Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/2/4)-(5/10/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/10/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/10/9/8)-(4/5/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/10/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/9/8)-(5/10/9/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/10/9/8)-(5/10/9/3/8)-(5/10/9/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/10/9/8)-(4/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/10/9/8)-(4/5/7/1)-(8/9/10/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/1)-(8/9/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/1)-(8/9/10/3/6)-(3/2/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (8/9/10/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/10/3/6)-(8/9/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/10/3/6)-(8/9/10/3/6)-(8/9/10/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/10/3/6)-(3/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/10/3/6)-(3/2/1/5)-(7/6/9/3/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(7/6/9/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/5)-(7/6/9/3/11)-(6/11/1/5/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/6/9/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/3/11)-(7/6/9/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/3/11)-(7/6/9/3/11)-(7/6/9/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/6/9/3/11)-(6/11/1/5/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/11/1/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/11/1/5/9)-(6/11/1/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/11/1/5/9)-(6/11/1/5/9)-(6/11/1/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT ME A CHRYSLER Jan03 Dec16 Jul05 Jun07 Apr18 (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  GO BROTHER GO Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 (munoz yovan)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 12.00    
3  POP'S PEPPYSTEPER Dec20 Nov29 Jun15 May17 Apr10 (castille )HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00    
4  LOVELY SASSICAIA Jan09 Dec20 Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  APRIORITY ROCKET Jan04 Nov29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul26 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 3.50    
6  FATHER MARK Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Aug14 Jul19 (delacruz j)CURTIS BEN 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
FG-2   02/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING THE DISTANCE Jan11 Jan12 Dec17 Nov01 Sep15 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  SACRED SAINT Oct23 Sep26 Aug19 Feb04 Jan13 (scherer er)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
3  SWEET CHARLIZE Jul27 May25 Apr27 Feb25 Jan19 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 122 5.00    
4  SPECTACULAR FORCE Jan02 Dec21 Dec08 Oct21 Oct14 (carter ange)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS POM POM Jan16 Jan04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep29 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 5.00    
6  AZTEC EMPRESS Jan09 Dec08 Sep16 Jul22 Jun02 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 122 3.00    
 
FG-3   02/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($59K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHLYNS PHALANX Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 Jul24 (sharp marc)WELLINGTON KYLIE 111 20.00    
2  CAPTIVATING STAR Jan02 Aug23 Jun13 May23 Mar10 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
3  AMERICAN DOLLARS Jan11 Nov02 Sep14 Aug20 Jul23 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 ★    
4  WICKED SECRET Jan03 Dec14 Aug10 Jul13 Jul02 (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00    
5  PASSING JUDGMENT Dec14 Nov23 Jun06 Apr17 Feb24 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 54% 0.90    
6  PEPPER JACK Jan12 Dec29 Dec05 Oct30 Oct19 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  GORDITO HERMOSO Jan02 Nov24 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
8  SLICK AND FAST Dec20 Mar08 Feb16 Feb03 Jan18 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  TONTERIA Jan02 Dec14 May21 May01 Feb29 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNIFIED REPORT Sep25 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 May04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  CHEATIN CHARLIE Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov15 Oct23 (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
SCR  PESO PESADO Jan01 Dec05 Aug01 Jul04 Jun07 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 121 8.00    
SCR  OAK HILL LG Jan04 Nov24 Jul30 Jul09 May29 (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 121 8.00    
 
FG-4   02/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO SUCCESS Jan10 Dec13 Oct12 Sep19 Aug08 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAU MAU (BRZ) Dec19 Nov24 Oct04 Aug07 Jun26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 10.00    
3  SPECTRIER Jan10 Dec19 Nov24 Oct03 Sep20 (husak gary )ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 15.00    
4  KEYS INCLUDED Jan10 Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 Aug26 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  PERFECT STAR Jan03 Dec13 Sep23 Aug12 Jul03 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  ROCKET HOTSHOT Jan10 Oct19 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 (rodriguez jos)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
7  ARROGATES SPIRIT Dec27 Dec13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct18 (hamilton sa)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 12% 7.30    
8  GUITAR BOY Dec19 Dec05 Nov02 Sep25 Sep09 (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 121 3.00    
 
