Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Saturday - February 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(2/6/5)-(6/4/10/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/4/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(6/4/10/2)-(10/1/9/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/4/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/10/2)-(6/4/10/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/10/2)-(6/4/10/2/1)-(6/4/10/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/10/2)-(10/1/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/10/2)-(10/1/9/8/4)-(2/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (10/1/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/9/8/4)-(10/1/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/9/8/4)-(10/1/9/8/4)-(10/1/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/9/8/4)-(2/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/9/8/4)-(2/6/9)-(5/2/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/9)-(2/6/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/9)-(2/6/9/3/4)-(2/6/9/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/9)-(5/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9)-(5/2/9/6)-(4/3/2/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/9/6)-(4/3/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/6)-(4/3/2/7/1)-(5/2/3/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-7   WIN (4/3/2/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7/1)-(4/3/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7/1)-(4/3/2/7/1)-(4/3/2/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/2/7/1)-(5/2/3/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/2/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7/1)-(5/2/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7/1)-(5/2/3/7/1)-(5/2/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   02/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IN THE ARCH Dec29 Dec13 Nov30 Nov15 Nov03 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 119 4.00    
2  CAN MAN DO Sep04 Aug02 Jun11 Apr30 Apr06 (berndt joel)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 5.00    
3  JAZZY JUSTIN Dec29 Nov18 Nov04 Oct12 Apr26 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 6.00    
4  ALTERANA Feb03 Dec08 Nov23 Nov03 Sep05 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  FIRE SWORD Jan19 Dec20 Nov30 Oct13 Aug05 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 7% 14.00    
6  ALLEVA Jan13 Nov04 Oct19 Sep09 Aug11 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00    
7  PRIZELESS Feb03 Jan12 Dec09 Nov03 Oct07 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
DED-2   02/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONUS APPRECIATION Jan28 Jan05 Dec16 Nov08 Oct18 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50    
2  MIAS MOONBEAM Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.50 32% 2.10    
3  HUNTER QUICK Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Nov18 Nov10 (villafranco fred)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
4  SILVER N LAI Jan04 Dec14 Nov09 Dec28 Dec19 (toups brent)POMPELL L 119 15.00    
5  DOUBLE THUNDER Jan27 Dec18 Dec07 Nov15 Sep23 (shumake phill)VARGAS P 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jan20 Dec15 Nov18 Oct21 Aug21 (bullene mic)MELANCON JANSEN 116 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Jan27 Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 Jun09 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 1.80    
 
DED-3   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARKER NOW Jan18 Dec17 Nov23 Jul15 Dec26 (chatters benard)BIRZER E 123 12.00 ★    
2  MOON TRIP         (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON Jan18 Dec29 Dec01 Sep12 Aug20 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
4  GLORIA'S BOY Jan13         (kirkland willie)STOKES J 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  POPPY T Jan19 Dec14 Nov08 Oct11 Sep05 (lara jorge)DEL-CID MARLON 118 6.00    
6  EL IT Dec02 Nov16 Jan27 Jan05   (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  CLASSIC WARRIOR Dec20 Nov29 Nov11 Sep11 Aug06 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
8  CHELSEA'S GLORY Dec07 Oct18 Aug11 Jul28 Apr20 (latour nich)LEDET THEODRICK 123 15.00    
9  SLEW CITY HENRY Dec29 Sep12 Sep03     (jarvis robert)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
10  MR. CLYDE JESTER Jan12 Dec20       (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRIPPIN ON BEAUTY Jan27         (gomez rafae)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00    
SCR  CLEARLY A JET Feb02 Dec15 Oct26 Aug29 Jul29 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 4.00    
 
DED-4   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARAHIN Jan20 Dec08 Nov15 Oct20 Jun30 (escobar alison)BIRZER E 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
2  DOUBLE PRIORITY Jan20 Dec30 Dec08 Nov09 Oct28 (beavin judy)STOKES J 116 15.00    
SCR  DUSTY HILL Jan12 Dec07 Nov03 Feb25   (dixon tim)POMPELL L 119 8.00    
4  PLENTY OF CENTS Jan20 Dec20 Nov22 Nov09 Oct11 (melancon donal)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  C C'S LEGACY Jan12 Dec15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct19 (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00    
6  NOCOMET Jan20 Dec30 Nov25 Oct28 Jul28 (senegal j)STOKES A 116 12.00    
7  BULLETSREVENGE Jan12 Dec20 Nov24 Nov08 Dec20 (alberto anto)DEL-CID MARLON 111 20.00    
8  ITELLYOUTHEFACTS Dec30 Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 Sep10 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 111 4.00 14% 6.10    
9  NEW DICE Dec21 Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 Jul22 (litfin veronic)THORNTON G 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
10  MOR BIG LEE Jan27 Dec15 Nov08 Oct18 Aug04 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  GUEST CHECK Feb01 Jan19 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 (bullene michae)DEONAUTH P 119 20.00    
SCR  EASY BIG BOY Feb16 Dec17 Dec09 Nov20 Sep23 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 119 15.00    
 
