Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/08/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($95K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOQUETHER (IRE)         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
2  EVERY TIME Aug23         (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
3  LADY EMPIRE         (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEXI'S SPIRIT Aug25         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
5  LOVE TANK Sep10 Aug05 Jun30 Jun05   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 15% 5.50    
6  LEMON BOMB         (pugh d)USKE S 119 30.00    
7  EIN GEDI (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
8  BELLA MICHELLE Sep17 Aug28       (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
9  MARIA FROM MIAMI Aug28 Aug07 Jul02     (rodriguez rud)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 20.00    
10  WILL BE FAMOUS Sep22 Aug07 Jul14     (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
11  NIGHTSABER (GB) Sep22         (trites a )VARGAS A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  TAP IT UP Sep22         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 30.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE)         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  OPUS FORTY TWO Sep17         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
SCR  EXTESSA Sep01 Aug05       (chichakly amira)RIDER TBA 119 15.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3 ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWIFT TAP Aug27 Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 May29 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 May29 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00    
3  MOVING PICTURES Aug22 Jul17 May21 Apr23   (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  INEVTABL CONECTION Aug23 Jul17       (klesaris steve)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
5  DOT'S DOLLAR Sep17 Aug03 Jun11 May19 Apr10 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  FUNNY JOKE Sep24 Aug28 Jul04 Jun05 Mar13 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 120 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIZEARANCE Oct01 Aug05 Jul04 May21 Apr16 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 10.00    
2  SOMEBODY Aug31 Jul28 Jul09 May19 Apr03 (bond harold )HARKIE K 121 15.00    
3  O'TROUBLE Aug17 Jul17 Jul04 May08   (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  DOUBLE SHOT Aug31 Jul16 Jun16 May21 Apr03 (falcone robert )CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50    
5  IN SKY WE TRUST Sep01 Jul16 Jun11 May21 Mar01 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 2.00 21% 3.80    
6  DURKIN'S CALL Aug31 Jun18 Mar31 Feb20 Jan01 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 12% 7.30    
7  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Sep16 Aug03 Jun26 May29 Apr28 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE WE GO AGAIN Sep15 Aug10       (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 119 20.00    
2  JOEY THE FISH Sep25 Aug10       (weaver ge)VARGAS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET BLUSH Sep15 Aug24       (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
4  BERNING HONOR Aug18 Jul27       (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
5  SARAH'S DIALED IN Aug18         (dini mike)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
6  IN GOOD TROUBLE Sep17 Aug24       (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
7  MAP         (cox h)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  LUNA LOCA Aug18 Jul27       (schosberg r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 30.00    
9  SMOKIE EYES Sep15 Aug03       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.80 57% 0.70    
10  SWEETEST PRINCESS Sep15 Aug03       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
11  BERNT AGAIN Sep15 Aug18 Aug03     (schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  MIM Sep02         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  HYPNOCURRENCY Sep17         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Aug10 Jun10 Apr30 Feb05 Jan09 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN WATER by SEA WALL)
2  JALEN JOURNEY Oct03 Sep23 Aug26 Aug16 Jul27 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
  (by WITH DISTINCTION out of PETUNIA FACE by CONGRATS)
3  EASTERN BAY Sep28 Aug26 Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 (cash norman )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by E DUBAI out of CHRUSCIKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  ELITE POWER Sep03 Jun30 Jun05 May07   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of BROADWAY'S ALIBI by VINDICATION)
5  DRAFTED Aug27 Jul02 Jun04 May14 Apr09 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
 
