Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.42 $2.42 40%
CD-3   WIN (3/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $21.98 $13.98 175%
CD-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $18.70 $12.70 212%
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-1 $59.88 $47.88 399%
CD-8   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $18.62 $10.62 133%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:131 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HORSE OF THE SEA 2 5 21½ 22 21 12 1nk (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 20% 3.90 3.21 W
5  SECTION 4 4 42 43½ 32 22 2nk (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 1.40  
7  HERBS BOLT 6 6 63½ 54 55 47 312¼ (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 5.47  
4  WESTERN WARRIOR 3 2 11½ 12 11 35 412¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 17% 4.80 2.17  
1  TISUM 1 1 53 64½ 66½ 611½ 519¼ (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 12.00 19.06  
6  COACH RUDY 5 3 31½ 32 43 510 620 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 8.00 16% 5.10 24.15  
SCR  HAYES GOAL               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHIPMAN 2 5 52¼ 32   2½ 13 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 1.51  
4  FLOTATION STATION 3 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 7.80  
1  BEEZER 1 3 1nk 1nk   31 35¼ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 ★ 3.36 S
5  VERTRAUEN 4 2 31½ 42¼   43 46¼ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 3.00 35% 1.80 1.80  
6  STRING THEORY 5 4 42 54¼   56½ 513½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 29% 2.40 7.64  
SCR  SUMMER IN AIKEN               (barnett bobby )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00    
 
CD-3   09/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:14 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGRO 1 1 11 1½ 11 1nk 1¾ (williams matt)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.99 W
6  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY 6 4 32½ 31½ 21 2nk 2¾ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 3.76  
3  MUSTANG LADY 3 7 74¼ 52½ 43 31½ 32 (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 122 2.50 51% 0.90 2.34 S
4  TIZ SALTY 4 5 42½ 42 76¼ 53 42¼ (thompson )TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 16.28  
2  ANIMAL FRIES 2 3 21 2½ 31 42 55 (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 12% 7.70 3.06  
5  WILD ACCLAIM 5 6 53 63 53¼ 65 69¼ (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 4.03  
7  MOMBAYLA 7 2 64 73 63¼ 75½ 710½ (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00 8.14  
 
CD-4   09/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:112 1:231   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKI MONARCHY 1 3 31½ 42 31½ 31 1½ (beckman whi)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 3.46  
4  DR. SAIKALI 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 11 2½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.30 1.78 P
10  LIAM'S LAGOON 8 6 86½ 87½ 75¾ 54 32¾ (amoss thomas )CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 11% 8.20 7.31 S
8  ICE WOLF 6 4 42½ 53 53¾ 42½ 43 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 6.42  
7  BON TEMPS 5 5 52½ 31 41¾ 65 59 (harty eoin)POSTON K 110 8.00 7% 13.60 10.79  
3  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 21 69¾ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 30% 2.30 4.09  
9  CITY OF LIFE 7 8 64 64½ 65¾ 86¼ 710¾ (wismer s)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00 47.07  
2  ROC AND READY JO 2 7 76 77 86 76 811¼ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 13.01  
SCR  AUBREY'S MAX               (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00    
SCR  KY DO DECLARE               (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 120 10.00    
 
CD-5   09/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KISSIN CASH 5 2 41 21   13 15¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 0.92  
3  TWISTED VIPER 3 3 2½ 31½   23 25¾ (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 13.13 P
7  ASHES AND DIAMONDS 6 6 53 43   36 310¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 38% 1.70 1.53 S
1  ROMANAYA 1 5 63¼ 64½   510 412¾ (gutierrez faus)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 7.50  
4  VOLATILE JINNY 4 1 1½ 11   46½ 512¾ (wismer s)JUAREZ NIK 121 10.00 26.56  
2  IT'S ALL RED 2 4 3½ 53½   611 629½ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 34% 2.00 12.56  
SCR  PURPLE AND GOLD               (esquivel je)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 3.50    
 
CD-6   09/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:123 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRIMSONITE 3 2 2½ 21 2nk 12½ 12¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 14% 6.00 8.35 W
  (by RAISE A CHAMPION out of FASCINATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
1  SONHADOR 1 6 65½ 62¾ 52¼ 33½ 22¾ (murphy con)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 23% 3.30 2.23 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
4  WHITETHORN 4 4 54 52½ 62¾ 65 33¼ (mccarthy micha)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 6.11  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
2  DELICIOUS DIVA 2 1 1½ 11 1nk 22½ 44½ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 16.78  
  (by HARD SPUN out of DANGEROUS DIVA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
5  STRONG DESTINY 5 3 32½ 31½ 42 44 56¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 23% 3.40 1.47  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BARBADIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  SENSING FLATTER 6 5 43½ 41½ 31 54 611 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 4.13  
  (by FLATTER out of AVIE'S SENSE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  ABSOLUTE HONOR               (joseph saffie )MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
 
