Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/4/2)-(4/2/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/2/10/7)-(3/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/2/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7)-(4/2/10/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/10/7)-(3/4/1)-(4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/3/2)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING LINE NEWS Jun22 Jun01 May18 May07 Apr28 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 116 4.00 5% 17.60    
AND I KNOW Jun22 May27 Apr18 Apr01 Mar19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 1.60 61% 0.60    
LA MAMA CHULA Jun21 Jun03 Mar13 Jan13 Nov30 (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
BELLE OF ST. JOHN Jun16 May26 May17 Apr28 Mar11 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50    
TRAUMARAMA Jun21 Oct05 Sep13 Sep07 Aug17 (patrick gar)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00    
 
BTP-2   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREAKY FRESH Jun14 May11 Apr26 Jan03 Sep17 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 120 3.50 7% 13.40    
NEVER SORRY Jun15 May19       (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 4.00    
COUSIN ODELL Jun22 May21       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
RAMBLIN CHROME Jun23 Jun07 May20 May06 Mar17 (sherman alan)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00    
GRASSROOTS Jun09 May27 May12 Apr28 Mar11 (adams l)REYES R 125 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  BUDDHA BOY Jun21 May27 May19 May12 Apr27 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 120 6.00    
 
BTP-3   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAST IMPERATIVE Jun08 May12 Mar31 Mar11 Feb09 (sandy stephe)MARCANO Y 118 6.00    
KENTUCKY BOURBON Jun17 May20 Apr15 Mar23 Mar04 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 123 1.80 16% 5.10    
SUPER BROTHER Jun07 May24 Apr29 Apr13 Apr04 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
CHROME'S RIGHT May24 Feb17 Jan15 Nov27 Oct30 (howard maryanne)MCKEE J 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SPECIAL A Jun15 May11 Aug30     (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 123 3.50 39% 1.50    
 
BTP-4   07/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER ALLEY May03 Apr13 Mar24 Jan20   (forster grant )CASTANON L 120 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FORT AFLEET by NORTHERN AFLEET)
MONCRIEF Jun01 Sep23       (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEYKITTYKITTYKITTY by TACTICAL CAT)
COLLECT DIS MONEY Dec17         (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ASCENT by CAPOTE)
MAN WITH THE MOVES Apr01         (swingley duwayne)MCKEE J 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DELIGHTED CAT by STORM CAT)
SCR  TOURIST CAT Jun17 May31 May20     (johnston rebe)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 30.00    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  GOLDEN REIGN Jun10 May23 May03 Dec09 Nov03 (toye lin)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of REIKA by STREET SENSE)
OUTSLEWTHEM Jun09 May20 Apr27 Apr10 Mar22 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
CARTOON CAPER Jun10 May13       (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of INFATUATED by CRYPTO STAR)
SCR  FORT STROOPE Oct11 Aug24       (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WEST AFRICA by GONE WEST)
10  PENNY'S PROSPECT May26 Dec09       (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CONGRATS out of PENNY by CITY ZIP)
 
BTP-5   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODYTHEOXMAN Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 Aug04 (lopez carlos )LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May27 May12 Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 111 3.50    
TREASURY Mar25 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 (forster grant )CASTANON L 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
BLESS THE KITTEN Jun01 May20 Apr15 Mar10 Feb09 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
OUT WORK'N Jun16 May17 May05 Feb18 Jan06 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
 
BTP-6   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMAHAWK KITTEN Mar24 Feb22 Feb09 Jan25 Jan14 (jarvis kath)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50    
ESPECIALLEA Jun03 Feb25 Jan25 Jan06 Dec30 (tsirigotis jr)MCKEE J 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
NOT YET CHARLIE Jun12 Mar02 Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 (cline rob)CORREA L 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
TURBINADO May28 May14 Nov06 Sep23 Sep09 (delong ben)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
RUBINSTEIN Jun07 May19 Apr29 Apr15 Jan06 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
FERRYBOAT Jun15 May20 Mar31 Jan06 Dec16 (miller jero)PETERSON FERRIN 121 6.00    
 
BTP-7   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE CHARMING Jun15 May31 May06 Mar28 Jan23 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 116 5.00 6% 14.70    
DOCTOR WU Jun15 May14 Apr11 Mar27 Feb21 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
DROP IT Jun01 May04 Apr18 Oct06 Sep27 (edwards w)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00    
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Jun14 May25 Apr30 Mar16 Feb22 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 3.50 47% 1.10    
BASTIEN LE BROWN Jun22 Jun09 May20 Feb10 Oct21 (donjuan s)CORREA L 121 4.00    
TEQUILAS RANGER May20 Dec17 Sep16 Aug25 Jul21 (jones philli)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 2.50    
 
BTP-8   07/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH CLASSIC Jun09 May25 Apr29 Mar31 Mar15 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00 6% 16.70    
CUPID'S NUMBER May26 May11 Apr28 Mar17 Mar05 (donjuan s)CORREA L 116 8.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Mar31 Mar15 Feb09 Jan14 Dec08 (deegan jose)STERRITT KENDAL 121 10.00    
CINDY'S STORM Jun16 May13 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
LEVEE PROUD Jun10 May08 Apr01 Jul29 Jun02 (michael bria)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 2.50    
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jun16 May19 May05 Apr22 Mar17 (chain pea)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 5.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Jun14 Jun03 May18 May11 Apr29 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 12.00    
MISTER MAN Jun01 May19 Apr27 Mar31 Mar16 (blevins bil)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 Apr16 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.