Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (5/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4/11)-(5/1/8/4/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/2)-(8/1/2)-(8/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/4/2)-(6/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/4/2)-(3/8/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/9/6)-(7/8/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-9   WIN (5/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/6)-(5/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9/6)-(5/9/6)-(5/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/9/5)-(6/1/9/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASE BABY Aug12 Jul14 Jun11 May26 Apr15 (rodriguez rudy)RENDON JAIRO 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  POWER OF NATURE Aug12 Jul22 Jun17     (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
3  METAMORPHOSES Jul23 Jul01 May19 Apr22 Mar11 (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00    
4  HOLLYWOOD CLOSEUP Aug12 Feb03 Dec23 Oct16 Sep30 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BARRY THE BUILDER Jul03 Jun03 May13 Nov11 Oct27 (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 41% 1.40    
6  RECUSED Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 Jul08 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 30.00    
7  WINSOR MANOR Aug12 Jul29 Jul14 Oct08 Aug28 (leeson d)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
8  FINAL DESTINATION (NZ)         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 7% 12.50    
9  THE GOLDEN ONE Aug13 Aug03 Jul21 Jul01 Jun11 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00    
10  FLINTSHIRE'S ROCK Aug12 Jul23 Jul01 May19 Jun17 (klesaris r)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
11  MISTER MOORE Jul28 Jun18 May27 Apr16 Mar10 (maker j)JUAREZ NIK 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  DOOQ Aug12 May30 May17     (pino mich)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
SCR  MOMENT AT SEA Aug25 Jul15 Jun28 May30 Sep27 (foglia ant)RIVERA R 113 30.00    
SCR  SMILIN JACK Jul14 Jun14 May29 May03   (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 12.00    
 
MTH-2   09/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELLTON GIRL Aug13 Jul14 Jun23     (ortega leopold)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00    
SCR  FEELIN SO LUCKY Aug25         (eubanks a)VARGAS A 118 3.50    
3  UTOPIA ROSE Jul29 Jul15 Jun16 Jun03   (spina charles)FERRER C 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  PRINCESS ANISA         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00    
5  I'M A CUTIE PIE Aug13 Jul15 Jun16     (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  BRIGHT KOHANA Aug19 Jul29       (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 16% 5.40    
7  GULF COAST GIRL Jul14         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
 
MTH-3   09/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTFUL AVA Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 May20 (frangella jam)IORIO MELISSA 108 8.00    
2  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jul28 Jul15 Jun16 Jun02 May13 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
3  SHERRY ORIENTAL Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 Jun30 Jun17 (nunn d)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 12% 7.10    
5  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jun18 May27 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 (spina cha)VARGAS A 115 15.00    
6  FIXED ODDS Jul28 Jun23 May20 Oct22 Oct08 (simoff andrew)CAMACHO SAMY 115 3.00 52% 0.90    
7  VIOLETS SMILE Aug11 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 115 4.50    
SCR  MODEL BEHAVIOR Aug27 Aug11 Jun17 Jun02 Aug28 (carango an)RIVERA R 115 30.00    
9  WICKED JANE Aug11 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May27 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
 
MTH-4   09/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Jul16 Jul09 May20 Apr07 Feb26 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
2  BAMBOO GARDEN Jul09 Aug06 Jul02 Jun12   (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOY'S PRIDE Aug11 Jul26 Jul09 Jun23 May27 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
SCR  CANOOCHEE Aug18 Jul09 Jun09 May27 Apr10 (ramirez silvin)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
5  RACHEL CAROLINE Aug11 Jul15 Jun23 Jun02 Sep23 (frangella jam)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00    
6  POLITELY CROWNED Aug27 Aug11 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 4.50    
7  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Aug11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun30 Jun16 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
8  RIDING PRETTY Jul29 Jul08 Jun04 Apr01 Mar04 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 115 1.00 66% 0.50    
 
MTH-5   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Violet Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Jul22 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 (bedard alan)NO RIDER 118 8.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of MISS DOLAN'S ROSE by JUDGE T C)
2  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 May13 Apr08 (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS HOLLYWOOD by MALIBU MOON)
3  JOIN THE DANCE Aug02 May07 Mar25 Jan29 Oct01 (casse mark)FERRER C 124 6.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MOONDANCER by CUVEE)
4  VERONICA GREENE Jul27 Jun18 May07 Apr08 Nov13 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 ★    
  (by TAPIT out of ADORABLE MISS by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  COMMUNITY ADJUSTED Jul15 Jun03 Oct20 Aug30 Jul31 (delacour arn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 9% 10.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RIMINI ROAD by DYNAFORMER)
6  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) Jul27 May26       (brown c)NO RIDER 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SIGN AND SEAL by BROKEN VOW)
7  MISS CAROL ANN (IRE) Jul27 May18 Sep18     (motion graha)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May20 Mar12 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
 
