Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-6   WIN (8/11/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.60 $2.60 33%
MVR-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $14.20 $2.20 18%
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-4-3 $5.65 $2.65 88%
    DD (8/11/7/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-5 $32.00 $8.00 33%
MVR-8   EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $14.40 $2.40 20%
MVR-9   EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-7 $13.80 $1.80 15%
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-7-6 $6.70 $3.70 123%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
See original race card.
:232 :482       1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE 2 6 54 56   51½ 1hd (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 12.30  
7  DRILL BLITZ 7 1 44 42½   1½ 2hd (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.60 59% 0.70 0.90 P
5  DESTINY'S TOT 5 2 33½ 32   41 33¼ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.60 S
4  QUETZALY 4 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 45¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 126 1.80 16% 5.40 2.70  
1  JUSTWORTHASHOT 1 5 1½ 1nk   3½ 57¼ (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 2.40  
6  MY DEAR VALENTINE 6 3 69 610   65½ 611¼ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 5% 19.00 52.50  
3  DRILLING 3 7 79¼ 710¼   78½ 721¾ (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00 69.40  
 
MVR-2   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:144 1:283   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ICE AXE 4 5 48 46 32 11 13 (clay pat)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 2.70  
5  PHOTO HOP 5 4 611½ 610 54½ 44½ 23 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 3.70  
6  SECRET RENDEZVOUS 6 3 510 56½ 21½ 32½ 33½ (lauer michae)HALDAR J 124 2.00 78% 0.30 0.70 S
3  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL 3 2 11½ 13½ 11½ 21 44¼ (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 2 6 34 35 43½ 58 511¼ (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 30.60  
1  FREE FROM GUILT 1 1 21½ 23½ 69½ 616 629¼ (inman robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
SCR  EPIC KNIGHT               (garcia amal)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
SCR  SWEET TRAVELS               (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:141 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WICCA WISDOM 5 1 45½ 44½ 32 12 14 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 2.50 1.10  
2  BATTLE TESTED 2 5 56½ 54¾ 54 22 24 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 ★ 3.40 P
5  PRANCIPANTS 4 3 33½ 33 42½ 43 312 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 73% 0.40 3.20 S
1  TORREY STREET 1 4 2nk 2nk 11 32 413¼ (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  PRINCESSTAPITURE 3 2 1nk 1nk 21 53½ 513½ (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 3.00 5.00  
SCR  ELIKA               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CITY SIGNS 9 1 31½ 31½   2nk 12 (castillo)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 10.40  
6  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 6 7 86¾ 65½   54 22 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 38.50  
10  DANZA MAGIC 10 2 76½ 87¾   74¾ 32¼ (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.50 ★ 3.70 S
2  CHLOES ANGEL 2 9 53 53   31½ 42½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.80  
5  BAY MAGIC 5 5 2nk 21   42 52¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
1  VILLAGE CAT 1 8 1nk 11   1nk 64 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 35% 1.90 2.10  
11  LADY ABRIL 11 6 97¼ 98¾   105¾ 75¼ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 12.30  
8  STATE OF GRACE 8 4 108¼ 109¼   95¼ 85¾ (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 ######  
7  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 7 3 65 75¾   85¼ 96½ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
4  BISCAYNE BAY 4 10 42½ 43   64¼ 107½ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00 10.30  
3  GAIL'S DANCER 3 11 1112¼ 1112¼   118¾ 1114 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00 61.00  
 
MVR-5   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:224 :453 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 1 4 52¼ 42   3.2 1¼ (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 4.50  
5  TRA LAD 4 2 41¾ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 124 4.50 9.00  
2  MOREAU 2 3 2nk 52½   51¾ 3½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★ 1.80 S
6  INSIDE STUNT 5 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 42½ (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00 21% 3.80 4.40  
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 3 5 1nk 3½   41¼ 55¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 48% 1.10 1.40  
SCR  BIG ROWDY DAN               (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
SCR  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK               (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIMELY SECRET 6 9 86½ 54½   4¾ 12½ (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.30 W
6  GRACE AND GLORY 5 4 2nk 31½   3½ 22½ (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00 4.90  
10  LUCKY PHOENIX 9 1 63¾ 65   52¼ 35 (paye jose)FLACO ARCELIO 124 15.00 13.40  
1  WRITTEN CONSENT 1 7 4¼ 75½   64¼ 45½ (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 ★ 10.90  
4  YEHAWMEMAW 3 10 1012 1012½   95¾ 56 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH 2 8 911½ 912   85¼ 66½ (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 49.10  
11  KANTBACKOFF 10 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 77¼ (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00 26% 2.80 6.20  
8  QUICK RECOVERY 7 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 89½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 50% 1.00 3.10  
9  TESHIMA 8 6 76¼ 86   74¾ 911¾ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 4.60  
5  GOTHAM GRAY 4 5 52¼ 42½   108¾ 1015¾ (ccamaque marco)PAUCAR E 124 12.00 12.10  
SCR  PACIFIC VIEW               (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OOPSIE DOOPSIE 4 2 31 3½   2½ 1¼ (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 67% 0.50 3.00 W
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 2¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.00 12% 7.60 0.80 P
3  SABELLE 2 5 1½ 1nk   32 38¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 5% 19.00 2.90 S
1  KAY BEE GEE 1 4 41 42   42 48¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 126 20.00 18.30  
6  C F V TU BRUTUS 5 3 52½ 54   56 510 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 126 6.00 6.00  
SCR  MISS SHADY               (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00    
 
MVR-8   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DROPPING LEMONS 3 4 21 2nk   11 11¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 126 2.50 39% 1.60 0.90 W
6  WEST COAST SONG 4 6 64¼ 66¼   31 21¼ (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 12% 7.30 5.90 P
7  EMM ESS EH 5 2 51¾ 55¾   41½ 34½ (bracho jr)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 3.30  
2  SAND WEDGE 2 5 31 33½   51¾ 45 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 3.50 5.60  
8  MOONSHINING 6 1 41½ 43¾   62¾ 59¾ (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 10.00 20% 4.00 6.20  
1  RED DELICIOUS 1 3 11 1nk   21 610½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 19.40  
SCR  GRACE IN EXCESS               (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  MANDY'S MISS               (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 116 3.00    
 
MVR-9   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:143 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALL MY LIFE 2 2 21 31½ 31 3½ 11 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 4.00 38% 1.70 1.60 W
7  STREETS OF WAR 5 3 31½ 2½ 1nk 4¾ 21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 2.50 17% 4.90 2.70 P
6  ODE TO BALIUS 4 5 41½ 42 41½ 1nk 31¼ (torres)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
1  ACTION MAN 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2nk 47¼ (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 116 3.00 5.20  
3  REASON TO BELIEVE 3 4 55½ 57½ 511½ 518¾ 541½ (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 118 3.50 6.30  
SCR  MIMA PRINCESS               (bouali wajdi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 111 20.00    
SCR  PLAIN AND SIMPLE               (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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