Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - November 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(5/2/7)-(2/6/9/7/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/6/9/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/6/9/7/10)-(2/10/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (2/6/9/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/7/10)-(2/6/9/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/7/10)-(2/6/9/7/10)-(2/6/9/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/9/7/10)-(2/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/7/10)-(2/10/5/7)-(2/3/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-4   WIN (2/10/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/5/7)-(2/10/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/5/7)-(2/10/5/8/7)-(2/10/5/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/10/5/7)-(2/3/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/10/5/7)-(2/3/5/10)-(5/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (2/3/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/10)-(2/3/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/10)-(2/3/5/10)-(2/3/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/10)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/10)-(5/4/2)-(5/1/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/1/2/7)-(6/3/10/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-7   WIN (5/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7)-(5/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/7)-(6/3/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/7)-(6/3/10/8)-(4/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/3/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/8)-(6/3/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/8)-(6/3/10/8)-(6/3/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/10/8)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/2/5/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/2/5/6/7)-(4/2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH MOLLY         (west henry)STOKES A 123 10.00    
2  REAUX BINA Oct25 Aug20 Jun29 May21 May13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  ADAYINSPAIN Sep30         (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
4  SURREY Sep03 Jun26 Jun09 May11 Apr08 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 123 3.50 9% 9.80    
5  BOLD EXAGGERATION Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 May29 (tillis e)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 8.00    
6  RUN BAMBI RUN Jul30         (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00    
7  DESTINY'S GRACE         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 4.50    
 
DED-2   11/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL AND ME Nov08 Oct25 Aug10 Jun10 May27 (west henry)STOKES A 123 8.00    
2  SHEZA CAT Oct27 Sep03 Aug20 Aug03 Jul09 (fogarty desmo)LOZADA CARLOS 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  MAVE RUNNER Aug03 Jul20 May19 Mar10 Dec09 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 123 8.00    
4  MISS CHARGE IT Nov08 Sep03 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 (gomez a)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50    
5  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Nov08 Aug06 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 5.00 43% 1.40    
6  OLD SCHOOL FLASH Nov09 Jun17 May21 Apr30 Mar30 (villafranco mart)BIRZER E 122 6.00    
7  OOCHIE Oct18 Sep02 Apr21 Apr01 Feb20 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.50 10% 8.70    
 
DED-3   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY STARRY DAY May06 Apr20 Feb16     (derousselle pet)POMPELL L 122 20.00    
2  ST. FRANCIS OF LA.         (breaux samuel)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00 26% 2.90    
3  TARKINGTON GIRL Apr12 Mar25 Feb11 Nov26   (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00    
4  SCRAPPY Jul29 Jul23 Jul08 Jun16 May12 (bernard john)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
5  HEY YOU Jul16 Jun25       (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 6.00    
6  LONG SHOT LOUISE Sep10 Aug28 Jul09 Jun04 May14 (dodson clifford)TORRES HUGO 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  GAP DADDY Jul31 Jul10       (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
8  JENNYSBIGBABY Oct19 Sep02 Jul09 Jun18 May28 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50    
9  HONEST DEAL         (noel dane)VARGAS P 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
10  WHORL GIRL Mar23 Feb24       (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHARE THE DOE Oct19 Sep10 Aug28 Aug12 Mar18 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
SCR  TENSAS CLEAR Oct27 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23   (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 20.00    
 
DED-4   11/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT YOU MARGARET Jun17 May20 Oct15 Jun25 Apr28 (silkwood ch)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 20.00    
2  MAGIC GLASS Oct18 Aug30 Aug02 Jun28 Sep17 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 57% 0.80    
3  MS. PRIESTLY Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May26 (constantine)LEDET THEODRICK 119 20.00    
4  LITTLE Z Oct25 Sep11 Sep02 Jul29 Jun12 (nelson r)ROMAN KEVIN 116 10.00    
5  SUE'S LITTLE ZING Oct25 Sep11 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 7% 12.80    
6  CALIFORNIA BELLE Jul08 Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr08 (latour nicho)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
7  ACELA EXPRESS Oct18 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIGH DONNA Oct25 Sep05 Aug20 Jul13 Jun16 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.50 ★    
9  FRIENDLY ACES Oct25 Nov03 Oct15 Aug25 Apr08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 116 6.00    
10  BLACK ACE Oct25 Aug11 Jul08 May18 Apr28 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 5.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  LAYLA'S SONG Oct25 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 May14 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 4.00    
 
