Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(3/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7)-(3/1/5/4)-(1/8/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(1/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(6/1/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4)-(1/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/4)-(6/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/4)-(6/1/3/5)-(2/3/1/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5)-(6/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/5)-(2/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/5)-(2/3/1/8)-(1/2/4/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8)-(2/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/8)-(1/2/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/8)-(1/2/4/5/3)-(9/3/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5/3)-(1/2/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5/3)-(1/2/4/5/3)-(1/2/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5/3)-(9/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5/3)-(9/3/4/7)-(7/1/4/3/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/7)-(9/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/7)-(9/3/4/7)-(9/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/4/7)-(7/1/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/7)-(7/1/4/3/8)-(3/5/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/1/4/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/3/8)-(7/1/4/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/3/8)-(7/1/4/3/8)-(7/1/4/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/4/3/8)-(3/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/3/8)-(3/5/4/7)-(2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-9   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-10   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWERK Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Apr11 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
2  VILLAGE CAT Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
3  CHLOES ANGEL Feb28 Feb10 Jan29 Jan15 Dec03 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  SWEET EMPIRE Feb10 Sep30 Sep18 May18 May04 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
5  TALE OF THE LYON Feb05 Jan13 Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
6  BIG FACTS Feb27 Jan29 Dec04 Nov04 Oct21 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
7  CITY SIGNS Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 (castillo)MARTINEZ A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED CONNECTION Mar01 Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Oct04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
2  BAND OF ROSES Feb26 Jun10 May12 Dec06 Nov15 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
3  BATTLE TESTED Feb28 Jan24 Jan06 Dec04 Nov14 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  BIG JAVA Feb26 Feb12 Feb03 Jan24 Dec16 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KANTBACKOFF Feb28 Feb03 Jan15 Nov29 Nov16 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
6  TORREY STREET Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 Dec16 Nov27 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
7  I FEEL THE NEED Feb12 Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 Sep09 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY FORTUNE Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 Nov04 Sep04 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  BOSSY LADY Jan29 Jan07 Dec19 Jul03 Jun19 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SARAH JANE Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 Oct03 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
4  PRICELESS PICTURE Nov12 Oct03 Sep14 Jul25 Jul04 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  POWER BANKER Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Jul25 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
6  BAY MAGIC Feb28 Feb10 Jan15 Jul04 Jun18 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Feb10 Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 Nov13 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
8  DANZA MAGIC Feb28 Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 Dec03 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-4   03/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MIRACLE KIUT Feb08 Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
2  GOODNESS SAKES Feb08 Dec19 Dec04 Nov14 Sep20 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Feb08 Jan09 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
4  HIGH FIRE Jan23 Jan13 Nov04 Sep09 Jul17 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00    
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 Dec28 Nov18 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CROSSED UP Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 Dec11 Nov04 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
7  BETTER HALF Jan23 Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep11 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   03/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIN DOCTOR Feb11 Jan25 Dec16 Dec05 Nov02 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 126 4.00 9% 10.20    
2  BEAT THE DEALER Feb11 Jan23 Nov19 Oct19 Sep19 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  PLAY BALL Feb11 Jan23 Dec19 Nov19 Oct21 (castillo jabdie)HERMAN NOEL 121 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  KEEPING SCORE Jan23 Sep10 Aug20 Jan01 Nov28 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
5  BAD BOY BOOGIE Jun27 Jun12 May22 Mar13 Feb15 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 126 12.00    
6  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jan30 Jan02 Dec17 Nov21 Oct29 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 126 5.00    
7  HONOR THE D Jan23 Nov19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 (bates l)BRACHO A 126 15.00    
8  EL MARRO Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 Nov26 Apr01 (romero jose )TAVARES JAVIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHOW SLIDING HOME Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 Nov19 Aug29 (johnso)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY LUKE Feb11 Jan16 Dec20 Nov27 Nov04 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  POP THE CORK Dec23 Dec11 Nov14 Oct21 Sep24 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 21% 3.70    
3  THAT MAGIC MOMENT Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 Nov29 Oct18 (gotera)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRAND BEY Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 (poole jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FREE FROM GUILT Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 Jul20 Jun29 (inman robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Feb28 Dec04 Nov19 Nov11 Oct10 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
SCR  BAMBY BOOM Feb06 Jan23 Nov06 Oct02 Sep12 (short travis )SIMPSON JASON 116 12.00    
8  UNCLE'S THE BANKER Feb06 Jan24 Nov20 Oct21 Oct11 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50    
9  BEER MOSA Dec03 Nov26 Nov13 Oct22 Oct07 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
10  MINIMO Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 Sep20 (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RED MAN Feb27 Feb06 Jan27 Dec16 Dec03 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
2  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Feb11 Jan07 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
3  SALTA Feb05 Jan23 Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  SOUTHERN SENSE Mar01 Feb05 Nov27 Nov18 Nov12 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPSOLUTION Feb05 Jan16 Dec26 Dec10 Nov17 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
SCR  OUTKISSED Mar01 Jan28 Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
7  T MONEY Feb06 Jan24 Dec05 Nov11 Oct19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SCRATCHOFF Mar01 Feb05 Jan16 Dec02 Oct23 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
9  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan27 Jan07 Dec23 Dec02 Nov14 (vecchi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
MVR-8   03/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEBRIDES Jan27 Dec27 Oct22 Oct14 Sep28 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 14% 6.10    
2  RUMOURS FLY Jan27 Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Oct22 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
3  ELKO Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEEN LEXI Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 Dec26 Nov04 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 8.00 7% 13.10    
5  DEE DEE B Nov03 Sep02 Aug12 Jun13 May08 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50    
6  HAYEK Dec10 Nov22 Aug30 Jul25 Jul04 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
7  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Jan24 Nov14 Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 5.00 53% 0.90    
8  BYTHENUMBERS Jan27 Jan09 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GARDEN SECRETS Feb12 Jan06 Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 15.00    
SCR  MARY KATHERINE Jan27 Jan09 Dec18 Nov27 Nov10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
 
MVR-9   03/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK Feb17 Jan23 Nov22 Nov03 Oct26 (lauer michael)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
2  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Feb12 Jan04 Dec14 Oct30 Oct11 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 126 2.50    
3  LORD OF MISCHIEF Feb11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov04 Oct25 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  JOKEMEISTER Feb11 Nov05 Oct22 Aug29 Jul23 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 8% 11.20    
5  INSIDE STUNT Feb28 Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 Dec02 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
6  COLLECTORATE Jan09 Jun23 Jun02 Nov07 Sep17 (bracho jr)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
7  SAINT GOAR Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Oct10 Aug10 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-10   03/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CHIC Jan29 Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 Aug27 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 15.00    
2  NO BODY LIKES ME Feb13 Jan29 Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 (haynes m)PEREZ A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  GILA Jan01 Nov29 Sep21 Aug16 Jul04 (hess b)BARBARAN ERIK 124 0.80    
4  LOFTY COWTOWN Jan25 Oct11 Sep19 Aug10 Jul15 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY JASPER Jan23 Jan07 Dec04 Oct26 Sep11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jan29 Dec19 Nov14 Nov02 Sep11 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.