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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			EXA	(3/10/11)-(3/10/1/11)						9	$2.00	$18.00	3-1		$19.26			$1.26				7%
			TRI	(3/10/11)-(3/10/1/11)-(3/10/1/11)						18	$0.50	$9.00	3-1-11		$30.87			$21.87				243%
CD-3			WIN	(10/13/6/1/12)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$11.94			$1.94				19%
			EXA	(10/13/6/1/12)-(10/13/6/1/12)						20	$2.00	$40.00	6-13		$64.10			$24.10				60%
			DD	(3/10/11)-(10/13/6/1/12)						15	$1.00	$15.00	3-6		$19.91			$4.91				33%
CD-4			WIN	(5/4/2/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$11.30			$3.30				41%
			EXA	(5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	4-5		$39.10			$15.10				63%
			DD	(10/13/6/1/12)-(5/4/2/6)						20	$1.00	$20.00	6-4		$23.66			$3.66				18%
			PK3	(3/10/11)-(10/13/6/1/12)-(5/4/2/6)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-6-4		$35.30			$5.30				18%
CD-8			WIN	(2/8/11/1/6)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$22.38			$12.38				124%
			EXA	(2/8/11/1/6)-(2/8/11/6/1/7)						25	$2.00	$50.00	6-2		$129.66			$79.66				159%
CD-9			WIN	(7/2/5/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$9.88			$1.88				24%
			EXA	(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-2		$34.42			$10.42				43%
			TRI	(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)						24	$0.50	$12.00	5-2-7		$22.61			$10.61				88%
			DD	(2/8/11/1/6)-(7/2/5/6)						20	$1.00	$20.00	6-5		$50.87			$30.87				154%
CD-10			WIN	(2/8/7)						3	$2.00	$6.00	7		$13.18			$7.18				120%
			EXA	(2/8/7)-(2/11/8/6/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	7-8		$57.70			$33.70				140%
			TRI	(2/8/7)-(2/11/8/6/7)-(2/11/8/6/7)						36	$0.50	$18.00	7-8-11		$101.33			$83.33				463%
			DD	(7/2/5/6)-(2/8/7)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-7		$37.45			$25.45				212%
			PK3	(2/8/11/1/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(2/8/7)						60	$3.00	$180	6-5-7		$1605			$1425				792%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/12/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BEACH BUNNY									(habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122						3.50						4.16
2	MANAGE XPECTATIONS									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.50						1.98
5	HAND IT OVER									(walsh rya)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						8.00		5%		19.00		11.33	S
7	MUSTANG LADY									(newton troy)TORRES A 122						6.00		30%		2.30		9.24
1	EYES OF GOLD									(sims p)MACHADO LUAN 122						12.00		11%		7.90		6.94
4	SUPER COSTLY									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						4.00		26%		2.80		3.14
3	TWIRLING GOOD TIME									(bauer philip )CANNON DECLAN 122						3.00						6.25

CD-2			09/12/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($45K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LEND IT TEWMEY									(foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						3.00		55%		0.80		2.05	W
1	SUTHERLAND									(richard chris)MORALES EDGAR 121						4.00		★				2.53	P
11	PENROD									(moquett rona)TORRES A 121						10.00		5%		19.00		9.65	S
4	W W CRAZY									(calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 121						4.50						3.90
7	GO WEST									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						8.00						20.75
10	J J'S RANGER									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 121						12.00		7%		13.00		14.32
6	ORB OF THE BORO									(vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121						20.00						87.76
8	BORN FLAWLESS									(vance d)LANERIE J 121						15.00						4.49
SCR	ALEJANDRO									(cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121						15.00
SCR	J J'S JOKER									(kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 121						12.00
SCR	KUNSHAN BRIDGE									(kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 121						5.00

CD-3			09/12/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($67K)			2		F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	STARLIT NITE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.50		10%		8.60		4.97	W
13	DIVA CALLING									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119						4.00		33%		2.00		3.09	P
2	STRING MUSIC									(beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119						12.00						8.80
10	HIGHLIGHT SHOW									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 119						3.50		35%		1.80		1.77
8	KITTEN GLOVES									(hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119						8.00						5.62
3	BRUNIA									(schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 119						15.00						30.28
11	THOUSAND M P H									(stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119						15.00						23.35
12	AUTHENTIC ANGEL									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119						8.00		5%		19.00		20.76
1	SUPER PACHI									(anderson cori)CANUTO THIAGO 119						15.00		5%		19.00		26.82
9	MISS ROSSO									(foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 119						15.00						46.78
4	BEE TOO SWEET									(cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119						15.00						86.77
SCR	DRAGON NAVY									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119						4.00
SCR	EASY KISS									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 119						8.00

CD-4			09/12/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	KILLJOY									(foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		23%		3.40		4.65	W
5	PATTON'S TIZZY									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 121						3.50		41%		1.40		2.39	P
3	BEEZER									(williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 121						4.00						4.76
8	FLOTATION STATION									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121						8.00						8.43
2	BURLSWORTH									(moquett rona)TORRES A 121						8.00		10%		8.60		4.51
6	PRIORITY LANE									(ramirez-r)TORRES A 121						8.00		5%		19.00		2.74
1	PARTYVICIOUS									(gonzalez r)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121						20.00						76.41
SCR	TIVERTON (GB)									(cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						4.50

