Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Monday - October 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(4/1)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
IND-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/4/5)-(7/10/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/10/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/10/6/9)-(8/10/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (7/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/9)-(7/10/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/9)-(7/10/6/9)-(7/10/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/10/6/9)-(8/10/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/9)-(8/10/3/5)-(1/6/8/10/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-5   WIN (8/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/3/5)-(8/10/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/3/5)-(8/10/3/5)-(8/10/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/3/5)-(1/6/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/3/5)-(1/6/8/10/5)-(2/5/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (1/6/8/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/5)-(1/6/8/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/8/10/5)-(2/5/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/10/5)-(2/5/10/9)-(5/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (2/5/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/10/9)-(2/5/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/10/9)-(2/5/10/9)-(2/5/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/10/9)-(5/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/11)-(5/9/3/11/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/11)-(5/9/3/11/1)-(5/9/3/11/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAF Sep23 Aug23 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 122 30.00    
HIGH BROW Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 Jun29 May31 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 122 12.00 50% 1.00    
GOOD SUGAR Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 Jul13 Jun20 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 15.00    
DANANG Aug10 Jun20 Jun01 May10 Feb09 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 119 10.00    
RISKY BOY Sep23 Aug30 Aug13 Aug03 Jul16 (spagnola id)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 8.00 14% 6.20    
SHIPSHAPE Sep20 Sep11 Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 (medina tomas)PRESCOTT R 119 6.00 10% 9.50    
THAT KHENNY Sep14 Aug23 May03 Apr25 Mar16 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 122 5.00    
SCR  BEST OF GREELEY Sep25 Sep05 Aug17 Jul06 Jun18 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 125 1.20    
SCR  D' YANK Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (martinez a)PEREZ E 122 8.00    
 
IND-2   10/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP TARGET         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPIT out of CORPS DE BALLET by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
URSO GRAYDAR Sep20 Aug28 Aug10     (green dar)BERMUDEZ E 125 20.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
SCR  BLACK RAVEN Sep21 Aug27 Aug17 Jul30 Jun18 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
BUBBA CAN DANCE Aug08 Jan22 Dec31     (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 51% 1.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of OF ONE HEART by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
THREE TWO RUN Nov01 Oct25       (anthony david)HISBY RONALD 122 30.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of CHANTILLY'S FRIEND by CRAFTY FRIEND)
SCR  ZADORO Jul14         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 3.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
FIRST PLAYER Sep15 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02   (howard j)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.60    
  (by THE PLAYER out of BODACIOUS BETS by AFTER MARKET)
 
IND-3   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOLAR POWER Sep12 Aug19 Aug02 Jul08 Jun15 (matthews )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00    
MARIACHI JUSTICE Sep12 Aug03 Jul08 Jun15 May24 (contreras c)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 3.00    
FIERCE JUSTICE Sep13 Aug09 Jul13 Jul05 Jun15 (granitz anth)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 5.00 27% 2.70    
PICKLE FEET May03 Dec31 Nov22 Jun22 Jun01 (douglass )BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
HE B READY Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul15 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
MYSTERY IMPACT Sep21 Aug26 Aug01 Jun17 May29 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 119 12.00    
DOSSIER Aug23 Aug11 Jun29 May22 Apr19 (garcia )DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI EXPRESS Sep14 Aug29 Aug17 Jul15 Jun27 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 15.00    
 
IND-4   10/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKLE UP Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 Jun13 May10 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SMART KIT by KITALPHA)
FEELINGOODBILLYRAY Sep18 Aug29 Jul12     (holden j)RAMOS D 119 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of BECAUSES by COLONIAL COLONY)
IMPLODING Sep07 May30 May09 Oct31 Oct10 (lauer michae)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ACCESSORIZING by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 May24 (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 122 1.80 27% 2.60    
  (by GIO PONTI out of RING RING RING by PETIONVILLE)
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Jun24 Jun13 Nov17 Nov09 Oct27 (klopp ran)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CADILLAC KELLY by EL PRADO (IRE))
BIG STORMY Sep20 Jul13 Jun24     (dunn step)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of BLACK TULIP by ROCK HARD TEN)
HITCHPIN Sep11 Aug30 Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 (klopp randy)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of COLOR ME SPECIAL by RIVER SPECIAL)
REVS MEDAL Oct02 Sep11 Aug05 Jul13 Jun10 (phillips ter)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
ORA CERTA         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
10  FOXY BOXY Sep07 Aug15 Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of BOXITUP by OUTOFTHEBOX)
11  PAIGE PERFECT Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug05 Jul20 (wisner )DE CRUZ 125 30.00    
  (by PERFECT CIRCLE out of PAIGES PEBBLE by STALWART)
 
