Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(3/2/1)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(7/6/1/5)-(8/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER MY LIMIT Apr25 Mar07 Feb09 Jan25 Jan04 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.00    
2  HANGMAN CREEK Feb22 Feb04       (troiani nicco)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  SATISKY         (cross kenn)CARPIO J 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  ENDOW Nov27 Sep28       (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 119 3.50    
5  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Mar25 Mar07 Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
BTP-2   05/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT GUMP Apr16         (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BAJA BESSIE by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  SCAT DANZ Mar08 Jul30 Jun01 Mar19 Feb25 (ginter jr)MCKEE J 125 4.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BACK TO LOVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  MONBA QUAKE Mar14 Feb21 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 8.00    
  (by MONBA out of STRAWBERRY QUAKE by RICHTER SCALE)
4  LOBO SALVAJE Apr16 Jan05 Dec27 Oct31   (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  SUPERSONIC ME         (kubinova el)PETERSON FERRIN 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of MY COUSIN MARTHA by STAY THIRSTY)
6  VAST HORIZONS         (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SKY MY SKY by BERNARDINI)
 
BTP-3   05/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKA'S LYRIC Apr11 Mar27 Mar12 Feb29 Jan09 (jackson jacq)MORALES JOSHUA 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANZANITEAWAY Feb07 Jan22 Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  LARRY'S ANGEL Feb08 Jun02 Mar23 Mar08 Jan16 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 123 1.80 55% 0.80    
4  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Jan02 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
5  DESDEMONA KAY Feb01 Jan05 Dec15 Oct21 Oct04 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 10.00    
6  FAREWELL KISS Aug01 Jun29 Jun15     (hamm timothy)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 3.50    
 
BTP-4   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICA CHULA Mar22 Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 Jan04 (calvo kelsie)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRICK HAT Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Nov29 Sep06 (alessi jame)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
3  WILDCAT DREAM Apr10 Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 Nov21 (salcedo ramon)PANAIJO JORGE 123 6.00    
4  Q BOND Apr21 Mar21 Oct24 Sep22 Sep06 (alvarez ner)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  SWIGERT Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 (caramori eduar)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 6.00    
6  MEGAN'S NOEL Mar22 Mar02 Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 3.00    
 
BTP-5   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELI Dec13 Nov30 Nov03 Jun29 Jun16 (pribble will)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AKAMAI Mar30 Feb16 Jan05 Dec08 Oct26 (wilensky sa)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 125 2.00    
3  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Mar16 Mar02 Feb02 Dec22 Jul21 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00    
4  SCAT SHACK Apr14 Mar31 Dec06 Nov20 Nov05 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00    
SCR  VIOLIN MAKER Mar16 Feb21 Jan25 Dec30 Oct04 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 5.00    
6  COUNTY COURT Mar16 Mar02 Feb07 Dec22 Dec13 (adams l)HESS SARA 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Sep26 Aug29 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 125 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
BTP-6   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE GUITAR Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Feb23 Feb07 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 2.00    
2  VOGELSANG Mar16 Feb03 Oct05 Sep08 Jul29 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50    
SCR  SACRED CONNECTION Mar01 Feb15 Dec29 Nov24 Oct30 (smith larry)COLON H 117 15.00    
4  RED JAG Feb15 Jan13 Dec15 Oct04 Aug26 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  IN A PEACH Mar16 Feb15 Jan24 Dec23 Dec02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  BATTLING BUBBLES Mar21 Feb08 Jan18 Dec28 Nov12 (hiles a)MCKEE J 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  ROSE DARLING Mar29 Feb28 Jan24 Jan10 Dec28 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 115 8.00    
 
BTP-7   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLOWAY PEAK Mar20 Feb22 Feb01 Dec07 Oct05 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 10.00 19% 4.40    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Apr25 Mar27 Mar09 Feb07 Jan11 (morelos mateo)ZONETT KEYNER 123 30.00    
SCR  COMMANDER COMPTON Apr23 Mar09 Feb05 Dec30 Dec09 (kordenbrock)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 8.00    
SCR  JAHEZ Apr26 Mar27 Mar02 Feb17 Feb08 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 123 4.00    
5  FAST FELIX Apr25 Mar27 Feb23 Feb07 Jan13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAYNARD Apr23 Mar01 Jan31 Dec30 Dec10 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  DESERT HIGHWAY Apr20 Mar31 Mar23 Dec12 Nov08 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
8  GHOST BIKE Mar20 Mar09 Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00    
 
BTP-8   05/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAIYAS SONG Apr22 Mar16 Feb08 Jan05 Dec28 (acevedo is)MELENDEZ MARIANO 123 20.00    
2  MAMITA LINDA Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 Nov07 Oct07 (rodriquez)CORREA L 123 4.50    
3  AUNT RUTH Mar29 Feb24 Jan26 Dec20 Dec02 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 8.00    
4  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Apr10 Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Feb27 (suarez javie)MORALES JOSHUA 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH MEADOWS Feb01 Jan03 Dec21 Oct07 Sep28 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00    
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE Feb29 Feb09 Dec30 Nov02 Oct04 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
7  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Jan03 Nov21 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
8  DIVINE EXCHANGE Mar09 Feb09 Jan26 Dec28 Nov30 (figueroa cesa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Apr25 Apr10 Mar14 Feb29 Feb17 (caramori eduar)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.