Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Saratoga
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(3/6/5/1)-(11/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-2   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(11/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/1)-(11/6/3)-(7/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-3   WIN (11/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/6/3)-(11/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/6/3)-(11/6/3)-(11/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (11/6/3)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/6/3)-(7/6/3/1)-(10/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-4   WIN (7/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1)-(7/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/1)-(10/11) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/1)-(10/11)-(2/5/7/4/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
SAR-5   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/11)-(10/11) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (10/11)-(2/5/7/4/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/11)-(2/5/7/4/1)-(6/5/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SAR-6   WIN (2/5/7/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/4/1)-(2/5/7/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/4/1)-(2/5/7/4/1)-(2/5/7/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/7/4/1)-(6/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/4/1)-(6/5/2)-(5/7/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(6/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (5/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/2)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/2)-(6/5/3)-(3/1/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-9   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(3/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-10   WIN (3/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/2)-(3/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/2)-(3/1/9/2)-(3/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SAR-1   07/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLER'S STYLE Jun29 Apr24 Mar28 Feb21 Jan30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
1A  COQUITO Jul03 Jun13 Apr04 Mar08 Jan10 (rice l)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 3.00    
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jul13 Jul03 Jun21 Jun01 May25 (jones eduardo )CHANDRA PREM 115 20.00    
TRADE SECRET Jul03 Jun13 May25 May09 Apr04 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
COLONIAL ROSE Jun13 Apr23 Mar06 Dec26 Nov29 (casse w)ORTIZ L 125 1.00 42% 1.40    
OUR LIBERTY BELLE Jul10 May26 May02 Apr18 Mar29 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50    
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Jun29 May26 May02 Apr18 Feb21 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE SERA Jun28 Jun14 May24 May09 Apr24 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 6% 15.70    
SANTAGATA May24 Apr18 Apr04 Mar09 Mar01 (johnsto)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 10.00    
FIVE TO TWO Jul10 Nov22 Oct20 Sep27 Aug02 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
FOXY CARA Jun28 Jun14 May09 Apr18 Apr11 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 125 10.00    
TECA Jul02 Jun13 Jun06 May03 Apr06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Mar29 Feb27 Jan31 Dec29 Nov14 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 125 1.80 16% 5.10    
FLORIDA FLOWER Jun28 Jun12 May21 Apr18 Mar21 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRITISH INVASION (IRE)         (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of PARAPHERNALIA by DALAKHANI)
SCR  OLIVETTI         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AZAELIA by TURTLE BOWL)
VISIBLE         (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  TEDDY'S ROCKET         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AUTONOMOUS by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  BLAME JERRY         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
ROYAL GUARD (GB)         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
  (by HECTOR PROTECTOR out of JEZYAH by CHIEF'S CROWN)
INSTANT IMPACT         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT IMPRESSION by SHACKLEFORD)
CHALKY WHITE Jun08 May09       (green j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RACE by ASTERN)
SCR  HELIOO Jul11         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  SUNRISE         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SPANISH BUNNY by UNUSUAL HEAT)
11  TAPIT'S LEGACY         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by TAPIT out of PEACE CORPS by VIOLENCE)
 
SAR-4   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($75K) Purse ($85K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY MUSCLES Jun07 May25 Apr24 Mar15 Feb23 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BESTFRIEND ROCKET Jun28 May17 Mar29 Mar02 Dec28 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50    
HANDSOME PANTS Jul11 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Oct05 (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
CONQUERING CAT Jun26 May26 May09 Apr12 Mar06 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
GEORGIA MAGIC Jun27 Apr06 Feb14 Jan04 Nov29 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
JUST LICORICE Jul13 May24 Apr10 Mar16 Feb08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 13% 6.60    
ART FAIR Jul12 Jun22 May08 Apr06 Mar02 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
 
