Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (2/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4)-(2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/5/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1/9)-(4/5/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1/9)-(4/5/7/1/9)-(4/5/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/3/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1)-(5/3/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/8/9/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/6/1)-(2/8/9/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/6/1)-(2/8/9/6/1)-(2/8/9/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/6/10/3/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/3/12)-(4/6/10/3/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/3/12)-(4/6/10/3/12)-(4/6/10/3/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (3/7/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/4/8)-(3/7/1/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/4/8)-(3/7/1/4/8)-(3/7/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (3/4/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/7/1)-(3/4/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/7/1)-(3/4/6/7/1)-(3/4/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA SKY Jul23 Jun25 Jun03 Feb27 Nov21 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SIR GOOSA Jul23 Jun09 May12 Apr21 Mar11 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.50 61% 0.60    
SUBVERSIVE Jul23 Jun18 May19     (hills timo)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
KEEP DEM TALKING Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (king clarence)IORIO MELISSA 109 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOONFLYER Jul01 Jun15 May11 Dec29 Dec01 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 118 4.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  IT'S A PITY Aug02 Jul12 Jul05 Jun18 Jun05 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 20.00    
M B'S MUNNING Nov11         (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY JAMES Aug05 Sep18       (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 111 30.00    
THE GOLDEN ONE Aug03 Jul21 Jul01 Jun11 May14 (chichakly am)BATISTA A 118 5.00    
10  ROCKIN THE BANK Jul24 Jun30       (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE'S IN CHARGE         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CARELESS MOMENT by BAFFLE)
CALI HEAT         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LIVERMORE VALLEY by MT. LIVERMORE)
SPANISH PHAROAH         (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ELEVENSES by MORE THAN READY)
CORKED         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TIZ JOSSELYN by TIZNOW)
MAYCOCKS BAY         (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
UNION ROLL         (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ON A ROLL by TWO DAVIDS)
SCR  TWO'S A CROWD         (ryan s)COTTO L 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MAHABODHI TREE by INTO MISCHIEF)
FIDELIGHTCAYUT         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 8.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BEAM REACH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GORDON GEKKO         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WOW CAT (CHI) by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
MTH-3   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Select Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL TALK Jul14 Dec14 Nov12 Oct02 Aug13 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of WOODLAND PARK by BERNARDINI)
EAMONN Jul22 May27 Apr09 Mar10 Feb11 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUPER ESPRESSO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jun18 May28 May04 Oct23 Sep24 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 1.80 18% 4.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of BRIDE TO BE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
YES AND YES Jul22 Jul04 Jun10 May06 Apr13 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00    
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CRISPY CAT (GB) May13 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10   (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARDAD out of MARA GREY by AZAMOUR (IRE))
TRACY ANN'S LEGACY Jul15 May20 Apr19 Feb18 Feb03 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of TENACIOUS TRIPP by TRIPPI)
HIGH LIMIT ROOM Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar27 Jan14 (camejo m)COTTO L 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MARIE ANTOINETTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  SPUN AND WON Jul14 Jun06 May02 Feb25 Sep04 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CRIMSON MAPLE by RAHY)
 
MTH-4   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE IS LIFE Jul22 Jun23 May29 Mar18 Feb04 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 110 2.00 65% 0.50    
COCO SHELL Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May14 Apr30 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
REX KWON DO Jul25 Jul12 Jun27 May31 May20 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
PROVEN HOPE Jul29 May14 Apr15 Mar31 Mar12 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 116 3.00 11% 8.20    
SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jul21 Jul02 Jun09 May29 May20 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
WESTOVER Aug05 Jul08 Jun17 Apr15 Apr02 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
TIEMPO PERFECTO Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May29 (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM STILL BRAVE         (torres r)COTTO L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
VIDA FINA Jul23 Jul01 Jun04 Apr21 Mar17 (ryan s)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
LITTLE BANKER MAN Aug05 Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 Jun02 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
TWIRLING EXPRESS Jul28 Jun30 May20 Apr23   (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
BARFLY Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 Apr27 (hills timothy)IORIO MELISSA 111 3.00 25% 3.00    
RUDY S. Jul20 Jul06       (brion keri)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 5.00    
HAPPY CAT Sep24         (duarte jorge )OLVER MADISON 111 3.50 16% 5.30    
CIRO THE BOSS Jul30 Sep18       (frangella ja)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
CARPE CAPELLA Jun15 May14 Apr15 Mar26 Mar03 (shivmangal lol)TORRES JOMAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  AIR KENNEY May03 Aug06       (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
 
