Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8)-(4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8)-(4/5/3/7)-(5/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(3/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/2)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/2)-(3/1/4)-(2/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/3/1)-(5/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/09/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIERCE AND STRONG Oct26 Oct17 Sep25 Aug30 Aug10 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  NOBLE JON May04 Mar21 Mar07 Feb02 Jan12 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
3  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Feb20 Jan25 Jan06 Nov20   (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
4  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Apr20 Apr04 Feb09     (crane clovis)ROJAS MARTINA 107 8.00    
5  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Mar21 Sep08 Aug03 Jul21 Jun30 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
SCR  BRADITUDE Oct18 Oct02 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
SCR  NOTORIOUS REY May02 Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 Nov09 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 50.00    
8  ONE TRUTH Apr09 Mar15 Feb08 Nov09 Oct20 (dimitriou e)CORA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHAKE THE GOLD Dec15 Nov28 Oct17 Sep23 Sep04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 117 12.00    
 
PEN-2   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Mar13 Mar01 Jan19 Dec27 Dec15 (stowers mic)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
2  WARRIOR ON THE RUN Apr16 Apr03 Jan11 Dec13 Nov15 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50    
3  TRACE MARTINIS         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  VIROLOGIST Mar30 Mar01 Feb09 Dec23 Nov30 (bentley fe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  WARRIORS JEWEL         (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  PRINCESS WIGGY Mar14 Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.00    
7  SHORT SHIP Apr24         (pessan)RODRIGUEZ A 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPIDS GIRL Apr04 Mar01 Feb23 Jan11 Nov19 (jacobson dav)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 5.00    
2  GREEN GABLES Apr17 Mar13 Feb29 Jan26 Dec29 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSY SADIE Apr02 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Dec27 (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 15.00    
4  I HAVE COURAGE Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 Feb02 Jan07 (sullivan el)INIRIO J 118 8.00    
5  BETWEEN DREAMS Nov15 Oct20 Sep20 Aug16 Jun14 (pecoraro anth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY May04 Apr02 Feb29 Feb02 Jan26 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
7  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Mar29 Feb02 Dec14 Nov30 Nov03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  THROWBACK Apr30 Mar30 Mar06 Jan12 Dec21 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET Mar08 Feb07 Nov20 Nov11 Oct18 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-4   05/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX BARLEY Apr09 Mar15 Dec27 Dec07 Nov24 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 8% 12.30    
2  WORK FROM HOME Mar22 Feb23 Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  THIRTY WEST Mar29 Mar07       (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 10.00    
4  DESERT TWISTER Mar07         (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 121 15.00    
5  BOOK RUNNER Apr09 Mar16 Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 (salinas jose)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  WARRIOR'S SPECIAL Apr17 Mar19       (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00    
7  FILTHY RICH Mar14 Feb22       (murillo ric)INIRIO J 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  SKY'S NO LIMIT Apr30 Apr09 Feb26     (reid e)AGUILAR JEAN 114 3.50    
SCR  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Apr15 Mar15 Mar07 Jan25 Dec14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 8.00    
SCR  TWIST OF FAITH Dec20 Dec01 Oct17 Oct05 Sep20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Oct19 Oct04 Sep21 Aug09 Jul03 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE Mar28 Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
 
PEN-5   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK FORTY Mar15 Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  DAKOTA SPRINGS Feb21 Jan24 Dec29     (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 117 6.00    
3  CHAPA Mar14 Feb02 Dec20 Nov29 Sep22 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  MARY'S REWARD Apr10 Mar15 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 (crane clo)RODRIGUEZ R 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Apr20 Mar17 Feb25 Feb07 Dec22 (aguirre ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
6  SUGAR SMILE Apr01 Feb19 Dec18 Nov14 Oct11 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00    
 
PEN-6   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENT AT SEA Dec20 Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 Aug25 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THREELEFTIESANDBOB         (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  BOOKER'S CHARM         (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  SYLVIA I AM May02 Mar01 Feb16 Dec07 Nov08 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
SCR  ROLLIN DEEP Apr01 Mar25 Feb28 Feb06   (crook-demas)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
6  VOLODYMYR Mar22         (albright r)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
7  LUCKY DANCER Mar01 Feb05 Nov22 Sep11 Aug18 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 1.40    
 
PEN-7   05/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELISHMENT Apr24 Mar20 Feb12 Jan24 Jan03 (bravo-es)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENATE CHAMBER Apr27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan12 Nov25 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 8.00    
3  CAUSALISTIC Mar13 Jan26 Jan03 Dec11 Nov15 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
4  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Apr29 Apr13 Mar27 Feb22 Feb09 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
5  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Nov10 Sep10 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  LAKE NAKURU Apr16 Mar15 Feb21 Jan18 Dec29 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
7  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  ANTIPOISON Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 Feb24 Dec22 (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.