Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (9/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/1)-(9/8/1/6/11)-(9/8/1/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/1)-(7/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1)-(7/2/8/1)-(11/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1)-(7/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/1)-(11/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/1)-(11/9/3)-(12/6/1/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-3   WIN (11/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/3)-(11/9/3/4/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/9/3)-(11/9/3/4/14)-(11/9/3/4/14) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (11/9/3)-(12/6/1/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/9/3)-(12/6/1/7/2)-(5/4/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-4   WIN (12/6/1/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/6/1/7/2)-(12/6/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/6/1/7/2)-(12/6/1/7/2)-(12/6/1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/6/1/7/2)-(5/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/6/1/7/2)-(5/4/2/7)-(2/10/9/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(2/10/9/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/7)-(2/10/9/1/4)-(3/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (2/10/9/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/1/4)-(2/10/9/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/1/4)-(2/10/9/1/4)-(2/10/9/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/10/9/1/4)-(3/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/1/4)-(3/7/9)-(4/10/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (3/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/9)-(3/7/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/9)-(3/7/9/1)-(3/7/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/9)-(4/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (4/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/2)-(4/10/6/2/8)-(4/10/6/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   04/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUDSON'S DAY         (woodley carl)DEL-CID MARLON 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LEISURELY Mar10 Feb18 Jan25     (jeansonne just)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
3  KNIGHT'S GOLD Feb08 Jan05       (averett ronnie)STOKES J 120 15.00    
4  ROCKING TOBE Feb22 Jan20 Dec16     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 20.00    
5  PUPPETEER (GB) Mar13 Feb15 Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 15.00    
6  MO'Z STAR L RANSOM         (broussard j)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00 ★    
7  SO MANY STORIES Feb02 Jan05 Dec16     (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
8  MATZOH BALL Mar13 Jan20 Dec31 Nov29 Nov03 (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
9  MY DAD'S GUITAR Feb24         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 3.50 60% 0.70    
10  POUND OUT A DEAL Feb22 Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 Nov10 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 20.00    
11  CAJUN CYCLONE Mar06 Feb02 Jan20 Dec31 Dec09 (courville ricky)ROSIER R 120 6.00 ★    
 
EVD-2   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGIA DAWN Feb24 Feb03 Dec27 Nov25 Nov04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MEAN AMERICAN Mar24 Feb09 Jan06 Dec27 Dec16 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 115 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  TEXAS BLUEBONNET Aug20 Jul03 Jun10 May04 Mar26 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
4  ASHLEY'S GIRL Feb25 Jan12 Dec27 Oct13 Aug19 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 110 20.00    
5  MSCHITCHATTOUR Feb22 Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 (zenon shelton)STOKES A 118 20.00    
SCR  RAIN Mar02 Jan20 Nov22 Oct28 Aug27 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.50    
7  MARY JACK Mar14 Mar01 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
8  J Z'S FIRST Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 Dec10 Nov17 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 118 3.00 8% 10.80    
 
EVD-3   04/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY ALEX Feb29 Feb08 Dec16 Sep11 Aug05 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.50    
2  JAZZY JUSTIN Feb17 Dec29 Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
3  EL ORIENTE (CHI) Mar09 Feb15 Jan13 Dec10 Nov02 (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GET THEM JUSTIN Feb22 Dec20 Dec09 Oct28 Jul14 (segura kearney)STOKES J 117 4.00 ★    
5  UNCLE FRANK Feb15 Dec20 Nov02 Jul15 May25 (sturrock tommy)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
6  DREAMER'S DISEASE Mar01 Jan14 Dec22 Nov05 Oct23 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 8.00    
SCR  MR. TIN MAN Mar14 Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 (romero dal)BOREL H 117 20.00    
SCR  DEER CROSSING Mar14 Feb08 Jan13 Nov24 Sep11 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 117 2.00    
9  THE GREEN CRUSADER Mar09 May05 Mar28 Mar12 Feb02 (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Feb29 Feb12 Jan26 Dec08 Jul22 (ney john)BARRERA J 117 12.00    
11  DONEGAL FACTOR Mar16 Dec18 Dec06 Nov18 Oct25 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  FIELD OF VISION Mar03 Feb03 Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 (alfortish s)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 8.00    
SCR  HANKS Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 Nov25 Apr08 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
14  HOME VISIT Feb24 Jan26 Oct20 Sep15 Sep07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 6.00 ★    
 
