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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-3			WIN	(5/4/7/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$33.62			$25.62				320%
			EXA	(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	4-7		$403.06			$379.06				1579%
			TRI	(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)						24	$0.50	$12.00	4-7-3		$1101			$1089				9078%
CD-4			WIN	(1/4/7/10/8)						5	$2.00	$10.00	7		$11.42			$1.42				14%
			DD	(5/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/10/8)						20	$1.00	$20.00	4-7		$83.43			$63.43				317%
CD-6			WIN	(1/9/10/8/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$28.64			$18.64				186%
CD-7			EXA	(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/8/1)						16	$2.00	$32.00	6-8		$58.58			$26.58				83%
			DD	(1/9/10/8/5)-(3/6/5/1)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-6		$71.03			$51.03				255%
CD-9			TRI	(6/4/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5)						48	$0.50	$24.00	4-6-3		$24.73			$0.73				3%
CD-10			EXA	(1/7/2/5/4)-(1/7/2/5/4)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-2		$62.34			$22.34				56%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/28/2025		4950ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	REMI'S MOON									(jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121						2.50		44%		1.30		1.01	W
1	BERMUDA BLITZ									(hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 118						4.00		25%		3.00		1.76	P
3	SUMMONYOURCOURAGE									(esquivel jesu)MORALES EDGAR 121						3.50						4.92
2	KILLJOY									(mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.00						5.93
6	GRAND ASPEN									(logsdon q)CANNON DECLAN 121						15.00		9%		9.60		23.29
SCR	LURED AWAY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.00

CD-2			09/28/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($32K)					Purse ($71K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	PAIR OF SOCKS									(stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 118						3.50						3.51
4	BEBEDOURO									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121						6.00						5.85
1	COUPERIN									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121						10.00		16%		5.30		23.66	S
7	BUSHIDO									(jacobson )TORRES A 121						2.50		32%		2.10		2.24
3	GILDED RULER									(cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121						5.00						5.29
6	AMERICAN XPERIMENT									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00		16%		5.30		2.41
5	NABOKOV									(foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						10.00		5%		19.00		21.31

CD-3			09/28/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($20K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	WELAKA									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						3.00		17%		4.90		15.81	W
7	ALTERNATE REALITY									(sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 122						12.00		11%		7.90		24.84	P
3	DANCE SOME MO									(van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						12.00		5%		19.00		30.73	S
8	PAPA YO									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124						5.00						8.18
5	GILMORE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.50		38%		1.60		1.63
1	UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL									(kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122						4.00						11.21
6	BRAZENLY									(walden willia)ORTIZ JR 122						4.50						1.00
2	GREERS FERRY									(santamaria c)GEROUX FLORENT 122						20.00						67.37

CD-4			09/28/2025		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	STORM'S WAKE									(lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 117						4.50		16%		5.30		4.71	W
2	HONEY DUTCH									(beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 122						5.00						3.12
8	MY STUBBORN LASSIE									(eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 117						8.00		5%		19.00		9.14	S
10	EAST VILLAGE									(mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 122						15.00		5%		18.70		7.71
4	EASY WIND (CHI)									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.00		22%		3.50		4.97
6	VULCAN'S BOOTS									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						12.00						24.61
3	SWAMP KING									(hiles jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 122						5.00						14.17
1	JUDICIAL REVIEW									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.00		35%		1.90		2.43
5	SMOLS									(munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120						30.00						55.00
SCR	SHAKE AND RATTLE									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120						15.00

CD-5			09/28/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($45K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	TRES SOLES									(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122						2.50						1.53
7	EMBER									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						6.00		21%		3.80		8.65	P
8	CANDY NUN									(lobo h)ROMAN A 122						3.50		26%		2.80		2.59	S
4	CATEGORY TEN									(hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 122						6.00		11%		8.10		8.63
9	SITTIN ON GO									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122						15.00						24.08
5	NOAHS ARK (IRE)									(norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122						30.00						34.94
6	ICARUS									(van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						5.00						12.99
2	PAYNTER'S CANVAS									(lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122						15.00		5%		19.00		31.36
1	SANT' ANTIMO									(esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						5.00		12%		7.10		5.13

