Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   EXA (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $95.70 $71.70 299%
ELP-4   WIN (1/10/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $36.60 $28.60 358%
    EXA (1/10/7/6)-(1/10/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-1 $131.94 $107.94 450%
    DD (8/4/7/6)-(1/10/7/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-6 $252.70 $220.70 690%
ELP-5   WIN (1/2/4/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $13.58 $3.58 36%
    DD (1/10/7/6)-(1/2/4/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $170.42 $130.42 326%
    PK3 (8/4/7/6)-(1/10/7/6)-(1/2/4/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-6-4 $233.06 $193.06 483%
ELP-7   EXA (7/3/6/12)-(7/3/8/12/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-6 $89.82 $57.82 181%
    TRI (7/3/6/12)-(7/3/8/12/6)-(7/3/8/12/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-6-8 $143.02 $119.02 496%
ELP-8   TRI (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-8-5 $23.08 $11.08 92%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SKYNET 4 2 2½ 1½   12½ 13¾ (barrett rod)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 6.00 3.95  
2  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC 2 7 63 42   33½ 23¾ (stinson will)BARBOSA CARLOS 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.28 P
6  TOM CAT TUESDAY 6 5 73 32   43½ 35¼ (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 5.60  
5  RESTLESS RENEGADE 5 4 31½ 2½   22½ 45¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50 22% 3.50 1.59  
3  CINISTER CIX 3 3 42 52¼   54 58 (brisset rodo)TORRES A 119 3.00 13.30  
1  WHEN SMOKEY SINGS 1 6 52½ 76¼   79 613¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 48% 1.10 2.10  
8  CHARLIE TOLU 7 1 1½ 62¼   66½ 716 (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.85  
SCR  PORT PARTY               (cook devin)CANUTO THIAGO 124 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNTAMED MOMENT 1 4 42½ 42½   31 1¾ (fawkes david)LANERIE J 119 4.50 2.36  
  (by OUTWORK out of WILD MOMENT by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  QUICK TO CHARM 3 2 32 31   21 2¾ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 13% 6.90 2.03 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
6  TAVERNA 5 1 2½ 1½   11 32½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 61% 0.60 2.82 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EUROPEAN UNION by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  RETHINK 2 3 1½ 2½   42½ 48½ (brown c)TORRES A 119 5.00 5% 19.00 6.45  
  (by RAVEN'S PASS out of A CHANGE OF HEART by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MO COMPLEX 4 5 52½ 54   57 514¾ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 4.25  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MA MO by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ESTELLE'S DAY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
 
ELP-3   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHE'S NO ANGEL 8 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1½ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 30% 2.30 2.51 W
7  SWEET NOTE 7 5 32 2½   2½ 2½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 12% 7.20 13.27 P
1  APPEALING ADDIE 1 6 42 52   32 32½ (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 122 6.00 7.55  
2  MUSICAL PRAYER 2 4 52¼ 63½   64 43½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.50 7.12  
4  BROOKLYNN DREW 4 1 1½ 31   43 54¼ (contreras cipr)SAEZ GABRIEL 115 3.50 30% 2.40 1.81  
3  MOMBAYLA 3 8 88¼ 88   86 64¾ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 4.00 4.43  
6  BISA 6 3 75¼ 75½   76 76¼ (caramori ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 40.35  
5  FANCY FASCINATOR 5 7 63¼ 42   53½ 87¼ (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00 17.19  
 
