Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(6/3/2)-(7/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/6/5)-(9/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
IND-3   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(9/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(9/4/6)-(4/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (9/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/6)-(9/4/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/6)-(9/4/7/6)-(9/4/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/6)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6)-(4/3/6/2)-(5/1/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (4/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2)-(4/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/2)-(5/1/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/2)-(5/1/4/7/2)-(3/6/1/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (5/1/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/7/2)-(5/1/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/7/2)-(5/1/4/7/2)-(5/1/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/4/7/2)-(3/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/7/2)-(3/6/1/7)-(4/11/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-7   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(4/11/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/11/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/11/5/8)-(4/11/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/11/5/8)-(4/11/5/1/8)-(4/11/5/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   10/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICCA WISDOM Aug22 Jun16 May12 Feb19 Oct08 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  OCELIA Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 Jun06 Apr19 (haran john)PEREZ E 119 12.00    
SCR  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Sep08 Aug30 Jul15 Jul06 May20 (simms mark )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.50    
4  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Sep28 Sep18 Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 (davis joseph)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 15.00    
5  COLUMN Sep20 Sep07 Aug12 Jul19 Jun22 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00    
6  FREDERICIA Sep20 Aug22 Jul18 Jul03 Jun06 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 125 3.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  NO MORE FAKE NEWS Sep13 Aug05 Jul19 May30 May10 (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
8  BLOODY MARY MORNIN Sep03 Aug03 May29 Mar25 Mar04 (meraz antonio)PRESCOTT R 119 5.00 21% 3.90    
 
IND-2   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AH LEAH Sep09 Jul16 Jun20 Jun11 May20 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 20.00    
2  TAP N SWAY Sep15 Aug12 Jul09 May23 Jan20 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00 15% 5.50    
3  MIA BABY Aug02 Jul07 Jun13 Mar18 Feb04 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  INCREDIBLE JUSTICE Sep26 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun07 (paquett)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
SCR  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Sep22 Aug29 Aug04 Jul20 Jul07 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 12.00    
6  BETCHA Sep06 Aug08 Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 (garcia gena)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 4.50 38% 1.60    
7  CORSIDAT Sep26 Aug22 Jun14 May18 Nov08 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 6.00    
SCR  VIOLENT POINT Jul07 Jun16 Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.20    
 
IND-3   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CROWNED Sep21 Sep14 Aug15 Jun15 May29 (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00    
2  WILL TAKE CASH Aug05 Jun16 May06     (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00    
3  MANTA REY Sep14 Aug26 Aug03 Jul09 Jun18 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 15.00    
SCR  FAVORABLE RETURN Sep25 Sep11 Jul18 May25 May15 (skeens jere)FRANKLIN MALCOM 125 20.00    
5  BALSA Sep14 Aug10 Oct27 Sep01 Jul23 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIRE BABY Sep14 Aug05 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
7  STUD LOVIN Aug22 Jul30 May28 May06 Sep08 (maker michae)RAMOS D 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
IND-4   10/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIGGZAPPA Sep16 Aug28 Jul31 Mar24 Mar05 (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
2  CHICA DE ORO Aug28 Jul11 May29 Apr27 Mar31 (tomlinson michael )MOJICA O 119 3.00    
3  CENTER STAGE Aug19 Jul15 May20 Apr23 Mar25 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
4  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Aug28 Mar26 Feb16 Dec26 Nov13 (maker michae)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
5  BEL ARIA Sep13 Aug28 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (foster )DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
6  GRAY VIXEN Sep08 Aug01 Jul08 Jun17 Nov24 (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TALL GIRL Sep13 Aug28 Aug05 Jul11 May28 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 119 6.00 ★    
8  FIRST HILL Aug24 Aug06 Jun08 May06 Apr20 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00    
9  THREE COINS Sep13 Aug19 Jul23 Jun17 Jun01 (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  WEST COASTER Sep12 Aug11 Jun23 Jun06 May19 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTIVA DIVA Sep18 Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 Oct03 (wisner trac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 6.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of SPANISH SOCIAL by SPANISH STEPS)
2  ABRA ABRA Sep18 Aug26 Aug02     (richardville tian)PEREZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NECK 'N NECK out of INSURE by MENIFEE)
3  TAPRIZE ME         (medina tomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPRIZE out of MIGHTY WINDY by PLENTY CHILLY)
4  SWEET SASSY PANTS Sep14 Aug08       (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of SHE'S A PIONEER by PIONEERING)
5  KNOTTY BLONDE Sep07 Aug17 Jun20 Jun06 Nov14 (richardville)CENTENO ALEXIS 125 20.00    
  (by FORT PRADO out of TAYLOR'S QUEEN by CROWNING DECISION)
6  SALTY SUE Sep18 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 (egglest)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
  (by CSABA out of SUE CITY SLEW by SLEW CITY SLEW)
7  JANE'S A DIVA Sep18 Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 May03 (wisner trac)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 3.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of PRETTY PLAIN JANE by JUST PLAIN JOE)
8  ANTE ANGEL Sep18 Aug26       (cluley denni)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANTE MY ANNIE by SKY APPROVAL)
 
