Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (3/10/11)-(3/10/1/11) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-1 $19.26 $1.26 7%
    TRI (3/10/11)-(3/10/1/11)-(3/10/1/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-1-11 $30.87 $21.87 243%
CD-3   WIN (10/13/6/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.94 $1.94 19%
    EXA (10/13/6/1/12)-(10/13/6/1/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-13 $64.10 $24.10 60%
    DD (3/10/11)-(10/13/6/1/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-6 $19.91 $4.91 33%
CD-4   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.30 $3.30 41%
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $39.10 $15.10 63%
    DD (10/13/6/1/12)-(5/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-4 $23.66 $3.66 18%
    PK3 (3/10/11)-(10/13/6/1/12)-(5/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-6-4 $35.30 $5.30 18%
CD-8   WIN (2/8/11/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $22.38 $12.38 124%
    EXA (2/8/11/1/6)-(2/8/11/6/1/7) 25 $2.00 $50.00  6-2 $129.66 $79.66 159%
CD-9   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.88 $1.88 24%
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $34.42 $10.42 43%
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-2-7 $22.61 $10.61 88%
    DD (2/8/11/1/6)-(7/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-5 $50.87 $30.87 154%
CD-10   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $13.18 $7.18 120%
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/11/8/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-8 $57.70 $33.70 140%
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/11/8/6/7)-(2/11/8/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-8-11 $101.33 $83.33 463%
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $37.45 $25.45 212%
    PK3 (2/8/11/1/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(2/8/7) 60 $3.00 $180  6-5-7 $1605 $1425 792%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEACH BUNNY 6 4 2nk 21 2nk 12½ 12¼ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 4.16  
2  MANAGE XPECTATIONS 2 7 75¾ 75½ 43 34 22¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 1.98  
5  HAND IT OVER 5 3 1nk 11 1nk 22½ 35½ (walsh rya)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.33 S
7  MUSTANG LADY 7 5 42 42½ 32 45 46¾ (newton troy)TORRES A 122 6.00 30% 2.30 9.24  
1  EYES OF GOLD 1 1 52¼ 64½ 77½ 69 511¼ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 11% 7.90 6.94  
4  SUPER COSTLY 4 6 31½ 32 54½ 58 612¾ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.14  
3  TWIRLING GOOD TIME 3 2 62¾ 52½ 65½ 710 718 (bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00 6.25  
 
CD-2   09/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:103     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LEND IT TEWMEY 2 4 41½ 31   11½ 11 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 55% 0.80 2.05 W
1  SUTHERLAND 1 3 31 52   32 21 (richard chris)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00 ★ 2.53 P
11  PENROD 8 2 2½ 1½   21½ 33¼ (moquett rona)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.65 S
4  W W CRAZY 3 8 73¼ 63   54½ 45½ (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 3.90  
7  GO WEST 5 7 85¼ 84   65 57¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 20.75  
10  J J'S RANGER 7 1 1½ 2½   44 68 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 12.00 7% 13.00 14.32  
6  ORB OF THE BORO 4 6 63 74   79 715½ (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 87.76  
8  BORN FLAWLESS 6 5 51½ 41½   810½ 826¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 15.00 4.49  
SCR  ALEJANDRO               (cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 15.00    
SCR  J J'S JOKER               (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00    
 