ELP-4   08/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIZIANNA 3 5 21 2½   2½ 1¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30 W
1  AMAZING AMANDA 1 1 11 1½   1½ 2¾ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 43% 1.30 2.51 P
8  LISTENTOURMOTHER 5 4 52¾ 53   33½ 36¼ (hillyard )LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 8.89  
10  SWAY HOUSE 7 7 712¾ 713   68½ 410½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 0.93  
9  UNASSUMING 6 3 41¼ 31½   57½ 516 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 6.26  
2  FINAL SHIPMAN 2 2 31 42   47 618¼ (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 38.14  
7  FAYE'S GOLD 4 6 62¾ 65   710½ 720½ (moquett rona)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.72  
SCR  CREVALLA DE VIL               (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50    
SCR  MISS ROSSO               (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 12.00    
SCR  NO ARGUMENT               (hump)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:10 1:221   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY BLAKE 3 4 32½ 34 32½ 21 12½ (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 10% 8.70 5.79 W
5  BEACH BUNNY 4 2 11 1½ 1½ 11 22½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 6.09  
2  MANAGE XPECTATIONS 2 1 54½ 69½ 710½ 68 33½ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 17% 4.90 1.11 S
1  MUSTANG LADY 1 5 76½ 710 68½ 56½ 44 (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 123 4.00 32% 2.10 5.11  
7  FROSTED KISSES 6 6 65 58½ 58 46 54½ (west w)TORRES A 118 8.00 10% 9.20 14.54  
9  PURRING 8 8 88½ 811½ 810½ 89 67 (deville j)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00 41.31  
8  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP 7 3 21 2½ 2½ 33 77¾ (shaffer sarah )ELLIOTT JANE 123 12.00 10.37  
6  PULA 5 7 44 47 47½ 78 814¼ (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 7.86  
SCR  I'M A COOKIE LOVER               (kerrick lacy)LANERIE J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-6   08/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:103 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IRON SHARPENS IRON 6 8 79¾ 79¾ 54½ 2nk 12½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 ★ 4.40  
8  ANTHONIAN 7 5 2nk 1nk 11½ 1nk 22½ (morse ran)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 ★ 4.89 P
6  GOOGOL JOKE 5 4 43 43¾ 42½ 41½ 33¼ (medina robert)LANERIE J 123 8.00 11% 8.20 4.60 S
9  ARMY HERO 8 6 53¼ 65¼ 65½ 64 44¼ (manley s)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00 28% 2.50 13.28  
3  EXPRESS LINE (FR) 2 2 32 33½ 32 53½ 55¾ (forster gran)TORRES A 123 8.00 4.16  
5  GOOD MONEY 4 3 1nk 2nk 21½ 31 69 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 123 4.00 32% 2.10 3.08  
4  SPURGEON 3 7 810¾ 812¾ 812 79 713¼ (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00 8.48  
2  STRUMMIN 1 1 63¼ 54¾ 710 810½ 818¼ (hancock a)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 14.40  
SCR  COUNTTHEBRAVE               (jacobson davi)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
SCR  FARM TEAM               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 123 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  I'VE GOT THE HONEY 5 6 73¾ 73¾ 51¾ 12½ 13¾ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 47% 1.10 1.35 W
6  CLASSIC GLIDE 4 7 52 51¾ 61¾ 32½ 23¾ (medina robert)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.83 P
8  TEARIN'UP MY HEART 6 10 107¾ 106¼ 104¾ 74 36 (cox h)TORRES A 119 5.00 ★ 6.82 S
10  MY SECRET DREAMS 8 3 62¼ 62¼ 72¼ 53¾ 47½ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00 3.67  
9  BROADWAY MUSICAL 7 9 84¾ 83¾ 82¾ 63¾ 510¾ (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 18.67  
3  ALTA AVENUE 2 5 2nk 3½ 1nk 22½ 611 (cox h)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 26% 2.80 3.87  
12  SCREECHED IN 10 8 96¾ 95¾ 93¼ 85 712½ (kerrick lacy)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 69.10  
2  SPASTIC BID 1 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 42¾ 813 (jazdzewsk)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 63.30  
4  G G DARLING 3 4 3½ 2½ 4¾ 96½ 914½ (brisset rodo)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 6.00 18.57  
11  GIVEMETHEBEAT 9 2 41 4¾ 3.2 107 1015½ (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 20.00 12.17  
SCR  FROSTY FOR EVER               (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00    
SCR  RATHER LATE               (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($46.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:373   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHAT'S UP DOC 5 5 69 58½ 55 53½ 11¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 122 6.00 13% 6.80 2.86 W
8  HEY BOSS 7 7 711 79½ 65½ 32 21¼ (amoss m)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.44 P
5  EASTSIDE COOL 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 32¼ (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 16% 5.40 6.33 S
9  HAYES STRIKE 8 3 34½ 34½ 32½ 1½ 42¼ (ramirez-rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 10.99  
3  PIKE PLACE 2 4 47½ 48 44 42 53¼ (van t)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 6.59  
4  ONTHESTAGE 3 6 59 69½ 75¾ 75½ 66 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 6.00 8.30  
7  WINSTON WOLF 6 8 811½ 810½ 86¼ 65 76¾ (von donn)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.48  
1  BACKGROUND 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 88 811½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 6.00 23.39  
SCR  RUNWITHHEART               (holsapple hutch)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LEMON ZEST 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 13¼ (cox h)TORRES A 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.59 W
4  SERAPHIA 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 21 23¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 13.78  
1  VINO TIEMPO 1 2 57 55¾ 55¼ 53 33½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 6.00 8.29  
8  UNION MIST 5 4 42 41¾ 3.2 32 44 (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 6% 15.70 4.67  
3  ESPECIALLY 3 5 31½ 31½ 41¾ 42½ 55 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 32% 2.10 3.29  
SCR  BELLE OFTHE DANCE               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00    
SCR  COLONIAL ROSE               (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00    
SCR  SHARP SMILE               (cox h)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
 
ELP-10   08/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:112 1:35   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAGITTARIUS 6 6 52½ 53½ 32½ 31 11¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 123 4.50 6.36  
8  CATALINA CRUSH 7 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 21¼ (williams matt)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.00 ★ 4.10 P
1  FOUNTAIN RUN 1 3 31½ 31½ 2nk 2nk 31¼ (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 12.00 22% 3.60 4.08 S
2  ATLANTIC DANCER 2 5 76½ 85 55¼ 54 43¼ (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 123 2.00 48% 1.10 0.91  
9  ODORICO 8 2 42½ 43 42¾ 41½ 53½ (caramori ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 15.00 17.57  
4  GHOST PRINCE 4 7 64½ 75 65¾ 67 68¼ (quartarolo a)BARBOSA CARLOS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.28  
3  SPUNS SON 3 8 86¾ 64½ 78¼ 710 714 (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 20.00 35.79  
5  MAN OF QUALITY 5 4 21 21 89¾ 8100 8100 (martin dawn)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 38.21  
SCR  CHARBON               (deville carl )MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00    
SCR  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE               (hiles a)TORRES A 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.