CD-7   09/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  TRIPP'S PROMISE 12 2 73 64   32½ 1¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 15.00 7.45  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of MALIBU TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
5  OUR MONEYMAN 5 4 41 5½   1½ 2¼ (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.32 P
  (by MR. MONEY out of LIPSTICK JUNKY by FLATTER)
9  MISTER LANDRY 9 9 105¾ 74   44½ 31¾ (kinmon keith)LEBRON VICTOR 119 30.00 ######  
  (by SKY MESA out of BARDS MISSCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  INORDINARY 2 6 2½ 1nk   2½ 45¼ (sisterson ja)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 43% 1.30 10.56  
  (by LEXITONIAN out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
4  FLASH OF CHAOS 4 10 1111¼ 1111   99½ 56½ (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 119 10.00 ★ 16.75  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
8  RECKLESS 8 8 83½ 86   87½ 67½ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 6.50  
  (by INDYGO SHINER out of FIAMMA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  PRIME SUSPECT 3 5 3½ 3.2   55 77½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 26% 2.80 2.79  
  (by CONGRATS out of GRAND CRU CRUZIAN by FORESTRY)
1  AWESOME GUN 1 7 1½ 2nk   76½ 811¼ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.67  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PLUM AWESOME by CURLIN)
11  SPIRIT OF ROYAL 11 3 52 4¼   65½ 911¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 9% 9.60 2.76  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SPIRIT LETS HEARIT by GIROLAMO)
10  SHOW ME THE MUNNY 10 1 62½ 96   1011 1013¼ (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 51.35  
  (by MUNNINGS out of INCLUDE ME OUT by INCLUDE)
6  WOOD YOU DARE 6 11 1211¾ 1212   1113½ 1116 (moreno ti)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 78.97  
  (by VOLATILE out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
7  STARMETAL 7 12 95½ 106½   1216 1225¾ (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 119 30.00 72.37  
  (by UPSTART out of SAVING SOPHIE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  CONFESSIONAL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
  (by HOLY BULL out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  ROCKIES BALBOA               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of TONI ANN'S MIRACLE by HEAR NO EVIL)
SCR  STEEL GOLDEN               (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ZIA'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  STRADALE               (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 1.60    
  (by YAUPON out of TWITTERPATED by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CD-8   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:104 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCALATION CLAUSE 1 7 74¼ 74 42½ 21 12¼ (compton g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 29% 2.50 8.31 W
7  BAYTOWN BRUISER 7 2 1nk 1nk 11 11 22¼ (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 4.70  
5  MEGA MAGIC 5 3 31½ 3½ 21 32 36¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 6.76 S
2  FIELDING 2 6 42 41 64 55 46¾ (maldonado jon)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 4.95  
4  THE WARDEN 4 4 63¼ 51½ 32½ 43 57½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.83  
3  NUDGE 3 1 2nk 2nk 53 611 631½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 45% 1.20 1.67  
6  EXPRESS LINE (FR) 6 5 53 63½ 78 712 736 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10  
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 20.00    
 
CD-9   09/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:133 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BEING MYSELF 9 3 42½ 52½ 31 13 14 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 13.79  
4  LOW KEY 4 12 129 128¾ 105¼ 45½ 24 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 16% 5.10 1.69 P
8  UNION MIST 8 11 106 95½ 61¾ 33 34¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.09 S
7  QUINN'S PROMISE 7 1 21 2½ 2nk 23 46 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 30.00 41.77  
3  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 3 7 95½ 105¾ 115½ 87¼ 57 (drury tho)TORRES A 122 10.00 22.72  
11  BUNDLE 11 10 117½ 116¾ 94¼ 56 67¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 45% 1.20 8.09  
1  CONTRARY 1 4 32 31½ 41½ 77¼ 711 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 8% 11.50 8.47  
12  LOBBY RENDEZVOUS 12 8 84½ 63 51¾ 97½ 812 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 10.38  
5  CLAIRE'S RUN 5 6 74 84 83¾ 67 913¾ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.75  
6  HIDDEN QUARRY 6 2 11 1½ 1nk 107½ 1018 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 40.88  
10  SHARP SMILE 10 9 53 42 72¼ 1112½ 1125 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 9% 10.50 6.48  
2  GRAYLEIGH 2 5 64 74 126 1214½ 1228½ (mitchell anthony)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 49.83  
SCR  L. A. WOMAN               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50    
 
CD-10   09/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TAKE CHARGE OMAHA 8 6 65 63½ 41 13½ 13½ (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00 4.38  
4  FAIRE PLAISIR 4 2 54½ 53 52 23½ 23½ (king barr)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 21% 3.80 14.06 P
5  TRUSTY TROUTMAN 5 3 33½ 42 2½ 33½ 33¾ (schultz lindsa)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 22% 3.60 1.35 S
1  ASIAN MATRIARCH 1 4 22 21½ 3½ 45½ 410½ (sweezey j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.66  
2  MALIBU SMART 2 1 12 11½ 1½ 55¾ 513¼ (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00 27% 2.70 5.25  
7  VINO TIEMPO 7 7 87 85 64½ 67¼ 614¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 10.00 6.16  
6  SUNSET BEAUTY 6 8 76½ 74½ 87¼ 816¼ 728½ (gerteisen adam)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 23.27  
3  SPYING 3 5 44 32 74¾ 715¼ 829 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 6.65  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.