Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/7/6)-(2/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(2/6/1)-(3/8/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/8/2/6)-(4/8/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/6)-(4/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/6)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/10/9/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5)-(4/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/5)-(4/10/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/5)-(4/10/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/10/9/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/9/7/2)-(4/10/9/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/9/7/2)-(4/10/9/7/2)-(4/10/9/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/10/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/8)-(1/6/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-9   WIN (3/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/2/7/8)-(3/9/2/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/7/8)-(1/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-10   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3/11)-(1/6/2/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-3   04/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANGIE GO Mar11 Feb26 Mar19 Feb18 Jan28 (mccartney jack)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00    
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Mar28 Feb29 Feb01 Feb06 Jan12 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
STARDUST DREAMS Feb22 Jan31 Apr01 Mar12   (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
SHARP ATTITUDE Mar14 Feb23 Apr22 Apr01 Feb25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Jul01 Jun18 May20 Apr10 Mar14 (essex char)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00    
AMERICAN TSUNAMI Feb26 Feb13 Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 (dennison h)RADKE K 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   04/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANCAKES AND BEER Mar25 Mar04 Feb20 May01 Apr19 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 124 2.50    
LUNAR UNIT Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Oct01 Sep06 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
NOT NOW I'M BIZZIE Mar25 Sep30 Sep04 Aug26 Jun30 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
ISLAND BEAUTY Apr02 Feb07 Dec12 Nov19 Nov13 (simpson s)IRONEYES R 119 15.00    
BOOSICAL LADY Mar26 Apr29 Apr18 Mar27 Mar07 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
HELLO BABY Mar25 Feb28 Feb15 Jan29 Nov13 (ac)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
M G BIG MARIA Mar25 Feb15 Jan29 Dec11 Nov13 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-5   04/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORN POP Mar21 Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun03 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
D K'S CROWN Mar06 Oct09 Oct01 Sep18 Sep02 (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 65% 0.50    
HEAD FOR BUSINESS Dec09 Feb11 Dec18 Oct10 Sep11 (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
FABSTRACTION Oct20 Sep23 Sep07 Feb14 Feb04 (macvittie wil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00    
DARNQUICK Mar21 Feb28 Jun04 Jan27 Jan07 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
JAIME'S COMMITMENT Feb29 Feb20 Feb05 Jan21 Dec26 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 5% 17.40    
NUMEROLOGIST Feb29 Dec18 Nov21 Oct21 Sep03 (dennison )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
BUFFETT Mar27 Feb24 Feb08 Dec29 Dec13 (villamar candel)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS K Mar25 Mar05 Jan05 Dec09 Oct21 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00    
SUZZIE'S DARLIN Mar15 Sep08       (fuentes)FUENTES T 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
RICKELLE Mar16 Feb24 Feb04     (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
GETAWAY DAY Mar20 Mar04 Feb06 Dec20 Nov13 (eikleberry k)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 5.00    
LINDYSNOTOBNOXIOUS Mar19 Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 Nov13 (kereluk)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
MAYA D Mar13 Jul29 Jul08     (martinez o)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNDERESTIMATE ME         (pe)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00    
AWARENESS AUTISM         (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 121 8.00 34% 2.00    
KIKI'S CRUSADER Sep03 Aug11       (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY STEPPER Mar13 Feb26 May05 Apr01 Mar19 (weaver gordon)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00    
ORATORY GLORY Mar20 Feb26 Apr02 Mar26 Mar06 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
KEBA LUCKY DAY Mar26 Feb29 Feb06 Jul08 May02 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
MERINO WOOL Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
A THOUSAND DREAMS Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 Sep23 Aug12 (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
BORN TO REIGN Mar19 Feb06 Oct18 Sep27 Sep11 (evans justin)REYES R 124 4.50    
TIZ FOR REAL Mar19 Feb15 Dec12 Oct18 Sep10 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
METAROSE Mar20 Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 Dec11 (christian billy)CRUZ M 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TUP-8   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARCO Mar07 Feb22 Feb15 Sep15 Jul29 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 122 6.00    
CATTY DOM Jan25 Jan12 Dec11 Nov27 Oct13 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
PONDERED Feb25 Feb03 Dec13 Nov08 Sep30 (lawrence h)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
MISS JOANNIE Mar25 Mar05 Feb21 Feb07 Nov20 (silva-mar)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Mar25 Feb28 Feb15 Apr25 Apr01 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
HOT LIL MESS Mar25 Mar05 Jan05 Dec12 Dec05 (guerrero )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00    
SPRING SPINNING Mar20 Feb24 Mar17 Mar03 Dec09 (evans justi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 7% 13.20    
HIGH FASHION LADY Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Dec12 Dec02 (silva l)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
BIG JOLT Mar04 Nov25 Oct29 Sep09 Aug05 (chambers mike)RADKE K 122 3.00 12% 7.40    
10  BEA MISCHIEF Mar20 Mar04 Feb15 Nov25 Nov05 (bean a)CRUZ M 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-9   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO Mar26 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 Nov05 (gomez aleja)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00    
JUSTIN'S LADY Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 Apr02 Mar26 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 3.00 38% 1.70    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Mar19 Feb19 Aug20 Aug13 Aug02 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
RED PANTY NIGHT Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 (kowalski )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00    
PAISLEY'S VISION Mar19 Feb15 Dec05 Nov13 Sep17 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
SHOUT IT OUT Mar13 Feb26 Feb06 Dec30 Nov18 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
MAMALONA Mar26 Mar11 Feb26 Dec12 Nov19 (soto antoni)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GYPSY ROSIE Mar25 Mar05 Feb06 Dec05 Nov13 (barraza ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-10   04/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST EMERALD Mar21 Feb26       (evans justin)REYES R 124 3.50 65% 0.50    
JESSICA BLAH BLAH Mar18 Feb28 Feb15 Jan29 Dec22 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 6% 16.20    
SALLY STANFORD Mar12 Feb28 May14 Nov21 Nov04 (hop mike)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUMBLES BROCKMAN Mar10 Jan15 Jan01 Dec10 Nov19 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 118 6.00    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Mar21 Dec10 Dec02 Sep25 Sep11 (lawrence heath)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
MY ANCHOR IS HOT Mar19 Feb21 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (evans just)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 5.00 7% 12.70    
ROYAL DANIELLE Mar21 Nov05 Oct16 Oct08 Feb14 (trejo amali)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
QUEEN MYSTIC Feb26 Jun16 Jun04 May21 May13 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
LOTSA LOU Mar21 Feb26 Feb07 Mar25 Mar07 (person ke)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
SCR  FEEL FREE Mar11 Feb15 Jan31 Dec04   (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 2.50    
11  HEAVENLY VIOLET Apr02 Mar21 Feb20 Feb06 Jan14 (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.