Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - January 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(6/7/3)-(4/6/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(4/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(4/6/9/8)-(9/8/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-3   WIN (4/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/8)-(4/6/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/8)-(4/6/9/5/8)-(4/6/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/9/8)-(9/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/8)-(9/8/1/6)-(8/10/2/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/1/6)-(9/8/1/6/2)-(9/8/1/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/1/6)-(8/10/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/1/6)-(8/10/2/5/6)-(8/2/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/10/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/2/5/6)-(8/10/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/2/5/6)-(8/10/2/5/6)-(8/10/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/2/5/6)-(8/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/2/5/6)-(8/2/6/1)-(2/10/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/1)-(8/2/6/1/10)-(8/2/6/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/6/1)-(2/10/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/1)-(2/10/1/5)-(7/2/6/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/1/5)-(2/10/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/1/5)-(2/10/1/5/3)-(2/10/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/1/5)-(7/2/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/2/6/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/9/5)-(7/2/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/9/5)-(7/2/6/9/5)-(7/2/6/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINMOR WENDY Dec06         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NO MORE WORDS Dec09         (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 64% 0.60    
3  GUNPOWDER N' LEAD Dec19 Nov18 Sep30 Sep18 Sep04 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 6.00    
4  FRUIT CUP Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Aug29 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 20.00    
5  YES JACK Dec19 Dec06 Nov18 Oct12 Sep12 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.00 ★    
6  IRISH MOON Dec08 Nov02 Sep29     (desormeaux keith)STOKES J 120 1.80 10% 8.60    
7  DEROY Dec13 Nov20 Nov08 Oct28 Oct06 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
8  TERNI VALENTINO Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 Jul09   (knudsen ken)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
 
DED-2   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT LE ROY Dec02 Nov15 Oct19 Aug03 Jul21 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 ★    
2  STREET ART Dec14 Nov24 Sep05 Aug21 Jun24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 4.50    
3  GREY ROGUE Dec20 Dec06 Oct27 Oct22 Oct06 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  VIOLENT CITY Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct13 Sep02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00    
5  MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Oct28 Jul13 May20 Apr22 Feb25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
6  AUTOPILOT Dec16 Nov08 Oct14 Aug27 Aug12 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  I WILL STAND Dec16 Oct14 Aug30 Jul19   (richard chris)STOKES J 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  SUEZ Oct27 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 Aug06 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 119 20.00    
 
DED-3   01/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3 F PT- 7:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILLBILLY RISEN Oct14         (roberts roy)FUSILIER C 120 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of RISEN DAY by STORM DAY)
2  FIVE LEAF CLOVER Dec18         (brown i)STOKES A 120 20.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of MOMMA'S BABY by FLAT OUT)
3  LADY CHERYL'S SONG         (averett ron)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 15.00    
  (by BRAVE DAVE out of ZE LADE by ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE)
4  MY LUCKY BREAK Dec15         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 58% 0.70    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ACTIF STORM by INTERACTIF)
5  TAKE HER AWAY Dec08 Nov11 Oct27 Jul17 Jun25 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 2.50 ★    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of WALK AWAY RULER by ROMAN RULER)
6  COAL DANCER Dec18 Nov22 Oct27 Oct11 Aug04 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DANCE TILL TWO by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
7  WONDERRAND         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of LAUGHING SAINT by VINDICATION)
8  WIND OF WAR         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WHENCE out of WAR BUSTER by WAR FRONT)
9  SHEZAPERFECTDREAM Dec15         (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
10  WICKED SAINT Dec08 Nov16       (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00    
  (by JAY GATSBY out of BUBZ FOO FOO by LATENT HEAT)
SCR  BABY JANE Dec18         (perron gerard)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of HARD HEADED WOMAN by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  SECRETLY SWEET         (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of SOFT AND SWEET by TETON FOREST)
 
