Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(6/3/1)-(5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(5/1)-(2/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/1/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/1/5/7)-(3/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/10/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/7)-(2/1/10/5/7)-(2/1/10/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/7)-(3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/7)-(3/6)-(8/11/7/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(8/11/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(8/11/7/4)-(5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (8/11/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/7/4)-(8/11/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/7/4)-(8/11/7/4/1)-(8/11/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/11/7/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/11/7/4)-(5/4/3)-(3/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(3/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(3/8/6)-(2/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-8   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6)-(3/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/6)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTWORTHASHOT Feb06 Jan25 Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00    
2  RAZZBERRY RIPPLE Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
3  DRILLING Feb05 Jan08 Dec18 Nov20 Oct19 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
4  QUETZALY Feb06 Jan25 Jun17 May28 May09 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 126 1.80 16% 5.40    
5  DESTINY'S TOT Feb10 Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 Oct23 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY DEAR VALENTINE Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Oct21 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  DRILL BLITZ Feb05 Dec26 Dec09 Nov21   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
MVR-2   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE FROM GUILT Feb06 Jan23 Jul20 Jun29 May29 (inman robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Dec04 Nov19 Nov11 Oct10 Jul08 (schuster r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
3  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Feb06 Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 Dec10 (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ICE AXE Jan02 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug11 (clay pat)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
5  PHOTO HOP Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60    
6  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Feb06 Jan23 Jul29 Jul18 May27 (lauer michae)HALDAR J 124 2.00 78% 0.30    
SCR  EPIC KNIGHT Feb03 Jan25 Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 (garcia amal)NUNEZ Y 124 4.50    
SCR  SWEET TRAVELS Feb03 Jan25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (dacosta j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORREY STREET Jan27 Jan09 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  BATTLE TESTED Jan24 Jan06 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 ★    
3  PRINCESSTAPITURE Feb03 Jan15 Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 3.00    
SCR  ELIKA Feb06 Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 Dec03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
5  PRANCIPANTS Jan15 Dec26 Dec11 Oct19 Aug06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 73% 0.40    
6  WICCA WISDOM Feb12 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov13 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
 
MVR-4   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Oct07 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Feb10 Jan29 Jan15 Dec03 Nov18 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  GAIL'S DANCER Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 Oct26 Oct11 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
4  BISCAYNE BAY Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
5  BAY MAGIC Feb10 Jan15 Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT Jan29 Jan13 Jun11 May04 Apr02 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00    
7  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Feb05 Jan15 May04 Feb26 Feb13 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  STATE OF GRACE Feb05 Jan13 Oct13 Sep04 Aug21 (norris stephani)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
9  CITY SIGNS Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Oct30 (castillo)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
10  DANZA MAGIC Feb10 Jan24 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 4.50 ★    
11  LADY ABRIL Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Jun03 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
 
MVR-5   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Dec20 Oct12 Sep22 Aug04 Jul15 (brown h)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
2  MOREAU Jan23 Nov19 Nov05 Sep26 Sep09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★    
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Jan16 Nov13 Oct30 Sep08 Aug26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 May22 May01 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 20.00    
5  TRA LAD Jan11 May27 May06 Dec30 Nov22 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 124 4.50    
6  INSIDE STUNT Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 Dec02 Nov11 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  BIG ROWDY DAN Jan16 Dec11 Nov20 Oct19 Sep24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITTEN CONSENT Jan15 Nov07 Oct13 Sep20 Sep01 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00 ★    
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH Feb12 Jan24 Dec03 Oct19 Sep19 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
SCR  PACIFIC VIEW Jan15 Dec03 Nov11 Oct13 Sep20 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
4  YEHAWMEMAW Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 Dec09 Nov11 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOTHAM GRAY Feb03 Jan09 Dec27 Dec09 Nov10 (ccamaque marco)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
6  GRACE AND GLORY Feb03 Jan09 Dec18 Dec03 Oct28 (urieta johan)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00    
7  TIMELY SECRET Feb06 Jan15 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  QUICK RECOVERY Jan27 Jan09 Dec23 Dec04 Nov19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
9  TESHIMA Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
10  LUCKY PHOENIX Jan27 Jan01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 (paye jose)BERMUDEZ E 124 15.00    
11  KANTBACKOFF Feb03 Jan15 Nov29 Nov16 Nov01 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-7   02/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAY BEE GEE Feb12 Jan25 Dec04 Nov12 Jul25 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 20.00    
SCR  MISS SHADY Feb12 Jan28 Jan09 Dec27 Nov27 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 8.00    
3  SABELLE Feb12 Dec26 Nov21 Oct19 Aug20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  CONSTITUTIONALIST Feb12 Jan25 Dec04 Nov14 Sep09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.00 12% 7.60    
5  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Jan15 Dec26 Dec11 Aug16 Jul26 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 3.00 67% 0.50    
6  C F V TU BRUTUS Feb03 Jan15 Dec19 Oct24 Oct15 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 126 6.00    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00    
 
MVR-8   02/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DELICIOUS Jan07 Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
2  SAND WEDGE Jan03 Nov22 Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
3  DROPPING LEMONS Feb05 Dec17 Nov28 Nov17 Nov03 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 126 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  GRACE IN EXCESS Feb12 Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 Nov12 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SCR  MANDY'S MISS Feb01 Dec19 Nov27 Oct03   (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 116 3.00    
6  WEST COAST SONG Feb08 Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 Oct10 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
7  EMM ESS EH Jan15 Oct10 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 (bracho jr)PAUCAR E 124 5.00    
8  MOONSHINING Feb04 Jan25 Dec19 Nov24 Nov02 (vecchio caryn)STOKES J 124 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-9   02/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTION MAN Dec11 Nov25 Nov11     (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 116 3.00    
2  ALL MY LIFE Dec12         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 4.00 38% 1.70    
3  REASON TO BELIEVE Jan30 Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep30 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 118 3.50    
SCR  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Dec28 Dec09 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  MIMA PRINCESS Jan29 Dec01 Nov18 Oct23 Oct13 (bouali wajdi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 111 20.00    
6  ODE TO BALIUS Jan18 Dec19 Nov23 Sep11 Aug24 (torres)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  STREETS OF WAR Feb08 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct07 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.