Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-4   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $17.80 $9.80 123%
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-7 $45.42 $21.42 89%
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $111.96 $87.96 367%
ELP-7   WIN (1/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.02 $1.02 13%
ELP-9   TRI (1/2/4/11/3)-(1/2/4/11/3)-(1/2/4/11/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-11-3 $50.23 $20.23 67%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($37.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :472 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COMPRESSED 2 2 11½ 11   12 12¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 1.60 42% 1.40 0.42 W
7  ELECTION NIGHT 5 4 41¾ 21   22 22¾ (hartman chris)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 14% 6.10 3.49 P
5  RED SPEEDO 3 1 21½ 33   35 38¼ (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 6.00 10.72  
1  CAMDEN HILLS 1 3 31½ 43½   48½ 412½ (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00 11% 8.00 5.53  
6  COSMIC COLLISSION 4 5 514¾ 515½   517½ 530 (cash norman)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00 20.06  
SCR  DR FENN               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
SCR  THUNDER MURPHY               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ST. ALBANS RAID 4 1 11 1½   1½ 11 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5.79  
1  MINK STOLE 1 5 41½ 2½   2½ 21 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 20% 4.00 1.41 P
4  INDESCRIPTABLE 2 2 31 52   53½ 32¼ (cobb carol)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 2.63 S
5  STARLIT SOFI 3 4 52½ 31   32 43 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 10.00 11.15  
8  LOIS' COURAGE 5 3 21 41½   43 56 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.00 47% 1.10 2.39  
SCR  ANIMAL FRIES               (newton troy)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
SCR  FEAR THE QUEEN               (randazzo ted)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
SCR  WHAT'S HER NUMBER               (fawkes david)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.00    
 
ELP-3   08/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($42.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:114 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NATIONAL ECLIPSE 3 3 31½ 31 3½ 3½ 1¼ (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 47% 1.10 2.11 W
2  OVERSTATEMENT 2 1 41½ 41½ 41 41 2¼ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 4.24  
4  MO HOPE 4 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 33¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 5.04  
5  EVENING NEWS 5 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 44½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 3.50 15% 5.80 1.73  
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID 6 6 53½ 52½ 52½ 53½ 56¼ (diodoro rob)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.53  
1  JOHNSON 1 5 66½ 64½ 65 65½ 68 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00 8.95  
 
ELP-4   08/17/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:22 :461 1:11 1:343   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ELEGANT TRIP 2 3 35½ 35 31½ 12 11¼ (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
7  WRITE OFF JERRY 7 5 48½ 48 42 22 21¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.02 P
1  FORT THOMAS 1 6 713 711½ 75 44½ 33¾ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 8.51  
3  KID CAIRO 3 4 511½ 69½ 63½ 55 45¾ (casse mar)TORRES A 122 4.00 25% 3.00 7.49  
4  AZOI 4 7 611½ 59½ 53½ 65½ 56 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 10.00 29.72  
6  TICKLED QUIST 6 2 22 23½ 21 34½ 67½ (cox h)TORRES A 118 2.50 9% 9.80 3.36  
5  BALTIMORE HEART 5 1 12 13½ 11 77½ 715 (williamson b)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 7.17  
 
ELP-5   08/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($38.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GUANARE 2 6 53¼ 52½   42½ 12¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 8.00 1.48  
8  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 1 1nk 2nk   12 22¾ (foster eric)TORRES A 122 10.00 3.60  
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 3 3.2 3½   32 33¾ (cook jason )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 ★ 4.25 S
1  FORTYSIXCOUNTS 1 5 41¾ 41   52¾ 44½ (wittek karyn)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 14% 6.00 5.38  
4  ESPIONAGE 4 4 2nk 1nk   22 57¾ (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 8.00 41% 1.40 8.52  
7  SWIFT AS I AM 5 2 64¼ 67   67¾ 610¼ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 6.14  
SCR  JACKMAN               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 3.50    
SCR  W W CANDY               (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.00    
 
