Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/1/10/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/1/10/8)-(5/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/10/8)-(5/1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/10/8)-(5/1/10/8)-(5/1/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/10/8)-(5/3)-(5/1/8/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/1/8/3)-(12/7/9/11/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/3)-(12/7/9/11/4)-(4/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-5   WIN (12/7/9/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/7/9/11/4)-(12/7/9/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/7/9/11/4)-(12/7/9/11/4)-(12/7/9/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (12/7/9/11/4)-(4/2/8)-(5/7/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-6   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(5/7/2)-(9/10/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(9/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/10/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/6)-(9/10/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/6)-(9/10/1/6)-(9/10/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMA RIO Feb09 Jan12 Dec09     (jurado lui)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 4.50    
2  ELLIE DELI Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May20 May04 (rouck l)OUZTS W 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  FLATTER ME ZEN Aug05 Jun21 Jun01 May05 Mar27 (barrett rod)PETERSON FERRIN 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  THREE POINT KUZ Aug18 Aug01 Jun22 Jun03 Sep06 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
5  WANNAGOCAMPING Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Mar15   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 3.50    
SCR  MAXIMUM JOY Aug18 Jun22 Jun10 May11 Oct26 (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 5.00    
 
BTP-2   08/31/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARED THE WARRIOR Aug16 Jul20 Jun26 Jun10 May30 (mcvickers)CORREA L 120 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  NORTHERN RUNNER Aug02 Dec30 Nov27 Nov03   (demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 12.00    
3  MR JOKE Aug18 Aug02 Apr20     (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 15.00    
SCR  MR YETTIE Aug16 Jul23 May09     (reed r)MCKEE J 124 6.00    
5  THE POINT ROAD Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun17 May31 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  NEVER SORRY Jul01 Jun15 May19     (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 10.00    
7  PRETTY HEART Aug23 Aug01 Jul20 Jun07 May18 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 115 5.00    
8  THALBERG Dec22         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
9  MACI'S GEMSTONE Aug17 Jul29 Jul14 Jun21 Jun01 (short th)STRANDBERG MALLORY 115 20.00    
10  SOLOS HONOR         (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
11  RAGING WHIRLWIND Aug16 Aug02 Jun30 May31 May06 (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00    
 
BTP-3   08/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HATTIE M Aug03 Jul08 May31 Apr28 Feb22 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  KNOT WILD Aug02 Jul08 May05 Feb14 Jan21 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 5.00    
3  ROCK THE NILE Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 May13 May05 (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 116 2.50 13% 6.40    
4  WILDCAT DREAM Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 May31 Apr12 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
5  FOR THE BISCUIT Aug03 Jun29 Jun21 May31 May13 (hernandez)CORREA L 116 4.00 24% 3.20    
6  DOT MARIE Aug01 Jun14 May03 Apr15 Mar08 (caramori eduar)REYES R 118 3.50    
 