MTH-6   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTORBELLA Jul15         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 6% 16.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MARIGLIANELLA by STEPHANOTIS)
MY HONEYBUNCH         (spina charles)LUZZI J 117 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHE'S FLATTERING by FLATTER)
SHARP EYES         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LOOK INTO MY EYES by CITY ZIP)
GORGEOUS GIRL (ARG) Jul29         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 112 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of IMA JERSEY GIRL by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
I'M A CUTIE PIE Jul15 Jun16       (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADORABLE by SMART STRIKE)
WELLTON GIRL Jul14 Jun23       (ortega leopold)TORRES JOMAR 117 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of NEWELLTON by TRAPPE SHOT)
CORACLE         (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 117 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of PARTY BOAT by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  EATONTOWN GIRL         (frangella ja)BATISTA A 117 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BERNING CARBS by BERNARDINI)
GET READY GAL         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  FOOLISH CHALLENGE         (spina ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DARESAY by DECLARATION OF WAR)
11  HOPESNDREAMS         (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 110 10.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of EXCHANGEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
MTH-7   08/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEDONA ROCKS Jul16 Jun30 Jun03 Dec18 Dec04 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHATCHAMACALL Jun30 Jun09 Jun03 May20 Mar01 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 41% 1.50    
DAHGO Jun03 Mar25 Mar10 Jan15 Dec31 (ryan s)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
BIG BROWN EYES Oct25 Sep28 Aug30     (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 114 10.00    
GUSTIAMO Jul30 Jul09 Nov04 Oct15 Sep01 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
REID'S FANGIRL Jul24 Jun26 May29 May10 Apr11 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 121 12.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  SASSY ANNIE Jul09 Jun25       (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 120 5.00    
IN GOOD TROUBLE Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 May10 Apr25 (dun)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 24% 3.20    
BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jul16 Jun30 Jun03 May20 Apr29 (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 121 3.00 8% 11.40    
10  RIVERVIEW Jul24 Jun14 May31 Apr24 Oct12 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 110 15.00    
SCR  BELMAR SUMMER Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May20 Apr22 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50    
 
MTH-8   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Jul02 Jun17 May14 May01 Apr17 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 120 30.00    
SCR  AEQUOR Jul30 Jul08 Jun03 Apr21 Mar30 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
RETURN THE RING Jul08 Jul15       (barker edwar)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
BIG BROWN SHOES Jul12 Jun19 Jun06 May09 Apr25 (diaz jorge)RIVERA R 115 6.00 45% 1.20    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Jul22 Jun24 Jun17 May14 Apr14 (wilson faith)JUAREZ NIK 122 15.00    
AMITY ROAD Jul22 Jun25 May31 May20 May05 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
MUNDO MIX Jul30 Jul15 Jun23 May28 Apr22 (bailey)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00    
HOT LOVE Aug02 Jun21 May31 May14 Apr17 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 115 30.00    
I'M ON FIRE Jul08         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00    
10  BUFF HELLO Jul21 Aug26 Jul30 Jun27 Jun04 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.00 10% 9.50    
11  ON THE COME UP Jul08 Jun16 Oct22 Sep18 Aug14 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00    
12  TAP FIRST Jul22 Jul02 Jun25 Apr16 Apr07 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
13  MR. PENNY PINCHER Jul09 Jun11 May21     (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 115 20.00    
 
MTH-9   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Oceanport Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'SPUREGOLD Jul09 Jun11 Apr01 Feb04 Jan01 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
THERE ARE NO WORDS Jul09 May27 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
BIG EVEREST (GB) Jul15 May27 Apr15 Nov13 Sep29 (clement c)VARGAS A 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
  (by THE GURKHA out of LONG FACE by WHYWHYWHY)
SAFE CONDUCT Jul04 Apr02 Mar04 Oct09 Aug06 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 10% 9.30    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of DUCHESS DANCER by CONGRATS)
ANTIGRAVITY Jul22 Jun17 Apr02 Mar04 Jan27 (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SIR SAFFER Jul07 May27 Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of BLUESVILLE by BRING THE HEAT)
BEACON HILL Jul15 Nov26 Oct01 Aug16 Jul16 (matz r)CENTENO E 118 5.00 18% 4.40    
  (by BLAME out of MY MAMMY by CAME HOME)
MONAASIB Jul01 May27 Apr28 Feb17 Jan27 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BARAGAH by AWESOME AGAIN)
HIGHESTDISTINCTION Jul14 May27 Apr23 Mar17 Aug20 (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HONOR YOUR GIFT by SIGHTSEEING)
10  SOUPER ENERGIZER Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 Apr02 Mar15 (pantaleo josep)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EARTH SHAKING by WAR FRONT)
SCR  WHELEN SPRINGS Jul22 Jun17 May05 Mar17 Feb25 (schultz lindsay)NO RIDER 118 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY NOVA by PURE PRIZE)
 
MTH-10   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDY CACKALACKY Jul30 Jun25 May28 Sep04 Aug20 (berrios manuel)LUZZI J 123 6.00 9% 10.40    
SACRIFICIAL STONE May22         (castillo mi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 20.00    
AUNT BERRA Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 May28 May14 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.60 22% 3.50    
MISS SENSIBLE May20 Apr22       (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 111 4.00 18% 4.40    
ORB'S PARTY GIRL Jul05 Jun05 May03 Feb07 Jan09 (soto c)RUIZ ELISEO 116 15.00    
HARD TO CATCH         (spina charles)MOYA F 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
EXAGERADORA Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 Nov11 Oct09 (potts wayne)IORIO MELISSA 111 8.00 10% 8.80    
GET STORMIN Jul30 Dec07       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 12.00    
LIL' LATE LUCK Jun17 Apr30 Apr14     (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 5.00    
10  ZULLY BELLA May03         (hernan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.