Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Columbus
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CLS-1   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CLS-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CLS-3   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(6/7/4)-(5/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CLS-4   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CLS-5   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(3/5/1)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CLS-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CLS-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CLS-1   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Amadevil Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGE'S BRIBE Sep09 May19 Apr29 Apr16 Mar31 (black marissa)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of COWGIRL PRINCESS by LANGFUHR)
2  FOR REEL Jun29 May19 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (bliss dean)LUARK T 122 4.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
3  PHLASH DRIVE May19 Apr29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of BY THE SKY by SKY MESA)
4  KENHEDOIT Sep04 Jul24 Jun03 May20 May12 (dieter dal)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 5.00    
  (by EL CABALLO out of KACHINA RIVER by RIO VERDE)
5  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Sep24 Sep08 May14 Apr22 Apr08 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 123 10.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  NAME THE PRICE Sep03 Jun04 May20 May12 Apr15 (dieter)FLETCHER D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR CAT out of RHYTHMOS by AENEAS)
7  BARTENDERS MISTAKE May05 Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (moss deb)RAMOS B 120 3.50 9% 10.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of LUVTHAT D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  L B GOLD May20 May05 Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 (krause bill)ZIEGLER ZACK 120 12.00    
  (by MINE FOR GOLD out of MAGIC PLAYER by SHAWKLIT PLAYER)
 
CLS-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENIAN PRINCESS Sep11 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 (hibdon n)LUARK T 125 3.50 12% 7.40    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of HOLY PRINCESS by HOLY BULL)
2  KENZIE LOU Sep22 Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Sep30 (martinez k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of GRACEFULLY DONE by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
3  KYLIES HOPE Sep15 Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 (schindler wa)BETHKE A 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
4  KINSLEYS SWEET PEA Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00    
  (by REVOLVING out of COVETOUS by STORM DAY)
5  FLAT OUT HOT Sep22 Sep08 Aug26 Jul09 Jun16 (rhodes lester)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BETAR B SHARP by CHEROKEE RUN)
6  ALTAR GIRL Jul30 Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr22 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 123 6.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of SAFE N RICH by STORM BOOT)
7  NONA Sep13 Aug30 Jul29     (hoffman robert)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00    
  (by GRAY METEOR out of ELUSIVE VACATION by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CLS-3   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Sep11 Aug26 Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  SKYLINE Jul30 Jul14 Jun24 May27 May19 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
3  BURBACH Aug21 Jul31 Sep13 Aug29 Aug02 (chavez juan)LUARK T 125 12.00    
4  SCARYATCANTERBURY Sep03 Aug17 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
5  ONE LAST CHANT Sep22 Sep09 Sep03 Aug19 Jul28 (lemburg mark)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 2.00    
6  BUMPER POOL Sep16 Sep10 Sep03 Aug19 Aug07 (ibanez alb)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 10.00 5% 18.60    
7  SILENT SAILOR Sep13 Sep03 Aug17 Aug06 Jul23 (walker harla)BETHKE A 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
CLS-4   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLY YANK Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jul15 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 125 4.50    
2  PRINCE OTTO Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Feb06 (esquibel mark)RAMOS B 125 2.00    
3  SMOOTH SCAT Sep04 Aug03 Jul14 Jun03 May06 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 123 2.50    
4  LEVEL Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 May27 May13 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WAR REPORTER Jun17 May06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 (gonzalez isai )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
6  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Apr16 (chavez juan)LUARK T 125 3.00 58% 0.70    
7  KWAI CHANG Jun04 May20 Sep12 Aug13 Jul16 (martinez k)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.00 10% 9.10    
 
CLS-5   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTERPIECE DAY Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
2  XTREME LYRA Sep16 Sep08 Jul30 Jul22 Jun25 (schindler ky)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
3  WAR EAGLE'S RETURN Jun25 Jun04 May19 Apr29 Sep25 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  SOUTHERN MOJO Jul15 Jun25 Apr29 Apr15 Mar03 (crabtree jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
5  TOMBI Sep10 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul15 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  TIGER THE MAN Sep10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jul01 (hawley joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.00    
7  MY BOY GUS Jun10 May20 Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 (gonzalez i)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 2.50 12% 7.40    
 
CLS-6   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO LIMITATION Sep04 Aug26 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 (chavez jua)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 4.00 10% 8.90    
2  KNIGHTED Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul10 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 2.50    
3  SCREENPLAY Aug10 Jul06 Jun25 May20 Apr22 (gonzalez isai )LUARK T 125 6.00 31% 2.30    
4  BARSTOW Sep15 Sep03 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 125 2.00    
5  MY PAL Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 Jul02 (vicchrilli rus)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  WIN FOR FUN Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 May16 May01 (david ron)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 5.00    
7  MISHKO Sep13 Aug30 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
 
CLS-7   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY PETE Sep18 Aug27 Aug19 Jul31 Jul16 (condon schuy)BETHKE A 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
2  AVALON KING Sep02 Aug12 Sep10 Aug13 Aug08 (o'brien debbie)RAMOS B 125 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  HULEN Sep04 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 May13 (gonzalez isai )LUARK T 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  AFTER BURN Sep10 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 (womochil jeff)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
5  BRICKTOWN BROWN Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 (black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
6  DOCS CARO CAT Sep10 Sep02 Aug21 Aug12 Jul30 (vanderpool ran)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.