MTH-6   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CONFESSION Aug22 Jun17 May13 Mar06 Jan23 (schistl rafael)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
2  V MART Aug17 Jul02 May29 May21 Jan03 (avila c)BATISTA A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARADISE VALLEY Aug03 Jun21 May30 May03   (lynch cathal)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
4  LOOKIN' SUPER Aug20 Jul08 Jun11 May20 Apr08 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 3.50 ★    
5  MR. PENNY PINCHER Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 May21   (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
6  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Jul08 Jun10 Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
7  THREETHIRTYTHREE Aug20 Jul22 Jul01 Mar29 Feb25 (hernandez)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
8  THREE ZERO Jul27 Jun09 May13 Mar25 Mar10 (brown bruce )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
MTH-7   09/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSTON PRINCESS Jul22 Jun23 May11 Apr20 Mar08 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50    
2  NANA FANNY Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 May14 Apr09 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  MADAME ROUGE Aug19 Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May01 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
4  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Jul30 Jan25 Dec14 Nov25 Oct30 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
SCR  THISLADYIS THE LAW Aug03 Jun02 Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 (reynolds patri)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
6  MOVING IN STEREO Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May01 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  PUGILIST Aug05 Jul22 May14 Apr01 Feb25 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
8  RED WIND Aug19 Jul07 Jun21 May14 Apr02 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
9  TRUE BLUE PEARL Aug03 Jun17 Apr23 Mar29 Mar18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 ★    
10  PEARLS AND HEELS Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun02 May20 (martin f)JUAREZ NIK 118 30.00    
SCR  EXPECT TO BE READY Aug06 Jun30 Jun04 Apr08 Mar19 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
 
MTH-8   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL POPPY Jun23 May20 Feb05 Dec15 Nov20 (handal ra)VARGAS A 115 4.00 ★    
2  KOTYLE Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 Mar15 Feb15 (umarov otabek)LUZZI J 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZIAERATI Jul14 Jun03 Apr07 Mar04 Jan15 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 108 3.00 68% 0.50    
4  KINGDOM QUEEN Aug20 Aug05 Jun18 Jun04 Mar25 (schistl rafa)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
5  ATHENA'S WISDOM Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 May05 Apr19 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 ★    
6  STARSHIP DEFIANT Aug16 Aug06 Jun10 May05 Mar27 (jacobson dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
7  CUMBERLAND FALLS Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 May20 Mar23 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 115 5.00    
8  BEATIFUL KARLA Aug19 Jul14 May18 Mar01 Dec31 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ A 115 12.00    
 
MTH-9   09/02/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALFIO Aug13 Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun10 (quartarolo ant)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
2  MONTAUK POINT Jul21 May18 Mar31 Feb10 Jan20 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SCR  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jul21 Jul07 May29 Mar19 Sep24 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50    
4  KYGO (GER) Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 Apr29 Mar31 (dobles el)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
5  FOREVER SOUPER Jul22 Jul01 May14 Jul16 Jun10 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 49% 1.10    
6  MT SURIBACHI Aug17 Jul07 May28 Nov06 Oct08 (smylie timot)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOUPER ENERGIZER Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 Apr02 (pantal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
8  LOGICO Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr09 Oct18 (dobles el)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
9  GREATHEART Aug23 Jul23 Jun25 May14 Apr22 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
MTH-10   09/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN BUZZ Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 Apr21 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.50 ★    
2  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Aug05 Jul15 Jul03 Jun23 May20 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 12.00    
3  BAM BAM WARRIOR Aug05 Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 Apr23 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 8.00    
4  DARK STORM Aug18 Jul22 Jun24 Jun18 May04 (skelton dawn)CAMACHO SAMY 124 15.00    
5  LIVING WATER Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (ramirez si)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAST BREAK Aug18 May20 Jul26 Apr29 Mar26 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 69% 0.40    
7  RERALLY Aug06 Jul23 Jun23 Jun03 Jul28 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 3.50    
8  ROYAL COUP Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jul01 May28 (potts wayne)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00    
9  OFF THE MEDS Aug05 Jul26 Jul10 Jun16 Jun05 (farro patr)RIVERA R 119 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.