Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-6   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.00 $1.00 25%
CD-7   EXA (1/11/12/6)-(1/11/10/12/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-12 $34.12 $2.12 7%
    DD (4/7)-(1/11/12/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-1 $9.38 $1.38 17%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKLYNN DREW   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 35% 1.90 0.87 W
MISTY MUPPET   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00 19% 4.30 3.59 P
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY   (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 15.07  
STREAKING   (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00 22.18  
FANCY FASCINATOR   (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 6.00 30.56  
MUSICAL PRAYER   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 20% 4.00 6.06  
ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY   (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.89  
MINK STOLE   (martinez ral)TORRES A 121 6.00 8.57  
 
CD-2   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAPE NOTE   (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 27% 2.70 3.07 W
TURN UP THE TREES   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 24% 3.20 0.93 P
BUSK   (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 1.00 1.51  
MINE OWN STAR   (elliott michel)ROMAN A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 35.42  
READY TO ROLL (IRE)   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 38.12  
SCR  MISTER KELLY   (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 121 20.00    
SCR  SERGEANT GUMP   (decker a)RODRIGUEZ A 123 30.00    
SCR  SPYCRAFT   (manley steve)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 16% 5.40    
 
CD-3   09/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURT OF APPEAL   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 3.42  
CONSEQUENTIAL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.27  
TINGUS PINGUS   (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.50 5.79  
STOLEN POWER   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.84  
FEDERAL AGENT   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.26  
OFF THE DECK   (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 15% 5.70 4.41  
COSMIC COLLISSION   (cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00 71.67  
BAGG O TIME   (vance d)LANERIE J 119 12.00 15% 5.90 25.54  
SCR  TRAPPED IN TIME (IRE)   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIP MAHONEY   (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122 6.00 27% 2.70 2.35 W
SALTWATER COWBOY   (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 3.04 P
THE THUNDERER   (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00 8.03  
10  CRITICAL THREAT   (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 12% 7.30 11.81  
WINSTON WOLF   (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
11  SIR SAFFER   (wittek k)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 10.56  
TEXAS RED HOT   (morse l)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.28  
ALEJANDRO   (cash l)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.81  
MASTER GAME   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6.24  
SCR  COOL RAGS   (salas marc)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 30.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
 
CD-5   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOT'S LAW   (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 15.19  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BODEBABE by BODEMEISTER)
NOROOMFORMISCHIEF   (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 29% 2.40 7.89 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
SUDDEN SQUALL   (west w)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.65 S
  (by VOLATILE out of SKY GESTURE by TIZNOW)
CLICK   (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 17.44  
  (by TOMAHAWK out of FANTASTIC ALLIE by GHAZI)
10  TRAPPED   (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 87.52  
  (by TACITUS out of EAST COAST SWING by EXCHANGE RATE)
LISTENTOURMOTHER   (hillyard ashley)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.06  
  (by CONNECT out of PETUNIA by CHIEF SINGER)
G ROCKS   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 24.80  
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of CIDDY'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SACRED PRAYER   (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 10.59  
  (by YAUPON out of PINKABOO by BERNARDINI)
11  CORBET'S CRUSH   (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.50 2.56  
  (by VOLATILE out of QIAONA by WILKO)
FADE TO GOLD   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 41% 1.40 1.96  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SHORT IRON by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  LOVELY SUMMER   (esquivel jes)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 79.83  
  (by UNUSUAL HEAT out of LOVELY PET by DEVIL'S BAG)
SCR  CREVALLA DE VIL   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of LADY STARDUST by UNION RAGS)
SCR  JETTY'S HOME   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00    
  (by ENTICED out of LOVELY GIRL by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  STATUTORY   (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of AGREEABLE MISS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SUPERSONIC AGENDA   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of CONCORD ECLIPSE by TIZNOW)
 
CD-6   09/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S GESTURE   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50 27% 2.70 1.50 W
REMI'S MOON   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 1.43  
RAVENS DREAM   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 7.33  
MORAL   (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 30% 2.30 2.54  
SCR  MAJOR DAX   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
SCR  NORWICH   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE WILLIAM   (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
 
CD-7   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND LUXX   (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 62% 0.60 1.70 W
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MY GIRL by IN REALITY (GB))
12  ENDLESS GLORY   (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.61 P
  (by NYQUIST out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
MIGHTY NORA   (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 17.79  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HOOPS RIVALRY   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 3.59  
  (by KNICKS GO out of CELTIC CHANT by SONGANDAPRAYER)
BY LA RINA   (deegan joseph)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 48.01  
  (by ECHO TOWN out of GATEAU ST HONORE by DON GATO)
FREAKS GO   (crichton )TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.41  
  (by KNICKS GO out of STORMY SKY by SKY MESA)
10  IT AIN'T LIKE THAT   (esquivel jes)TORRES A 119 4.00 8.72  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of COACH LORI by CAIRO PRINCE)
QUEEN OF QUEENS   (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 16.69  
  (by KING OF KINGS (IRE) out of NUMBERONEDANCE by TREMPOLINO)
HAPPY KEIRA   (diodoro robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 42.28  
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
11  STELLA GUITAR   (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 12% 7.50 28.71  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SCR  A P SWEETHEART   (corrigan jim)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SORORITYSWEETHEART by DISCREETLY MINE)
SCR  LOLLY POPPIN   (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
SCR  SMOKIN HOT STUFF   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NAPLES MIST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  STICKER SHOCKED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRICE TOO HIGH by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SWAY HOUSE   (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN by BROKEN VOW)
 
CD-8   09/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTRAGEOUSLY   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 3.16  
DE' ANS EIGHTY   (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.00 69% 0.40 11.05 P
GLORIETTE   (shorter aaron)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 1.81 S
PROMISES TO DANCE   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 12.95  
OUR LIBERTY BELLE   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 1.84  
11  SASSY AND BOLD   (knippenberg br)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
SHE'S NO ANGEL   (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 32.15  
10  PROGENY   (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 50.79  
HONEY HAULER   (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 121 20.00 68.86  
CHIEF LADY   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 15.00 64.61  
SCR  MAZOKU   (butcher )RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINE VINO   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 3.53  
NO MOR STONES   (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.56 P
HARBE   (crichton roh)TORRES A 120 5.00 7.13 S
CINISTER CIX   (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 7.79  
PENEI   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 24.30  
HELM PLACE   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5.01  
10  SEVEN TAYLORS   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 8.00 13.71  
SOUTHERN BULLET   (begley greg)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00 ######  
STEEL VENOM   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 55% 0.80 6.95  
11  RICH VINO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 8.52  
RYU MO   (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 35.39  
12  PRIMO CANARY   (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 28.52  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.