Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (5/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $33.62 $25.62 320%
    EXA (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-7 $403.06 $379.06 1579%
    TRI (5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3)-(5/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-7-3 $1101 $1089 9078%
CD-4   WIN (1/4/7/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $11.42 $1.42 14%
    DD (5/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-7 $83.43 $63.43 317%
CD-6   WIN (1/9/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $28.64 $18.64 186%
CD-7   EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/8/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-8 $58.58 $26.58 83%
    DD (1/9/10/8/5)-(3/6/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-6 $71.03 $51.03 255%
CD-9   TRI (6/4/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5)-(6/4/3/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-6-3 $24.73 $0.73 3%
CD-10   EXA (1/7/2/5/4)-(1/7/2/5/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-2 $62.34 $22.34 56%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/28/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:101 1:221   1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REMI'S MOON 4 2 2½ 2½   11½ 15½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 44% 1.30 1.01 W
1  BERMUDA BLITZ 1 5 55 53½   43½ 25½ (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00 25% 3.00 1.76 P
3  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 3 3 42 31½   33 35½ (esquivel jesu)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 4.92  
2  KILLJOY 2 1 1½ 1½   21½ 45¾ (mcgee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 5.93  
6  GRAND ASPEN 5 4 32 42½   513½ 526½ (logsdon q)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 9% 9.60 23.29  
SCR  LURED AWAY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAIR OF SOCKS 2 3 32 42½   31½ 11 (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 3.51  
4  BEBEDOURO 4 4 54 2½   1½ 21 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 6.00 5.85  
1  COUPERIN 1 7 75 74   43½ 32½ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00 16% 5.30 23.66 S
7  BUSHIDO 7 1 11 1½   2½ 44¾ (jacobson )TORRES A 121 2.50 32% 2.10 2.24  
3  GILDED RULER 3 2 64½ 64   54½ 56½ (cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 5.29  
6  AMERICAN XPERIMENT 6 6 42 53½   76½ 610¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.41  
5  NABOKOV 5 5 21 31½   66 711½ (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 21.31  
 
CD-3   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:104 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WELAKA 4 7 87 87¾ 75¼ 72¾ 1nk (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 17% 4.90 15.81 W
7  ALTERNATE REALITY 7 6 54 65 63¼ 41½ 2nk (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 11% 7.90 24.84 P
3  DANCE SOME MO 3 1 21½ 23½ 31½ 3½ 31½ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 30.73 S
8  PAPA YO 8 2 32½ 44 21½ 2½ 41¾ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 124 5.00 8.18  
5  GILMORE 5 4 65 54½ 53 52 52¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.63  
1  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL 1 3 11½ 13½ 11½ 1½ 62½ (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 122 4.00 11.21  
6  BRAZENLY 6 5 43 34 42 62½ 74½ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 1.00  
2  GREERS FERRY 2 8 77 77½ 86¼ 85¾ 816¾ (santamaria c)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 67.37  
 
CD-4   09/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:11 1:231   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STORM'S WAKE 7 7 77 98¾ 710 65¾ 1nk (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 117 4.50 16% 5.30 4.71 W
2  HONEY DUTCH 2 1 12½ 13½ 17 14½ 2nk (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 3.12  
8  MY STUBBORN LASSIE 8 2 55½ 76½ 58½ 24½ 3.15 (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00 5% 19.00 9.14 S
10  EAST VILLAGE 9 8 87 66½ 69 35 41¾ (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 5% 18.70 7.71  
4  EASY WIND (CHI) 4 3 34 34½ 48½ 76¾ 52 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 22% 3.50 4.97  
6  VULCAN'S BOOTS 6 9 98 88½ 810½ 87¼ 64¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 12.00 24.61  
3  SWAMP KING 3 6 44½ 45 37½ 45 74¾ (hiles jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 14.17  
1  JUDICIAL REVIEW 1 5 22½ 23½ 27 55¼ 813¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 35% 1.90 2.43  
5  SMOLS 5 4 66 56 912½ 912¾ 915¾ (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 30.00 55.00  
SCR  SHAKE AND RATTLE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/28/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRES SOLES 3 2 21 21 2nk 12 12¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 1.53  
7  EMBER 7 4 96 95¾ 64½ 53½ 22¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 21% 3.80 8.65 P
8  CANDY NUN 8 5 32 41½ 3½ 22 32¼ (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.80 2.59 S
4  CATEGORY TEN 4 1 42½ 53 42½ 42½ 44½ (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.10 8.63  
9  SITTIN ON GO 9 9 74½ 74¼ 54 66½ 55½ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 15.00 24.08  
5  NOAHS ARK (IRE) 5 3 11 11 1nk 32 66¼ (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 34.94  
6  ICARUS 6 7 85½ 85¼ 88 78 77 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 12.99  
2  PAYNTER'S CANVAS 2 6 64 63¼ 76 88½ 810 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.36  
1  SANT' ANTIMO 1 8 52½ 31½ 98½ 940½ 9100 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 5.00 12% 7.10 5.13  
 