IND-5   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDENPENCE Nov13 Oct22 Aug12 Jul19 Jul08 (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 122 30.00    
SCR  BLACK STORM Sep13 May14 Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
MR MANNING Sep13 Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun22 (hammond kim)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 6% 15.50    
SCR  MATERS N TATERS Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00    
K J'S LEGACY Sep07 Jul19 Jun24 May25 Feb17 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HATCHET CREEK Sep12 Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (dizeo dino)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
MAQAMAT Sep14 Aug09 Mar30 Mar15 Feb18 (douglas)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
TOO BAD JUSTICE Sep28 Aug09 Jul15 Jun07 Apr26 (eggleston)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
SWISS GUARD Sep13 Aug16 Jul23 May03 Apr20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
10  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 Oct02 Aug18 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80 27% 2.70    
11  HIGHEST PRAISE Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jul12 Jun22 (haran john)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
 
IND-6   10/09/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART PRIZE Sep25 Aug26 Jan27 Jan01 Nov06 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CONNECT out of PRIZE CATCH by A.P. INDY)
WILD SEAN Dec10 Oct20 Sep22     (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SHE'S ALL IN by INCLUDE)
PEARSE Aug09 Jun24 Apr20 Mar11   (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
NEWS AT NINE Sep18 Aug31       (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
HILTON HEAD Sep18 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 May25 (davis jos)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
COACH PETRO Jul05 May14 Apr14 Dec16 Sep25 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
EMPIRE'S BEST Dec10 Oct21       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of LIBERTY GIRL by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
MOON WISH Sep18 Jan28       (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ONE MORE WISH by PADDY O'PRADO)
STEP ON IT Sep20 Aug29 Jun10 May20 Apr20 (west w)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of AVERY A. by KITTEN'S JOY)
10  EL CERRITO Aug31 Aug03 Jun14 May23 Sep14 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00 6% 15.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  SUNSET TOWN Sep10 Oct21       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SUNSET GLOW by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  GREAT BARRIER Jul30 Oct23       (ortiz ale)ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
SCR  ENAHM         (thomas jo)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KUNDRAY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  AMEREASE         (gorder kellyn)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PLEASE SIGN IN by DOC'S LEADER)
 
IND-7   10/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY SPEIGHT Sep12 Jun27 Jun06     (schlenk k)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 20.00    
DEBOISBLANC Aug25 Jul07 May19     (cox bra)DE CRUZ 118 1.20 30% 2.30    
DESIGNATED Sep13 Aug31 Jul07 Jun21 May10 (elliott miche)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 20.00    
MILA JUNES Sep29 Aug20 Jun16     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 5.00    
HERE'S THE SPIDER Aug26         (fernandez)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
AIM HIGHER Sep13 Aug15 Jul19 Jun21 May19 (elliott mic)BURNHAM MATILDA 111 30.00    
LUCKY LESSON Sep25 Jun08 May27 May10   (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
SCR  SHOT GIRL Sep25 Sep13 May23     (corrigan )CORREA L 118 10.00    
FANCIFUL Aug30 Aug01       (cara)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  BALLADRY Aug29 Aug08       (pitts helen)MOJICA O 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
IND-8   10/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRITE OFF JERRY Sep25 Apr20 Mar25 Feb10 Jan06 (hiles a)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
SCR  AKAMAI Sep19 Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 May24 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 119 12.00    
ZOLO Aug29 Jul15 Jun17 May16 Apr26 (duran antonio)MOJICA O 119 4.50    
HAVILDAR Aug26 Jul21 Jun14     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 8.00    
SIMPLE LOGIC Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 68% 0.50    
COOL AND COLLECTED Aug24 Jul23 Jun08     (block chris)COLON H 119 12.00    
ICE SHARD Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00    
SCR  EL RAYO (ARG) Sep19 Aug13 Jul23 Jul11 Jun17 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00    
JEOPARDY THEORY Sep20 Aug23 Jul15 Jun17 May06 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
10  WHAT A BLAST Aug04 Jul05 Feb24 Jan20 Dec31 (maker michae)RAMOS D 119 5.00    
11  ME AND CHILI Sep13 Jul19 Jun17 May22 Nov03 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  MOMS MOON Aug27 Jul19 May31 May06 Mar25 (arnold george)GILLIGAN JACK 122 8.00    
SCR  SUNDAY BREEZE Mar22 Mar03 Feb02 Jan05 Nov24 (devaux cheri)CARROLL DECLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  EL PERFECTO Sep04 Jul23 Jun11 May14 Apr30 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.