CD-6			09/28/2025		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($57K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	YOU BELONG HERE									(nihei mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121						6.00		43%		1.30		13.32	W
4	KY DO DECLARE									(hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121						10.00						7.71
3	HARBOR PRINCE									(drur)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121						8.00						24.40
7	DU MONDE									(hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 124						12.00						72.71
2	BIG ROG									(king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121						12.00						17.03
8	CAMPAIGN TRAIL									(foster eric)TORRES A 121						4.00		5%		19.00		6.09
5	MUBAREZ									(simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121						20.00		5%		19.00		44.28
9	HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS									(hess b)ORTIZ JR 121						3.50		23%		3.40		3.33
10	MISTER BANDERAS									(medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						3.00		11%		8.50		1.14
6	MAJOR MACK									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124						12.00						15.82

CD-7			09/28/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($150K)					Purse ($75K)			2		F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	TIZMATIC									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00						3.37	DQ↓3
6	PRACTICALLY FAMOUS									(lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119						4.00		25%		2.90		2.95	W
8	GRAZIE PREGO									(stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00		★				8.23	P
3	DIVA CALLING									(garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 119						6.00		39%		1.50		11.51
11	EASY KISS									(asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119						6.00						2.71
5	DON'TMINDIFIDO									(casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119						4.50		12%		7.10		5.66
9	BECTIVE ABBEY									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119						15.00						45.44
4	RED RAINBOW									(wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 119						20.00						48.80
10	MARE'S MUSIC									(ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						36.59
1	MURIEL SAX									(bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 119						12.00		5%		19.00		17.40
SCR	BET THE GRAY									(amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						5.00
SCR	LINKED UP									(stewart d)TORRES A 119						12.00

CD-8			09/28/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MOONLIGHT									(block chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						4.00						5.68
6	THIS IS USCAR									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122						4.50						4.71
4	NOT THIS BOY									(cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122						1.20		44%		1.30		0.95	S
2	KUPUNA									(calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						10.00		17%		4.80		7.83
1	KING RUSSELL									(moquett rona)TORRES A 124						10.00						29.31
3	CATCHING FREEDOM									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 122						3.00		★				3.33

CD-9			09/28/2025		5610ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($134K)			3		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	DAY AND AGE									(casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118						2.50		28%		2.60		2.15	W
6	FOLIGNO									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.50		45%		1.20		8.87	P
3	MESERO									(romans dale)CURTIS BEN 118						3.00		★				1.96	S
2	SHOW OF FORCE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						6.00						5.52
5	COCO COOL									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						8.00		5%		19.00		8.51
7	JUST A FAIR SHAKE									(mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						10.00						19.77
9	MISSION IMPROBABLE									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						27.56
8	OPTICAL									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118						10.00		5%		19.00		10.19
1	INNATELY GOOD									(goodwin g)JUAREZ NIK 118						15.00						37.93

CD-10			09/28/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	INCREDIBOLT									(mott riley)TORRES A 119						4.50		34%		2.00		2.04	W
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
2	CARSON STREET									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00		14%		5.90		16.04	P
		(by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6	SARTORIAL									(arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 119						12.00						35.63
		(by CHARISMATIC out of ACCESSORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
7	VAPORETTI									(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.00		31%		2.20		0.93
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of LIDO by STREET CRY)
10	WICKED GUN									(asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						10.00						20.82
		(by GUN RUNNER out of MAYBE WICKED by MIZZEN MAST)
4	SAUDI PANTHER									(mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119						15.00		5%		19.00		9.24
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5	GRACED									(sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119						8.00		5%		19.00		21.88
		(by DISTANT VIEW out of UFFIZI (ARG) by CIPAYO (ARG))
9	LARGE RISK									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00						12.25
		(by VOLATILE out of ANABRANCH by CONGAREE)
8	MOUNTAIN GRANDEUR									(kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119						10.00						48.88
		(by MAXFIELD out of ROVENNA by VRONSKY)
SCR	TIME TO STRIKE									(casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119						5.00
		(by STRIKE GOLD out of TIME TO GET LUCKY by SOMETHINGFABULOUS)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.