BTP-4   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENSFELDER Aug12 Aug03 Jul19 Jul07 Jun23 (ramos francis)LEBRON VICTOR 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun10 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 10.00    
3  RONITHELIMODRIVER Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 May25 Apr29 (hancock dan)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
4  EL MIC TIESUN Aug09 Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (scott ant)CORREA L 124 8.00    
5  DESERT HIGHWAY Aug12 Aug05 Jul14 Jun17 Jun03 (antonuik jerr)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  FRADY Jul20 Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May11 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 112 6.00    
7  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Aug19 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 (mendieta alej)PANAIJO JORGE 122 10.00    
8  GIVE GOD PRAISE Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun07 May18 (bush s)BUSH V 117 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
BTP-5   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug03 Jul05 Oct29 Oct10 Sep16 (bush s)BUSH V 120 10.00    
  (by CORFU out of MY MOM SANTINA by STREET BOSS)
SCR  BREATH OF HEAVEN Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Sep12   (bush s)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
2  FORTY WINKS Aug09 Jan05 Nov30     (hern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVROBI by TABASCO CAT)
3  AMATTEROFPRINCIPLE Aug10 Jul13       (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of SOCIAL SAVVY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  MYSTIFY (GB) Jul25 Jun30 May29 Apr08 Mar11 (barkley jason)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  CASINO ANNIE Mar19 Jan20       (brafford michelle)OUZTS W 120 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of WELL HEELED LADY by BROAD BRUSH)
6  BADGELAND Jul09 Mar08 Dec31 Nov24   (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
7  I GOT RITHM         (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 120 10.00 7% 12.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of RITHM AND RAP by ALGORITHMS)
8  ROYAL DIAMOND Aug01         (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of WEDDING DIAMOND by SYNCLINE)
9  SOUL HEIR         (fields chris)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DANCE WITH GIANTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  AUGURI (ARG) Jul21 Jun01 May13 Apr29 Mar18 (cline rob)CORREA L 120 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAPE HAZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
11  CAUSE IMA ROSE         (guida antho)STERRITT KENDAL 120 20.00 6% 15.90    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROSE KNOWS SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
12  PIGEON CAY Oct16 Sep09 Aug18     (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TRADE ONLY by UNBRIDLED)
 
BTP-6   08/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK THE BIRD Aug18 Jul20 Jul03 Jun22 May24 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
2  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Aug20 Jul21 Jul09 May29 Apr29 (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  CARNACK ON TOUR Aug17 Aug02 Jul06 Jun10 Apr19 (douglass deva)PANAIJO JORGE 120 12.00    
4  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Jun10 May21 (roberson denn)LEBRON VICTOR 125 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  BACON Aug04 Jun09 May20 Mar24 Feb10 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 6.00    
6  LIDIA'S PRAYER Aug05 Jun16 May20 Mar28 Feb28 (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 3.50    
SCR  BAXTER JAX Aug15         (scott l)OUZTS W 120 5.00    
8  GOOD SOUL Aug09 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May20 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   08/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ANGELICA Aug10 Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 May17 (pinzon maria)MARCANO Y 115 5.00    
2  YEGUITA QUEEN Aug11 Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 Dec23 (rutledge lance)MCKEE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY HEAD HURTS Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 May19 (alessi jame)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Aug15 Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 (danner kelsey)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
5  SIS BOOM BOB Aug12 Jun29 Jun14 May19 Mar13 (esquivel )CORREA L 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
6  AWESOME LAWSON Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun08 May28 (vesty clarke)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
7  ERV'S WENCH Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 May17 Apr28 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
8  HAPPYSECRET Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 Jun01 (alessi james)LEBRON VICTOR 116 12.00    
 
BTP-8   08/31/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON PARIS Jul24 Jul11 May20 Apr14 Mar02 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  TIZ BIZ Aug12 Aug01 Jun17 May27 Apr29 (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
3  LADA KALINA Jul29 Jul06 Jun21 Jun07 May11 (hernandez javi)REYES R 118 8.00    
4  MISS FOXANN Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 May31 May18 (chavez manuel)AYALA ISAIAS 122 12.00    
SCR  LONG BLACK VEIL Aug04 Jul06 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 118 12.00    
6  SWEET BABY RAY Jul27 Jul07 Jun16 May31 Mar30 (horn jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00 7% 14.20    
7  WAR ENSIGN Jun22 Jun03 May04 Mar19 Jan16 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 8.00    
8  BALI DOVE (FR) Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Feb11 Jan16 (west m)OUZTS W null      
9  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Jul07 May13 Mar29 Feb27 Apr21 (reed r)MCKEE J 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
10  SURE CAN Aug03 Jun15 Mar25 Mar01 Jan27 (lynch a)STEVENS C 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
11  SLENDER BETSY Aug11 Aug01 Jul07 Jun14 May18 (raines lind)JIMENEZ J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.