Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - February 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/3/2)-(6/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(6/4/1)-(6/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/1/2)-(6/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(6/2/3)-(5/7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(5/7/4/1)-(6/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(6/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3)-(6/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLLIE CAN DANCE Jan25 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (ibrahim )DAVIS A 123 5.00    
2  GUM ISLAND Jan18 Dec29 Jun29 May02 Feb16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00    
3  IRIE MAN Jan25 Dec28 Dec01 Oct10 Sep21 (bak)VAZQUEZ GIAN 113 6.00 8% 12.20    
4  UNION EXPRESS Dec14 Oct26 Sep29 Aug23 Jul24 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
5  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Jan19 Dec14 Oct16 Sep12 Jun28 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
AQU-2   02/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIE GOES BOOM Dec27 Dec08 Nov14 Oct11 Aug31 (miceli michael)CIVACI SAHIN 120 0.60 36% 1.80    
1A  DAMAGE Jan10 Nov29 Oct27 Sep28   (miceli michael)COA J 120 0.60 ★    
2  KLIMT MASTER Jan26 Jan02 Dec15 Nov23   (jon)VAZQUEZ GIAN 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BELMONT UNION         (chatterpaul na)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
4  WILLINGNESS Jan10 Dec06       (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
5  WELL SUITED Jan10 Nov14 Sep14 Aug31   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
6  TINO IN TOGA Jan26 Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 (sciacca)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 10.00    
 
AQU-3   02/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T BEAT ME Jan12 Nov27 Nov05 May20 Apr29 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLOWING RIVER Nov20 Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 Jan27 (barrow paul)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jan12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 Jun22 (bhigroog che)HARKIE K 121 15.00    
3  RETURN THE RING Mar01 Feb04 Jan04 Dec16 Nov24 (barker edward )LUZZI J 121 2.00    
4  CHALKY CAT Dec14 Nov08 Oct10 Sep21 Aug16 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 3.50 13% 6.50    
5  BRONX BOMBER Dec06 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 (barrera oscar )COA J 121 15.00    
6  JAKE ROCKS Jan19 Jan12 Dec13 Nov11 Oct18 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
AQU-4   02/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEPTUNE BEACH Dec15 Nov30 Oct31 Sep01 Aug18 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
1A  BIG EGO Dec15 Nov22 Nov02 Sep22 Aug28 (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
2  BRACA Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 Sep19 Aug16 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAST AMENDMENT Jan05 Nov26       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.60    
4  MUGSY FURY May11 Apr13 Mar21 Feb23 Jan05 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 4.00    
5  ALBEDO Jan17 Dec15 Oct24 Sep22 Aug18 (serpe ph)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
6  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Dec12 Nov22 Nov07 Apr26   (falcone robert )VIVES SOFIA 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-5   02/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD LARRY Jan18 Jan10 Dec08 Nov19 Oct25 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGH TIDE Jan19 Nov14 Oct13 Sep21 Aug23 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
3  STREET SWAGG Jan01 Nov26 Oct19 Sep18 Aug11 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
4  HE'S GOT THIS Jan10 Jan03 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
5  GUN MAESTRO Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May18 May02 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 12.00    
6  FLAT OUT FLYING Jan10 Nov24 Nov08 Oct17 Sep23 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
AQU-6   02/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK HAMMER Jan12 Jan02 Oct10 Jul28 Jun28 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00    
2  HATCH (GB) Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 (jones edua)RIVERA R 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  CONCORDE SPIRIT Jan19 Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 Sep26 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUAZARAH Jan11 Dec27 Dec01 Nov17 Oct31 (trites lands)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00    
5  DEVIL'S CAY Jan26 Jan04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct10 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 3.00    
6  G T FIVE HUNDRED Jan17 Dec27 Nov22 Nov02 Sep26 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
AQU-7   02/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAGAZZO DIABOLICO Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 Sep01   (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SCAT TU TAP Jan24 Jan11 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 2.50    
3  MELT WITH YOU Jan11 Dec28 Dec12 Nov19 Oct26 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.50    
4  J J'S JOKER Jan24 Jan17 Dec13 Dec06 Nov24 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 6.00 10% 8.70    
5  BLOWN COVER Jul14 Apr14 Feb24 Jan07 Nov23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  THE MONOPOLY MAN Jan03 Nov30 Oct31 Oct14 Sep16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
7  WAITLIST Jan11 Oct19 Sep01 Jul24 Jun09 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
8  BERNING BEAUTY Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 Sep22 Aug18 (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLITICAL SPIN Jan03 Dec13 Oct17 Sep13 Aug18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 9% 9.60    
2  LA GROTTE Jan18 Dec27 Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  TROUBLED LUCK Jan16 Nov25 Nov04 Jul04 May25 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jan18 Dec14 Dec08 Nov21 Nov03 (keithan rach)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
5  ALLEY'S SONG Dec08 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep22 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 123 6.00    
6  SHORT SHIFT (IRE) Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Jun11 Apr26 (giangi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  ACCELERINA Jan18 Nov29 Nov10 Oct18 Sep03 (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50    
8  SHAMAN PRINCESS Jan16 Nov20 Sep20 Aug30 Aug04 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.