Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - November 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (8/2/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/6)-(8/2/10/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/6)-(8/2/10/5/6)-(8/2/10/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/10/6)-(3/1/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/6)-(3/1/8/2/4)-(6/3/9/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (3/1/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/2/4)-(3/1/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/2/4)-(3/1/8/2/4)-(3/1/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/8/2/4)-(6/3/9/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/2/4)-(6/3/9/8/10)-(7/10/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/3/9/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/10)-(6/3/9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/9/8/10)-(7/10/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/9/8/10)-(7/10/9)-(8/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (7/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/9)-(7/10/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/9)-(7/10/9/2/6)-(7/10/9/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/10/9)-(8/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/10/9)-(8/5/6/7)-(6/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-5   WIN (8/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7)-(8/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/7)-(6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/7)-(6/3/8)-(2/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/8)-(6/3/8)-(6/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/8)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8)-(2/8/5)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(1/6/5)-(4/8/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1)-(4/8/5/3/1)-(4/8/5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   11/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATURALBORNSENDER Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May27 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 6.00    
HIDDEN LOVE Oct06 Sep02 Aug05 Jul21 Jun16 (gelner scott)MAGNON H 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
SWEETHEART VISION Jun09 May06 Apr15 Feb22   (garcia miguel)TORRES HUGO 120 15.00    
EARLY DAWN Oct06 Aug12 Jul02 Nov30 Nov19 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 121 5.00    
EZ'S KOOL BREEZE         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
HOPESHECANRUN         (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY NEW PALACE Aug05         (bourgeois )ALBERT S 118 12.00    
STOLEN ART Oct06 Sep02       (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
MOVE FORWARD ESSIE Jun25 Jul16       (mallery vonn)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
10  JANIS Jun18         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 4.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  TENSAS LU LU         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
SCR  BODI ODI Oct12 Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 (northrop debra)ROSIER R 121 8.00    
 
DED-2   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN CRAZY Jan12 Dec22 Nov25 Oct07   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
MANLY DEEDS Aug11 Jun30 Feb25 Jan27 Jan13 (chatters benard)STOKES A 115 5.00 5% 18.00    
THE BOSS SOSS Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 (landry allen)MAGNON H 115 4.50 35% 1.80    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Oct18 Aug10 Jul15 Jun24 Jun08 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUCAS ZIP IT Oct11 Jul01 May11 Nov25 Oct26 (journet alb)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 10.00    
CAJUN AMI Jul29 Jun24       (landry r)THORNTON G 115 3.50    
GOBOT Oct14 Aug05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
PITCH AND RUN Oct11 Aug21 Jul01 May22 Feb09 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 117 8.00 8% 11.00    
KING OF CONTRABAND Oct14 Aug28 Jul01 May22 Feb28 (ward r)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00    
10  THISGUYCANFLY Sep12 Jul10 Jun23 May28 Aug25 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00    
SCR  PEANUT N IKE Oct20 Aug05 Jul22 May10 Apr29 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 15.00    
SCR  JOSAN Oct20 Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 (morrell cyn)MORALES ALLYSSA 117 20.00    
 
DED-3   11/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GOOD CHAP         (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CAJUN ENGLISH by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
HAPPY SEASON May26 May04 Mar08 Feb16 Jan08 (zenon char)ALBERT S 123 20.00    
  (by MEAN SEASON out of BLUE DIXIE QUEEN by RUN PRODUCTION)
ROCK SOLID WORDS Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 May27 Feb26 (fogarty desmo)LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of FLAME RUN by HARD SPUN)
K R POWER STORM Feb04 Jan07 Nov30     (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 121 12.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of STORMY BRICK ROAD by STORM PASSAGE)
TRIPPLE D RULLER         (toups brent)BIRZER E 121 10.00    
  (by DAAHER out of DANCING DEER by DEERHOUND)
STEAUXLIT Jun17 Jun08 May04 Apr14 Mar25 (landry r)THORNTON G 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of THREEHITS N A MISS by CONCERTO)
RUN CARLOS May04 Apr14 Mar22 Feb28 Nov09 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 121 4.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Oct12 Jul15       (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 12.00 7% 14.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LADY EMILY SAGE by INTIMIDATOR)
MYMANROWEN         (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of STELLA HEY STELLA by RULER'S COURT)
10  JOSIE'S PRIORITY Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May12 Apr14 (segura kearney)STOKES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
SCR  CHARLIE'S PARADE Oct12 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 Jun08 (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 4.50    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of COLOR PARADE by WAY WEST (FR))
SCR  PAL'S ALARM Oct12 Jun24       (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
  (by SOUND THE ALARM out of ANNAGRACE'SPAL by LUNARPAL)
 
