Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - August 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   EXA (4/8/3/2)-(4/8/3/11/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-2 $36.08 $4.08 13%
ELP-8   EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-5 $32.38 $8.38 35%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114 1:25   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISSIONE 4 4 4 4 3 11 14 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 4.00 36% 1.80 2.01 W
STRATEGIST 2 3 1½ 1½ 1 21 24 (romero gregor)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.04 P
GROUND SHAKER 7 5 5 5 43 34 38 (mcvickers la)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 41.10  
11  FALCON QUEST 9 6 6 6 54 45 410 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 6.00 9.38  
CLOCKING 1 2 2½ 2½ 2 57 520½ (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 16.90  
MR. CHUCK 5 7 7 8 8 711 620½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 8.86  
10  OLD TRACE 8 9 9 75 7 6 723¼ (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 85.39  
BEECHMONT 3 1 31 3 66 813½ 840¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.04  
KEVIN'S STRIKE 6 8 8 9 910¾ 917 944½ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.07  
SCR  BELIEVE IN DREAMS               (vanden br)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
SCR  GOOD NEWS ROCKET               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 10.00    
SCR  HISTORIC               (moquett rona)TORRES A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-2   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNE 6 6 68 6   5 1 (foster er)TORRES A 122 3.00 18% 4.60 3.22 W
TURN UP THE TREES 2 1 1 1   12 2 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.55 P
REGAL REY 3 5 55 5   22 3 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 4.21  
ROCKET HOSS 4 2 2 2   32 4 (davis joseph )MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 35.95  
AMERICAN OUTLAW 5 4 43 3   4 510¼ (ramirez-rodrig)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 24.29  
PROMISES TO DANCE 1 3 3 4   6 612¼ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 117 8.00 12.22  
SCR  HAP HOT               (ramirez-rodrig)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
ELP-3   08/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:114 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTING 6 4 42 4 43 3 1½ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119 3.00 2.43  
MO BEACH TIME 4 2 11 1½ 1nk 1 2½ (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 10.00 6% 15.90 5.30 P
JORGE'S ACE 8 3 31 2½ 2nk 2 32 (newton t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.26 S
VITRUVIAN MAN 5 5 5 53 54 5 4 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 12.14  
AMERICAN BEAR 3 1 21 31 3 4 53 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 12.99  
GRAY IS OKAY 7 7 7 75 6 64 6 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.11  
TINGUS PINGUS 1 8 9 8 8 7 7 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 41% 1.40 3.86  
GRIND 2 9 8 9 911¼ 910½ 814 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 12% 7.10 3.54  
10  CONSEQUENTIAL 9 6 64 6 7 8 915 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6.96  
SCR  PUPIL               (wojczynski j)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  RAMBLIN               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  SENOR VALENTINE               (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 12.00    
SCR  WADO               (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:114     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BRIDGIE BOP 10 2 7 6   22 1 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00 6.71  
AHAMO 6 4 6 1nk   12 2 (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 4.49  
HARD TO GET 3 6 21 2nk   3 3 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.55 S
TROUBLER 4 5 31 5¾   5 4 (casse w)TORRES A 119 4.00 54% 0.90 4.27  
10  DINAHS GIRL 8 3 9 94   77 5 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 13% 6.50 14.69  
DYNAMITE 1 7 11 4¾   43 6 (mackey wa)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 17.88  
11  DARING HOPE 9 1 8 84   6 79 (bahena ismae)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 6.00 16.23  
TAKE OVER 5 10 10 10   88 813½ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 29.61  
BIG EARN 7 9 5 3.2   99 916½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.67  
MISS QUE SERA 2 8 4 7   1010 1017½ (fawkes david)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.16  
SCR  CRACKLE (GB)               (hols)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
SCR  RUSH TO GLORY               (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 124 12.00    
 
