Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.34 $2.34 39%
ELP-6   WIN (11/9/8/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $15.12 $5.12 51%
    EXA (11/9/8/3/1)-(11/9/8/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-11 $71.88 $31.88 80%
ELP-9   WIN (11/1/7/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $14.18 $4.18 42%
    DD (4/2/7)-(11/1/7/5/12) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-11 $41.30 $11.30 38%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINNAMON SUGAR (IRE) 3 2 2 2nk   1 1 (hancock j)TORRES A 119 3.50 1.88  
BEACH OF DREAMS 4 1 4 31   2 2 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.80 37% 1.70 1.37 P
SPRINGLINE 2 4 3 4   3 3 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 1.96  
FIZZY GIRL 1 3 1 1nk   4 419¼ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 9% 10.50 8.34  
SCR  HEAVEN'S HOPE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  PRACTICALLY FAMOUS               (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119 1.40    
 
ELP-2   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEEZER 3 3 2 2nk   1½ 1 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 10.00 9.46  
VERTRAUEN 5 5 1 1nk   2½ 2 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.00 27% 2.70 1.09 P
MIDNIGHT BOSS 8 2 6 5   43 3 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 16.60  
PURSE THIEF 4 6 4 32   3 44 (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 18.00 9.02  
ANDY'S CANDY 2 8 7 4   53 5 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 21% 3.80 7.35  
REWIRE 1 4 3 6   6 6 (shorter aaro)TORRES A 122 3.50 5.64  
CALL THE CAVALRY 6 7 8 7   7 716½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 12% 7.00 8.17  
GLOBAL LEGEND 7 1 5 8   8 818 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00 8.68  
 
ELP-3   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUDWIG 7 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 2.50 23% 3.40 3.17 W
STORM THE STREETS 6 3 5 4¼   3.2 2nk (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 8.00 7.15  
EGLISE 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.71 S
CHARBONNAY 5 2 3 3.2   4¼ 42 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 10.63  
CARBONE 2 7 65 6   5 53 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 2.45  
GOD OF WINE 1 6 7 76   7 6 (cristel )RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00 15% 5.70 29.11  
STRING THEORY 3 5 42 5   6 7 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12.68  
 
ELP-4   07/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:101 1:214   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBT PAID 1 3 1½ 11 1½ 1 1 (lovell miche)TORRES A 123 2.50 32% 2.20 1.67 W
SIR PISTOLERO 7 2 4 32 4 33 2 (jacobson )TORRES A 123 6.00 7.41  
FASTER 4 5 5 5 53 6 3 (tooley jennife)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 18.07  
FEAR AND LOATHING 6 6 7 7 6 43 43 (wisner j)LANERIE J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
FEATHERS ROAD 2 4 2½ 21 2½ 2 5 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 123 3.50 26% 2.80 3.35  
LONGSHADOW 8 7 8 8 7 7 6 (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 14% 6.30 7.95  
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 8 6 64 8 8 7 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 5.00 4.97  
SIX MISSIONS 3 1 3 42 3 5 8 (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 5.00 7.56  
 
ELP-5   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDED 1 5 42 3½   11 14 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 2.56  
JUST AN OPINION 6 4 2nk 2nk   3 24 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 19% 4.40 3.00 P
MY BOSSY LADY 2 2 3 42   21 3 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 51% 1.00 4.68 S
SPIRIT RULES 3 1 1nk 1nk   4 4 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 2.83  
MOOCHIE GIRL 4 6 55 54   54 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.16  
TAVRIA 5 3 6 66   6 611¼ (dixon jerry )BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 18.32  
SCR  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:223 :463 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLYNCAROLINE 3 1 4 4   2½ 1 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 119 25.00 5% 19.00 6.56 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LITTLE DIPPER by ESKENDEREYA)
11  QUEEN JUNO 9 8 3.2 3.2   1½ 2 (casse mar)TORRES A 119 3.50 26% 2.80 2.60 P
  (by YAUPON out of DEHEREWEGO by DEHERE)
LAST CURTAIN CALL 5 9 9 8   7 37 (oliver v)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 11.65  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PRECIOUS LOVE by CITY ZIP)
10  GO GO PLAYMATE 8 6 5 5   3 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 6.00 13.15  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MY JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
LOVE A LITTLE MO 2 7 6 6   65 5 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.50 3.45  
  (by UNCLE MO out of INJECT by FROSTED (GB))
HUMOR ME BABY 7 4 2nk 2nk   4 610¾ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 2.50 25% 3.10 3.89  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMOR ME COLONEL by COLONEL JOHN)
CUP OF COFFEE 4 3 86 97   9 711¼ (corrigan jim)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 24.94  
  (by GORMLEY out of WAVES OF BLUE by QUALITY ROAD)
MY SECRET DREAMS 1 5 73 7   8 812 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.73  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ARTY'S SECRET by SECRET CIRCLE)
GIVEMETHEBEAT 6 2 1nk 1nk   53 915½ (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 24% 3.20 7.91  
  (by BEAU LIAM out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  MESCOOL               (torres marceli)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FASHIONABLY COOL by TIZNOW)
SCR  SPIN A TUNE               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of DESERT TUNE by STREET CRY)
 
