Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    DD (7/2/3/1)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $29.60 $17.60 147%
CD-5   WIN (5/9/1/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $11.54 $1.54 15%
    TRI (5/9/1/4/2)-(5/9/1/4/6/2)-(5/9/1/4/6/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00  5-9-1 $60.64 $10.64 21%
    SFT (5/9/1/4/2)-(5/9/1/4/6/2)-(5/9/1/4/6/2)-(5/9/1/4/6/2) 300 $0.10 $30.00  5-9-1-2 $99.47 $69.47 232%
CD-7   TRI (1/9/5/6)-(1/9/3/5/6)-(1/9/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  9-1-6 $47.96 $23.96 100%
CD-8   TRI (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3/8/2)-(1/5/4/3/8/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-8-2 $57.63 $17.63 44%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($69K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:124 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LES IS BEST 6 6 68½ 66 52¾ 11½ 11¾ (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 43% 1.30 2.33 W
4  MCKINZIE'S GLORY 4 1 35½ 43 63¾ 43½ 21¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 7.77  
6  RISKY WAVE 5 3 56½ 54½ 42½ 33½ 32½ (arnold ge)TORRES A 120 4.00 6.67  
2  RUNNING GAME 2 4 22 22 1nk 21½ 44¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 29% 2.40 0.93  
8  ADDED TOUCH 7 5 46½ 33 31½ 64¾ 57¼ (oliver vict)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 35.31  
1  SEVENON 1 2 12 12 2nk 53¾ 611 (holsapple hu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00 5% 19.00 27.13  
3  STORMIN' NANCY 3 7 711 78½ 711¾ 717¾ 740 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.23  
SCR  LINDY CAN               (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ARGAN 4 1 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 12% 7.20 4.50 W
7  JUST AN OPINION 6 2 2½ 2½   2½ 21 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 0.85  
2  INTO GOLDEN ROAD 1 6 63½ 66   56½ 37¾ (coontz ar)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 22.19  
6  ELLIOTT MOON 5 4 52½ 42½   46 410¾ (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 49.72  
3  STARCOURT 2 3 32 32½   35 512½ (roberson dennis)LANERIE J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.47  
4  SOHANA 3 5 42½ 53   67½ 621 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 60% 0.70 1.81  
SCR  ST. ALBANS RAID               (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00    
 
CD-3   09/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WEAPONIZED 5 4 42½ 62¾ 2½ 1nk 1nk (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 5.14  
1  GLOBAL QUOTE 1 6 65 52½ 52½ 31 2nk (tomlinson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 2.79  
7  GLOBALIST 6 5 1½ 1nk 1½ 2nk 31½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 67% 0.50 2.64 S
5  EMPIRE RANCH 4 3 31½ 31½ 41 42 43½ (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.83  
2  WHERE Y'AT 2 2 2½ 2nk 31 52½ 58½ (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 11.62  
4  FLY GUY MICK 3 1 54½ 42 63 65 615¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 3.50 1.55  
SCR  VINO DOMINUS               (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIUZZA 2 2 32 31½   11 16½ (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.84  
8  CURRENT CLIMATE 6 3 21 2½   21 26½ (foster er)TORRES A 121 6.00 7.12  
9  ALWAYS ANGELS 7 7 63½ 53   44 39 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 6.69  
3  ANTIQUE SILVER 3 1 11 1½   32½ 413½ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.63  
6  STORY HOUR 4 4 74 76   67½ 513¾ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00 26.88  
7  BOURBON BREEZE 5 6 42½ 41½   56 618¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 36% 1.80 3.38  
10  J RIVERS 8 5 52½ 64½   79 722¼ (jacobson david)LANERIE J 121 8.00 10% 9.40 8.02  
1  CANDY LOVER 1 8 813½ 821   817 830 (mcgee paul)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 18% 4.60 4.75  
SCR  ASIAN MATRIARCH               (sweezey j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
 
