Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(5/3/1)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/5/4)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(4/5/1)-(3/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/1/4)-(4/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/7/3)-(5/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(5/7/4)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(5/6/3)-(1/4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(1/4/5/6)-(3/5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(3/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-10   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CO CONSPIRATOR Mar08 Feb15 Jan18 Jan02 Dec14 (jones ed)VILLA FAVINHO 121 20.00    
2  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Mar09 Jan23 Jan16 Nov08 Oct17 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
3  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Mar02 Feb07 Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  KAHALA Mar02 Feb07 Jan24 Nov14 Oct17 (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 121 6.00    
5  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 Dec15 Nov26 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 4.50    
6  KHAFRE Mar21 Mar02 Jan19 Dec14 Nov24 (quick patr)RIVERA R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPLENDID ONE Mar09 Jan24 Jan01 Nov09 Oct13 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUMENIQUE Feb28 Feb13 Apr19 Mar10 Feb11 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
3  CAJUNETTE Mar02 Feb13 Dec19 Nov29 Sep22 (barker r)DAVIS KATIE 125 2.00 16% 5.30    
4  KATERINA RISTOVA Mar09 Feb23 Oct13 Sep27 Aug22 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
5  SHE'S WICKED SMART Mar02 Feb13 Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 125 1.60 62% 0.60    
6  ONE GOOD RAISON Mar07 Jan24 Dec29     (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 125 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUGUSTINE RED Jan31 Jan11 Nov24 Jun21 Apr26 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
SCR  RETURN THE RING Mar09 Feb02 Mar01 Feb04 Jan04 (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 123 2.00    
2  PAXSATIONAL Mar09 Feb15 Dec28 Nov01 Oct03 (barker edward )LUZZI J 123 3.50    
3  GOLDEN CANDY Mar03 Jan07 Aug24 Jul25 Jun28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 59% 0.70    
4  NARCISO DALI Feb27 Jan31 Apr04 Mar10 Feb10 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 6% 15.00    
5  ROYAL TRYST Feb06 Jan19 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 (falcone robert )DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  VINSANITY Mar22 Jan19 Jan11 Dec28 Dec07 (arriaga antonio)VIVES SOFIA 123 5.00    
 
AQU-4   04/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Biogio's Rose Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALI MAGIC Feb27 Jan05 Nov23 Nov03 Oct06 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00 12% 7.50    
  (by AL KHALI out of SMOKIN SUE by SMOKIN MEL)
2  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Feb23 Jan25 Dec13 Oct27 Sep14 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
3  STERLING SILVER Dec27 Oct27 Sep29 Aug07 Jul24 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 124 0.80    
  (by CUPID out of SHEET HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Feb23 Feb06 Oct21 Oct09 Aug25 (barrow paul)LUZZI J 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
5  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Feb22 Jan11 Dec06 Oct10 Aug28 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
 
AQU-5   04/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KYLE'S MOM         (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
2  AERIALIST Dec13 Nov29       (reynolds patric)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
3  MELANCIA Mar09 Feb23 Jan24 Dec29 Nov29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 37% 1.70    
4  JUST WORDS Mar09 Dec06 Nov23 Oct06 Sep13 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  SECRET FIRE Feb27 Feb07       (bhigr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
6  TECA Sep28 Aug22 Jul11 Jun01   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.60    
 
AQU-6   04/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACCIDENTAL BID Mar15 Feb15 Jan17 Nov29 Oct04 (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 125 4.00    
2  SOLO EMPIRE Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 Dec29 Nov21 (begg ben)LUZZI J 125 12.00    
3  GOLDEN PURCHASE Feb28 Jan25 Jan11 Dec29 Nov30 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D DAY SKY Mar15 Jan30 Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  ALBEDO Mar15 Feb02 Jan17 Dec15 Oct24 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00    
6  BROWN DON'T STOP Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 (bernardini )GONZALEZ MELVIS 118 8.00    
7  ENDOWED Mar15 Jul25 Jun28 May27 May09 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
AQU-7   04/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE B. Mar21 Feb23 Jan23 Dec15 Nov16 (johnst)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 ★    
2  J J'S JOKER Mar02 Feb02 Jan24 Jan17 Dec13 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
3  DADS GOOD RUNNER Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan12 Dec13 (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
4  MAJESTIC TIGER Mar11 Feb28 Jan26 Jan14 Nov15 (richards marvi)CHANDRA PREM 111 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISTER J T Feb21 Dec27 Nov01 Oct19 Sep14 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 58% 0.70    
6  JAKE ROCKS Mar16 Feb02 Jan19 Jan12 Dec13 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
7  CHARGING AERO Mar16 Feb14 Jan30 Jan19 Dec14 (kantarmaci)RIVERA R 121 5.00 8% 11.30    
8  EXCELLENT TIMING Mar14 Jan30 Dec15 Oct18 Sep21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
 
AQU-8   04/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE MOUNT Feb08 Jan04       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
2  UNCLE JIM Feb28 Feb01 Dec06 Oct17   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50    
3  GEORGIA MAGIC Feb14 Jan04 Nov29     (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOGA D'ORO Mar01 Feb07       (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
5  UNCAGED Mar02 Aug03       (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
6  TRACKING ERROR Feb23 Jan25 Jan03 Sep21   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
AQU-9   04/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Haynesfield Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK FRENZY Mar01 Dec28 Nov23 Sep15 Aug18 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 57% 0.70    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
2  GENERAL BANKER Mar08 Feb08 Jan12 Dec29 Nov23 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 120 4.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ELUSIVE JOZI by JOHANNESBURG)
3  WYNSTOCK Oct26 Sep01 Jun29 May19 Apr06 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of TIMBERLEA by FLATTER)
4  RADIO RED Feb15 Jan18 Jun07 Apr12 Mar02 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of PERFECT REMARK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  LOCKE AND KEY Feb15 Jan25 Dec28 Nov30 Oct27 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
6  JUST STEP ON IT Mar04 Dec17 Sep21 Aug24 Jul20 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
7  SHERIFF BIANCO Feb15 Feb08 Jan04 Dec28 Nov24 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
AQU-10   04/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Sep02 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 (keithan )VILLA FAVINHO 125 15.00    
1A  LADY OF MERCIA Mar08 Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 Nov16 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
2  WORK AWAY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
3  INTO STARDOM Feb22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  SOUNDS OF SUMMER Mar02         (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 125 4.50 12% 7.40    
5  CALLING AN AUDIBLE Feb28 Jan31 Dec13 Aug24 Apr21 (barker r)VIVES SOFIA 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  EASILY SIDETRACKED Mar08 Jan17 Dec07 Nov15   (terranova )RIVERA R 118 30.00    
7  OUR PREFERRED PAL Mar16 Feb07 Jan19 Dec14 Nov16 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY GUNNER Feb27 Jan05 Nov14 Oct03   (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.