Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belterra Park
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-2   Win (5/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BTP-3   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BTP-4   Win (5/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BTP-5   Win (12/7/9/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BTP-6   Win (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-7   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BTP-8   Win (9/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BTP-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMA RIO Feb09 Jan12 Dec09     (jurado luis)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 4.50    
ELLIE DELI Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May20 May04 (rouck l)OUZTS W 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
FLATTER ME ZEN Aug05 Jun21 Jun01 May05 Mar27 (barrett roddi)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
THREE POINT KUZ Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 Jun03 Sep06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
WANNAGOCAMPING Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Mar15   (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 118 3.50    
SCR  MAXIMUM JOY Aug18 Jun22 Jun10 May11 Oct26 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 5.00    
 
BTP-2   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARED THE WARRIOR Aug16 Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May30 (mcvickers l)CORREA L 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
NORTHERN RUNNER Aug02 Dec30 Nov27 Nov03   (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 12.00    
MR JOKE Aug18 Aug02 Apr20     (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 15.00    
SCR  MR YETTIE Aug16 Jul23 May09     (reed r)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
THE POINT ROAD Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun17 May31 (bush s)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  NEVER SORRY Jul01 Jun15 May19     (hernandez javi)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
PRETTY HEART Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jun07 May18 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 115 5.00    
THALBERG Dec22         (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
MACI'S GEMSTONE Aug17 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (short thom)STRANDBERG MALLORY 115 20.00    
10  SOLOS HONOR         (anderson susan )LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
11  RAGING WHIRLWIND Aug16 Aug02 Jun30 May31 May06 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00    
 
BTP-3   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATTIE M Aug03 Jul08 May31 Apr28 Feb22 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
KNOT WILD Aug02 Jul08 May05 Feb14 Jan21 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
ROCK THE NILE Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 May13 May05 (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 116 2.50 13% 6.40    
WILDCAT DREAM Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 May31 Apr12 (salcedo ramon)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
FOR THE BISCUIT Aug03 Jun29 Jun21 May31 May13 (hernandez r)CORREA L 116 4.00 24% 3.20    
DOT MARIE Aug01 Jun14 May03 Apr15 Mar08 (caramori eduardo)REYES R 118 3.50    
 
BTP-4   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREENSFELDER Aug12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 (ramos francisco)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun10 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00    
RONITHELIMODRIVER Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 May25 Apr29 (hancock dana)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
EL MIC TIESUN Aug09 Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (scott antho)CORREA L 124 8.00    
DESERT HIGHWAY Aug12 Aug05 Jul14 Jun17 Jun03 (antonuik jerry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
FRADY Jul20 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May11 (adams l)MARCANO Y 112 6.00    
ANDY WALKS WITH ME Aug19 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 (mendieta alejan)PANAIJO JORGE 122 10.00    
GIVE GOD PRAISE Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May18 (bush s)BUSH V 117 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
BTP-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug03 Jul05 Oct29 Oct10 Sep16 (bush s)BUSH V 120 10.00    
SCR  BREATH OF HEAVEN Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Sep12   (bush s)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
FORTY WINKS Aug09 Jan05 Nov30     (hernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00    
AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE Aug10 Jul13       (johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
MYSTIFY (GB) Jul25 Jun30 May29 Apr08 Mar11 (barkley jason)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CASINO ANNIE Mar19 Jan20       (brafford c)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
BADGELAND Jul09 Mar08 Dec31 Nov24   (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
I GOT RITHM         (brafford michell)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00 7% 12.80    
ROYAL DIAMOND Aug01         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
SOUL HEIR         (fields christo)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00 7% 12.80    
10  AUGURI (ARG) Jul21 Jun01 May13 Apr29 Mar18 (cline rober)CORREA L 120 15.00    
11  CAUSE IMA ROSE         (guida anthony)STERRITT KENDAL 120 20.00 6% 15.90    
12  PIGEON CAY Oct16 Sep09 Aug18     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
BTP-6   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK THE BIRD Aug18 Jul20 Jul03 Jun22 May24 (donjuan sergio)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
MY FAVORITE UNCLE Aug20 Jul21 Jul09 May29 Apr29 (galindo-torres)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
CARNACK ON TOUR Aug17 Aug02 Jul06 Jun10 Apr19 (douglass devaru)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 May21 (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
BACON Aug04 Jun09 May20 Mar24 Feb10 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
LIDIA'S PRAYER Aug05 Jun16 May20 Mar28 Feb28 (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 3.50    
SCR  BAXTER JAX Aug15         (scott l)OUZTS W 120 5.00    
GOOD SOUL Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May20 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ANGELICA Aug10 Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 May17 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 115 5.00    
YEGUITA QUEEN Aug11 Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 Dec23 (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY HEAD HURTS Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 May19 (alessi james)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Aug15 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
SIS BOOM BOB Aug12 Jun29 Jun14 May19 Mar13 (esquivel je)CORREA L 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
AWESOME LAWSON Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun08 May28 (vesty clarke)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
ERV'S WENCH Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
HAPPYSECRET Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 116 12.00    
 
BTP-8   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON PARIS Jul24 Jul11 May20 Apr14 Mar02 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  TIZ BIZ Aug12 Aug01 Jun17 May27 Apr29 (brafford michell)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
LADA KALINA Jul29 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May11 (hernandez javier)REYES R 118 8.00    
MISS FOXANN Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May31 May18 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 122 12.00    
SCR  LONG BLACK VEIL Aug04 Jul06 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 12.00    
SWEET BABY RAY Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 7% 14.20    
WAR ENSIGN Jun22 Jun03 May04 Mar19 Jan16 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
BALI DOVE (FR) Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Feb11 Jan16 (west m)OUZTS W null      
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Jul07 May13 Mar29 Feb27 Apr21 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
10  SURE CAN Aug03 Jun15 Mar25 Mar01 Jan27 (lynch a)STEVENS C 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
11  SLENDER BETSY Aug11 Aug01 Jul07 Jun14 May18 (raines lindse)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.