ELP-6   08/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:124 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAMP KING 1 6 42¼ 1½ 12 12½ 1¼ (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00 5.32  
  (by VICE REGENT out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
14  EPIC HORSEPOWER 11 10 86¼ 83½ 42½ 22½ 2¼ (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.84 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SWEET CANDY DANCE by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  FULLEFFORT 4 8 75¾ 72½ 73¾ 45½ 3¾ (cox h)TORRES A 119 3.50 56% 0.80 1.77 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  YOUR WILDEST DREAM 8 3 32 62¼ 63¼ 66 42 (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
  (by CEFIS out of BONNEVILLE FLATS by FLAT OUT)
6  APOLLO'S GLORY 5 1 2nk 3½ 22 35 55¾ (stephen ant)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00 24.34  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TROPICAL WAVE by LEMON DROP KID)
8  MOUNTAIN HIGH 7 5 54¼ 52¼ 32½ 55½ 69¾ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 58.56  
  (by DANEHILL out of JUST A LOOK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
11  POINT BARROW 9 7 99¼ 95½ 84¾ 810¼ 713½ (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 32.89  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OUTRAGEOUS MISS by BERNARDINI)
12  CEDERBERG 10 11 1114¼ 107 108¾ 1012¾ 814½ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.60 5.20  
  (by ROSBERG out of IN FROM THE COLD by AMERICAN CHANCE)
4  H Q WILSON 3 9 64¾ 42 52¾ 710 916 (o'neill doug)SHEEHY DANNY 119 15.00 ★ 32.01  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOLASTA by GOLDENCENTS)
7  SIR VINCENT 6 4 1011¾ 117½ 95¼ 912¾ 1016 (hancock l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 13.86  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
3  CHESTER GOOD 2 2 1nk 2½ 1114¾ 1127¾ 1157 (thompson darrel)MEEKS MICAH 109 30.00 5% 19.00 74.69  
  (by ROGUEISH out of LUCRE by FIELD COMMISSION)
SCR  MY WORLD               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
  (by WORLD STAGE (IRE) out of KELLI MY GIRL by TUNERUP)
SCR  PERFECTIONACHIEVED               (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BOLD INTENT by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  ROYAL CAUSEWAY               (stewart dall)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  STRONG               (desormeaux k)ROCCO S 119 8.00    
  (by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY out of SWEET GOLD by GILDED TIME)
SCR  WADO               (hancock jo)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CLAUDELLE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
ELP-7   08/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHAMPAGNE CANDICE 8 1 11 1½   13 12¾ (von donn)ROCCO S 119 8.00 23% 3.40 3.51 W
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of ELUSIVE CHAMPAGNE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  LIL TIPSY 7 8 42½ 41½   23 22¾ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 21.37  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NOT SWAYED by HONOR CODE)
1  NOROOMFORMISCHIEF 1 5 74½ 53   56 37¼ (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 24% 3.10 2.62 S
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  DRAGON NAVY 5 2 21 2½   43½ 47¾ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 8.39  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MS. DRAGONETTE by MR SPEAKER)
2  CARDIFF REEF 2 4 31½ 31½   33½ 58 (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 11.50  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRINCESS VIVIAN by UH OH BANGO)
3  LOVE DIVINE 3 9 95 85   67½ 68½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.50 24% 3.20 4.03  
  (by SANDPIT out of PREPPYLUV by PARADE OF STARS)
4  MISS MILKY WAY 4 3 64 74½   77¾ 79¾ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 119 12.00 ★ 10.36  
  (by ALTERNATION out of PANCAKE by CORINTHIAN)
12  LADY LAW 9 7 53 63½   88¾ 812 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 7.68  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LADY BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  DAWN QUIXOTE 6 6 84½ 95½   914¼ 929½ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
  (by GREY DAWN II out of GOLDEN DAWN by NATIVE PROSPECTOR)
SCR  ANNIE'S ALLIE               (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by TACITUS out of TUFF BUT FAIR by VIOLENCE)
SCR  DANCEWHENYOUCAN               (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of DANCE THEWAYYOUARE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  LUCKY LOUISA               (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of R ANGEL KATELYN by HIGH COTTON)
 
ELP-8   08/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:212 :44 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TWIRL AROUND 2 3 32 31½   1½ 1¼ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 10.07  
4  NIKI NINE DOORS 4 5 53¾ 53   51¾ 2¼ (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 36% 1.80 0.86 P
3  HIDEKI 3 6 86¼ 85¼   62¼ 31¼ (walsh ryan )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00 23.19  
7  CURRENT CLIMATE 7 2 42¼ 42   41½ 41¾ (foster eric)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 29.40  
8  JILL JITTERBUG 8 1 74¾ 73¾   83¼ 52¾ (walsh ryan )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.53  
5  DALA 5 7 2nk 1nk   3½ 63¼ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.00 41% 1.40 2.13  
6  BIRDIE ROSE 6 4 1nk 2nk   2½ 73¼ (salas marceli)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 30.00 25.18  
1  SECRET STATEMENT 1 8 64¼ 63½   72¾ 85¾ (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 25.28  
SCR  SULTRY LASS               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEMPER PRIMUS 1 2 11½ 13   15 18¼ (divito j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 40% 1.50 2.58 W
  (by IMPROBABLE out of INAUGURATE by EMPIRE MAKER)
11  DIVINE JUSTICE 9 4 32 23   25 28¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 14.30 2.17 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of RARITIES by CITY ZIP)
3  WHITE WHALE 3 3 42 44½   36½ 310½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6% 16.10 10.33 S
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  TROUBLE AHEAD 8 10 1018 1010   710½ 412 (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 12.00 34.04  
  (by HAVE FUN out of VAGUELY TROUBLED by WARD OFF TROUBLE)
4  ATLAL 4 6 815½ 66½   69 512¾ (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 9% 9.50 6.69  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ATHEER by MALIBU MOON)
9  RIDGE OF FIRE 7 5 21½ 34   48 613 (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 37.58  
  (by FIRING LINE out of DELIGHTFUL RIDGE by COME SUMMER)
6  THE CHALK 5 8 916 88½   912 715¼ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 14.88  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BEEN STUDYING HER by FAST ANNA)
2  STOMP 2 9 74½ 78½   811 815¼ (moquett rona)TORRES A 119 8.00 17% 5.00 3.73  
  (by MITOLE out of HIGH HEELS by E DUBAI)
12  WOODSON 10 7 63½ 55   59 916 (eurton peter)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.76  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of A P MINK by A.P. INDY)
8  WOBBEGONG 6 1 53 99   1015½ 1027¼ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 62.84  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
SCR  BARKER               (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of JENNIFER'S JEWEL by LITE THE FUSE)
SCR  DAZZLE A. P.               (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS INTENT               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GUARANA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  TRE ITALIANI               (rivelli larr)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.