Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(6/3/5)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/4)-(9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(9/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(9/10)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-4   WIN (9/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/10)-(9/10) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/10)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/10)-(1/5/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SAR-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-6   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/6)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/6)-(1/3/2)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3/4/1)-(14/13/11/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(14/13/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(14/13/11/12)-(15/9/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-9   WIN (14/13/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (14/13/11/12)-(14/13/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (14/13/11/12)-(14/13/11/12)-(14/13/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (14/13/11/12)-(15/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-10   WIN (15/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (15/9/10)-(15/9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (15/9/10)-(15/9/10)-(15/9/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jun12 May16 May01 Apr06 Feb28 (levine b)SANTANA JR 125 2.00    
SCR  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jun12 May24 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
3  B D SAINTS Jun14 Mar21 Feb23 Jan25 Jan16 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ JR 125 1.40 62% 0.60    
4  SOLO EMPIRE Jun19 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar15 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 3.00 ★    
5  STJAMES Jun16 Jun03 May19 May06 Mar21 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00 10% 9.20    
6  BERNIE GOES BOOM May01 Apr10 Mar09 Feb02 Dec27 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEAK OF CHIC May24 Apr11 Mar26 Mar14 Feb14 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 3.00    
2  SHE'S COOL May24 Apr18 Apr03 Mar09 Jan24 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00    
3  BEDTIME STORY (IRE) Jun05 Apr11 Mar15 Jan01 Nov19 (johnsto)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  BOURBON SERENGETI Jun11 May11 Mar06 Jan01 Dec18 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
5  CITY BLOCKS May26 May15 Nov20 Oct22 Oct09 (barker e)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY FLICKER Jun14 May23 Apr19 Mar13 Feb14 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-3   07/11/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIC FROM MIAMI Jun12 Apr11 Mar15 Feb13 Jan18 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50    
2  TOGA DAN Jun13 Apr27 Mar29 Mar01   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
3  SWIFT MAGIC Jun04 May18 Apr11 Mar08 Jan04 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 ★    
4  PINEAPPLE MAN May23 Apr11 Feb21 Jun16 May12 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
5  AELFGAR Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr28 (sells rachel)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  INCANTATION Apr17 Jan17 Jan03 Nov11 Oct21 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLLABORATION May25 Nov14 Oct27 Oct13 Sep02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.00    
SCR  RED BURGUNDY May17 Dec15 Nov17 Oct20 Sep22 (de h)SANTANA JR 125 1.00    
SCR  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR Jun08 Apr10 Mar21 Jan17 Dec07 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
SCR  SLIGHTLY BUSY Jun15 Apr24 Jul31 Jul05   (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Jun20 Jun04 Nov15 Oct13 Sep26 (donk david)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  BOBBY M'S GIRL Jun04 Apr26 Nov17 Oct20 Sep21 (duggan p)SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
5  BERNT AGAIN Jun20 May15 Feb27 Jan17 Nov15 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
SCR  BROCKNARDINI Jun04 Oct13 Sep07 Aug14 Jul13 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00    
SCR  NOLITA Jun06 Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Jan04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 6.00    
8  KRYSTALHEIR Jun06 Mar15 Feb27 Dec07 Nov18 (coffey marialice)RIDER TBA 123 20.00    
9  ARMY GAL Jun06 Apr27 Mar08 Mar02 Jan23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 75% 0.30    
10  WALK WITH ME Jun13 May17 Apr26 Mar23 Feb08 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RACING COLORS Jun26 Jun04 May16 Apr18 Mar15 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
SCR  MALU Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 Jan17 Jan02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80    
 
SAR-5   07/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($100K) Purse ($95K) 3 F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Jun27 May22 May08 Apr19 Mar20 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
2  MADELINE'S PROMISE Jun21 May08 Apr12 Mar01 Jan30 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.00    
3  RAGTIME SIZZLE Jul03 May23 Apr25     (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
4  LOW KEY Mar15 Feb23 Aug26 Aug03   (amoss m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
5  LADY ORIENT Jun06 Mar08 Jan20 Dec22 Nov30 (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  ANOTHER CLEESHAY Jun20 Jan11 Dec07 Oct05 Aug30 (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-6   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HONOREE         (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.50    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  BRITISH INVASION (IRE)         (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of PARAPHERNALIA by DALAKHANI)
2  SIGNATORY MAN (IRE) Jun20         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of IMALWAYSHOTFORYOU by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  DR. AGNE         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY ELI by DIVINE PARK)
4  A MILLION DREAMS         (rice kevin)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BY MY STANDARDS out of SO BEAUTIFUL by ARCH)
5  EPIC DESIRE Apr18         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
6  JET OFF         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CASSIES DREAMER by FLATTER)
7  ORBIT         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of LEEBEARSKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
8  HELIOO         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SAR-7   07/11/2025 3630ft TURF RC12 GOOD Coronation Cup Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE HASTE (GB) Apr13 Mar23       (clement miguel)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by BLUE POINT out of QUICK MARCH by LAWMAN (FR))
2  ITALIAN SOIREE Jun08 Apr27 Feb08 Oct04 Sep14 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
3  CLOE Jun08 Apr27 Mar23 Feb08 Jan08 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of NUHOOD by SMART STRIKE)
4  LAURICE May10 Apr11 Mar23 Feb05 Jan08 (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MAJOR Z by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SPIRITED BOSS Jun08 May03 Mar29 Feb21 Jan15 (d'angelo jose)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SPIRITED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  ABIENTOT May10 Apr11 Nov01 Oct06 Sep08 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of READY READY READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  GATA BRAZIL Jun15 May10 Apr18 Mar21 Aug02 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of AMERICAN STORY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  YOU'LL BE BACK May16 Mar15 Feb24 Dec29 Nov30 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 124 1.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ADVANCE PARTY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  TWIRLING BEAUTY Jun07 Apr27 Mar15     (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STRATEGIC DREAMS by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  FLAT OUT TIME May02 Mar16       (weaver george)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FLAT OUT SPEED by FLAT OUT)
 
