Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - April 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/4)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7)-(8/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(3/5/6/1)-(2/10/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(2/10/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/10/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/4/9)-(2/10/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/4/9)-(2/10/4/9)-(2/10/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNER HARBOR Jan27 Jan04 Dec01 Sep22 Sep07 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.00    
SCR  DOMITIA LUCILLA Jan27 Jan06 Nov24 May30 May02 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 4.00    
SCR  CASTELMOLA Mar16 Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 Nov29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 3.00    
SURE ENOUGH Feb24 Jan27 Dec15 Sep11 Aug15 (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50    
SCR  COMPETITIVE FIRE Oct18 Sep27 Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 123 4.50    
 
BTP-2   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAPPER Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 117 2.50 10% 8.60    
SHOWTIME BOY Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 Aug18 (fernandez ed)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50    
GOLDEN FLAG Apr13 Jul22 Jun16     (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
STORMED OUT Mar28 Mar17 Feb22 Feb07 Jan10 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.00    
GRAY DAY Aug18 Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 May26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
MAN'S CHOICE Nov27 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 123 6.00    
 
BTP-3   04/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C GRAND Mar29 Feb15 Jan13 Dec13 Oct23 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 3.00    
SCR  ROSE DARLING Mar29 Feb28 Jan24 Jan10 Dec28 (donjuan sergi)LEBRON VICTOR 117 4.00    
SAVE THE BEES Feb28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec28 Nov18 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 4.50    
EASTERN SUNRISE Mar15 Feb15 Dec16 Dec01 Oct12 (davis christo)CANUTO THIAGO 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
IT FACTOR Mar29 Jul27 Jul05 May19 Apr29 (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
BTP-4   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY HALL Jun15 Aug27 Apr28     (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
THISISRIDICULOUS Dec28 Dec01 Nov07 Oct11   (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
KOLTEN'S PRIDE Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Dec27 Oct24 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.00    
SUBURBAN MAN Dec07         (sands shane)MURGIA A 125 5.00 12% 7.60    
TINO Apr16 Mar21 Mar08 Jan25 Jan04 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50    
SCR  SHACKLESFLY Dec07 Apr16       (esquivel )CORREA L 125 4.50    
 
BTP-5   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASSOULET Mar14 Feb10 Jun17     (caramori caio)MURGIA A 119 6.00    
FAST FLO         (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 119 5.00    
BLUEBIRD CAFE Mar09         (morey willia)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
TRICKED OUT Dec19 Oct31 Jul01     (cowans william )MOJICA JR 125 2.50 26% 2.90    
FRACING WILDCAT         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BANSHEE MOON Mar07 Feb08 Dec30     (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 10.00    
BLOSSOM DIVA Mar06 Feb24 Feb15 Dec07 Oct06 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
JUST LIKE YOU Feb03 Jan17       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
BTP-6   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGA QUEEN Feb28 Feb07 Jan13 Dec12 Oct25 (clark rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
ROYAL TO BE Mar15 Feb18 Jan12 Dec30 Oct23 (skeens jeremy)PANAIJO JORGE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BODE'S ROSE Feb28 Jan27 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 116 4.50    
BEL ARIA Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Feb07 Jan10 (townley steve)MCKEE J 121 3.00    
SCR  SPRING SPINNING Apr10 Mar20 Feb24 Mar17 Mar03 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00    
STORM CHARGING Apr10 Mar28 Feb15 Jan04 Oct25 (hester haley)OUZTS W 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
BTP-7   04/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGADOR SPARTACUS Mar29 Mar16 Feb28 Feb10 Jan25 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEVILS RED Apr16 Oct01 Sep13 Aug20 Aug06 (haehn terry)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
INDEFATIGABLE Mar27 Mar06 Feb10 Jan17 Dec30 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
BUZZER Mar16 Jan31 Dec30 Dec21 Dec01 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 123 5.00    
FUTURE VICTORY Mar20 Feb07 Jan13 Dec22 Sep28 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 10.00 17% 4.90    
LOCK ON Apr10 Jan30 Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 8% 11.50    
THIS ILL DEFEND Mar27 Feb28 Jan31 Jan13 Dec16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
SCR  COYOTE ROAD Apr12 Jan05 Dec15 Nov05 Oct02 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 118 3.50    
 
BTP-8   04/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET IN SECRET Mar27 Jun13 Apr29 Apr01 Feb18 (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 5.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
MOURNE MOUNTAINS Mar13 Sep10 May12     (ward a)ASHTON GAVIN 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
CRAZY CRAZY LOVE         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of REHOCRACY by ADHOCRACY)
CHARLINA         (reed r)MCKEE J 125 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of CHARLEY'S SMILE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
AADYA Feb29 Dec21 Oct07 Sep16 Aug16 (estvanko )CORREA L 125 6.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  DAME STRAIGHT Mar14         (ladd erin)MURGIA A 125 15.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of ISSUED by U S RANGER)
CHICA LINDA         (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of LIME GREEN by CITY ZIP)
SCR  HULAH JAY         (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BREMUSA by THEATRICAL (IRE))
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER Mar30 Jan03 Nov27 Oct16   (waltz brian)NAVAS YOEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE CHARGE BEAUTY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
10  KATE'S CONCERTO Mar07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Jul08 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.