Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/5/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/3/1)-(4/6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(1/5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/1)-(1/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/1)-(1/5/2/8)-(4/5/8/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/8)-(4/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/8)-(4/5/8/1)-(5/1/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1)-(4/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/1)-(5/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/1)-(5/1/2/3)-(8/1/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/3)-(8/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (8/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/07/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ANGEL Jan24 Dec13 Mar18 Feb11 Jan14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  HOOKIN' UP         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
3  MIA NIPOTINA Jan16 Dec29 Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  CUPRITE Jan16 Oct12       (donk david)VIVES SOFIA 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOOD MISSION Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Aug28 Aug01 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
SCR  NIKKI BRAINBURST Jan16 Nov25 Oct20 Sep26 Aug23 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.50    
7  SHE'S A NATURAL Jan12 Dec01 Nov16 Nov07 Sep21 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 10.00    
 
AQU-2   02/07/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASMAK Jan04 Nov10 Oct05 Sep01 Dec17 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.40 57% 0.80    
2  OLYMPIC DREAMS Jan25 Dec28 Aug15 May04 Mar30 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUMMER CAUSE Dec12 Nov07 Sep15 Apr06 May13 (clemen)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.50    
4  PEEK Jan03 Dec28 Oct10 Jul21 Jun13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
5  MAGICAL WAYS Jan12 Dec12 Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
6  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jan12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jul05 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 121 12.00    
 
AQU-3   02/07/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPRING MAGIC Jan19 Dec12 Nov09 Oct12 Sep22 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  VEGAS WEEKEND Jan19 Jan12 Nov21 Nov07 Jun29 (arriaga anton)OLVER MADISON 121 10.00    
3  WILLFUL DESIRE Jan03 Dec08 Aug14 Jul07 Jun22 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  GOLDCREST Aug29 Jul28 Jun29 May10 Jan11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ADELEKE Jan08 Dec09 Nov20 Oct09 Nov18 (dunn fe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00    
6  LATEST EDITION Jan10 Nov14 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 15.00    
SCR  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Nov22 Oct20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
 
AQU-4   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG RICH Jan11 Dec29 Nov22 Oct27 Aug28 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KING FREUD Jan11 Oct05 Sep21 Aug04 Jun30 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 123 12.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC ARC Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 Nov10 Oct31 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
4  RIDE UP Dec28 Sep16 Aug17 Jul14 Jun17 (abreu fernando)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  CONNIVING Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Nov17 Oct25 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  MACKVILLE Jun16 Jun02 Apr21 Mar06 Feb07 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 19% 4.20    
7  BASIC TRUTH Jan25 Feb11 May06 Mar25 Feb09 (keithan rachae)CEDENO CAROL 123 30.00    
8  SOLO'S FURY Oct12 Sep16 Aug18 Jun28 Dec16 (englehart )RIVERA R 123 3.50    
 
AQU-5   02/07/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACHWALKER Jan19 Dec15 Dec08 Nov24 Oct17 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  KAHALA Jan24 Nov14 Oct17 Oct01 Aug31 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
3  DEBATE Jan10 Nov13 Oct12 Sep20 Aug24 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00    
4  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Oct21 Oct08 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
5  VENGE Jan02 Dec14 Nov25 Oct30 Sep30 (d'alessa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jan23 Dec14 Nov24 Nov14 Oct19 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
7  HIGHER QUALITY Jan19 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Oct19 (potts wayn)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
8  CENTAVO May18 May04 Apr26 Mar30 Mar22 (chatterpaul na)CEDENO CAROL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   02/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO'S GOT THE TIP Jan17 Nov11 Sep23 Sep09   (d'alessa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY VANILLA Jan17 Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Aug28 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
SCR  PERFECT FINISH Jan17         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
4  CAROL SAID NO Jan17 Dec12 Sep28 Aug03 Jun21 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
5  GAGA'S HAMSOME Jan16 Dec29 Nov29 Oct31 Sep28 (barker edward )CIVACI SAHIN 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  NO FACTOR Jan17 Nov18 Nov06 Oct22   (toscano t)COA J 122 6.00    
7  SELECTIVELY SWEET Jan17 Nov24 Oct16 Sep13 Aug28 (chichakly a)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00    
8  POWER DRIVER Jan17 Dec27 Nov09 Oct03   (potts wayne)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 9% 9.80    
 
AQU-7   02/07/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE NINE HUNDRED Jan11         (morley thomas)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of HEDONISM by CURLIN)
2  FANATICAL Dec26         (walden)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of ENCHANTRESS by MALIBU MOON)
3  TOGA D'ORO         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DALEELATY by DAAHER)
4  POROSITY         (rice linda)VIVES SOFIA 120 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MISS PATCHOULI by BERNARDINI)
5  COLLOQUIAL Jun15         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 32% 2.10    
  (by VEKOMA out of TERMINOLOGY by BERNARDINI)
6  GRAND COMMANDER Jan11         (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of UNDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  QUIET MOON         (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 120 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SMOOTH QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  HONOR THE BULL Jan08         (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
  (by FLATTER out of RASTA FARIAN by HOLY BULL)
9  TURN AND COUNT         (martin car)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TIZAHIT by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-8   02/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT GAL Jan08 Nov02 Oct17 Aug30   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  ESTHER'S SALAD Jan19 Dec29 Nov29     (jimenez l)VIVES SOFIA 120 20.00    
3  INSTANT VISION Dec06         (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
4  SYL'S PLEASURE Jan19 Jan01       (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 120 6.00    
5  GIANT AT WORK Dec29 Dec01       (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
6  SECRET FIRE         (bhigroog chetr)COA J 120 30.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TRULLI MAGIC Jan23 Dec14 Nov16     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
8  TOWER TWENTY TWO Jan10 Dec07 Nov09 Sep13   (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
9  OUR PREFERRED PAL Jan19 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26   (englehart chri)LUZZI J 120 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.