Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-2   WIN (2/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    EXA (2/7/10/1)-(2/7/10/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $34.06 $10.06 42%
    TRI (2/7/10/1)-(2/7/10/1)-(2/7/10/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-2 $47.63 $35.63 297%
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(2/7/10/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-1 $37.30 $5.30 17%
ELP-3   EXA (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $65.60 $41.60 173%
ELP-4   WIN (2/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.26 $2.26 28%
    PK3 (2/7/10/1)-(3/7/2/5)-(2/7/8/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00  1-3-2 $34.69 $2.69 8%
ELP-5   EXA (8/2/1/7)-(8/2/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $48.70 $24.70 103%
    PK4 (2/7/10/1)-(3/7/2/5)-(2/7/8/9)-(8/2/1/7) 256 $0.50 $128  1-3/8-2-4/8 $155.83 $27.83 22%
ELP-7   EXA (5/10/7/4/2)-(5/10/7/4/3/2) 25 $2.00 $50.00  2-4 $60.76 $10.76 22%
    TRI (5/10/7/4/2)-(5/10/7/4/3/2)-(5/10/7/4/3/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00  2-4-7 $53.33 $3.33 7%
ELP-9   WIN (8/6/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $16.58 $6.58 66%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP SHIP HOORAY 2 2 1½ 1nk   1 16 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80 65% 0.50 1.04 W
VIX 1 8 6 4   34 26 (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00 35.52  
GALANTINI 3 1 2½ 2nk   2 3 (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.00 5.86  
RAVENS DREAM 5 7 7 8   7 4 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 8.91  
GUAPO 6 3 4 5   66 5 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 29.53  
KOHOUTEK 7 4 5 6   55 6 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 8.00 5% 19.00 4.22  
MAXIMA 4 5 3½ 31   44 710¼ (mott william)TORRES A 120 3.50 4.75  
SPY 8 6 8 7   8 810½ (mcso)FRANCA ERIELTUN 124 10.00 18.67  
 
ELP-2   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZALITTLESTINKER 1 4 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (catalano m)JUAREZ NIK 124 12.00 5% 19.00 3.50 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CONTORTED 7 2 3 2½   2½ 2¼ (amoss m)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 27% 2.80 1.99 P
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PRINCESS ASH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
TWILIGHT TEMPO 2 5 42 52   3 3 (walsh bre)TORRES A 119 4.00 39% 1.60 4.99 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MIDNIGHT BLISS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BELLS OF MARANELLO 3 1 21 3½   4 411½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 6.23  
  (by NYQUIST out of BELIEVE YOU CAN by PROUD CITIZEN)
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 4 3 75 7   68 512¼ (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 20.00 13.52  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
10  PURPLE AND GOLD 8 7 63 41   56 612¾ (esquivel je)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00 8% 11.80 5.03  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of COUNTRY CAFE by LION HEART)
ANGELIC SENSE 5 8 813 813½   716 722½ (mcpeek g)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 8.46  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BOLD ANGEL by CAT THIEF)
SUMMER ADI 6 6 5 66   818 834¾ (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 119 30.00 93.03  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ADALEE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CHACHING CHACHING               (kenneally)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LUCY GOOSEY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  TEXAS QUEEN               (calhoun will)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by SENECA JONES out of ELOQUENT QUEEN by RAJA BABA)
 
ELP-3   07/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:092 1:212   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO EXPECTATIONS 3 1 35 3 32 1½ 1nk (cox brad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 1.60 40% 1.50 1.00 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of HAVISHAM by BERNARDINI)
AGIA MARINA 5 7 4 410½ 4 4 2nk (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 28.68 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
AMERICAN DEBUTANTE (IRE) 1 5 23 28 22 3½ 3 (walsh p)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.00 2.37  
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of HEIGHT OF ELEGANCE by GALILEO)
AURACULOUS 7 6 7 613 56 5 44 (devaux ch)TORRES A 124 3.00 27% 2.70 4.87  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BONITA BAY by BERNARDINI)
HI'IAKA 2 2 13 18 12 2½ 5 (salas felipe)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00 11% 8.10 15.84  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
GOOD GOING 6 4 68 713 67 6 613 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 10.51  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOOD DEED by BROKEN VOW)
DEAR SCARLETT 4 3 5 511 712½ 714½ 723 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 10.00 13.94  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
SCR  LIVIN LA VIDA COCO               (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TAPASSION by TAPIT)
 
ELP-4   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:223 :45 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT TIME 2 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 12 (miller peter)TORRES A 122 2.50 57% 0.80 4.13 W
CHRYSO ALOGO 3 6 2½ 2nk   2½ 22 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 19.30  
METALLIC MAN 7 1 6 31   3 3 (jacobson )TORRES A 124 5.00 5% 18.80 9.45 S
LEND IT TEWMEY 4 2 3 42   4 4 (amoss thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 4.48  
BRIGHT LEAF 5 8 8 8   810½ 5 (sims p)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 3.71  
SUTHERLAND 1 4 7 7   710 6 (richard chris)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 8.86  
FAVORITE OUTLAW 6 3 4 5   5 711 (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00 14% 6.20 2.23  
PRETTY FAST 8 7 52 6   6 814½ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.86  
SCR  UNRAPTURED               (ciardullo r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 20.00    
 
