 6.00 5.73  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  WISH CAREFULLY 1 1 11 12½ 11 22 44¼ (lovell mic)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 32.89  
  (by MITOLE out of FORGIVENESS by MEADOWLAKE)
4  ALTIPLANO 4 4 64 75¾ 64½ 63¾ 55¼ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 28.85  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of AYMARA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  THUNDER ROLL 2 2 21 22½ 31 42¼ 67½ (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.50 8% 11.40 2.45  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
11  VIVALDI 10 7 85 87¼ 96¾ 86¼ 77½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 59% 0.70 2.22  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
8  BESTBALL 8 10 109½ 109¾ 86¾ 75¼ 88½ (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 42.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of WEMBLEY by BERNARDINI)
7  WOODLANDER 7 9 96 98¾ 108¼ 97¾ 910¼ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 51.95  
  (by FORESTRY out of MADAM LAGONZA by KINGMAMBO)
9  FIVE STAR G MAN 9 6 42½ 44 53 108¾ 1012¼ (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 18.04  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FIVE STAR RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  MONTERREY               (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MEXICAN HAT by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.