Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (8/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.94 $13.94 232%
    EXA (8/7/6)-(8/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-7 $34.61 $28.61 477%
KEE-7   WIN (2/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $19.04 $11.04 138%
    EXA (2/7/8/9)-(2/7/8/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $71.45 $55.45 347%
    DD (8/11/6/1)-(2/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-7 $22.90 $6.90 43%
KEE-8   DD (2/7/8/9)-(9/4/5/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-9 $29.60 $9.60 48%
KEE-9   EXA (10/1/4/11)-(10/1/4/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-11 $12.98 $0.98 8%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:224 :47 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MO FOR US 4 2 52 3½   12½ 13 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 16% 5.30 8.97 W
7  MEZCALIFORNIA 5 3 62½ 62½   22½ 23 (baker james)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 17% 4.80 3.47 P
3  BLACK GINGER 2 6 2½ 2½   43½ 311¾ (lopez elias)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5.96  
5  MASCARA 3 5 3½ 1½   33 411¾ (troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 17.59  
8  MILA ROSE 6 1 41 52   65½ 512¾ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 46% 1.20 0.73  
1  SHE'S NO ANGEL 1 4 1½ 41   55 618 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00 9.69  
SCR  BLUE SQUALL               (morse rand)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 15.00    
SCR  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.00    
 
KEE-2   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WRONG SHOES 6 4 31½ 1nk   12 15 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119 20.00 44.93  
5  LEL DITTY 5 5 72¾ 76¾   55½ 25 (tooley jennife)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 30.00 5% 19.00 53.98 P
11  LOVING MISCHIEF 9 1 61¾ 44½   45 38¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 9.48  
14  WANNA GO HOME 11 7 51¾ 2nk   22 48¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 12% 7.30 11.80  
12  MATTY'S BABY 10 9 116½ 109¼   89½ 510¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 34% 1.90 1.20  
3  NONSTOP VINO 3 10 1½ 33   35 610¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 39.55  
2  CROWN OF VIOLENCE 2 6 95¼ 88¼   78½ 711 (moreno ti)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 39.14  
4  SACRED PRAYER 4 3 41½ 55   66 811¼ (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 3.60  
8  WIND SAND STARS 7 11 106¼ 98¼   910 917½ (kaufeld krist)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00 76.28  
1  THOUSAND M P H 1 2 2½ 66½   1010½ 1026¼ (stewart d)TORRES A 119 8.00 14.28  
10  TOPIC THUNDER 8 8 83¼ 119¾   1116½ 1150 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 30% 2.40 4.62  
SCR  CHRISTY               (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 6.00    
SCR  LOVELY SUMMER               (esquivel )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 30.00    
SCR  NEWS TOO SERIOUS               (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 119 30.00    
SCR  RUN MAMA RUN               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  TIZZLIN               (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
 
