Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/1)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(1/4)-(5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/6)-(8/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(8/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(8/7/4)-(3/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4)-(8/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/4)-(3/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4)-(3/7/5)-(6/1/11/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(6/1/11/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (6/1/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/11/10)-(6/1/11/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/11/10)-(6/1/11/10)-(6/1/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPUS Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 2.50 11% 8.10    
2  NOT YET CHARLIE Oct03 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 (cline robert )MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
3  CREATIVE CHOICE Oct09 Oct02 Sep18 Aug23 Jul31 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
4  TAMANRASSETT Oct11 Sep28 Sep10 Aug23 Aug15 (gomez alejandro)WALES GARY 122 4.50    
5  SPETTACOLI (ARG) Oct10 Sep21 Sep11 Aug10 Jul31 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 3.50 10% 9.40    
6  YADI Oct05 Sep21 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 124 1.80 54% 0.80    
 
PID-2   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIERO DINERO Sep19 Aug23       (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of GEISHA GAL by AGNES TACHYON (JPN))
2  OPHELIAS DREAM Sep26         (wismer g)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
3  SWAMP WITCH HADDY Aug23 Jul12 Jun10 May30 Jul18 (syed riaz)STANLEY O 124 15.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of PYRITE GRAND SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
4  NO TAPPIN OUT Sep28 Jan21       (morey wi)GALLARDO A 121 1.40 61% 0.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TAP TAP TAPPING by TAPIT)
SCR  CALL ME PENNY Sep27 Aug23 Aug03 Oct28 Sep05 (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
6  VIENNA'S TWIRL Sep24 Aug17 Apr15     (cooney s)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
SCR  ARAYA Sep16 Sep07 Jul21 Nov30 Oct28 (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LILLY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
PID-3   10/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON MANIA Sep26 Sep12 Aug02 Jun11 May05 (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  PAYNTED WARRIOR Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
3  HUSH OF A STORM Sep18 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 May28 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 2.00    
4  GOODIE GOOMER Sep18 Aug21 Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.60 20% 3.90    
5  SARANAC (FR) Aug22 Jun18 May19 Nov07 Oct21 (hodsdon danie)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
 
PID-4   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HINDENBURG Oct03 Sep20 Aug15 Aug02 Jul25 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 8.00    
2  CITY TRIPPER Oct02 Sep20 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 (barron r)MARTINEZ A 121 6.00    
3  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct02 Sep10 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 (cheeks katy)BRACHO A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLUEBERRY Oct02 Aug23 Aug07 May03 Apr01 (hetrick )GALLARDO A 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
5  LYRICAL POET Sep03 Aug02 Oct23 Sep14 Jul29 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 65% 0.50    
6  LEGIO Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Jul26 Jul11 (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
7  KINGPIN Oct07 Sep08 Aug24 Aug10 Jun23 (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50    
SCR  LITTLE BIG Sep18 Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (schneider kim)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MONEY AND HONEY Sep11 Aug30 Aug14 Aug02 Jul10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
2  WHATCHAMACALL Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 Jun09 Jun03 (inirio carlos)STANLEY O 119 6.00    
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN Sep20 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul24 (rogers r)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
4  CAN I GET AN AMEN Sep11 Aug14 Jul26 Jun30 Jun21 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 6.00    
5  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 Aug02 Jul12 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
6  QUEEN WIGGY Oct03 Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 Jun12 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 14% 5.90    
7  TRIPLE R RATED Oct03 Jun26 Jun12 May24 Aug29 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PID-6   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J W RUCKUS Oct02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug15 Jul27 (davis sc)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
SCR  AMERICAN UNION Sep19 Aug14 Jul12 Jun05 May15 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
3  MERLIN'S SONG Oct09 Sep05 Jul14 May16 Mar18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
4  MORE THAN GOOD Sep14 Aug16 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPSOLUTION Oct02 Sep05 Aug08 Jul12 Jun26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
6  LORD OF LEGENDS Oct02 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 Jul04 (buhrow jamie)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
7  COMMODORE BARRY Sep28 Sep18 Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  HENRY'S WORLD Oct03 Sep19 Sep04 Aug10 Jul26 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
PID-7   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYSTONE HANK Aug02 Jun05 May23 Oct20 Oct12 (morrell r)SPIETH S 122 15.00    
SCR  ZIP LINE TO HEAVEN Oct01 Sep08 Aug04 May28 Oct20 (trombett)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
3  OUTHUSTLE Aug23 Aug01 Jul11     (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Oct02 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
5  YANKEE HUMOR Apr05 Mar14 Feb26     (vitali marcus)WALKER M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRADITUDE Oct02 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 (rogers ronald)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
7  COLONEL POPPY Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug07 Jul10 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
8  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Oct02 Sep13 Aug23 Aug09 Aug02 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Sep28 Sep12 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  ARTEMUS EAGLE Oct09 Sep20 Sep08 Aug19 Aug07 (cline robert )VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
3  CLEMSON TIGER Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 Aug09 Jul12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
4  GIANT PAYDAY Sep21 Sep12 Aug18 Aug10 Jun26 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 124 6.00    
SCR  FIRST HOMESTEAD Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun15 (meyers s)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
6  AULT Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 Jul18 Oct25 (martin willia)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 43% 1.30    
7  PERCENTAGE Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 (cline robert )DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
8  POLLOCK Oct09 Sep26 Aug29 Dec17 Oct25 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 15.00    
SCR  INCLUSIVE Oct04 Sep21 Aug28 Aug10 Jul26 (boyer jr)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Sep20 Sep02 Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  STRONG HEADED Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 Aug12 Aug04 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  RINGGOOD Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 Aug01 Jul19 (bond br)NAVARRO J 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.