Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.00 $1.00 25%
CD-7   EXA (1/11/12/6)-(1/11/10/12/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-12 $34.12 $2.12 7%
    DD (4/7)-(1/11/12/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-1 $9.38 $1.38 17%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BROOKLYNN DREW 7 1 3½ 3½   12 14¼ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 35% 1.90 0.87 W
8  MISTY MUPPET 8 7 74¼ 75¼   56 24¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 19% 4.30 3.59 P
1  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 1 4 42 42½   44½ 34¼ (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 15.07  
5  STREAKING 5 3 1nk 2nk   32½ 45¾ (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 22.18  
2  FANCY FASCINATOR 2 5 2nk 1nk   22 56¼ (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 6.00 30.56  
3  MUSICAL PRAYER 3 8 64 64¾   66 66½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 20% 4.00 6.06  
6  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY 6 6 84¾ 85¾   87¾ 77¼ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.89  
4  MINK STOLE 4 2 52½ 54½   77½ 810¼ (martinez ral)TORRES A 121 6.00 8.57  
 
CD-2   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHAPE NOTE 5 2 2½ 2½   2½ 1nk (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.07 W
4  TURN UP THE TREES 2 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2nk (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 24% 3.20 0.93 P
1  BUSK 1 1 31½ 33½   34 31 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 1.00 1.51  
5  MINE OWN STAR 3 5 55½ 46½   46½ 44 (elliott michel)ROMAN A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 35.42  
6  READY TO ROLL (IRE) 4 4 43½ 510   513 519 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 38.12  
SCR  MISTER KELLY               (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
SCR  SERGEANT GUMP               (decker a)RODRIGUEZ A 123 30.00    
SCR  SPYCRAFT               (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 16% 5.40    
 
CD-3   09/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COURT OF APPEAL 4 2 35 31½ 2nk 1½ 12¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 3.42  
3  CONSEQUENTIAL 3 4 611 610 610½ 35 22¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.27  
5  TINGUS PINGUS 5 3 14½ 11½ 1nk 2½ 34¼ (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.50 5.79  
2  STOLEN POWER 2 1 24½ 21½ 33 45½ 49½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.84  
1  FEDERAL AGENT 1 7 46½ 42½ 43½ 56 511 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.26  
9  OFF THE DECK 8 5 59 56 58½ 69 615 (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 15% 5.70 4.41  
7  COSMIC COLLISSION 6 6 712 712½ 715 714 721½ (cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 71.67  
8  BAGG O TIME 7 8 812½ 813 815¼ 814½ 823 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 12.00 15% 5.90 25.54  
SCR  TRAPPED IN TIME (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:103 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SLIP MAHONEY 5 4 51½ 52½ 43½ 22 12 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122 6.00 27% 2.70 2.35 W
8  SALTWATER COWBOY 6 1 1½ 11½ 12 12 22 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 3.04 P
3  THE THUNDERER 2 3 41½ 32 54½ 53¼ 34 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00 8.03  
10  CRITICAL THREAT 8 5 31 42½ 22 32 44 (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 12% 7.30 11.81  
9  WINSTON WOLF 7 2 2½ 21½ 32½ 43 54¼ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
11  SIR SAFFER 9 6 62 74¾ 66½ 65¼ 65¼ (wittek k)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 10.56  
5  TEXAS RED HOT 4 9 83½ 97¾ 89½ 78¼ 79 (morse l)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.28  
2  ALEJANDRO 1 7 95 86¼ 78 88¾ 811 (cash l)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.81  
4  MASTER GAME 3 8 73 64½ 927½ 9100 9100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6.24  
SCR  COOL RAGS               (salas marc)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 30.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOT'S LAW 1 2 1nk 1½   11 12¼ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 15.19  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BODEBABE by BODEMEISTER)
3  NOROOMFORMISCHIEF 3 1 2nk 2½   21 22¼ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 29% 2.40 7.89 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  SUDDEN SQUALL 5 8 73¼ 64   33 32¾ (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.65 S
  (by VOLATILE out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
6  CLICK 6 9 51¾ 32½   45 46¾ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 17.44  
  (by TOMAHAWK out of FANTASTIC ALLIE by GHAZI)
10  TRAPPED 9 7 104¼ 98   68½ 58½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 87.52  
  (by TACITUS out of EAST COAST SWING by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  LISTENTOURMOTHER 8 3 83¾ 75   57 68¾ (hillyard ashley)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.06  
  (by CONNECT out of PETUNIA by CHIEF SINGER)
8  G ROCKS 7 6 62¾ 87   79 79¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 24.80  
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of CIDDY'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  SACRED PRAYER 2 10 118¼ 1111¾   912 814½ (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 10.59  
  (by YAUPON out of PINKABOO by BERNARDINI)
11  CORBET'S CRUSH 10 4 41½ 43½   810 915¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★ 2.56  
  (by VOLATILE out of QIAONA by WILKO)
4  FADE TO GOLD 4 5 31 54   1014½ 1020¼ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.96  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SHORT IRON by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  LOVELY SUMMER 11 11 93¾ 1011½   1123 1145½ (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 79.83  
  (by UNUSUAL HEAT out of LOVELY PET by DEVIL'S BAG)
SCR  CREVALLA DE VIL               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of LADY STARDUST by UNION RAGS)
SCR  JETTY'S HOME               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of LOVELY GIRL by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  STATUTORY               (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of AGREEABLE MISS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SUPERSONIC AGENDA               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of CONCORD ECLIPSE by TIZNOW)
 