ELP-7   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER OF YOU 5 1 21 1½   12 1 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 6.37  
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 7 6 7 66   5 2 (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 31% 2.30 3.83 P
INDESCRIPTABLE 6 2 32 3   22 3 (cobb carol)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 30.00 20.19  
SHE'S NO ANGEL 2 5 54 54   44 4 (shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 2.70  
ITWILLBEFUN 3 7 4 4   3 5 (dutrow e)JUAREZ NIK 118 5.00 2.69  
CASILDA 1 3 11 2½   6 614 (dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 41% 1.50 3.27  
DAY DAWNING 4 4 65 710   710½ 722¾ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 20.00 5% 19.00 19.52  
SCR  HAND IT OVER               (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 125 12.00    
 
ELP-8   07/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENDELA 3 3 43 31   2½ 1nk (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 52% 0.90 0.89 W
CARIBBEAN WIND 4 1 11 1nk   1½ 2nk (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.50 2.63 P
JUSTINQUESO 1 2 32 4   4 3 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5.75  
MODERN SOUND 2 7 6 6   64 4 (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 20% 4.00 11.05  
13  CARLISLE BAY 7 4 21 2nk   31 55 (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 20.82  
11  MASCARA 6 6 55 5   5 6 (troiani nicc)TORRES A 118 30.00 37.71  
MAGIC ESCAPADE 5 5 76 7   7 717¼ (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
SCR  CAVATELLI               (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CLAIRE               (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  ISLE OF CAPRI               (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
SCR  LA FORET               (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 3.50    
SCR  LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE)               (stall m)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  MEZCALIFORNIA               (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00    
SCR  MILLIAT (IRE)               (walsh bre)TORRES A 122 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MORGAN'S BLUFF 9 8 86 9 56 32 1 (ewing mic)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00 34% 1.90 6.09 W
10  MANY MO KISSES 8 9 10 87 4 2½ 2 (michael brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 17.15  
TIZ SALTY 5 3 9 10 1011½ 66 34 (thompson )TORRES A 124 8.00 11% 8.00 5.63 S
MY SEXY BLONDE 1 5 3 32 33 4 4 (taylor brent)BEJARANO R 124 5.00 14% 6.10 3.71  
COCKTAIL HUMOR 4 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 5 (von donn)ROCCO S 118 25.00 9% 10.40 9.69  
POWERWASHED 3 2 2½ 2½ 21 5 68 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 6.89  
BERRYVILLE 7 7 6 76 7 8 711¾ (ortiz john)HERNANDEZ J 118 25.00 5.67  
12  SR. MARY MARGARET 10 10 7 66 89 77 812¾ (newton t)RODRIGUEZ A 118 25.00 5% 19.00 23.32  
BULLET BABY 6 4 42 4 66 99 916¼ (radcliffe robe)ELLIOTT JANE 118 25.00 26.00  
FALL IN LOVE 2 6 5 54 910 1010 1019½ (medina robert)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 3.86  
SCR  EDDIE'S ANGEL               (servis c)LANERIE J 118 4.50    
SCR  MELLY'S BIRKIN               (cunningham s)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.00    
SCR  NO APOLOGIES               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  TECTONIC               (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.