SAR-5   07/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NINE N FOUR Jul05 Jun15 May03 Apr11 Apr05 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  CADA DIA MEJOR Jun28 Jun14 Apr23 Mar22 Feb23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  POWERED BY COAL Jun27 May25 Apr25 Feb22 Jan04 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER Jul19 Jun28 May10 Jan24 Jan02 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
SCR  BLUE PILL Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 May25 May10 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
SCR  BIG BROWN DELIVERS Jun27 Aug30 Jul25     (morley t)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
SCR  SUNSHINE DANCER Jun28 May26       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MARTINI Jun27 May25 Mar28 Mar01   (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  MAKEYOURMOMENT Jun27 May25 Apr23 Oct24 Sep27 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50    
SMALLCHANGEGEEP Jul13 Jun27 May26     (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
10  MOZAMBIQUE Jun06 Nov02 Sep02     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 59% 0.70    
11  OATH OF OMERTA Jun14 May25 Jan17 Dec08 Nov17 (antonucc)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALZERO Jun14 Mar29 Feb21     (bond ja)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEE NOTEWORTHY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
1A  SPEIGHTFUL STORM         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPEIGHTFUL LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
KEEPINITREAL Jun06 Oct06 Aug15     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HELD ACCOUNTABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SOLO JIM Jun06         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of DIAMOND JEN BRADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
INONIT Apr19 Mar16 Apr13 Mar24 Jan13 (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 124 15.00 6% 16.80    
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
LONG POUR         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
TWOHONESTMISCHIEF May04 Apr05 Mar16 Jan05 Dec14 (englehart chr)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of RAPIDO GATTA by ADIOS CHARLIE)
MISSION HILL Jun04 Jun30 Jun06 Aug23 Jul21 (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 7% 13.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of INDY SUMMER by A.P. INDY)
CRESCENDO'S REIN         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of VIBRATO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GAMEBRED Jul04 Aug15       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of OMATICAYA by BERNSTEIN)
 
SAR-7   07/27/2025 7920ft TURF RC13 YIELDING Glens Falls Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MEHANA (FR) Jun27 May02 Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
  (by AL WUKAIR out of OCEANIE by DANSILI)
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Jun27 May26 Apr12 Nov10 Sep14 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of SHOMARIA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
SACAYA (FR) Jun27 Mar29       (clement miguel)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
  (by THE GREY GATSBY out of SASSICAIA by BERNARDINI)
LADY FIREFOOT Jun27 May26 May04 Jan25 Dec26 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MARYLAND MIST by COZZENE)
LONG AGO (GB) Jun29 Jun11 Mar22 Mar12   (morey william )ORTIZ L 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by ROARING LION out of LET IT BE ME by MIZZEN MAST)
BELLEZZA (IRE) Jun06 May02       (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by SIYOUNI out of TERRIFIC by GALILEO)
DAZZLIN' DICTATOR Jun27 May24 Apr25 Mar22 Feb07 (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HOLLIDAZZLE by TIZNOW)
SCR  IMMENSITUDE (FR) Jun27 Apr25 Mar01 Nov10 Oct04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
  (by LAWMAN out of MA PETITE POULE by ELUSIVE CITY)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jun04 Apr06 Feb22 Jan11 Dec06 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 0.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
 
SAR-8   07/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN TO ROCK Jun19 May26 May01 Apr11 Mar08 (antonuc)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 30.00    
PARTY AT THE POST Jun02 May12 Apr28 Dec28   (sells rachel)LUZZI J 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALPINE GIANT Jun26 Aug14       (englehar)SANTANA JR 120 2.00    
SCR  LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE) May29 Apr30 Mar21 Oct11   (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
SPEED OF SOUND May23         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
LADY RIVER LILY Jul06 Jun06 May02 Apr13 Mar20 (seyler do)HARTSMAR CORNELIA 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
RIVER TAY (IRE) Jun21 Nov02 Oct18 Sep20 Aug17 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
PROUD MARY Jul06 Jun12 Apr20 Mar22 Feb23 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SCR  SHESINAMOOD Jul06 Jun05 May09 Apr13 Aug28 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 6.00    
10  SPUN SIZE Jun12 May11 Apr13 Mar29 Jan01 (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 Dec27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80    
12  RAGTIME SIZZLE Jul11 Jul03 May23 Apr25   (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDINGTON Jun27 May04 Apr17 Mar14 Feb08 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 125 3.00    
CUT THE CORD Jun20 Feb28 Jan25 Aug30 Aug01 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50    
PASS THE HAT Jul21 Jun15       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 12.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Jul04 Apr17 Mar14 Mar07 Jan24 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
GAMBLERS TAIL Jun29 May23 May01 Apr12 Mar07 (ortiz al)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
WARRIOR RICHARD Jun06 May09 Apr19 Mar04 Jan12 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
CAPITAL IDEA Nov19 Sep02 Apr12 Mar02 Jan28 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENNIS TOWN Jul10 Jun08 May16 Oct25 Sep28 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
PROVE         (green j)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
IRON SIGHT Oct05         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
POLICY CHANGE Aug17         (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
SCR  ATOMIC AGE Oct12 Jul27       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  FREE SPIN Jul13 May08 Apr17     (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
SCR  BLAST FURNACE Jun29 May30 May08 Apr30 Mar30 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
SCR  REBELLIOUS TYPE Jul04         (green am)SANTANA JR 124 20.00    
ELKO COUNTY Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Nov14 Sep29 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
10  STARSHIP TITAN         (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 124 30.00    
SCR  ANTIETAM Nov03 Sep14 Aug03     (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
12  NANTZ Jun28 May01 Aug10     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
13  SALVATION Nov07 Oct03 Aug21     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.