KEE-3   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CONFESSIONAL 10 1 31½ 41½   11 13 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 12.68  
  (by HOLY BULL out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
11  GRAND SLAM SAM 11 5 2½ 1½   21 23 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00 20.49  
  (by ANCIENT OAKS out of ME FEIN by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
1  CORONA DE ORO 1 10 52½ 53½   34 36¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 16.38  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
5  ALBUS 5 6 96¼ 75¼   46 49¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 6.00 ★ 10.72  
  (by STUDENT COUNCIL out of HELAINE'S HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
9  INTO THE BEAST 9 2 1½ 3½   56 514¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 2.50 35% 1.90 4.17  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHOA NELLIE by ORB)
6  COLOSSUS 6 8 86¼ 65   68 614½ (delgado gustav)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 19% 4.20 10.47  
  (by PHONE TRICK out of CHIC by ORB)
8  MISTER LANDRY 8 9 108¼ 911¾   812 714¾ (kinmon keith)LEBRON VICTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
  (by SKY MESA out of BARDS MISSCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  OUR FOREFATHERS 7 7 41½ 2½   78½ 821¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 20% 4.00 1.34  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of VIA VERITAS by STREET SENSE)
3  MEANSTEPPER 3 11 1111¾ 1114¼   1116½ 923¼ (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 49.09  
  (by NYQUIST out of O SERAPHINA by CONGRATS)
2  BYE BYE BRADY 2 4 76 1012¾   1016 1023¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.19  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SCHEFFLERA by MUTAKDDIM)
4  MIMICRY 4 3 64½ 88¾   915 1126 (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00 9.39  
  (by ALYSHEBA out of PICARDIA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
KEE-4   10/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLOODLITES 4 4 41½ 2nk   11½ 13¼ (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 17% 4.90 3.60 W
10  PERFECT MAGIC 8 8 52 3.2   21½ 23¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 13.46  
9  EVAN ON EARTH 7 2 1½ 1nk   31½ 35¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 12.00 7% 13.80 7.17 S
2  SINISTER SMILE 2 3 31 51¾   43 47 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 5.04  
1  BOURBON'S FAULT 1 6 63 63¾   56½ 59¾ (shorter aaro)TORRES A 121 6.00 18% 4.70 7.37  
7  BAYTOWN BRUISER 6 5 83½ 74   77¾ 613½ (king l)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 6.69  
11  COMES A TIME 9 1 2½ 41¾   67½ 715¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 21% 3.80 2.48  
5  MATT'S LUCK 5 9 99 97½   810¼ 819½ (robertson hugh)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 26.00  
3  MALIBREW 3 7 73 87   913¾ 921¾ (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 14% 6.00 21.95  
SCR  ATTERSEE               (block chris)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
SCR  RIDDLE SOLVER               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
 
KEE-5   10/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:212 :443 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OUR STARRY NIGHT 9 1 11½ 11   11 1hd (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.68  
1  ITS BOURBON THIRTY 1 9 94½ 94½   53 2hd (o'dwyer jeremiah)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 6.46  
2  BEER RUN 2 5 41¾ 41½   21 3¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 21% 3.70 3.67 S
7  MIRACLE WORKER 6 4 31½ 31   31½ 42 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 14.81  
4  PHAROAH'S DYNASTY 4 12 106 105½   75 53¼ (asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00 16.55  
12  CONFRONT 11 10 53¼ 52½   63 63¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 26% 2.80 2.44  
8  HARD TO SAY 7 3 129 119   96¼ 74 (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 30.00 63.94  
14  AMOUDI BAY 12 11 84½ 84   85¼ 85¼ (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 10% 8.90 33.12  
11  VESTURE 10 6 21½ 21   42½ 95½ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 12% 7.30 7.77  
3  GLACIAL POWER 3 8 73½ 73½   106¼ 108¾ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 7.34  
9  BRIE'S IN TOWN 8 2 116 1211   1216¼ 1121¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00 21.98  
5  MATH TUTOR 5 7 63¼ 63   1114¼ 1226½ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 60.30  
SCR  BUNRATTY MANOR (IRE)               (arnold georg)GEROUX FLORENT 115 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAT               (chavez manuel)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 20.00    
SCR  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  ROWDY RIOT               (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
 
KEE-6   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DR. KAPUR 6 2 1½ 1½   12 12¾ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 37% 1.70 0.99 W
  (by MCKINZIE out of AVA'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  CHIP HONCHO 2 6 42½ 31   22 22¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 8.92  
  (by CONNECT out of MISS MY ROSE by MAGICIAN (IRE))
6  FUZZBUSTER 5 1 2½ 2½   32 33 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 9% 10.60 4.78 S
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOANIN by MEDICEAN)
1  THUNDER BUCK 1 7 89½ 67   69½ 410¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.19  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of OXY LADY by OXBOW)
11  CIRCLE TAP 8 3 54½ 53   46 510¾ (stewart d)TORRES A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 3.65  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
10  LIBERTY NATIONAL 7 4 67½ 88½   711 611 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 12.81  
  (by MAXFIELD out of VIRTUOSO by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  FLAMING RAINBOW 4 5 32 42   57½ 712¾ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00 38.50  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of OVER THE RAINBOW by UNCLE MO)
4  SURE TO APPEAL 3 8 79½ 77½   813½ 817 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 29.69  
  (by TAPITURE out of SOVEREIGN APPEAL by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  LIGHTER               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GALINA POINT by SAFFIR)
SCR  ROCHESTER               (moquett rona)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by SIMMARD out of DREAM AFFAIR by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  TALMADGE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of TIP TOP TAP by TAPIT)
 