CD-6   09/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE 4 2 32 31   11 1nk (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
2  REMI'S MOON 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 2nk (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 1.43  
5  RAVENS DREAM 3 3 2nk 2nk   32 33 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 7.33  
4  MORAL 2 1 44 48   423 462¾ (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 30% 2.30 2.54  
SCR  MAJOR DAX               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  NORWICH               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE WILLIAM               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
 
CD-7   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND LUXX 1 8 43½ 2nk   12½ 11¼ (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 62% 0.60 1.70 W
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MY GIRL by IN REALITY (GB))
12  ENDLESS GLORY 10 7 910 77½   57 21¼ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
3  MIGHTY NORA 3 1 33 42   44½ 33¼ (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 17.79  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  HOOPS RIVALRY 7 9 53½ 1nk   22½ 44½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 3.59  
  (by KNICKS GO out of CELTIC CHANT by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  BY LA RINA 5 10 1014 911   79½ 56¾ (deegan joseph)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 48.01  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
6  FREAKS GO 6 5 2½ 3½   34 67¾ (crichton )TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.41  
  (by KNICKS GO out of STORMY SKY by SKY MESA)
10  IT AIN'T LIKE THAT 8 2 66 67   69½ 713½ (esquivel jes)TORRES A 119 4.00 ★ 8.72  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of COACH LORI by CAIRO PRINCE)
4  QUEEN OF QUEENS 4 3 87½ 1013   914½ 814¾ (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 16.69  
  (by KING OF KINGS (IRE) out of NUMBERONEDANCE by TREMPOLINO)
2  HAPPY KEIRA 2 4 1½ 54   811½ 922¼ (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 42.28  
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
11  STELLA GUITAR 9 6 77 810   1017 1025¾ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 12% 7.50 28.71  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SCR  A P SWEETHEART               (corrigan jim)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SORORITYSWEETHEART by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  LOLLY POPPIN               (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
SCR  SMOKIN HOT STUFF               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NAPLES MIST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  STICKER SHOCKED               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRICE TOO HIGH by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SWAY HOUSE               (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN by BROKEN VOW)
 
CD-8   09/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OUTRAGEOUSLY 2 4 31½ 31½   1½ 12½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 ★ 3.16  
9  DE' ANS EIGHTY 8 8 75 64   44 22½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.00 69% 0.40 11.05 P
4  GLORIETTE 3 1 1½ 1½   2½ 32½ (shorter aaron)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 ★ 1.81 S
6  PROMISES TO DANCE 5 5 2½ 2½   32½ 42¾ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 12.95  
8  OUR LIBERTY BELLE 7 9 108½ 910½   77 53¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 1.84  
11  SASSY AND BOLD 10 2 63½ 53½   64½ 63¾ (knippenberg br)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
7  SHE'S NO ANGEL 6 3 42 42   54 76½ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 32.15  
10  PROGENY 9 10 97 77   89½ 813¼ (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 50.79  
5  HONEY HAULER 4 7 85½ 89½   912 921¾ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 121 20.00 68.86  
1  CHIEF LADY 1 6 53½ 1010½   1014 1029¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 64.61  
SCR  MAZOKU               (butcher )RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINE VINO 1 9 94 63½ 34½ 2½ 18½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 ★ 3.53  
6  NO MOR STONES 6 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 1½ 28½ (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.56 P
8  HARBE 8 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 31 311½ (crichton roh)TORRES A 120 5.00 ★ 7.13 S
4  CINISTER CIX 4 10 104 74 67½ 45½ 413½ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 7.79  
9  PENEI 9 12 127½ 129½ 810½ 79 516¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 24.30  
3  HELM PLACE 3 1 61¾ 32 57½ 68 617 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5.01  
10  SEVEN TAYLORS 10 6 31 52½ 46 57 717¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 13.71  
7  SOUTHERN BULLET 7 8 83¾ 85½ 911 89 817¼ (begley greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00 ######  
2  STEEL VENOM 2 5 114½ 119 1013½ 1013½ 922 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 55% 0.80 6.95  
11  RICH VINO 11 7 72¼ 97 1114½ 913 1023½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 8.52  
5  RYU MO 5 4 51¾ 42 710 1114 1127¼ (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 35.39  
12  PRIMO CANARY 12 11 41½ 108½ 1220½ 1220½ 1237 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 28.52  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.