Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/5)-(4/9/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/5)-(4/9/6/5)-(4/9/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/6/5)-(6/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6/5)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/8/1/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3)-(6/8/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/3)-(6/8/1/9)-(3/2/7/6/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-3   WIN (6/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/9)-(6/8/3/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/9)-(6/8/3/1/9)-(6/8/3/1/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/8/1/9)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/9)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(9/2/10/5/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/2/7/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6/10)-(9/2/10/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6/10)-(9/2/10/5/3)-(10/6/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
HAW-5   WIN (9/2/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/10/5/3)-(9/2/10/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/10/5/3)-(9/2/10/5/3)-(9/2/10/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/10/5/3)-(10/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/10/5/3)-(10/6/5)-(3/4/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (10/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/5)-(10/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/6/5)-(10/6/5)-(10/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/6/5)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5)-(3/4/6)-(10/9/12/6/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(10/9/12/6/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (10/9/12/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/12/6/11)-(10/9/12/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/12/6/11)-(10/9/12/6/11)-(10/9/12/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT STRAW Jun15 Apr27 Apr06     (rodriguez jose )REYES ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of PAPERBACK PRINCESS by NOTEBOOK)
SCR  WAHIDA OF MARDAN         (witthauer joh)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  SILVER EYES Jul06 Nov13 Oct21 Aug12 Jul30 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
4  SWEET LITTLE LISA Jul06 Jun11       (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.60 49% 1.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIGRESS TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  GO ON GIRL Jul09 Jun21 May25 May04 Dec11 (hughes w)COLON H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
6  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jul06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug28 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
7  RUTH OF JUDAH         (roussel loui)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.50    
  (by BLAME out of LITTLE JUDE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  RICHIES PRINCESS         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 120 3.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ROONEY DOODLE by LIT DE JUSTICE)
9  CHROME RACER Jun17 Mar05 Feb11 Jan16 Mar10 (roussel loui)TAVARES JAVIER 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WIND RACER by CURLIN)
 
HAW-2   07/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL BOX Jun14 May31 May21 Apr06 Dec31 (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
2  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR May31 May18 Apr30 Apr23 Apr06 (dizeo dino)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00    
3  NOT VERY GENTLE Jul09 Jun21 May31 May21 Apr30 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
4  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jul06 Jun18 May31 May21 May11 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  CAMPAIGN SPY Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 Nov02 Oct09 (scalcione )SIMPSON M 122 15.00    
6  BIG BLUE Jul09 Jun11 Apr27 Apr02 Mar19 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
7  ICE BLAST Jun22 Jun04 May21 Apr30 Mar12 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
8  GAGOOTS Jul09 Jun14 May21 May07 Apr20 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
 
HAW-3   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST FACT Jul04 Jun17 May30 May11 Apr20 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOURBON TEDDY Jun08 May25 May04 Apr20 Feb22 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00    
3  PUBLIC SAFETY Apr09 Mar12 Dec30 Oct15 Sep15 (rosin w)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.50 ★    
4  RED LABEL Jul01 Jun17 May30 May09 Mar11 (lynch harry)ORTEGA O 122 15.00    
5  TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Jun22 May31 May15 Apr27 Nov21 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
6  TIME HEIST Jul15 Jun21 Apr09 Mar23 Dec17 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
7  GOOD ONE Jul05 Jun15 May20 Apr07 Feb11 (clay pat)FELIX E 122 6.00    
8  WILDWOOD SECRET Jul05 May28 May04 Apr18 Mar30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 34% 1.90    
9  Z U SOON Jun18 Jun04 May09 Apr23 Mar16 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET N TIPSY Jul15 May18 Apr27 Mar30 Oct29 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
2  LONG TALL WOMAN Jul15 Jun11 May31 May07 Apr23 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
3  FIRST KITTEN Jul12 Jun11 May31 May07 Apr23 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  MEDWAY QUEEN Jul06 Jun29 Apr19 Apr06 Feb28 (silva h)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  SHEZ RECKLESS Jun22 May25 Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
6  SEAWARD Jun22 Jun11 May31 May17 May05 (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SAMARITA Jul12 Jun11 May31 May07 Apr23 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 6% 14.90    
8  PLAY TWENTY Jun22 Jun11 Jun04 May06 Apr22 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
9  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jun18 Jun08 May31 May07 Apr09 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50    
10  GO STORMIN GIRL Jul12 Jun22 Jun11 May25 May02 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  AWESOME SUNDAY Jul16 Jun08 May04 Apr18 Apr02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 4.00    
 