CD-5			09/12/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SPUN D M C									(morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119						10.00						12.84
		(by SPUN TO RUN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
12	CIRCLE TAP									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		27%		2.70		2.62	P
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
7	TROUBLE CALLING									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						10.00		★				13.49	S
		(by DIALED IN out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5	TIZ AUTHORITY									(hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00						13.32
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of DICTATE COOL by CURLIN)
2	OUR FOREFATHERS									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00		5%		19.00		3.33
		(by CONSTITUTION out of VIA VERITAS by STREET SENSE)
3	SPIRIT OF A WALKON									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						20.00						14.70
		(by UNCLE MO out of DELTA'S KINGDOM by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
4	CANTERVILLE									(danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						20.00						60.90
		(by KANTHAROS out of ALL GIRL by UNITE)
10	STIRRING WORDS									(devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119						4.00		21%		3.80		7.45
		(by CONSTITUTION out of BIXBY LOU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6	TIME FOR MUSIC									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						4.50		32%		2.10		4.59
		(by GILDED TIME out of LA DI DA LA DI DA by KEY TO CONTENT)
1	URGENCY									(casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		20.16
		(by KNICKS GO out of JANETSTICKETTOCATS by STORM CAT)
9	HELPFUL HOWIE									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						20.00						26.23
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
13	RING CURL									(wismer gl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119						15.00						28.65
		(by CURLIN out of SOUTHERN RING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR	CONFESSIONAL									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 119						6.00
		(by HOLY BULL out of SPEEDY VANESSA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)

CD-6			09/12/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	EXCEL CALCULATOR									(jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00						5.18
2	LAUGHNOWCRYLATER									(mccarthy micha)ORTIZ L 122						3.00		34%		1.90		1.09	P
3	OVERSTATEMENT									(miller kenny)MACHADO LUAN 122						3.50						3.56
8	EVENING NEWS									(diodoro r)TORRES A 122						4.00						11.49
7	STELLAR VINO									(cunningham s)BARBOSA CARLOS 122						8.00		21%		3.80		15.84
9	GUARDIAN									(foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118						6.00						6.88
5	COMPLEX MUSIC									(shaffer e)JUAREZ NIK 118						15.00		5%		19.00		22.91
6	MINTASTIC									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118						12.00		7%		13.40		21.00
SCR	RAISING KANE									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118						15.00

CD-7			09/12/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	GANAAS									(mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 122						6.00						7.07
8	JUST DEEDS									(ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 122						2.50		37%		1.70		1.60	P
6	PAPA KEN									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						2.00		33%		2.00		1.23	S
4	WILDNCRAZYGUY									(lucas ant)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						5.00						6.14
5	MR. SENSEI									(hernandez rey)MOJICA O 122						10.00		5%		19.00		26.38
1	IT TAKES A COWBOY									(lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 122						20.00						48.74
2	NAUGHTON									(lynch e)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						10.00						27.86
3	CUZIN ROSCOE									(chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 122						8.00		5%		19.00		39.26

CD-8			09/12/2025		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	CABOURG									(d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00		5%		19.00		10.19	W
		(by MUNNINGS out of WEST RIDING by TAPIT)
2	FUZZBUSTER									(oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 119						5.00		40%		1.50		4.33	P
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of MOANIN by MEDICEAN)
10	STABLE HERO									(morse l)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00						29.64
		(by VEKOMA out of HUG ME TIGHT by WITH DISTINCTION)
8	HOLY SEVEN									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.50		20%		4.00		5.94
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROAD TO VICTORY by QUALITY ROAD)
11	INTO THE BEAST									(romans dale)ORTIZ JR 119						3.50		19%		4.20		0.87
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHOA NELLIE by ORB)
5	MOM'S SPAGHETTI									(navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119						12.00						45.00
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FOLLOW NO ONE by UNCLE MO)
4	CORONA DE ORO									(stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119						10.00						26.92
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
9	APOLLO ELEVEN									(casse w)ORTIZ L 119						10.00						21.89
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MOONLIGHTANDBEAUTY by CAPOTE)
12	PEA RIDGE									(schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						30.00						75.69
		(by GAME WINNER out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
3	FRONTIER JUSTICE (IRE)									(heath g)GRAHAM J 119						20.00						55.59
		(by UNBRIDLED out of CARNATION (FR) by CARWHITE)
1	CANDY KING									(devaux ch)TORRES A 119						8.00		5%		19.00		41.87
		(by MASS MARKET out of JUST CALL ME CANDY by JUST THE TIME)
7	COMPLEXED									(casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119						8.00		★				13.08
		(by COMPLEXITY out of SPRING STREET by WILLIAMSTOWN)
SCR	FUOCO VIVO									(crichton )LEPAROUX R 119						8.00
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of BEAUTIFUL LIAR by CANDY RIDE (ARG))

CD-9			09/12/2025		4290ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CAT ON TIME									(jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 123						3.50		22%		3.60		3.94	W
2	CHAMPLIN									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.50		26%		2.90		2.53	P
7	HARRODSBURG									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121						3.00		31%		2.20		1.75	S
1	THREE TECHNIQUE									(cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121						6.00						12.27
4	NOVA RAGS									(mott william )ORTIZ JR 121						6.00						3.92
6	GOLD LUCK									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						8.00		5%		19.00		19.85
8	RYVIT									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						12.00						26.03
SCR	KAVOD									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121						6.00

CD-10			09/12/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($57K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	COOL ANDY									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 120						12.00		5%		19.00		5.59	W
8	COME TO PAPA									(von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 124						12.00		5%		19.00		6.25	P
11	BECK'S DREAMER									(romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120						4.00		★				6.44	S
1	TRAITOUR									(leonard geor)TORRES A 120						12.00						19.57
10	BIG ROG									(king barr)LEPAROUX R 120						20.00						31.51
6	MAGNIFICENT RAGS									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124						3.00		★				4.38
9	FROSTY BEER									(matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120						8.00						11.61
4	PYROMANIA									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120						20.00						41.33
3	EDIFICE									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						5.00						6.33
2	PACIFIC STANDARD									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.50		70%		0.40		2.51
SCR	SINATRA									(moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 110						15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.