Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/2/8)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/8)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8)-(5/3/1)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/7/1)-(10/6/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1)-(6/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(10/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(10/6/9)-(5/9/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (10/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/9)-(10/6/11/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/9)-(10/6/11/9/2)-(10/6/11/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/6/9)-(5/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/6/9)-(5/9/8/4)-(1/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/4)-(5/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/4)-(5/9/8/4)-(5/9/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/8/4)-(1/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/8/4)-(1/4/2/3)-(10/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/3)-(10/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/3)-(10/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN TO SIN Oct07 Sep01 Aug26 Mar10 Feb17 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Aug05 Jun06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ONE CANDY CASTLE Oct07 Aug26 Jul13 May26 Apr29 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 8.00    
4  MISSIONARY Oct07 Mar30 Feb16 Jan06 Nov26 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 118 10.00    
5  GEORGE Oct07 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 0.60 58% 0.70    
6  EL PACHO Sep08 Aug17 Mar10 Feb17   (reyes d)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
 
CT-2   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUPERSTITIEUX Oct05 Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00    
2  SCOOTSCOOT Oct05 Sep09 Aug24 Aug05 Jul13 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  GABRIEL'S WING Oct05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan14 Dec08 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.20 49% 1.10    
4  SPEAKERIT Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 Jul07 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
5  AKINGISALWAYSKING Oct18 Sep30 Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00    
6  STAVANGER Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May18 (racanelli mark)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
7  SOUTHERN LAD Aug03 Jul07 Apr20 Feb19 Feb11 (leaf robert)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 113 20.00    
8  CENTRAL PRIDE Oct05 Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 May05 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 122 15.00 7% 12.60    
 
CT-3   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SISTER PAM Sep16 Aug26 Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  PUSH Oct19 Sep28 Sep06 Aug31 Aug18 (saville nial)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50    
3  KATALIMA Oct12 Jul22 Jul01 May20 Apr28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  HANNAHS RED RUBY Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 Jun16 Nov17 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 20.00    
5  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS Oct07 Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 May26 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
SCR  HARPER'S DO Oct19 Sep21 Aug23 Jun28 Jun18 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00    
7  WISHING FOR SPRING Oct12 Sep16 Aug26 Jul20 May18 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
8  BOCA BIRDIE Oct12 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORWARD Oct19 Oct05 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
 
CT-4   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKEABLE Oct02 Sep22 Aug27 May16 Mar30 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  STEAL THE CASH Sep03 Jul01 Jun10 May18 Apr08 (covello)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
3  BRISTOL CHANNEL Aug27 Aug17 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
4  ONE TEN Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Jul22 Jun18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50    
5  OVERLY CRITICAL Sep21 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May18 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
6  ALPHA CHI RHO Sep22 Sep04 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.20 60% 0.70    
7  O'CONNER SUNSET Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 Jun16 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
CT-5   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK DID IT Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Feb18 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
2  SILIPO Oct07 May20 Apr14 Mar25 Sep24 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 120 4.50 ★    
3  ADVANCE CASH Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 Jun17 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50    
4  AUBURN MILL Oct18 Sep29 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
5  ROYAL PAIN Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 Apr22 Mar31 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
6  ZEN MASTER Oct07 Sep03 Jul30 Jul07 May28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 17% 5.10    
SCR  FEARNOUGHT Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
8  PERSONABLE Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 Feb24 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
9  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Aug13 Jul31 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (spriggs toschi)MONTANO JOSE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LITTLE ROO ROO Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Jul22 Jun17 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
11  MILITARY DRILL Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 ★    
 
CT-6   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAYMENGOLD Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
2  YO VINNIE Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 8.00    
3  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Oct07 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
4  CAPTAIN CREED Sep23 Jan06 Nov26 May06   (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD OF CORK Oct14 Sep28 Aug25 Aug04 Jul21 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Sep28 Sep02 Jul27 May27 Aug26 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
7  BUDDY BUDDY Aug25 Aug04 Jul15 May27 Apr27 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
8  REMYS SHOWTIME Oct14 Sep09 Sep01 Aug11 Jul27 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
9  HOT FUDGE SONDE May12 Apr22 Apr01 Feb17 Jan27 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
CT-7   10/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Oct14 Aug25 Jun11 May17 Apr28 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  EL LUCERITO Oct14 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 12% 7.40    
3  DUNCAN IDAHO Oct14 Sep21 Aug17 Jul15 Jun09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 5% 17.30    
4  TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct14 Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  BLACK CANDY Oct11 Sep17 Sep04 Aug05 Jul20 (tomczak mark)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
6  BOSS E BOOGS Sep28 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 May27 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 12.00    
7  SETTLEMENT DATE Jun30 Jun15 May19 May05 Apr27 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
8  DERBY DAY DREAMS Oct14 Jun17 May19 Feb23 Jan12 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
9  SHOWTIME CAT Oct12 Sep16 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATERLOO ROSE Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 Jun15 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY QUEEN Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 Aug16 Jul13 (miller ma)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
3  SWEET FACTOR Sep30 Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jun23 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  ELLIE VICTORINA Oct19 Oct01 Sep09 Aug25 Aug12 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 10.00    
5  DALLAS Oct07 Sep22 Sep13 Aug05 Jul29 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
SCR  MERGER OF EQUALS Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul20 Jul05 (corrales jos)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
SCR  ROLIN N CONTROLIN Sep27 Sep06 Aug19 Jul26 Jun26 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
8  HOVEL Oct07 Sep16 Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 111 30.00    
SCR  IMAGINE VICTORY Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May18 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00    
10  MIDNIGHT REGRET Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  LADRO DI FICHI Oct21 Sep26 Aug19 Jul22 Jul06 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60    
12  MISS ANTIETAM Oct01 Aug25 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 (robb j)HO WESLEY 120 4.50    
SCR  CONNECTING FLIGHT Sep26 Aug25 Aug10 Jun17 May13 (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.