HAW-5   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CINDY'S G MAN Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar26 Mar09 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
2  RIVZONAROLL Jul09 Jun25 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  BERNIE LOMAX Jul04 Jun22 May20 May02 Apr13 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAKE MILLS Jul05 Jun15 Apr30 Apr13 Mar16 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
5  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Oct02 Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 May16 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HURTS SO BAD Jul06 Jun15 May28 Apr16 Mar26 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
7  LUCKY SHOT Jul12 Jun04 May14 May07 Mar19 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
8  RACARINO Jul09 May31 Apr16 Mar05 Apr20 (gonzalez lilia)PEREZ E 122 12.00    
9  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Jul09 Jun07 May18 Apr30 Apr15 (reavis micha)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 38% 1.70    
10  TEE BURNS Jul09 May31 May18 May09 Apr16 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
 
HAW-6   07/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAILING SOLO Jun15 Mar09 Nov26     (roussel j)FELIX E 122 3.00    
2  LAND MARK DEAL Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Feb24 Feb12 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 10.00    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON Jul11 Jun20 May29 May19 Apr13 (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 122 12.00    
SCR  COMMAND CENTRAL Jun25 Jun14 May25 Apr20 Mar31 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
5  CAPTIVATING MOON Jun15 May21 Jan14 Dec26 Nov13 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 11% 7.90    
6  PROTONIC POWER Jun15 May21 Apr16 Mar10 Feb04 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  COYOTE ROAD Jun22 May05 Apr11 Mar08 Aug25 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
SCR  POWER THROUGH Jun04 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
9  GREY STREAK Jul09 Jun17 May21 Mar10 Feb17 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
10  GITA'S LAD Jun01 May11 Mar30 Dec18 Dec11 (young terry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-7   07/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jean Elizabeth Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN BELL May12 Aug01 May15     (cox h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 8.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of PEGGY MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
2  CHEETARA (CHI) Jul08 May20 Apr14 Feb24 Oct29 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 6.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FRESCURA TOTAL by THUNDER GULCH)
3  CHARLIE'S PENNY May27 Jan21 Dec26 Nov06 Sep10 (berndt joel)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET LORRAINE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  OEUVRE May21 May05 Apr15 Feb21 Jan14 (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  ALBERTA SUN Jun27 Jun09 Apr22 Mar18 Feb25 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 118 15.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
6  QUEENS UP Jul05 Mar12 Feb12 Dec30 Aug14 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 116 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TEXT QUEEN by STRONG HOPE)
7  OFF RAMP Jun07 Apr30 Apr22 Mar24 Feb18 (rosin w)ROMAN KEVIN 117 10.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of WINEKEEPER by PURE PRIZE)
8  SHARP HERO Jun16 May27 May06 Apr09 Dec18 (ross s)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of HELLI by MIZZEN MAST)
 
HAW-8   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARMING VICTORY Nov17 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21   (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of CHARMED FER SURE by ECKELSON)
2  ARTIE AND JESSIE Jun14 Aug19 Jul31 Jul08   (horvath fra)ORTEGA O 124 30.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
3  FAST FORWARD Jul06 May29 May08 Apr22 Mar25 (bright derrick)EMIGH A 120 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
4  ICE SHARD Jun29 Jun14       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TO THE MORNING by MORE THAN READY)
5  DARK SOLUTION Jun14         (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of DARK SANDS by DESERT CLASSIC)
6  PLAY THE BLUES         (rednour jr)ORM CORY 124 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PRINCESA MARIN by OCEAN TERRACE)
SCR  SMILING STORMY Jun14 May21       (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 20.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
SCR  JAKES CHANNEL Jun29 May11 Feb03 Dec30   (rednour j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SETTLING IN by GREEN DESERT)
9  CONGRATS ON FIFTY May05         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by CONGRATS out of MANILLE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
10  A P BLAZING GREEN Jul06 Jun14 May28 May07 Apr16 (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
11  FULLY CHARGED         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of HOLY BUBBETTE by HOLY BULL)
12  PIRATE MARMALADE         (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 120 15.00 15% 5.60    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  FLYING CRICKET Jul06 Jun07 May07 Mar26   (witthauer john)COLON H 124 30.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.