CD-3   09/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STARLIT NITE 5 2 21 31   1½ 15¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 10% 8.60 4.97 W
13  DIVA CALLING 11 4 31 2nk   2½ 25¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 33% 2.00 3.09 P
2  STRING MUSIC 2 11 117 98   65¼ 38¼ (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00 8.80  
10  HIGHLIGHT SHOW 8 7 53 42½   44½ 48¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 35% 1.80 1.77  
8  KITTEN GLOVES 6 3 11 1nk   3½ 58¾ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5.62  
3  BRUNIA 3 10 84¾ 76½   55 610 (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 119 15.00 30.28  
11  THOUSAND M P H 9 6 74½ 66   75¾ 712 (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 23.35  
12  AUTHENTIC ANGEL 10 5 106¾ 87   96¼ 813¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.76  
1  SUPER PACHI 1 8 42½ 53½   85¾ 915½ (anderson cori)CANUTO THIAGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.82  
9  MISS ROSSO 7 1 94¾ 119¼   1010¼ 1019¼ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 15.00 46.78  
4  BEE TOO SWEET 4 9 63½ 108¼   1115¼ 1135¾ (cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00 86.77  
SCR  DRAGON NAVY               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
SCR  EASY KISS               (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KILLJOY 4 1 11 1½   12½ 12 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 23% 3.40 4.65 W
5  PATTON'S TIZZY 5 6 62¾ 42½   34 22 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 41% 1.40 2.39 P
3  BEEZER 3 4 31 2½   22½ 33 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 4.00 4.76  
8  FLOTATION STATION 7 2 74¼ 64½   55½ 45 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 8.00 8.43  
2  BURLSWORTH 2 7 52¾ 32½   45½ 57 (moquett rona)TORRES A 121 8.00 10% 8.60 4.51  
6  PRIORITY LANE 6 5 42½ 75   67 68¼ (ramirez-r)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 2.74  
1  PARTYVICIOUS 1 3 21 54   79 714¾ (gonzalez r)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 20.00 76.41  
SCR  TIVERTON (GB)               (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50    
 
CD-5   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SPUN D M C 8 1 31 1½   12 12½ (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 10.00 12.84  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
12  CIRCLE TAP 11 8 96 85½   44½ 22½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 27% 2.70 2.62 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
7  TROUBLE CALLING 7 5 74½ 96   55 34¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 ★ 13.49 S
  (by DIALED IN out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  TIZ AUTHORITY 5 3 2½ 2½   32 45¼ (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 13.32  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of DICTATE COOL by CURLIN)
2  OUR FOREFATHERS 2 12 84½ 75   76½ 56¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.33  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of VIA VERITAS by STREET SENSE)
3  SPIRIT OF A WALKON 3 6 1½ 3½   22 67¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 20.00 14.70  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DELTA'S KINGDOM by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4  CANTERVILLE 4 7 52½ 43½   65½ 78½ (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 60.90  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ALL GIRL by UNITE)
10  STIRRING WORDS 10 9 107 108½   99 810¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.80 7.45  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BIXBY LOU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  TIME FOR MUSIC 6 2 42 54   87½ 911¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.50 32% 2.10 4.59  
  (by GILDED TIME out of LA DI DA LA DI DA by KEY TO CONTENT)
1  URGENCY 1 11 117¼ 118¾   1111¼ 1016 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 20.16  
  (by KNICKS GO out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
9  HELPFUL HOWIE 9 4 63 64½   109¼ 1116¾ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 26.23  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
13  RING CURL 12 10 127¾ 1210¾   1212¼ 1218½ (wismer gl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00 28.65  
  (by CURLIN out of SOUTHERN RING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  CONFESSIONAL               (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by HOLY BULL out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
CD-6   09/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101 1:224   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EXCEL CALCULATOR 3 6 75 75 53 21 1½ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 5.18  
2  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 1 4 63 64½ 64½ 63½ 2½ (mccarthy micha)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 34% 1.90 1.09 P
3  OVERSTATEMENT 2 5 85¼ 86½ 75½ 74 31¾ (miller kenny)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 3.56  
8  EVENING NEWS 7 2 21 21 21 31 45 (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 4.00 11.49  
7  STELLAR VINO 6 8 42½ 43½ 42 42 55½ (cunningham s)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 8.00 21% 3.80 15.84  
9  GUARDIAN 8 1 11 11 11 11 66 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6.88  
5  COMPLEX MUSIC 4 3 32 31½ 31½ 52½ 79¼ (shaffer e)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.91  
6  MINTASTIC 5 7 52½ 53½ 85½ 88 814¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 7% 13.40 21.00  
SCR  RAISING KANE               (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
 