SAR-8   07/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEW Aug24 Aug03 Jul19 Jun23 Jun06 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
1A  STANLEY CAT Jun05 May18 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOUNDS LIKE FUN Jun14 May18 May01 Mar16 Feb27 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
3  MUNSON Jun12 Jul13 Jun06     (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  DARK DEVIL May26 May01 Apr10 Mar07 Jan16 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  KLIMT MASTER Jun28 Jun19 May23 May09 Mar30 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 119 30.00    
6  HOLY DANCER May24 Apr12       (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 119 30.00    
7  GALLO DE FUEGO Jun12 May15 Jan24 Nov20 Nov09 (romans dale)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  WORLD FAIR Apr27 Apr04 Mar07 Dec20 Oct10 (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
 
SAR-9   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RHETORICAL May18 Aug24 Jul26     (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 125 0.50    
SCR  SET Jun22 Sep01 Jul14 May31 May04 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 0.50    
2  SHARED SUCCESS Apr19 Mar08 Nov27 Nov13 Jan11 (bond ja)ORTIZ L 125 12.00    
SCR  RABAJA Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 Jul27 Jun14 (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00    
SCR  SEAVER Jun22 May04 Mar19 Feb23 Jan25 (brown br)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
SCR  BARON OF SEALAND Jun14 Feb15 Jan05 Dec01   (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 125 20.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE May11 Nov16 Oct18 Aug24 Jul28 (dutrow anthon)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
6  NEURAL NETWORK Jun08 May18 Mar21 Mar01 Jan16 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00    
7  CABLE READY Jun14 May11 Nov22 Nov08 Sep27 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
8  OCALA DREAM Jun14 Apr26 Apr06 Feb08 Jan03 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 123 20.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Nov08 Oct12 Aug31 Aug17 Jul28 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 6.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER Jun04 May11 Nov08 Oct12 Sep19 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
11  GET A JOB May24 Jan04 Dec06 Oct25 Sep29 (asmussen m)RIDER TBA 123 4.50 7% 13.10    
12  ROCK THE WEEKEND Jun04 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 Jan23 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  WHITTINGTON PARK Jun07 May17 May04 Mar21 Feb15 (abreu fernando)RIDER TBA 125 2.00 14% 6.10    
14  MIGHTY ATLAS Jun20 May17 Mar21 Mar01 Jan23 (potts wa)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
SAR-10   07/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPIAMENTO Jun20 Jan24 Dec06 Nov08 Oct06 (beckman wh)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  ASBURY PARK (GB) Jun06 Aug17       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.00    
SCR  SIMULATE Jun14 Jul27 Jun23     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
4  GRIFFIN'S WHARF May25 Apr06 Feb23 Dec28 Nov29 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00    
SCR  ASSERTIVENESS May24 Apr12 Mar08 Aug03   (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
6  WITHOUT CAUTION Mar01 Nov08 Sep28 Aug29 Jul20 (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  FOND FAREWELL Jun06         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  HANDS OF TIME May28 Apr11 Oct26 Sep28 Aug24 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
9  SOUPER TIMES Feb27 Feb01 Jan04     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
10  HANDSOME PANTS Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Oct05 Sep14 (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRATE CASH Mar02         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  KING OF ASHES May31 Apr23 Feb22 Jan18 Nov24 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN COLONIES Jun07 Apr13 Mar22 Jan04   (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
14  PRETTY CAPABLE Jun01 Apr19 Mar12 Jan18 Dec21 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
15  SOONTOBEKING Jun04 Apr13 Mar08 Feb08 Jan12 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  JERRY'S OUT May16 Apr10 Feb28 Jan17 Dec14 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.