ELP-5   07/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:091 1:21   1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULTITASK 7 7 73 6 54 52 1¼ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 31% 2.20 1.74 W
ASPENITE 6 5 5 54 43 3½ 2¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.85 P
ALDER 4 4 31 2½ 2nk 1½ 31 (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 4.91  
THE PROCESS 2 2 4 43 6 6 42 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 2.49  
FIDGET 3 3 2½ 31 3 4 5 (cox brad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 18.01  
IN A JAM 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 64 (casse mar)TORRES A 122 5.00 18% 4.50 5.45  
GRAND ASPEN 5 6 63 77 711¾ 724¼ 7100 (logsdon q)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 7.88  
SCR  GOLDEN GLIDER               (jacobson dav)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
ELP-6   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:104 1:233   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDY BAY 8 8 6 5 1nk 11 1½ (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 15.52  
WHERE'S THE WINE 4 4 5 66 4 42 2½ (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 3.08  
BROUGHTY FERRY 5 7 811¾ 811½ 8 55 3½ (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.50 15% 5.60 4.16 S
STORY HOUR 7 6 4 4 2nk 21 4 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 10.00 7.93  
SWEET CHABLIS 2 3 7 77 3.2 3 5 (mckeever )TORRES A 122 10.00 12% 7.10 10.61  
PENS STREET 9 9 912¼ 912 9 710 612¼ (rice linda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50 15% 5.90 3.39  
ANGEL KISS 1 1 3 3 6 6 713½ (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 117 20.00 11.85  
MERCY WARREN 3 2 1nk 1½ 5 812 827½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.00 19% 4.40 4.72  
BIRDIE ROSE 6 5 2nk 2½ 7 914 929¾ (salas marcel)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
 
ELP-7   07/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:114 1:233   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELIEST 2 2 43 4 4 1 15 (kenneally eddie)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
  (by SIYOUNI out of LOVELIER by GALILEO)
NONCONSECUTIVETRMS 4 6 6 63 6 35 25 (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 119 4.50 8% 10.90 6.58 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SPICY PRINCESS 7 5 3½ 31 2nk 2 3 (biancone p)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 16% 5.30 2.36 S
  (by TAPIT out of APACHE PRINCESS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
11  DIABLO SHIRAZ 10 7 109 10 96 610 4 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 60.32  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of FOREVER VOW by BROKEN VOW)
14  DREAM CHICK 11 9 75 5 5 47 510¾ (kelley a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 16.84  
  (by KEEP DREAMING out of HOP'S PERFECTION by NAVY HOP)
ESSENTIALLY GOLD 6 10 97 9 8 710 613½ (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 119 30.00 56.80  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
RATHER LATE 8 3 1nk 1nk 3.2 5 720 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 41.73  
  (by VOLATILE out of RATHER BEAUTIFUL by MALIBU MOON)
HOLLYBYGOLLY 3 1 5 7 7 813½ 823 (brisset rodo)TORRES A 119 5.00 6.54  
  (by OLD TRIESTE out of STELLUCHELLA by HONOR GRADES)
10  TEARIN'UP MY HEART 9 11 11 11 106 916 930 (cox brad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 18% 4.70 5.91  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of HEARTFUL by BANDBOX)
MIDNIGHT EVE 1 8 8 8 11 1020 1032 (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 91.36  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CATECAL by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
PURELY ZEN 5 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 11100 11100 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 4.00 36% 1.80 4.49  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ETERNAL PEACE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  LIZ'S IMAGE               (kelley a)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of LIZ C by AIR FORCE BLUE)
SCR  LOTTA ALPHA               (servis john )TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of YGRITTE by TAPIT)
SCR  MAP OF THE MOON               (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MALIBU PRIDE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  RED BERETTA               (douaihy mi)HERNANDEZ N 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
SCR  STOLEN LUTE               (casse mar)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of JUST FABULOUS by INCLUDE)
 
ELP-8   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS PROUD 5 1 2½ 1nk   13 1 (mott william)TORRES A 120 4.00 2.79  
GERLIN'S EMPIRE 3 7 75 5   44 2 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 19% 4.40 4.24 P
CANDY LOVER 7 6 42 3   3 3 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.82 S
ANTIQUE SILVER 1 2 1½ 2nk   23 4 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 6.00 9.64  
OUTRAGEOUSLY 2 3 5 4   5 5 (blair jor)TORRES A 122 4.50 5.52  
OUR KEEPSAKE 4 4 3 6   6 6 (nicholl sebast)JUAREZ NIK 122 3.00 15% 5.70 2.30  
ON THE BRIDLE 6 5 6 7   7 712 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 32% 2.20 15.19  
SCR  CATCHYALATER               (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($102K) 3 ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:103 1:34   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YINZER 3 2 11 1 11 1½ 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.29 W
SING SING 1 3 3 3 32 32 2 (casse mar)TORRES A 120 6.00 9.34  
10  THE WARDEN 9 7 21 2 21 2½ 3 (moquett rona)TORRES A 120 15.00 24.79  
THE HIDDEN CHAMBER 8 8 7 5 4 4 43 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 42.46  
COVERT LAW 4 1 4 43 5 53 5 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.59  
TICKLED QUIST 7 5 5 6 6 6 6 (cox brad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 34% 2.00 3.38  
TREW VIOLENCE 2 4 6 7 74 85 7 (brisset rodolphe)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 29.45  
ANEGADA 5 6 86 8 8 74 84 (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 120 4.00 10% 9.20 4.86  
SOME PERFORMANCE 6 9 9 9 9 95 9 (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 122 3.50 34% 2.00 1.28  
SCR  FOND FAREWELL               (walden william)JUAREZ NIK 120 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.