IND-6   10/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVI ME DREAMING Sep20 Aug28       (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
2  PINK LADY LU SHA Sep21         (schultz lind)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
3  NAPALI COAST         (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of PHANTOM OPENING by ARCH)
4  TAAMUQ Sep06         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 6% 15.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
5  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Sep07 Aug20 Aug05 Jul06   (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
6  EURCOOL Sep28 Sep07 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 (prescott ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 30.00    
  (by EUROPE out of COOL CORREDOR by EL CORREDOR)
7  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Aug31 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08   (capps steve)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
8  BY HEART Sep20         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of LOVE STYLE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
9  SEAU N'TAP Aug28 Jun10       (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 121 20.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of RED WHITE AND BLU by TIZNOW)
10  RUN RUN RABBIT Sep20 Aug28       (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 15.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of OCEAN ROAD by WAR FRONT)
11  HAZIEL         (langemeier jo)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ERRANT ANGEL by TIZ WONDERFUL)
12  PARTAKE Sep07 Aug10 Jun25 Jun10   (wojczynski ju)GILLIGAN JACK 121 12.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  HOLIDAY ROAD (ARG) Aug29 Aug06       (mott william)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  SHE'S A SAINT Sep09         (dunn d)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SITA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
IND-7   10/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZZTIFY DOLL Sep25 Aug05 Jul07 Jun21 May21 (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 7% 13.20    
2  ICEY ANGEL Aug28 Aug11 Jul20 Jun21 Jun01 (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
3  JURADICIAL Aug28 Aug03 Jun22 Oct29 Aug31 (caramori ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 109 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  OUT OF PROMISES Aug28 Jun29 Jun10 May02   (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 119 20.00    
5  SPLASH OF TONIC Sep05 Aug15 Jul03 May31 May18 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00    
6  ARDIS Aug02 Jul15 Jun29 Apr19 Feb05 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
7  FOREVER PINK Sep11         (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  RAPUNZELS SONG Aug15 Jul11 Jun21 May30 Apr23 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 2.50    
9  SHANGHAI EXPRESS Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 Jul15 Jun27 (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 116 10.00    
SCR  MISS COMPRESSOR Aug28 Aug02 Nov17     (cluley denni)TERRAZA GERMAN 109 12.00    
 
IND-8   10/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADEMUPJUSTICE Sep07 Aug16 Jun24 Jun06 May11 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  YOLO SANTIAGO Sep14 Jul19 May30 May08 Apr19 (fontenot daw)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00    
3  HOME RUN HANK Sep06 Aug18 Jul12 Jun24 Apr08 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
4  HUMBLE WARRIOR Sep13 Jul15 May31 Nov03 Oct26 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 119 4.50 53% 0.90    
5  FACE VALUE Sep12 Jul18 Jun22 May30 Jan01 (fosdick steve)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 6% 14.60    
6  VINTAGE VINYL Sep28 Aug11 Jul12 May24 May08 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 8.00    
7  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Sep10 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 May17 (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 122 12.00    
8  J'S NAUGHTY BOY Sep28 Aug23 Aug02 Jul15 Jun13 (davis d)PRESCOTT R 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BREAKOUT STAR Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 (paquett)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
10  SOME R BLESSED Sep02 Aug17 Aug02 Jul21 Mar23 (corrigan )CORREA L 122 15.00    
11  BROKEN JUSTICE Sep19 Aug20 Jul15 Jun29 May30 (short ricky )BURGOS ALBERTO 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
12  TIZ A BEAST Sep12 Aug11 Jun17 May08 Apr08 (natio)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 8.00    
13  BAYOU CHROME Sep19 Aug28 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 (leonard geo)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00    
SCR  DON'T CROSS JACK Sep19 Aug30 Aug06 Jul10 May22 (tooley je)BERMUDEZ E 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.