ELP-5   08/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:212 :443 :564     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLIE JANE 5 5 6 6   4 1 (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 119 8.00 7.69  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MISS EXCLUSIVE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
HUMOR ME BABY 2 2 3 2   21 2 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 41% 1.40 1.48 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMOR ME COLONEL by COLONEL JOHN)
BLUES MUSIC 1 8 5 5   31 3 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00 6% 16.50 7.20 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
DIAMONDINTHEROUGH 4 4 11 1   11 43 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 6% 16.50 8.72  
  (by TRICK QUESTION out of ZAROLIA by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
11  LOST CHORD 8 7 810½ 8   7 5 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 9.44  
  (by MAXFIELD out of FANCY AND FLASHY by ZENSATIONAL)
UNLIKELY QUEEN 6 6 7 7   65 6 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 17.03  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ELUSIVE WAVE by MIZZEN MAST)
GLAZIN' FURY 3 3 4 4   54 710 (shirer ma)TORRES A 119 8.00 6% 16.50 6.24  
  (by MITOLE out of VIEW FROM THE TOP by DISTANT VIEW)
10  FAITH SO STRONG 7 1 21 3   811¾ 823 (hancock dana)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00 4.53  
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of INITIATION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  AUTHENTIC CHARM               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SCOOTER BIRD by WAR PASS)
SCR  LA PRESUMIDA               (seglin lu)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of DUEL FOOL by U S RANGER)
SCR  MISO SPEEDY               (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  PARTY CENTRAL               (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FASHION ROYALTY by WAR FRONT)
SCR  RIVER WAVENEY               (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET OF GOLD by BAY STREET STAR)
SCR  VANISH               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of ELUSIVE HOPE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
ELP-6   08/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($106K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:23 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 4 2 2nk 2nk   12 1 (stinson willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 1.80 43% 1.30 0.63 W
RYVIT 1 3 3 32   22 2 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.50 3.86  
CHASING TIME 3 1 1nk 1nk   32 3 (santamaria c)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 9.18  
RED STATE 2 4 4 4   4 414¼ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 27% 2.80 2.38  
SCR  BEAR RIVER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
SCR  SECOND I D               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 2.00    
 
ELP-7   08/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:21 :43 :542     1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPERATION SUNRISE 3 1 1½ 11   14 1 (mott william)TORRES A 119 4.50 1.74  
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GOOD MOJO 4 2 2½ 21   24 2 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 119 1.60 64% 0.60 1.65 P
  (by MO TOWN out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
POST GAME 5 4 3 53   46 3 (eurton pete)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 6.00 7% 12.40 7.13 S
  (by NYQUIST out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
KY DO DECLARE 2 8 53 43   3 4 (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 119 6.00 6% 14.80 19.36  
  (by ACCELERATE out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
NASH POTATOES 1 5 65 6   57 59 (newton t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 8.51  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HUNDRED YEAR STORM by WAR FRONT)
EMPIRE RANCH 8 6 76 7   7 612 (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 6.67  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SENADA by PULPIT)
DISCERNING SPIRIT 7 7 8 88   811 713¾ (dixon jer)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00 79.43  
  (by YORKTON out of MAGNA MOONGLOW by MAGNA GRADUATE)
MR ENTERTAINER 6 3 4 3   68 816¼ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.78  
  (by GOLD LEGEND out of LINES OF EXCHANGE by LINES OF POWER)
SCR  ECHO DOWN               (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of FLY DOWN TOO by MINESHAFT)
 
ELP-8   08/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:12 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF DUVAL 6 5 52 5 4 31 1½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 125 2.50 35% 1.80 2.56 W
SIPPIN ON GIN 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 2½ (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 29% 2.50 4.14 P
RUN QUIET RUN FAST 2 8 8 83 84 64 3 (rodriguez ge)MONCADA IRVING 118 15.00 35.29  
BERMUDA BLITZ 1 2 6 7 7 5 4 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 3.18  
SOLID LEFT 8 6 4 3 3.2 42 5 (santamaria carlo)JUAREZ NIK 120 5.00 9.94  
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 64 (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 123 4.00 3.11  
TIGER MOON 7 7 7 6 5 7 76 (atras rob)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 30.05  
PAPA YO 3 1 3 4 6 8 88 (combs ben)TORRES A 123 8.00 8% 11.40 8.58  
 
ELP-9   08/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:21 :432 :55     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET KAUFY 7 5 21 2nk   2 1¾ (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 53% 0.90 2.77 W
PARTY PAULINE 5 3 11 1nk   1 2¾ (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 122 15.00 10.27  
ROSATO 2 8 76 7   8 3 (wilkes ia)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.18 S
SHE'Z THE LAW 4 7 3 31   32 42 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 19% 4.30 2.67  
CAVATELLI 3 2 8 8   75 5 (foster eric)LANERIE J 118 15.00 8.32  
10  TEMPERS FLY 8 6 6 6   43 6 (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.63  
ROYALEWITHCHEESE 6 4 42 4   54 7 (hiles jef)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 31.47  
RIGHTINTHATWRONG 1 9 98 95   9 8 (corrigan jim)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 22.58  
11  ANTIQUE SILVER 9 1 5 5   65 9 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
SCR  MIYAKO               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
SCR  ROJO RITA               (joseph saffi)TORRES A 118 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.