FG-5   02/02/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEN HEN Jan05 Jan18       (foley greg)TORRES A 122 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAY LILY by BROKEN VOW)
2  DON CORLEONE Apr19 Feb19 Jan21 Dec09 Mar26 (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BROAD SPECTRUM by BROAD BRUSH)
3  OUCH CHARLIE Jan26 Jul12       (jeansonne ju)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of FIT FOR A LADY by FIT TO FIGHT)
4  FLAME ROCK FIRE Jan05 Dec08 Oct31 Sep26 Aug10 (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
5  SEAVILLE Jan24 Jul26 Jun28 May08 Apr26 (ladner chad)GREEN AUBRIE 122 50.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  HARD PAR Dec27 Nov07 Aug30 Jul26 Jun14 (handal raymond)CURTIS BEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
7  BERKUS (FR)         (stall m)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DECORATING by GALILEO (IRE))
8  BRUHN Dec22 Nov04       (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of BALLET SLIPPERS by TAPIT)
9  SWAGING         (felks r)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TEJANA by CURLIN)
10  WORLD CHAOS Jan05 Nov22       (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 17.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
11  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE Jan05 May18       (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of K K'S BUCKEYE by ALCINDOR)
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD Apr13 Mar16 Feb10     (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CHASTE ONE Dec08 Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 (sharp j)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 20.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
 
FG-6   02/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWNER TOO Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18   (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CARAMBASO Jan09 Dec19 Nov09 Sep21 Aug03 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 10% 9.50    
3  GUNNER GLACKEN Jan09 Nov29       (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
4  SHOOT THE NICKEL Jan09 Nov28 Nov01 Sep28 Jun06 (devaux adr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
5  ENDRICK Oct10 Sep25 Jul28     (camejo jose )TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FACE THE FUTURE Jan11 Dec07 Jun23     (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
7  CABO MISCHIEF Jan12 Dec16 Aug28     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00    
 
FG-7   02/02/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Sep19 Aug15 Jun23 May12 Mar31 (simpson da)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
2  LORD I WONDER Jan02 Nov21 Oct04 Aug14 Jul12 (stall m)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
3  THE GREAT MAYBE Mar03 Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Nov26 (devaux cherie)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  GARNET AND GOLD Jan04 Dec08 Oct17 Sep24   (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
5  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Jan11 Dec16 Dec06 Sep28 Aug23 (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
6  OBSTREPEROUS Jan04 Dec08 Sep05 Jul25 Jul04 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
7  POLYRHYTHMIC Dec07 Oct28       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  ZEN MOMENT Nov10 Sep25 Jun26 May25 Apr20 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 6.00    
9  DON'T SAY IT Jan04 Nov10 Aug29 Aug05 Oct21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 14% 6.10    
10  CYNANE Jan04 Jun29 May26 Oct27 Sep10 (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 8.00    
11  OUT TOO LATE (GB) Jan04 Dec12 Nov16 Sep21 Aug22 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NOTABLE QUEEN Dec08 Oct05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 20.00    
SCR  LA FORET Nov22 Oct16 Sep15 Aug29 Jul20 (catalano way)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   02/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEET ASCENT Aug07 Jul16 Jun10 May09 Feb29 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Dec22 Nov30 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (thompson kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
3  LIL WOADIE Jan12 Nov30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul02 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
4  COUNTRY GUY Dec22 Nov24 Jul28 Jul07 May05 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 20.00    
5  FATHER GOOSE Jan05 Nov27 Nov08 Apr21 Mar22 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HARD FOUR Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 Jun07 May10 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 41% 1.40    
7  OLDER AND WISER Jan02 Dec12 Nov13 Jun28 May29 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
8  MUCHO MARVIN Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov07 Oct12 (chevis vince)MAGNON H 121 5.00    
9  ZION Aug05 May29 May06 Mar18 Mar01 (hatcher na)ALBERT S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  CREOLE CHARLIE Jan03 Dec15 Nov23 Oct17 Jul26 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50    
11  HOORAY AUSTIN Jan05 Nov24 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 (degeyter j)CURTIS BEN 121 8.00 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.