CD-5   09/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:104     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COUNTING STARS 5 9 31 41½   21 14 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 37% 1.70 4.77 W
  (by BIG DADDY CARTEL out of STARS IN MY EYE by MR EYE OPENER)
9  FASHION DESIGNER 9 3 2½ 1½   11 24 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 22% 3.50 3.67 P
  (by ISLAND WHIRL out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  HONFLEUR 1 12 104¾ 84¾   65½ 35¾ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 12% 7.70 9.10 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COWORTH PARK by LEA)
2  THEORETICAL 2 6 62½ 63¾   44½ 47¾ (casse norm )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.76  
  (by NYQUIST out of SHYSHEISNOT by TRIBAL RULE)
4  LETS SHANCE IT 4 4 1½ 2½   32 58 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 7% 13.00 38.50  
  (by SHANCELOT out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
12  MY GLENDA FAYE 12 2 41½ 31½   54½ 69 (stewart d)TORRES A 119 15.00 24.23  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAKE CHARGE GLENDA by TAPIT)
6  SOARING HIGH 6 5 52½ 53½   76 710¼ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 ★ 2.58  
  (by CURLIN out of SONGBIRD by TALC)
8  COCO CONNECT 8 10 125½ 116¾   87½ 812 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 27.05  
  (by CONNECT out of MISS CHANEL by COMMISSIONER)
7  JACKIE BLUE 7 8 83¾ 105¾   99 916¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 17.05  
  (by KNICKS GO out of BACK UP THE BRINKS by TIZNOW)
11  FUNNY BUNNY 11 11 115 95¾   109½ 1017¼ (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 6.01  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TAP OF THE DAY by PULPIT)
10  QUALITY AMI 10 7 72¾ 74¼   1110½ 1120 (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 11.75  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of GALLOPING AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  JUNO PALACE 3 1 93¾ 1211¼   1217½ 1236¾ (donjuan s)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00 90.57  
  (by COLLECTED out of GITTEL by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  BELLA BALLERINA               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRETTY CITY DANCER by TAPIT)
SCR  ELITE               (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN GEAR out of LADY THEODORA by MARI'S BOOK)
SCR  ESSENTIAL COFFEE               (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TAM TAM               (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CD-6   09/25/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:15 1:392 2:024 2:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZVEREV 3 1½ 2½ 1nk 1½ 2½ 11 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 3.49  
8  COMMON DEFENSE 5 2½ 1½ 2nk 2½ 1½ 21 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 30% 2.30 0.54 P
4  DAUNT 1 53½ 53 43½ 32 43 35 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.24 S
7  BIG TO DO 4 31 31½ 32½ 42½ 33 45¼ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00 24.32  
5  BARRICADE 2 42½ 43 54 54½ 56 514½ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00 28% 2.60 3.70  
SCR  CAROLO RAPIDO               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU               (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
SCR  MOUNT RUNDLE               (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00    
 
CD-7   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:114 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NAVAJO WARRIOR 9 8 77¼ 77½ 63 31½ 1¾ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 32% 2.10 3.08 W
1  HOP SING 1 3 2nk 21 2nk 1½ 2¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 43% 1.30 2.22 P
6  COALMOON 6 9 99¾ 910 75½ 63¼ 31¼ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.75 S
7  FORT NELSON 7 1 1nk 11 1nk 2½ 43 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 5.40  
5  FIRST PLAYER 5 5 87¾ 87½ 87½ 75¼ 53¼ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.48  
3  MAXIMUM PROMISE 3 2 42¼ 42½ 3½ 41½ 63¼ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 ★ 3.18  
2  JONATHAN'S SONG 2 6 32 32 41½ 51¾ 75½ (bauer philip )MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 19.01  
8  DE' MEDICI 8 7 52¾ 54 52 87¾ 818¼ (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 60.41  
4  WHISKEY SHOT 4 4 65¼ 65½ 99 917¾ 944 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 10.43  
 
CD-8   09/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLAX 1 2 74 75¼ 64¾ 1nk 13¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 54% 0.80 0.84 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
8  UP COUNTRY 8 3 21 21½ 2½ 2nk 23¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 ★ 11.37 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of A P LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
2  MONEY MAN 2 12 1213 910¾ 75¾ 33½ 35 (heath des)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00 ★ 37.51 S
  (by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
12  CRISIS MANAGER 12 6 31½ 32½ 43 54½ 45¾ (amoss thomas )ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 21.21  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WILBURNMONEY by WILBURN)
4  SIXTYSEVEN MUSTANG 4 5 53 53 33 44 56½ (anderson doug)BACON W 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.56  
  (by VEKOMA out of FIRE OF FREEDOM by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  SHALLUS 3 9 97 87¾ 88¼ 76½ 610¾ (labra rogeli)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
11  BISOU 11 11 1111½ 1111¾ 1012¼ 811 717 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 36.37  
  (by CURLIN out of MIDNIGHT BISOU by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
7  VOULEZVOUS 7 7 63½ 65 98¼ 912½ 819¾ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 68.17  
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENCHANTE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  WOODSON 6 4 11 11½ 1½ 66 921½ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 13.78  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of A P MINK by A.P. INDY)
10  MY BOY ROCKET 10 8 87 1010¾ 1216¾ 1218 1025½ (stall m)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 38.91  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of O' TOOLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  MONOPOLI 9 10 109 1213¼ 1114¼ 1117 1126 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 21.60  
  (by CURLIN out of AMERICA'S STARLET by CONCORD POINT)
5  MATINEE IDOL 5 1 42 43 53¼ 1014 1230¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.64  
  (by STAR PROGRAMMER out of PRISSY PRISCILLA by BELIEVE THE QUEEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.