DED-4   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTORED DEAL Dec20 Oct14       (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  MY PAL SWEET Nov01 Jun25 Jun09 May19 Apr20 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 119 6.00 ★    
3  BOY CHARLIE Dec14 Nov24 Oct20 Aug20   (dunn r)MAGNON H 119 10.00    
4  CATCHIN DRAMA Jun30 May15 Apr28 Mar26 Mar09 (morrell cynthia)STOKES J 119 15.00    
5  SONYA KNOWS BETTER Dec09 Nov24 Nov09 Oct18 Jun12 (fuselier jo)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 5.00    
6  PITCH AND RUN Dec14 Nov02 Oct11 Aug21 Jul01 (dunn ray)NEGRON LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHARLIE'S PARADE Dec02 Oct12 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 121 10.00    
8  THE BOSS SOSS Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 Aug11 Jul21 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
9  REDDINGANDLEE Dec13 Nov15 Oct20 Oct07 Aug21 (ward ronnie)ROSIER R 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
DED-5   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUITARZAN May25 Apr14 Feb25 Jan28 Dec28 (segura kearney)THORNTON G 116 15.00    
2  MR. FOUR SEVENS Dec16 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep04 (bullene mic)MELANCON JANSEN 116 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  INTO WISHING Nov08 Oct26 Aug27 Aug05 Jul17 (turner patti)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 12.00    
4  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Dec18 Oct28 Sep03 Aug21 Oct22 (arnett g)ROSIER R 119 12.00    
5  SILVER N LAI Dec14 Nov09 Dec28 Dec19 Oct27 (toups brent)STOKES J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHISKEY'S GONE Dec18 Nov29 Nov09 Oct27 Jul31 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEALIN' STELEN Dec14 Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Jul06 (toups brent)STOKES A 119 15.00    
8  MR B QUIET Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 Oct13 Jun10 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
9  SPHEROID Dec02 Nov17 Oct19 Jul23 Jun29 (alberto anto)MAGNON H 119 6.00    
10  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Jul13 Jun09 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  GETCHA Dec18 Dec02 Nov22 Nov01 Jul01 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00    
SCR  FAST VERDICT Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 Sep26 Sep05 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 111 15.00    
 
DED-6   01/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN BERTI Dec19 Nov11 Oct05 Aug29 Jul24 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PREACHER Dec06 Sep11 Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00 24% 3.10    
3  OJITOS Dec19 Nov21 Nov03 Sep29 Sep04 (hewitt mich)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 5.00    
4  B B MOODY Jun16 May11 Apr08 Mar24 Feb16 (west henry)STOKES A 116 20.00    
5  GRAND PRADO Nov25 Nov01 Aug04 Jul14 May26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 4.00    
6  BAYOU BEAUX Dec06 Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Sep04 (ward ronnie)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIABLO CAT Dec19 Nov25 Nov01 Sep02 Dec10 (melancon dona)LOZADA CARLOS 116 12.00    
8  HALF OURS N STORMY Oct11 Aug13 Jul27 Jun15 Feb16 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 116 2.00 41% 1.40    
9  TRIPPER JOHN Jul14 Jun18 May28 May06 Jan20 (lorefice matt)STOKES J 116 15.00    
10  LETSTAKEITOUTSIDE Oct28 Oct07 Aug29 Jul29 Jul17 (broberg karl)ROSIER R 116 6.00 ★    
 
DED-7   01/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Jul29 Jun23 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
2  DIXIE FARMER Dec06 Nov03 Sep09 Jul29 Jun24 (amoss m)THORNTON G 119 1.80 22% 3.50    
3  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Nov17 Oct14 Jul27 Jun17 May27 (ramirez edu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 10.00 ★    
4  SUE'S LITTLE ZING Nov21 Oct25 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 (nelson r)STOKES A 119 15.00    
5  R T'S GEM Dec20 Nov29 Nov15 Jul29 Jul06 (sam w)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 4.50 9% 9.60    
SCR  BETISON Dec06 Oct21 Jul27 May27 Apr12 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 12.00    
7  MEGANS MILLIONS Dec06 Nov25 Oct28 Jul31 Feb10 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
8  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Dec06 Nov09 Oct14 Jul07 May18 (toups brent)STOKES J 119 20.00    
9  BE A BANDIT Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Aug05 Jul27 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00    
10  CRYSTAL D'ORO Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 Oct07 Jul22 (landry ray)ROSIER R 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SWEET ALEXIS Dec09 Nov08 Oct19 Sep03 Aug11 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 119 12.00    
 
DED-8   01/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TERRI GOT A FRIEND Dec18 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00    
2  OUR HALLIE Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct28 Sep03 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  RETRO RITA Nov08 Oct12 Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 (hibdon n)TORRES HUGO 123 20.00    
4  JULIO CHOICE Dec15 Dec01 Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00    
5  BRIDLED UP Dec18 Nov16 Aug10 Apr27 Dec22 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KANCANCUTIE Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (bruno j)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 6.00 8% 11.50    
7  ACELA EXPRESS Dec18 Nov21 Oct18 Aug25 Jul29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  PIECE OF ME Dec18 Nov16 Aug06 Jul02 Jun15 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.50    
9  GRACE'S SOLDIER Dec15 Nov16 Oct25 Aug27 Aug12 (zenon shelton)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BELL PEPPER Dec18 Dec07 Nov08 Sep05 Aug07 (kanhai josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.