Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.70 $13.70 228%
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $325.82 $307.82 1710%
CD-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $8.50 $4.50 113%
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-6 $49.25 $43.25 721%
CD-5   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.94 $8.94 112%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCIO 6 4 76½ 78¾   45½ 11¾ (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 21% 3.70 8.85 W
3  MY LITTLE WILDCAT 3 1 2½ 1nk   13½ 21¾ (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 19% 4.20 13.06 P
1  STARLIT SOFI 1 3 32 33½   23½ 33¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 5.00 6.91  
4  BRIDGIE BOP 4 6 42½ 45½   56 46 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.50 1.95  
2  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 2 2 1½ 2nk   34½ 56¼ (shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 6.00 ★ 3.98  
5  CATCHING HEAT 5 7 63½ 56   66½ 67¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 21% 3.80 2.81  
7  BISA 7 5 53½ 66¼   713½ 720 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 7.87  
 
CD-2   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PLAY THE TRUMPET 6 2 2nk 11   13 12¼ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 36% 1.80 3.25 W
4  FURIOUS ANGER 4 1 75¼ 76¼   57 22¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 2.50 3.14  
5  LUNAR MODULE 5 7 64¾ 45   46½ 33¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 2.47  
1  BOLT AT MIDNIGHT 1 5 1nk 21   23 45¼ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 4.94  
7  MACRON 7 6 31½ 32½   34½ 56¼ (ward dan)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 ★ 5.39  
2  OUTLIER 2 3 54¼ 65¼   68½ 69½ (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 5.00 ★ 10.24  
3  HOCUS (GB) 3 4 41¾ 55   713½ 733¾ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.72  
 
CD-3   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUST LIKE MAX 7 9 86 74¼   22 17 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 4.47  
4  DR FENN 4 5 31½ 3½   12 27 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 16.38  
9  TULLY 9 11 1211¾ 118¼   87¾ 37¼ (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 6.61  
1  C. P. A. JIM 1 7 96¼ 95¾   77¾ 47¼ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00 12.71  
8  BARSTOOL 8 1 42½ 2nk   42½ 57½ (vasquez ger)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.00 8.77  
2  ELECTION NIGHT 2 10 54 64   67½ 610 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 65% 0.50 2.78  
12  TWO SEVEN O 12 6 2½ 1nk   32 710¾ (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.57  
5  SPARKLING SPEED 5 3 65 53   55½ 811¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 31.33  
10  VENENO FUTURO 10 4 75 84¼   99¾ 914½ (gonzal)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 112 12.00 25.66  
6  MAXIMUS C 6 8 107¾ 106¼   1011¾ 1019¼ (gonzalez agust)ROMAN A 119 30.00 5% 19.00 57.26  
3  I FORGOT TO ASK 3 2 1½ 41   1113¾ 1125¼ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00 20.60  
11  SGT. GARCIA 11 12 1110¼ 12100   12100 12100 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 ★ 4.46  
SCR  SECRETO UNO               (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
SCR  STATE CONCEAL               (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:132 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VERY CONNECTED 8 1 74½ 75 64 33 1¼ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 ★ 4.33  
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  PRINCE OF LIGHT 6 6 64 63½ 42 22½ 2¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 11.34  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
5  THESHERIFFISNEAR 3 4 11 11 1½ 12½ 32 (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 47% 1.20 5.12 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MADDIE P by TRAPPE SHOT)
6  MR. VAGGIO 4 2 21 21 31 55 47½ (hancock j)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 18.00 23.97  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
9  ROYAL CAUSEWAY 7 9 107 117 109 69 58¼ (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 7.72  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
7  KHETAM 5 3 42½ 42 2½ 44½ 611¼ (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7.84  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of ELSAABIQAAT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
12  HIGH GO 10 8 97 85½ 76 79½ 711¼ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 ★ 33.64  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SOUTHERN DYNAMO by DYNAFORMER)
11  TAILORED 9 7 86½ 96 88 915 819 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.25  
  (by THORN SONG out of NOT TO DOUBT by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
2  LIKE WATER 2 5 31½ 31½ 53½ 813 919½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 19% 4.20 3.05  
  (by FROSTED out of SUGAR SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
1  SOUTHERN SOUL 1 10 53 53 98 1015 1020¾ (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 18.79  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of FLORIDA FABULOUS by HIGH COTTON)
14  JAYDEEVEE 11 11 118½ 107 1110½ 1127 1142½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00 36.46  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RUBY NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  DURABLE               (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00    
  (by BEST JEST out of CARESSABLE by SIR NASKRA)
SCR  GOOD WILLIE               (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STONE LEGACY by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  HIGH HONORS               (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by GRAUSTARK out of DRACKEN by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
SCR  SWERVE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
  (by LIL E. TEE out of HAWAIIAN QUERY by HAWAII)
 
