Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    PK3 (5)-(5/4/1)-(2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/4)-(3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/6/2)-(5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/2/1)-(6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/3)-(4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTOPIAN TREASURE Apr19 Feb22 Jan11 Dec22 Nov11 (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 119 5.00    
LEAD ACTOR Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb08 (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  JOHN EDWARD Mar23 Feb01 Dec16     (jones bobbie )MCENTEE GRACE 125 4.00    
FULL MAG Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Dec30 Oct14 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.50    
KICK ROCKS KID Apr28 Apr16 Mar23 Mar11 Feb17 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 1.80 54% 0.80    
 
BTP-2   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOYD G Apr19 Feb17 Dec30 Sep20 Sep06 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 125 6.00    
RAMBLIN CHROME Mar17         (sherman a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50    
DOMI Apr03 Feb22 Jan29 Nov25 Oct30 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 119 1.60    
GREENSFELDER Apr01 Feb22 Nov14 Sep20   (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.00    
HENDRIX Apr28 Mar15 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
BTP-3   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTSOMEMOJO Apr10 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 21% 3.80    
INDOCUMENTADO Aug09 Jul20 Jun30 May16 Mar19 (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 6.00    
TORNADO BOY Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 Jan27 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50    
UNCLE CHARMING Mar28 Jan23 Jan09 Dec08 Nov23 (skeens je)CORREA L 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
CAROM Apr19 Apr01 Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 (wong jonathan)REYES R 125 1.80 36% 1.70    
 
BTP-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEIDI'S SINATRA Apr29 Apr11 Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.00    
DAWN'S LIGHT Dec01 Nov12 Sep22     (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 1.80 61% 0.60    
TEQUILA FLATS Mar20 Feb15 Jan17 Dec22 Oct07 (ramos francisc)REYES R 121 3.50    
LA LA ANGEL Nov09 Oct25 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 116 4.50 9% 9.50    
MILWAUKEE CAT Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 Jan04 Aug12 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 116 3.00    
 
BTP-5   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETER THAN HONEY Apr27 Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 Nov21 (alamo a)REYES R 123 5.00    
FOREVER FACTUM Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Aug02 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00 13% 6.70    
REYS PINA COLADA Apr27 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan18 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00 34% 1.90    
NANA ROZE Apr27 Nov16 Oct25 Sep27 Sep09 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 6.00    
SCR  LATE DATE Apr27 Apr05 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 118 2.00    
GIMME CLEARANCE Apr05 Mar02 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
BTP-6   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANY MINUTE Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (salcedo ramon)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 17% 5.10    
HINK'S PALADIN Apr27 Mar24 Mar12 Feb10 Dec28 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
CAPE MARCO DRIVE Apr27 Jan16 Jan02 Dec13 Oct04 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 116 4.00    
CANTANKEROUS BOBBY Apr27 Mar24 Mar16 Feb07 Jan28 (alamo mi)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
DUDLEY Apr27 Apr04 Mar06 Jan05 Nov17 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 121 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENPAK Apr23 Mar26       (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 120 12.00    
  (by CHIEF WHITE FOX out of SILVERLITE J C by AIRDRIE APACHE)
TROY BOY Apr01         (coomer philip)BECKMAN ALICE 120 5.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of CHESS PIECE by COMPOSER)
SERPA         (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by RACE DAY out of NORTHERN EXCURSION by CORONADO'S QUEST)
CARTOGRAPHER Apr22         (sisterson jack)MCKEE J 119 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of FROST BITE by MINER'S MARK)
SCR  CANTSTOPTHEFUN         (shifflett che)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of FUNSHINEINMYPOCKET by INVASOR (ARG))
NAVY CROSS Apr14 Mar25 Feb24     (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COCO'S WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
SHANNONRUN Mar24 Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 Oct22 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50    
  (by MAGICIAN out of BLASE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
 
BTP-8   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY A DREAM Apr15 Mar25 Mar18 Jan28 Jan08 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00    
MAMBO KITTEN Apr11 Mar23 Mar04 Feb08 Dec22 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
PASSO A FRENTE Mar15 Dec06 Oct18 Aug28 Jul19 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50    
OFF THE CHARTS Mar30 Feb25 Feb10 Dec28 Dec15 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Mar24 Feb25 Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 (helmbrecht will)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 11% 8.00    
AUNT RUTH Mar18 Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 Dec03 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 6.00    
COMMANDANDCONTROL Apr23 Jan14 Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 5.00    
SCR  U SO MONEY BABY Apr27 Mar17 Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 (cundiff waylo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.