DED-4   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE BALI Sep05 Aug10 Jul29 Jun23   (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
CHERRY STAR Aug10 Jul08 May27 Feb02 Jan14 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
CHICKIETOWN STAR Oct18 Aug10 Jul06 May10 Jan11 (cormier winston)POMPELL L 120 20.00    
JULIO CHOICE Oct12 Aug20 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 120 20.00    
DR STRICKLANDS ACE Aug11 Jul22       (averett)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
BEULAH K Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jun24 Jun04 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 4.50    
SHEZA SALTY GAL Oct12 Jul22 Jun12 May22 Apr14 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
NOWNOWDANCER Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 May30 Feb16 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
ZIPPING MOLLY Aug10 Jul01 Jun15 May12 Apr07 (robbins han)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Jul29 Jun24 May19 May03 Apr20 (roberts kenneth)ROSIER R 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
DED-5   11/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT Sep09 Jul15 May27 Apr20 Mar19 (pennino frank)GREEN AUBRIE 114 20.00    
WISE VERDICT Oct06 Aug17 Jul29 Jul12 Jun25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 4.50    
VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI) Aug26 Jul16 Oct16     (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00    
LIFE IS A BANQUET Jul15 Jun16 Apr14 Feb28 Jan19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 10.00    
BILOXI Oct06 Aug14 Jul29 Jun16 May19 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 117 5.00 31% 2.20    
SILENT POWER Aug03 Jul01 May27 Apr14 Mar22 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Sep29 Sep03 Aug16 Jul27 Jul01 (hernandez javie)NEGRON LUIS 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
VIETNAM VICTORY Mar25 Jan28 Sep25 Jul17 May15 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
DOUBLE STAR Oct13 May06 Dec20 Nov11 Aug21 (schultz d)BOREL H 117 8.00    
10  UNCLE FRANK Jul15 May25 Apr14 Feb10 Jan11 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
SCR  MILES D Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 Feb19   (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50    
 
DED-6   11/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ MEDAGLIA Sep04 Jul04       (coats t)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of CHRISTINELISA by TIZNOW)
NO COST Oct11 Sep22 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of COST by PULPIT)
STORM GHOST Sep04 Aug14       (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of MAREN'S STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
UNLUCKY IN LOVE Oct11         (coats jam)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COWGIRL IN LOVE by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  GOOD BY FAITH Oct18 Aug28 Aug14 Jun11   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CIRCUMSTANCE by PROCIDA)
TAPS MISTRESS Sep04 Jul02       (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
JOCASTA Sep02         (scherer gary)THORNTON G 121 4.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of JENAZALEA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
C C LLAM Aug26 Aug04 Jun03 May13   (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
 
DED-7   11/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
L G GIRL Oct14 Aug21 Jun19 May29 May07 (knudsen kent)BIRZER E 120 15.00    
A WISH FOR MADELYN Oct11 Jun25 Apr15 Feb04 Jan14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  CYBER SNEAKER Oct14 Apr30 Mar17 Feb23 Jan14 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
HARLANS WARRIOR Jul14 Jun08 Apr21 Feb15 Dec02 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 123 6.00    
BE A BANDIT Aug05 Jul27 Jul04 Jun16 Jun01 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
STORM BREACH Jul27 Jun29 May27 May18 Apr29 (courville )ALBERT S 120 15.00    
BATTY Aug21 Jun19 Feb03 Dec15 Nov22 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Oct14 Aug26 Jun29 Jun09 May27 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
 
DED-8   11/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAFT CHOICE Oct13 Aug21 Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 114 2.50 30% 2.30    
FREEDOMFI Jul06 Jun12 May20 Apr14 Feb25 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00    
FAST VERDICT Sep26 Sep05 Aug13 Jul16 Jun26 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 12.00    
COOLCROSS Oct13 Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (evans justin)ROMAN KEVIN 117 4.00    
MUFFIN NUTS Oct12 Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 Jun23 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 114 5.00 7% 13.90    
HOSTILE AFLEET Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 May20 May08 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 3.00 29% 2.40    
I'LL RAISE YOU May12 Apr29 Apr08 Feb25 Feb02 (reeves a)FUSILIER C 114 8.00    
 
DED-9   11/02/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINOR DISCREPANCY Aug29         (brinkman brett)ROSIER R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of ONE FOR JIM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LATE NIGHT CRUISER Oct07 Sep13       (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 120 15.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of UNBELIEVABLE DREAM by KITALPHA)
IRISH MOON Sep29         (desormea)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of IRELAND by AFLEET ALEX)
PURE MALICE Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 Sep01 Jul04 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
FREE DROP ROB Oct07         (gelner scott)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of ONE SHARP LADY by SHARP HUMOR)
PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Oct07 Sep12 Aug21 Aug12   (husak j)POMPELL L 120 4.50    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LA BOMBA by MENIFEE)
MYTURNTODEAL Sep12 Jul03       (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00    
  (by LUNARPAL out of I'M DEALING by DEVILS PULPIT)
DYNAMIC SUN Aug21 Jul28       (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of LADY OF THE HOUSE by CLUBHOUSE RIDE)
CLEARING CUSTOMS Oct12 Aug29       (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of NOTHING TO HIDE by BLADE)
10  FUNNYFLAME Aug29         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FUNNY PROPOSITION by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.