Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(3/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(3/6/9)-(6/3/2/7/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/6/9/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/6/9/5/4)-(3/6/9/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/9)-(6/3/2/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9)-(6/3/2/7/10)-(7/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/3/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/7/10)-(6/3/2/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/7/10)-(6/3/2/7/10)-(6/3/2/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/2/7/10)-(7/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/7/10)-(7/1/2)-(4/1/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(4/1/3)-(1/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/8/2)-(1/7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/2)-(1/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/2)-(1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/2)-(1/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3/4)-(1/7/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR RAGS Feb09 Dec22 Dec08 Nov12 Nov05 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  MY BLUE EYES Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov15 Oct26 (martinez)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
3  BO'S BOURBON Feb03 Nov29 Mar16 Feb19 Jan29 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 ★    
4  RED DEVOLUTION Dec28 Dec12 Dec05 Nov09 Oct25 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
5  OUR ANDREW B Feb14 Jan26 Dec15 Dec01 Sep06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00    
6  SUMMER ASH Jan26 Jan10 Dec08 Nov24 Nov04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  STARLITE WALKER Jan25 Jan10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-2   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER BET         (zalalas )DAVIS A 123 8.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HEAD FOR THE HILLS by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
2  PUMP IT UP Sep16         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Jan25 Dec14       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BANDBOX out of ANOFFICERANDALADY by OFFICER)
4  THIRTY WEST         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 15.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of WHO'S HAPPY by CALLER I. D.)
5  PRETORIAN GOLD Feb07 Dec14 Nov24     (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
6  GREAT KISSER Jan25         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of FOREVERINMYHEART by CRAFTY DUDE)
7  ANNA'S GOT STYLE         (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 123 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  DESERT TWISTER         (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of TWIRLING ANNIE by TWIRLING CANDY)
9  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDALLIST out of RUNS LIKE L by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
10  UNIFIED BY CANDY         (albright amy)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of ROSE CANYON by SKY MESA)
 
PEN-3   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACH BE WITH Q Jan31 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 Oct30 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
2  LONDON LADY Feb08 Jan25 Dec15 Dec01 Nov16 (kravets )DAVIS A 120 6.00 8% 10.80    
3  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jan12 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 Jun20 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  ESTA CHUCK Nov15 Oct26 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
5  CEDAR VALLEY Feb20 Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov09 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
6  SANSA ARIEL Feb25 Jan14 Dec22 Dec01 Nov02 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  DIVINE PROMISE Feb09 Jan26 Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 8% 11.00    
8  NADIABIZNIZ Feb14 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov15 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 20.00    
9  LIL H Feb14 Jan31 Sep20 Sep08 Aug10 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00    
10  MUGURUZA Feb22 Feb14 May06 Mar17 Feb17 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STASSI Jan26 Dec22 Nov29 Nov03 Sep15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
2  CHARM ALARM Feb08 Jan26 Dec22 Dec08 Nov22 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Jan31 Dec22 Dec01 Nov08 Oct04 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00    
4  MS STRONG HEART Dec28 Dec07 Nov01 Oct18 Sep14 (stites f)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
SCR  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jan31 Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Aug18 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
6  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jan31 Dec16 Nov26 Nov02 Sep04 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 3.50    
7  COULD BE A COUGAR Feb08 Jan26 Dec20 Nov29 Aug25 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-5   03/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDINI Feb22         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  ENSUING GRACE Nov01 Sep11       (zalalas )DAVIS A 123 15.00    
3  BUCKFAST ABBEY Feb22 Jan31       (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 9% 10.50    
4  DANCING BEAUTY Feb01 Jan12 Dec20     (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  SOL EMPERATRIZ Feb22 Jan18 Dec16 Oct01   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 ★    
6  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Feb07 Jan31 Dec11 Nov29   (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 15.00    
7  HASHTAGJILLPOWER Feb22 Jan31       (kravets m)CORA D 123 30.00    
8  PYROTECHNICS Feb21 Jan19 Dec29     (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00    
 
PEN-6   03/07/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH Feb02 Jan11 Dec22 Nov22 Oct18 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  TUNE IN Feb02 Dec22 Oct03 Sep09 Aug05 (alvarado )HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRENDING UP Jan31 Dec28 Nov30 Aug18 Jul26 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
4  SITTIN ON GO Jan27 Jan04 Dec22 Dec10 Nov12 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50    
5  MY REDEMPTION Feb02 Jan11 Dec27 Nov08 Oct27 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
6  WISH FOR PEACE Feb02 Jan11 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
7  JAMIE DREAMS Feb02 Dec13 Nov27 Oct19 Sep06 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 120 12.00    
8  FLAT OUT FLYING Jan28 Dec30 Sep24 Sep09 Aug10 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
PEN-7   03/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GOT STARTED Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Apr19 Mar17 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jan25 Nov24 Sep28 Sep04 Aug27 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
3  SAMURAI SAINT Feb21 Jan03 Dec12 Nov29 Nov01 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SASSY LAD Mar23 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
5  MARTINKELLY Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec22 Nov22 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00    
6  KAZ MUNNINGS Feb08 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 (synnefias)VARGAS L 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  NOBLE JON Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec13 Oct27 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
8  ACT OF VALOR Dec28 Nov30 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 (murtough step)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
9  TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE Jan25 Dec26 Nov27 Oct18 Oct07 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00    
10  INDIRECTLY Feb01 Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 (sullivan ell)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.