CD-6   09/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:114     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU BELONG HERE 1 8 96¾ 76¾   11 13½ (nihei mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 6.00 43% 1.30 13.32 W
4  KY DO DECLARE 4 9 64¼ 65¾   42½ 23½ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 121 10.00 7.71  
3  HARBOR PRINCE 3 10 86¾ 108¾   32 33¾ (drur)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 8.00 24.40  
7  DU MONDE 7 3 53¾ 55½   83¼ 44¼ (hill f)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 12.00 72.71  
2  BIG ROG 2 6 109¼ 98¾   94¾ 55¾ (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121 12.00 17.03  
8  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 8 1 3.2 31½   21 68½ (foster eric)TORRES A 121 4.00 5% 19.00 6.09  
5  MUBAREZ 5 4 42¼ 42   53 710½ (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 44.28  
9  HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS 9 5 1nk 1nk   63 811¼ (hess b)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 23% 3.40 3.33  
10  MISTER BANDERAS 10 2 2nk 2nk   73¼ 915 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 11% 8.50 1.14  
6  MAJOR MACK 6 7 74¾ 87¾   109¾ 1018½ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 15.82  
 
CD-7   09/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIZMATIC 6 7 52 41½   21 1½ (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 3.37 DQ↓3
6  PRACTICALLY FAMOUS 5 3 2½ 1nk   11 2½ (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.00 25% 2.90 2.95 W
8  GRAZIE PREGO 7 1 42 52½   42 3½ (stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★ 8.23 P
3  DIVA CALLING 2 5 1½ 2nk   31½ 43¾ (garcia genaro)CEDILLO ABEL 119 6.00 39% 1.50 11.51  
11  EASY KISS 10 4 31 31   52½ 54¼ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 2.71  
5  DON'TMINDIFIDO 4 6 95¼ 75¾   65 64½ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 12% 7.10 5.66  
9  BECTIVE ABBEY 8 8 73¾ 85¾   76½ 78 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 15.00 45.44  
4  RED RAINBOW 3 10 1020¼ 1014¾   1012½ 812½ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 48.80  
10  MARE'S MUSIC 9 9 83¾ 98¼   910½ 915¾ (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 36.59  
1  MURIEL SAX 1 2 62¼ 62¾   87½ 1017 (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
SCR  BET THE GRAY               (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  LINKED UP               (stewart d)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   09/28/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOONLIGHT 5 5 64¾ 62¾ 63½ 23 11¼ (block chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 5.68  
6  THIS IS USCAR 6 3 2nk 1nk 12 13 21¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 4.71  
4  NOT THIS BOY 4 2 1nk 2nk 22 33 33½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 1.20 44% 1.30 0.95 S
2  KUPUNA 2 6 41¾ 41¼ 43 43¼ 44¼ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 17% 4.80 7.83  
1  KING RUSSELL 1 4 31½ 31 32½ 57¼ 512½ (moquett rona)TORRES A 124 10.00 29.31  
3  CATCHING FREEDOM 3 1 52¼ 51¼ 53½ 68¾ 614¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 ★ 3.33  
 
CD-9   09/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:14 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DAY AND AGE 4 1 11 11 11 1nk 1¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.15 W
6  FOLIGNO 6 4 21 21 21 2nk 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 45% 1.20 8.87 P
3  MESERO 3 5 85¼ 84½ 53 43½ 31½ (romans dale)CURTIS BEN 118 3.00 ★ 1.96 S
2  SHOW OF FORCE 2 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 33 43 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 5.52  
5  COCO COOL 5 8 75 74½ 85 55 55 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.51  
7  JUST A FAIR SHAKE 7 2 42½ 42 41½ 65½ 69½ (mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 19.77  
9  MISSION IMPROBABLE 9 7 95¼ 95 95½ 88 79¾ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 27.56  
8  OPTICAL 8 9 53½ 63½ 74 77½ 810½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.19  
1  INNATELY GOOD 1 6 63½ 53 63½ 914½ 926 (goodwin g)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 37.93  
 
CD-10   09/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:104 1:232   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCREDIBOLT 1 6 32½ 31½ 33 2nk 12 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 4.50 34% 2.00 2.04 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  CARSON STREET 2 1 1½ 11 11½ 1nk 22 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 14% 5.90 16.04 P
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  SARTORIAL 5 5 66½ 66 57½ 45½ 35 (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 35.63  
  (by CHARISMATIC out of ACCESSORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
7  VAPORETTI 6 2 2½ 21 21½ 32½ 45¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 31% 2.20 0.93  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIDO by STREET CRY)
10  WICKED GUN 9 4 53½ 42½ 45 56½ 511¼ (asmussen st)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 20.82  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAYBE WICKED by MIZZEN MAST)
4  SAUDI PANTHER 3 9 88 78 710½ 610 613 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.24  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  GRACED 4 8 98½ 910½ 814½ 714½ 718½ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 21.88  
  (by DISTANT VIEW out of UFFIZI (ARG) by CIPAYO (ARG))
9  LARGE RISK 8 3 42½ 52½ 610 817 827½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 12.25  
  (by VOLATILE out of ANABRANCH by CONGAREE)
8  MOUNTAIN GRANDEUR 7 7 77½ 88½ 919½ 925 946 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 10.00 48.88  
  (by MAXFIELD out of ROVENNA by VRONSKY)
SCR  TIME TO STRIKE               (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
  (by STRIKE GOLD out of TIME TO GET LUCKY by SOMETHINGFABULOUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.