CD-7   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GANAAS 7 1 2½ 1½   13 15¼ (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 7.07  
8  JUST DEEDS 8 4 3½ 2½   23 25¼ (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.60 P
6  PAPA KEN 6 3 51½ 42½   45 36½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.23 S
4  WILDNCRAZYGUY 4 2 1½ 3½   33 46½ (lucas ant)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 6.14  
5  MR. SENSEI 5 8 73¼ 54½   56 58¾ (hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00 26.38  
1  IT TAKES A COWBOY 1 5 87¾ 811½   711½ 613½ (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00 48.74  
2  NAUGHTON 2 6 41 66   69½ 716¾ (lynch e)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 27.86  
3  CUZIN ROSCOE 3 7 63 78½   812 818 (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 39.26  
 
CD-8   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :462 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CABOURG 6 5 2½ 12½   13 12¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.19 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of WEST RIDING by TAPIT)
2  FUZZBUSTER 2 4 31 64½   77 22¾ (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 40% 1.50 4.33 P
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MOANIN by MEDICEAN)
10  STABLE HERO 10 11 117¼ 109   88 33¼ (morse l)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 29.64  
  (by VEKOMA out of HUG ME TIGHT by WITH DISTINCTION)
8  HOLY SEVEN 8 7 72¾ 22½   23 43¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 20% 4.00 5.94  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROAD TO VICTORY by QUALITY ROAD)
11  INTO THE BEAST 11 6 51¼ 33   35 53½ (romans dale)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 19% 4.20 0.87  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHOA NELLIE by ORB)
5  MOM'S SPAGHETTI 5 2 41 53½   45½ 63¾ (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 45.00  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FOLLOW NO ONE by UNCLE MO)
4  CORONA DE ORO 4 9 62¼ 75   66 74¾ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 26.92  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
9  APOLLO ELEVEN 9 12 128¼ 1211   1010½ 87 (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 21.89  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MOONLIGHTANDBEAUTY by CAPOTE)
12  PEA RIDGE 12 3 93¾ 88   910 97¾ (schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 75.69  
  (by GAME WINNER out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
3  FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE) 3 1 1½ 43   56 108½ (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 55.59  
  (by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
1  CANDY KING 1 10 82¾ 98½   1110¾ 1112 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 41.87  
  (by MASS MARKET out of JUST CALL ME CANDY by JUST THE TIME)
7  COMPLEXED 7 8 104¼ 1110   1212¾ 1214 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 ★ 13.08  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of SPRING STREET by WILLIAMSTOWN)
SCR  FUOCO VIVO               (crichton )LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CD-9   09/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CAT ON TIME 4 6 56 56¼   32 11¾ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.60 3.94 W
2  CHAMPLIN 2 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 21¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 26% 2.90 2.53 P
7  HARRODSBURG 6 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 32 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.75 S
1  THREE TECHNIQUE 1 5 67 77¾   77 44½ (cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 12.27  
4  NOVA RAGS 3 4 44½ 45¼   44 56¾ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 3.92  
6  GOLD LUCK 5 7 77 66¾   66½ 69 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 19.85  
8  RYVIT 7 3 34 35   56 712¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 12.00 26.03  
SCR  KAVOD               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 6.00    
 
CD-10   09/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COOL ANDY 6 5 1½ 1½ 1nk 11½ 11 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.59 W
8  COME TO PAPA 7 4 62¾ 52½ 2nk 21½ 21 (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 6.25 P
11  BECK'S DREAMER 10 1 41½ 42 42 34½ 35¾ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 ★ 6.44 S
1  TRAITOUR 1 6 84¾ 84¾ 95¼ 78½ 46¼ (leonard geor)TORRES A 120 12.00 19.57  
10  BIG ROG 9 2 2½ 2½ 31½ 45 56¾ (king barr)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 31.51  
6  MAGNIFICENT RAGS 5 3 31½ 32 52½ 57 66¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 ★ 4.38  
9  FROSTY BEER 8 10 74¼ 74½ 62¾ 68½ 710½ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 11.61  
4  PYROMANIA 4 8 106¼ 106¼ 107¾ 1011¾ 814¾ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 20.00 41.33  
3  EDIFICE 3 9 96¼ 96¼ 84¾ 911½ 915¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 6.33  
2  PACIFIC STANDARD 2 7 52½ 63½ 73¾ 810½ 1016¼ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 70% 0.40 2.51  
SCR  SINATRA               (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 110 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.