Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/2/4)-(1/2/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/2/8/5)-(2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5)-(1/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/5)-(2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/5)-(2/4/7)-(5/2/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(5/2/11/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(5/2/11/6)-(1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/2/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/11/6)-(5/2/11/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/11/6)-(5/2/11/6/7)-(5/2/11/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/11/6)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/11/6)-(1/2/4)-(5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ZEE Jan08 Dec18 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 15.00    
2  MY DEAR VALENTINE Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Oct21 Sep27 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SUPER SCAMP Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Oct30 Sep27 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
4  QUETZALY Jan25 Jun17 May28 May09 Apr24 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50    
5  JUSTWORTHASHOT Jan25 Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 Oct07 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 126 1.60 26% 2.90    
6  SHES A STORM Jan08 Dec17 Nov26     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80 28% 2.50    
 
MVR-2   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY VALLEY Jan23 Jan08 Dec27 Dec09 Nov05 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.00    
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Jan23 Jan08 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Jan23 Jan08 Dec23 Jun10 May29 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 124 20.00    
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jan23 Dec09 Nov05 Oct19 May29 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOMETHING LUCKY Jan25 Dec26 Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 (doering mark)STOKES J 124 4.00    
6  MOST ADORABLE Jan23 Jan13 Dec09 Nov20 Oct19 (yoder susa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
MVR-3   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE BLAST Jan24 Dec17 Nov26 Aug05 Jul15 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  HARD ASTRAY Jan16 Oct29 Oct15 Sep22 Sep11 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  HAD RIGHT Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
4  MAMBA FOREVER Jan07 Dec16 Nov27 Aug08 Jul10 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00    
5  BOSS BEAR Jan16 Dec03 Nov14 Oct30 Sep19 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  KLAATU Nov27 Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 Aug21 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
7  PARTY OF NO Jan27 Dec08 Dec01 Nov19 Nov05 (inman l)LEON A 124 20.00    
8  STRIKE APPEAL Jan24 Dec17 Nov13 Sep18 Aug27 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-4   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T MONEY Jan24 Dec05 Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
2  EXALTED JOY Jan24 Dec23 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.50 73% 0.40    
3  BIG BUCKSALOT Jan28 Jun22 Jun06 May03 Apr12 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 3.00    
4  SEE SPOT RUN Jan27 Dec12 Nov20 Oct15 Oct01 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan25 Jun10 May13 Apr09 Mar05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
6  CORONA GRANDE Jan27 Dec16 Nov12 Oct16 Sep17 (spiess shane )BRACHO A 126 5.00    
7  THE RED MAN Jan27 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 Oct28 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Jan25 Jan07 Dec19 Nov20 Nov04 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
2  BAMBY BOOM Jan23 Nov06 Oct02 Sep12 Aug15 (short travis )BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00 18% 4.60    
3  TURBO TRIP Dec19 Dec10 Nov18 Nov02 Sep24 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
4  OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Jan25 Jan06 Dec19 Dec10 Nov26 (erdel john)PEREZ A 124 12.00    
5  SECRET RENDEZVOUS Jan23 Jul29 Jul18 May27 May14 (lauer michae)HALDAR J 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Jan23 Dec19 Nov26 Nov07 Oct14 (huffman )MARTINEZ A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  DON'T STOP Jan02 Dec11 Nov06 Oct16 Sep23 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.00 ★    
8  FREE FROM GUILT Jan23 Jul20 Jun29 May29 May02 (inman l)LEON A 124 30.00    
9  GOLD DILEMMA Nov19 Nov12 Oct28 Oct14 Sep18 (meeks karl)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 15.00    
SCR  POP THE CORK Dec23 Dec11 Nov14 Oct21 Sep24 (hurley l)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
11  BET THE PALACE Jan23 Oct15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
12  UNCLE'S THE BANKER Jan24 Nov20 Oct21 Oct11 Sep27 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME QUICK Jan07 Dec04 Aug12 Jun07 May30 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  LO BUG Dec26 Dec11 Sep16 Aug10 Jul22 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 116 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  COMPUTE THIS Dec23 Dec04 Nov04 Sep03 Aug12 (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
4  PARLAY CHARLIE Jan07 Dec23 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OLYMPIC WINGS Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  MY GIRL KEW Apr13 Feb01 Dec14 Nov14   (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.60    
 
MVR-7   02/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE Dec26 Nov20 Nov06 Oct19 Oct02 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOBIL MEMORY Jan07 May07 Apr24 Apr11 Feb08 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★    
3  KISS VALENTINA Jan07 Dec23 Nov04 Aug22 Jul31 (castro a)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
4  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Jan07 Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 Feb27 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
5  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Jan25 Dec26 Dec09 Jul04 Jun07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.20 47% 1.10    
6  COWGIRL SARA Dec23 Dec05 Nov05 Oct19 Oct02 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 10.00 25% 3.00    
7  MIDNIGHT GODDESS Jan06 Dec11 Nov25 Nov07 Oct23 (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 116 6.00    
 
MVR-8   02/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SERENADE Jan24 Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 Sep23 (robillard julie)STOKES J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUBU Jan24 Dec27 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.00    
3  A NEW PEACE Dec19 Nov08 Sep20 Sep07 Aug22 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 1.20    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND Jan15 Dec26 Nov11 Oct20 Oct07 (poole )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
5  TIMELY SECRET Jan15 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
6  SHEWEARSMYRING Jan06 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 Sep04 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SACRED CONNECTION Jan24 Jan09 Oct04 Sep28 Sep13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 70% 0.40    
8  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Dec27 Nov21 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
9  ELIKA Jan27 Jan08 Dec12 Dec03 Nov18 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.