DED-5   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH OF BALI         (nixon thomas )LOZADA CARLOS 123 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
2  WAY OUT FRONT Jan20         (noel dane)VARGAS P 116 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of A PRETTY HANSEN by HANSEN)
3  TISSA         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 6.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FLYING TINKERBELL by MUSKET MAN)
4  CAJUN BLAST Jan13 Jul10 Jun30     (courville rick)THORNTON G 123 3.50 ★    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CABANERO by SMART STRIKE)
5  BOBULINSKI         (garza joaqui)DEL-CID MARLON 118 8.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of SOFT N' LOUD by RUN SOFTLY)
6  DEFIANT MALICE Dec08 Nov24 Nov15 Oct07 Sep23 (shumake phi)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 4.50 8% 11.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
7  F FOURFIFTY         (ashford ray)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
8  DAY JO         (dixon tim)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of HANNAH'S JOURNEY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  SMARTY'S BACK Aug27 Aug12       (mojica a)CHAPA I 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
10  CAPITAN GEORGE Dec23         (del eric)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 
DED-6   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE THIMBLE Dec14 Aug27 Aug14 Jul01 Oct29 (ramirez e)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 8.00    
2  SWEET RACHEL Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov11 Oct20 (ramirez e)STOKES J 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  MIND ON MY MONEY Feb01 Jan20 Dec21 Dec01 Oct20 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50    
SCR  MEAN CRUISER Jan20 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 Jul06 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 12.00    
5  SABER RUN Dec03 Sep04 Aug05 Jul01 May30 (pedigo randy)THORNTON G 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  OAK HILL SOLUTION Jan26 Dec16 Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00 12% 7.70    
7  CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Jan11 Dec01 Oct06 Jul31 Jun12 (larrosa juan)DEL-CID MARLON 114 15.00    
8  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Feb01 Dec27 Dec07 Nov08 Oct18 (patt jr)DEONAUTH P 119 10.00    
9  MIDNIGHT CROWN Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 Nov21 Nov04 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
DED-7   02/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING ARGUMENT Nov17 Oct13 Aug05 Jul07 May13 (robbins jr)STOKES J 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALABRIAN QUEEN Jan05 Nov30 Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 4.00 11% 7.90    
3  NANA'S CORN MUFFIN Dec29 Dec14 Nov10 Oct11   (landry allen)MAGNON H 114 6.00 29% 2.50    
4  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Dec19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May13 (shumake phillip )BIRZER E 121 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  LITTLE E Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 Feb03 (schultz rob)MELANCON JANSEN 118 20.00    
6  THISONEISFORYOU Jun22 Apr28 Apr15 Mar08   (castille ca)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 8.00    
7  SIX STRING Jan19 Dec29       (landry ray)ROSIER R 116 3.00 7% 13.00    
8  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Dec28 Dec14 Nov09 Oct20 Sep30 (villafranco f)VARGAS P 114 10.00    
9  EXPECT A DANCER Jan12 Dec19 Oct06 Jul21 Jun22 (robbins ray)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00    
 
DED-8   02/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTS SWORD Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov17 Oct28 (toups brent)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRI Jan05 Dec07 Oct21 Sep15 Aug26 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  ANN'S STORM Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Oct21 Oct07 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.00 8% 12.10    
4  SCRAPBOOK Jan20 Dec30 Nov25 Nov03 Sep09 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
5  LIL ADEAU Feb03 Dec28 Nov17 Oct19 Apr20 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 4.00 45% 1.20    
6  SIMPLE SUNDAY Jan06 Dec21 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 121 12.00    
7  BETISON Feb02 Dec06 Oct21 Jul27 May27 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 6.00 7% 13.90    
8  HOLY WAR Jan26 Dec18 Feb03 Jan13 Dec15 (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 119 20.00    
9  MADISON'S SCREEN Jan20 Jan05 Dec13 Oct12 Aug28 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 15.00    
10  SOPHIE'S PRAYER Jan26 Dec28 Nov25 Oct26 Jun10 (zenon shelton)DEONAUTH P 119 6.00    
SCR  MARDI GRAS ALARM Feb02 Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 Nov16 (bryant al)BIRZER E 123 4.50    
SCR  SIENNA BREEZE Jan15 Dec22 Nov25 Aug04 Jun10 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.