DED-5   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENPINS TEMPEST Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 Jan14 Jan05 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
2  RUN AWAY SAMARI Oct19 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 May27 (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  MARINA Oct25 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (silva walter)BARRERA J 117 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Nov08 Oct25 Aug28 Aug06 Jun25 (ward ronnie)FUSILIER C 123 20.00    
5  TROSKA Oct25 Aug12 Jul01 May27 May03 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  SWEET STORMY ELLE Jan04 Dec15 Nov16 Oct29 Jul11 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 123 6.00    
7  BOSTON BELLE Oct25 May03 Apr07 Feb28 Feb17 (segura kearney)STOKES A 123 15.00    
8  RESPECT ALL Oct25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun17 May27 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 20.00    
9  SHO NUFF Jul08 Jun24 May10 Mar17 Mar02 (cormier don)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 10.00    
10  SAVANNAH'S HERE Oct25 Sep12 Aug27 Jul30 Jun26 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-6   11/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITAR SLIM Oct26 Jul23 Jun12 May29 May14 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 119 8.00    
2  MONARCH'S MISCHIEF Nov10 Sep11 Aug05 Jul07 Jun11 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOCTOR LEO Nov08 Oct26 Aug21 Jul29 Jun25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 119 4.50    
4  JACK BOB AND LARRY Feb25 Dec22 Nov17 May08 Mar26 (johnson b)POMPELL L 119 10.00 33% 2.10    
5  VENN Jun23 May19 Apr13 Mar12 Feb03 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  VETERANS DAY Nov04 Oct14 Aug27 Jun30 Jun08 (landry allen)MAGNON H 118 12.00    
7  TOUCHDOWN JOE Oct06 Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 May20 (noel dane)VARGAS P 119 6.00 ★    
8  BALLINONABUDJET Nov03 Oct13 Aug11 Jul22 May19 (reeves a)FUSILIER C 119 2.50    
9  SEEHOSS Nov08 Oct25 Oct06 Jul22 Jul06 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 20.00    
 
DED-7   11/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIE DIAMOND Nov01 Jul08 Jun23 May05 Apr07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  RING TWICE Oct26 Sep08 Apr08 Mar25 Feb19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
3  ATOMIC ROSE Jul04 Jun18 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00    
4  FLAT OUT ROSE Sep29 Aug28 Jul21 Jul09 Jun04 (arnett jon )DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00    
5  FIREY EMBLEM Oct11 Sep22 Aug18 Aug05 Jun30 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  FROSTED DIAMOND Jun11 May28 Mar25 Feb23 Feb02 (richard chris)VARGAS P 119 5.00    
7  LIGHTNING HART Nov01 Oct11 Jul09 Jun18 May15 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 119 10.00 10% 9.40    
8  ALLOTROPE Oct18 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul08 (berndt joel)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
9  CANT ATTACK ARCH Oct12 Aug11 Jul08 Jun24 Aug07 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 113 15.00    
 
DED-8   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAZING MARK Oct14 Sep03 Jul29 Jul07 Apr22 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.50    
2  TARAASHOQ Oct11 Jul29 Jul13 Jun24 May19 (escobar ali)MORALES ROBERTO 119 20.00    
3  SUMMER LOVER Oct21 Oct12 Aug25 Jul01 Jun16 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 (west henry)STOKES A 119 20.00    
5  UXMAL Oct25 Oct11 Sep25 Sep10 Jul28 (guillory he)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 10.00    
6  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Oct11 Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 Jul13 (berndt joel)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 6.00 32% 2.10    
7  OPTIMAL TRIP Oct26 Sep12 Aug13 May28 Apr27 (rossi j)BOREL H 119 12.00    
8  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Aug13 Jul10 Jun10 May27 Apr27 (courville rick)THORNTON G 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
9  THIRSTY PAPPY Aug10 Aug03 Jun18 Apr21 Mar19 (evans justin)BIRZER E 118 3.00    
10  EVER A REBEL Oct14 Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 May19 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
 
DED-9   11/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY UNCLE BILLY Nov08 Jul15 May11 Apr21 Feb17 (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 122 4.50    
2  MIDNIGHT CROWN Nov04 Oct11 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 119 4.00 ★    
3  CHAMOIS' EMPIRE Oct28 Aug19 Jun24 Jun10   (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 117 10.00    
4  MONOLITH Oct26 Sep11 Aug06 Jul22 Jun02 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 3.00 74% 0.40    
5  VALLEY MISCHIEF Oct26 Aug05 Jul15     (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 ★    
6  NEPHI Oct21 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 (west henry)STOKES A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHISKEY RED Oct11 Aug03 Jun24 May13   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 119 8.00 ★    
8  VALID EARLY Nov08 Jul30 Mar22 Mar10 Feb16 (silkwood char)LOZADA CARLOS 119 20.00    
9  R T'S IRON MAN Nov08 Aug05 Jun22 Jun08 Apr21 (sam thomas )MORALES ROBERTO 120 6.00    
10  CAMALEON Nov04 Oct11 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 (villafranco ma)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
SCR  TAPIT TWICE Nov08 Oct11 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  ALL TOGETHER Nov08 Oct11 Sep11 Aug19 Jun15 (beavin judy)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.