CD-5   09/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:104 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RAISING KANE 5 2 31 32½ 33½ 32½ 11 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 4.00 14% 6.00 7.47 W
4  EXPLOSIVELY 4 5 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 21 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.03  
6  KING PEANUT 6 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 2½ 32½ (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.07 S
7  RIGHT ON RIGHT ON 7 6 73¼ 54 44½ 44½ 43 (davis j)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 9% 10.70 9.45  
8  EL CORDOBES (IRE) 8 7 42½ 64 57½ 57½ 57¾ (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 12.00 31.84  
2  WHERE'S RANDY 2 8 85¼ 85¼ 79 69 612¼ (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 12% 7.50 5.55  
1  GOD OF WINE 1 1 63 43½ 68½ 79½ 716¾ (cristel mar)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 12.58  
3  BECK'S SPIRIT 3 4 53 75 815½ 831½ 882½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10.47  
 
CD-6   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AHAMO 6 3 22 2½   11 13¾ (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 10.79  
9  ADALENE 9 1 12 1½   21 23¾ (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.42 P
10  REST OF THE WORLD 10 9 75¾ 33½   33½ 34¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 7% 12.90 5.62 S
4  POUR A LITTLE MORE 4 10 85¾ 55½   45 45¾ (drury tho)TORRES A 124 5.00 7.42  
7  WELL AWARE 7 4 54½ 66½   67½ 56½ (hartman ch)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 18.51  
11  CLOUD NUMBER NINE 11 11 1110¾ 119¼   79 66¾ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 15.29  
2  PEOPLE GET READY 2 8 97¾ 87¼   57 77¼ (michael brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.25  
8  SHE'S ALL ELLIE 8 2 33½ 76¾   1012 815¾ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 43.38  
5  BONITA VIDA 5 7 108¾ 109¼   911½ 916½ (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 21.29  
3  POINTSETMATCH 3 6 43½ 45½   810 1018 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 24% 3.20 1.43  
1  HARD TO GET 1 5 64¾ 98¼   1114½ 1125½ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 42% 1.40 8.88  
 
CD-7   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EVAN ON EARTH 7 1 1½ 1nk   12 11 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.37 W
10  TAP ME A SONG 8 5 2½ 2nk   22 21 (santamaria)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00 8.18  
6  GALANTINI 5 2 41½ 31   44 32½ (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 18.10  
3  WHITE WHALE 2 4 31 42   33½ 43¾ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 4.12  
4  VALIANT HUMOR 3 6 74 52½   56 55 (radosevich she)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 45% 1.20 3.95  
5  THE CHALK 4 3 53 62¾   78 66¼ (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.24  
2  MASHBURN 1 8 86½ 83¼   67 76¾ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.14  
7  GAME AND SMART 6 7 63 72¾   89½ 811 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 6.99  
SCR  ARTHUR JR               (leitch daniel)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RIP               (reed er)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HILLERITO 3 1 12 11½   13 13½ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 51% 1.00 0.73 W
3  SAM'S TREASURE 2 5 44 33½   34 23½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 4.57  
6  PRINCESS MADISON 4 2 22 21½   23 34½ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 2.87  
7  TRIPOLINA 5 4 58½ 58½   58½ 47¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 9% 9.90 14.82  
1  INTO CHAMPAGNE 1 3 33½ 45   48 512½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.36  
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE               (salas mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
 
CD-9   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:223 :453 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GARDINER 6 5 2nk 1½   1nk 1nk (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00 0.96 W
9  MIRACLE WORKER 7 6 52¾ 42   2nk 2nk (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.44 P
4  ROWDY RIOT 3 1 3.2 2½   31 32¾ (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 24% 3.20 2.89 S
3  MI DINERO 2 3 42¾ 54   43½ 43 (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 15.31  
6  OH PLEASE 5 7 74¾ 65   55½ 55½ (elliott michel)ROMAN A 118 20.00 54.77  
10  HARD TO SAY 8 8 88¾ 810   77 66¾ (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 41.95  
1  WAKAN 1 2 63¾ 77   89½ 712¼ (torres marceli)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 18% 4.50 14.76  
5  GLACIAL POWER 4 4 1nk 31   66½ 812¾ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 5.83  
SCR  OUR STARRY NIGHT               (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
SCR  PHAROAH'S DYNASTY               (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  THIS TIME               (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.