EVD-4   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDE LIKE HAWAII Mar20 Jan18 Dec19 Dec07 Oct11 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  ANGOLA VACATION Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 Dec19 Dec07 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADMIRAL AFLEET Mar08 Dec07 Nov24 Nov01 Oct11 (senegal dalt)DEL-CID MARLON 115 15.00    
4  STRAY CAT STRUT Feb15 Jan25 Dec16 Nov22 Aug11 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
5  LOVE A FIGHTER Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec19 Nov17 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 123 6.00    
6  BUD WON Feb24 Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 Sep02 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 19% 4.40    
7  JOSEPH H Feb25 Feb08 Dec16 Nov29 Oct28 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 12.00 9% 10.50    
8  PARTY GRAS Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 Dec13   (gelner scott)STOKES J 123 12.00    
9  FIFTYFIVE STRONG Feb28 Jan11 Dec16 Nov25 Oct05 (senegal dal)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 15.00    
10  DOCE DE LA NOCHE Feb24 Feb07 Jan11 Dec13 Oct27 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
11  UNBRIDLED PULPIT Jul13 Jun15 May19 May10 Apr26 (west henry)ALBERT S 120 20.00    
12  MAGIC MONDAY Mar15 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Oct21 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  FLASHY LOVER Feb16 Jan19 Dec13 Nov04 Aug10 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 123 12.00    
SCR  NAPOLEONIC CODE Feb01 Dec16 Nov22 Nov11 Jul03 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
 
EVD-5   04/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($33K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLY PERFECT Nov07 Oct24 Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
2  LAGOON Jan27 Jan13 Oct19 Feb05 Jan18 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 9% 10.80    
3  MISSED THE BOAT Mar09 Feb12 Jan27 Jan07 Dec17 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 113 12.00    
4  SILVER WINGS Mar22 Mar01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov24 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 9% 10.50    
5  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec09 Mar25 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  NOT ON HERB Feb24 Jan06 Nov30 Nov03 Apr08 (terre david)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 10.00    
7  MIDNIGHT FIRE Mar01 Dec13 Oct26 Feb25 Jan27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 6.00 6% 16.80    
 
EVD-6   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ROCKET Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May13 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 115 20.00 12% 7.50    
2  UNFATHOMED Mar13 Feb09 Dec18 Nov18 Nov08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  STATE OF THE UNION Mar06 Dec16 Nov08 Oct25 Sep16 (bruno roland)DEL-CID MARLON 110 15.00    
4  ARCTIC ROSE Mar03 Jan26 Jan06 Dec16 Nov23 (schwandt em)CARMONA SERAFIN 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KEYS INCLUDED Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan05 Dec08 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 115 6.00    
6  BIRTHDAY PARTY Feb15 Jan27 Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 (west henry)STOKES A 118 20.00    
7  CRIMSON STORM Feb29 Jan25 Dec30 Oct26 Sep10 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
8  BIG ROJO Mar30 Mar16 Feb25 Feb09 Jan27 (gonzalez isai )GREEN AUBRIE 118 10.00    
9  UNANIMOUSLY Mar03 Feb12 Jan26 Sep02 Jun12 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.50 15% 5.90    
10  GALLANT STAR Mar13 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 115 8.00 21% 3.70    
 
EVD-7   04/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WONDERRAND Feb24 Feb03 Jan04     (chatters ben)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
2  JET ROCKET Mar20 Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 Nov30 (ducoing stur)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00    
3  ARMY DAY Mar14 Feb22 Jan01 Dec10   (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  TAKE HER AWAY Mar14 Feb03 Jan18 Jan04 Dec08 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 20.00    
5  SARAH'S COURT Feb29 Feb15 Jan18 Dec09 Nov17 (landry ray)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
SCR  CUSTOM SUNSHINE Feb22 Jan19 Dec31 Dec18 Nov30 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 117 6.00    
7  CUSTOM PUNCH Mar02         (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
8  ASTROLOGY GIRL Feb29 Feb15 Jan19 Nov17 Oct20 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 117 8.00    
9  GEAUX MAW P Mar14 Feb23 Feb03 Dec29   (landry r)THORNTON G 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-8   04/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Feb22 Jan18 Nov24 Oct26 Jul14 (granger randall)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
2  BENISSIMO Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Dec15 Nov24 (arey anthony)THORNTON G 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROCKY BOY Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Dec13 Nov17 (escobar alis)QUILES ANTONIO 123 15.00    
4  TAYSOM Mar22 Feb25 Feb01 Jan12 Oct01 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  CHASING CHAYSE Feb25         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
6  FREE DROP ROB Feb29 Feb01 Jan07 Dec19 Dec08 (gelner scott)STOKES J 118 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  YOCKEY DOODLEDANDY Feb23 Feb01 Dec21 Nov30   (prejean raym)DEL-CID MARLON 110 20.00    
8  MY UNCLE BILLY Feb16 Feb02 Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 6.00 ★    
9  VESTMENT Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Mar11   (knudsen ken)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
10  ROCKALL Feb12 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 Sep02 (avant kelly)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.