KEE-7   10/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MACKMAN 7 6 53 62½ 4¾ 11 1¼ (shirer a)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 20% 4.10 8.52 W
4  STOWAWAY 4 2 21 2½ 3.2 31 2¼ (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★ 8.30 P
5  RESILIENCE 5 5 31½ 31 2nk 21 32½ (mott william)TORRES A 122 3.00 2.74  
6  ARCHIE THE GIZA 6 7 63 52½ 62¼ 42½ 44 (medina ro)TORRES A 122 20.00 61.73  
8  WINNEMAC AVENUE 8 9 84½ 94½ 94¼ 64½ 56¼ (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10% 9.10 5.81  
3  GASOLINE 3 4 42 41½ 51¾ 53½ 67 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 13.36  
9  SPEED BIAS 9 12 106 105 106¼ 107¾ 79¼ (moquett rona)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 25.82  
11  NATIONAL ECLIPSE 11 8 126¾ 115½ 116¾ 97¾ 89½ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 26.05  
2  ARMY OFFICER 2 11 73½ 73½ 73¾ 118¼ 913¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 40% 1.50 4.57  
12  SOCIETY MAN 12 10 116¼ 126 127 129¾ 1015¼ (gargan danny)LANERIE J 122 8.00 9.05  
10  UNLOAD 10 3 95 84 84¼ 87½ 1116 (sharp joe)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 8.29  
1  PAPPY'S REVENGE 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 77 1217 (robertson hugh)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00 55.10  
SCR  GROVELAND               (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:134 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PROCTOR STREET 7 5 87¼ 89 85 1½ 11 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.13 W
4  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 3 3 64¾ 56 53½ 52½ 21 (shirer ma)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00 19% 4.40 5.81 P
7  A LILAC ROLLA (IRE) 6 9 97¾ 99½ 95½ 63½ 31¼ (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 6.95  
11  PUBLIC DEFENDER 9 6 33 34½ 32 31 41¼ (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 124 10.00 9% 10.30 5.23  
3  STRIKINGLY SPUN 2 8 54½ 66½ 74 85 52¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 19.70  
6  SMILING ELLIE 5 7 76¼ 78 63½ 2½ 62½ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 38.52  
2  FOR FLYING (BRZ) 1 1 43 45 42½ 74½ 72½ (motion grah)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.22  
5  NANABUSH (ARG) 4 2 11 23 21 41 84½ (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 16% 5.20 12.48  
10  SCARLET SANDS 8 4 21 13 11 911½ 942¼ (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 49.93  
SCR  BREEZING ALONG               (meah anna)BEALMEAR C 122 30.00    
SCR  FLOATING BEAUTY               (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 122 50.00    
SCR  WATCH THIS BIRDIE               (correas i)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:104     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GOLDEN IRISH 6 1 13½ 15   13 12¾ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 64% 0.60 0.91 W
11  SHE'S NOT A JOKE 7 2 33½ 57½   34 22¾ (williams )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 11.63 P
9  DOZEN DIAMONDS 5 7 76 36   23 33 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 5.87  
12  SPLIT SUCCESS 8 4 44 25   44½ 44¾ (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 7.49  
1  IN AWE OF JUJU 1 3 23½ 46½   56½ 58¾ (quartarolo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 10% 9.20 9.52  
4  J RIVERS 2 6 86¼ 68½   68½ 69½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 8.79  
7  GRACE ON GRACE 3 8 65½ 79   711 714½ (mitchell antho)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 20.41  
8  TIZNTSHELOVELY 4 5 54½ 89½   822 880¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.01  
SCR  DARK FURY               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 8.00    
SCR  ESKENFORARAISE               (murphy travis )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  RANDO               (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
SCR  TRUTHORCONSEQUENCE               (williams colby)CURTIS BEN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.