Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4/5)-(3/2/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(5/2/7)-(4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1/3)-(5/2/7/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(4/7/1)-(2/9/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6/3)-(4/7/1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(2/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(2/9/5)-(10/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/9/5)-(2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/9/5)-(10/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/5)-(10/3/2/1)-(4/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/1)-(10/3/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/3/2/1)-(10/3/2/6/1)-(10/3/2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/3/2/1)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/1)-(4/5/3)-(7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Feb22 Jan19 Nov01 Oct13 Aug29 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
2  EMPRESS DEONA Mar06 Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
3  SEEKING THE DREAM Mar02 Feb07 Jan02 Nov29 Oct21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
4  AEGEAN SEA Feb22 Jan09 Dec11 Nov15 Oct26 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
5  ONE MORE KELLY Feb22 Feb07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
6  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Sep16 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
7  CONFIRMED GENIUS Jan20 Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Nov03 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES LUCKY         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00 ★    
2  T C GREELEY Mar08 Dec13 Nov15 Jul27 Apr22 (rojas eduar)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.50 17% 4.90    
3  SYLVIA I AM         (shea lydee)CORA D 124 10.00 ★    
4  TORRID Feb08         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
5  HE'S FANCY FREE Mar09         (albright r)FLORES E 121 4.50 54% 0.90    
6  PAGETT Jan23 Sep29 Sep05     (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50    
7  NECCO Feb08 Dec21 Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 124 3.00 7% 13.60    
 
PEN-3   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDITION ONE Mar03 Feb10 Jan11 Dec07 Aug22 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
2  LINGFIELD PARK Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 (schoenthal phi)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
3  C C'S KINGDOM Mar03 Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 Nov18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
4  COUSTEAU Mar15 Feb17 Jan27 Dec20 Nov18 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
5  BLUEBERRY MASH Mar03 Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 Nov22 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
6  LAKE NAKURU Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
7  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Mar15 Feb18 Feb11 Dec30 Dec16 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 12% 7.40    
 
PEN-4   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCK WILD Mar01 Jan26 Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 (crane clo)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00    
2  ON THE EDGE Mar01 Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 4.00 35% 1.80    
3  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar11 Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 Oct07 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL null      
SCR  BROBRO CORMAN Feb25 Feb03 Nov30 Nov18 Oct28 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 119 12.00 ★    
5  LONG LEGGED BOY Feb20 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 5% 18.60    
6  SHADOW CHASER Mar01 Feb14 Jan23 Jan11 Dec07 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
7  LUCKY LEWIS Mar09 Feb02       (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00    
8  SLINGSHOT BOY Mar02 Feb17 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 (allard edward )CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
9  OUR MARK STEVEN Mar01 Feb02 Dec21     (houghton )VARGAS L 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
 
PEN-5   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOX OF JOE Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Nov20 Oct27 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIXIE CANNONBALL Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Sep19 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
3  TIZ HANDSOME Mar09 Feb09 Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  DREAMERS REWARD Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 Dec02 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan13 Aug10 (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 124 10.00    
6  BUSTIN PIETRE Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Nov23 Nov08 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 ★    
7  KAZTHAROS Feb09 Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 Nov09 (synnefias dimitri)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
8  MYSTIC POINT Feb23 Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 Nov04 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
SCR  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Oct14 Sep23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 50.00    
10  AGGRANDIZE Mar09 Feb16 Jan13 Nov29 Nov18 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO Feb10 Dec20 Nov29 Nov05 Oct21 (volpe john)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANGINETTI Feb14 Feb01 Jan09 Dec12 Nov14 (lee haleem )DE KEMICH 115 12.00    
2  STARSHIP REINA Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
3  GLOSSY MADRINA Feb15 Jan25 Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPIRIT OR SPITE Feb28 Jan30 Jan16 Jan09 Dec21 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  ONE TOUGH ROSE Mar08 Feb24 Jan25 Dec20 Nov08 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL Mar02 Jan16 Dec02 Oct14 Sep21 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 16% 5.20    
7  SHOW SOME SKIN Mar01 Feb07 Jan16 Nov03 Oct17 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.50    
SCR  AFLEET DIVA Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Dec08 Nov05 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 117 8.00 7% 14.20    
9  PRINCESS KAIRA Mar07 Feb01 Jan02 Nov29 Oct31 (arce josue)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
 
PEN-7   03/24/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROLLING PALISADES Mar01 Feb15 Jan20 Dec30 Nov29 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 5.00 ★    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 Dec14 Oct11 (geist w)BAKER J 124 4.50    
SCR  WAGON BOSS Mar07 Feb15 Feb01 Jan03 Nov23 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
4  MELINA'S DREAM Feb28 Feb21 Jan18 Dec31 Sep30 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 114 10.00 ★    
SCR  I'M BLAMING YOU Feb07 Jan09 Jan02 Dec06 Nov15 (castillo sanc)RIVERA D 124 15.00    
6  PAL CAL Mar01 Feb15 Nov18 Oct21 Jul27 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 ★    
7  POLITICAL Feb22 Jan20 Nov29 Sep27 Sep19 (johnston )HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.