BAQ-6   10/08/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTLOOKBACKATALL Aug25         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of CELTIC ARCH by ARCH)
2  DANSE MACABRE Sep13 Aug21 Jul13 Jun25   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
3  AMERICAN APPLE Sep14 Jul15 Jun17 May05   (leitch daniel)CANCEL ERIC 120 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS MARY APPLES by CLEVER TRICK)
4  HOW LOVELY (IRE) Sep17         (delacour ar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of FOREIGN AFFAIR by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  FLEETFOOTED Sep17 Jul28       (sharp joe)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HIGHESTMAINTENANCE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  DETERMINED JESTER Sep06 Aug16 Jul21     (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CALL MARIAH by DIXIE UNION)
7  REDIFINED Aug21 Jun30       (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MRS. BOSS by WILD EVENT)
8  PERSONAL PURSUIT Sep22 Jul01       (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MADDIE'S ODYSSEY by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Sep01         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KAYCE LU by LONHRO (AUS))
10  SWEET HARMONY (IRE) Aug21 Jul24 Jun04     (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K null   7% 13.30    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LAST WALTZ (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
11  LITTLE LINZEE Jul28         (schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 ★    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of GEE LINZ by FROST GIANT)
12  ATOMIC GIRL Sep05         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of AGUSTINA DE ARAGON by POLITICAL FORCE)
SCR  APPLE PICKER Sep04 Aug07 Jul02     (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
BAQ-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($105K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUDGE DAVIS         (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  CATCHYASOON Sep04 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
3  STEINBECK Sep22 Aug20 Aug08 Mar27 Mar11 (cash l)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
4  RYAN'S CAT Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 Jun10 Apr28 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00    
5  LIFE CHANGER Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 May05 Apr01 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  SHIPSATIONAL Mar12 Feb12       (barker edwar)CASTELLANO J 120 1.40 55% 0.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/08/2022 7920ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE MELVIN Sep01 Aug04       (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of KARLOVY VARY by DYNAFORMER)
2  WAR LIKE GODDESS Sep03 Aug06 Apr29     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 24% 3.20    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
3  ADHAMO (IRE) Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 May07 Feb19 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FOREIGN TUNE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
4  ASTRONAUT Sep03         (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 126 30.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ARMANDA by ACATENANGO)
5  ROCKEMPEROR (IRE) Aug27 Jul31 Jun11 May07   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
  (by HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR out of MOTIVATION by MUHTATHIR)
6  SOLDIER RISING (GB) Aug27 Jul31 Jul08 Jun03 May01 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
7  GUFO Sep10 Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 May14 (clement chr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 2.00 36% 1.70    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of FLOY by PETIONVILLE)
 
BAQ-9   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALTASAR Aug27 Jul29 Jun05 May05 Apr10 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
2  STORIED FELLA Sep15 Aug26 Jul06 Jun18 Apr22 (boniface ke)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
3  SKYLANDER Aug10 Jul22 May05 Apr16 Feb25 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
4  WIN FOR GOLD Aug20 Jul08 Jun11 May12 Mar31 (rodriguez)VARGAS A 121 4.00 61% 0.60    
5  SLOW DECISION Aug26 Jul22 Jun19     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00    
6  CASH IN A FLASH Aug07 Jul21 Jun10 May13 Apr14 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HANG TIGHT Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 Feb06   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
8  MAXIM MOMENT Aug19 Jul04 Jun03 May20 Apr16 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
9  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Aug19 Apr09 Mar05 Jan13   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
BAQ-10   10/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW GINYA Sep05 Jul17 Jun25 May30   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  TAPPLE CIDER Sep01 Aug12 Jul17     (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
3  SARATOGA CHROME Aug11 Jul16 Jun04 Apr28   (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
4  SHE'S A MIA Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 May06   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  JUST OK IS NOT OK Sep05 Jul17       (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
SCR  FIST FULL OF DICE Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul17   (combs bentl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
7  FORTY SMOOTH Sep15 Aug21 Jan02     (levine bruce)LUZZI J 122 20.00 6% 15.80    
8  LA VICTORIA (FR) Sep04 Aug11       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
9  LADY OF THOROTON Sep22 Aug24 Jul29 Jul02 Jun11 (englehart)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
10  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Sep05 Jul17 Jun04     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 7% 14.20    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Sep16 Aug13 Jun24 May27 Apr30 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
SCR  CARAMOCHA Sep15 Aug17 Jul22     (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  GRINGOTTS Sep15 Aug17 Jul22 Jun25 May27 (klesaris rob)HARKIE K 124 4.50    
 
BAQ-11   10/08/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK LOVES A FIGHT Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun16 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
2  JOCOSITY Sep04 Aug11 Jul16     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  HONOR STAR Aug31 Jul31       (ferraro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
4  LACEY UNDERALL         (jerke)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 15% 5.80    
5  MOULY Sep24 Sep04 Jun30 Jun10 May22 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
6  DATS A SUPERSTAR Jul17 Jun04 May07 Apr16 Feb18 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Sep21 Aug15 Jun29 Jun15 Apr22 (breed ro)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
8  LEMON RED Sep17 Jan19       (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
9  BOURBON DIVERSION Aug31 Jan13       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
10  MUCHO MAMA MIA Sep04 Aug12 Jul17     (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
11  GUIDANCE         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Aug31 Jul06 Jun15     (meadow e)USKE S 124 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.