Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.70 $13.70 228%
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $325.82 $307.82 1710%
CD-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $8.50 $4.50 113%
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-6 $49.25 $43.25 721%
CD-5   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $16.94 $8.94 112%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCIO   (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 21% 3.70 8.85 W
MY LITTLE WILDCAT   (mendieta a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 5.00 19% 4.20 13.06 P
STARLIT SOFI   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 5.00 6.91  
BRIDGIE BOP   (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.50 1.95  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE   (shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 6.00 3.98  
CATCHING HEAT   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 3.00 21% 3.80 2.81  
BISA   (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 7.87  
 
CD-2   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY THE TRUMPET   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 36% 1.80 3.25 W
FURIOUS ANGER   (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 2.50 3.14  
LUNAR MODULE   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 2.47  
BOLT AT MIDNIGHT   (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 4.94  
MACRON   (ward dan)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 5.39  
OUTLIER   (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 5.00 10.24  
HOCUS (GB)   (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.72  
 
CD-3   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE MAX   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 4.47  
DR FENN   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 16.38  
TULLY   (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 6.61  
C. P. A. JIM   (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00 12.71  
BARSTOOL   (vasquez ger)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 4.00 8.77  
ELECTION NIGHT   (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 65% 0.50 2.78  
12  TWO SEVEN O   (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 10.57  
SPARKLING SPEED   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 31.33  
10  VENENO FUTURO   (gonzal)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 112 12.00 25.66  
MAXIMUS C   (gonzalez agust)ROMAN A 119 30.00 5% 19.00 57.26  
I FORGOT TO ASK   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 12.00 20.60  
11  SGT. GARCIA   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 4.46  
SCR  SECRETO UNO   (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
SCR  STATE CONCEAL   (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  VERY CONNECTED   (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00 4.33  
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
PRINCE OF LIGHT   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 11.34  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
THESHERIFFISNEAR   (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.50 47% 1.20 5.12 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MADDIE P by TRAPPE SHOT)
MR. VAGGIO   (hancock j)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 18.00 23.97  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
ROYAL CAUSEWAY   (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 7.72  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
KHETAM   (mckeever andrew)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7.84  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of ELSAABIQAAT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
12  HIGH GO   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 33.64  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SOUTHERN DYNAMO by DYNAFORMER)
11  TAILORED   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.25  
  (by THORN SONG out of NOT TO DOUBT by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
LIKE WATER   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 19% 4.20 3.05  
  (by FROSTED out of SUGAR SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
SOUTHERN SOUL   (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 18.79  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of FLORIDA FABULOUS by HIGH COTTON)
14  JAYDEEVEE   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 15.00 36.46  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RUBY NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  DURABLE   (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00    
  (by BEST JEST out of CARESSABLE by SIR NASKRA)
SCR  GOOD WILLIE   (casse nor)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STONE LEGACY by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  HIGH HONORS   (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by GRAUSTARK out of DRACKEN by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
SCR  SWERVE   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
  (by LIL E. TEE out of HAWAIIAN QUERY by HAWAII)
 
CD-5   09/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISING KANE   (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 4.00 14% 6.00 7.47 W
EXPLOSIVELY   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.03  
KING PEANUT   (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.07 S
RIGHT ON RIGHT ON   (davis j)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 9% 10.70 9.45  
EL CORDOBES (IRE)   (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 12.00 31.84  
WHERE'S RANDY   (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 12% 7.50 5.55  
GOD OF WINE   (cristel mar)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 12.58  
BECK'S SPIRIT   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 10.47  
 
CD-6   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AHAMO   (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 10.79  
ADALENE   (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.42 P
10  REST OF THE WORLD   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 7% 12.90 5.62 S
POUR A LITTLE MORE   (drury tho)TORRES A 124 5.00 7.42  
WELL AWARE   (hartman ch)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 18.51  
11  CLOUD NUMBER NINE   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 15.29  
PEOPLE GET READY   (michael brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.25  
SHE'S ALL ELLIE   (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00 43.38  
BONITA VIDA   (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 21.29  
POINTSETMATCH   (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 24% 3.20 1.43  
HARD TO GET   (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 42% 1.40 8.88  
 
CD-7   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVAN ON EARTH   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 31% 2.20 1.37 W
10  TAP ME A SONG   (santamaria)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00 8.18  
GALANTINI   (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 18.10  
WHITE WHALE   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 4.12  
VALIANT HUMOR   (radosevich she)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 45% 1.20 3.95  
THE CHALK   (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.24  
MASHBURN   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.14  
GAME AND SMART   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 6.99  
SCR  ARTHUR JR   (leitch daniel)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RIP   (reed er)DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILLERITO   (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 51% 1.00 0.73 W
SAM'S TREASURE   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.50 4.57  
PRINCESS MADISON   (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 2.87  
TRIPOLINA   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00 9% 9.90 14.82  
INTO CHAMPAGNE   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.36  
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE   (salas mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
 
CD-9   09/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARDINER   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00 0.96 W
MIRACLE WORKER   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.44 P
ROWDY RIOT   (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 24% 3.20 2.89 S
MI DINERO   (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 15.31  
OH PLEASE   (elliott michel)ROMAN A 118 20.00 54.77  
10  HARD TO SAY   (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00 41.95  
WAKAN   (torres marceli)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 18% 4.50 14.76  
GLACIAL POWER   (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 5.83  
SCR  OUR STARRY NIGHT   (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
SCR  PHAROAH'S DYNASTY   (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
SCR  THIS TIME   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.