Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/3/5)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(4/3/2)-(3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/4)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/3/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/3/5/6)-(5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(2/4)-(8/4/3/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(8/4/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5)-(8/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINA KAY Jan17 Nov17 Sep28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80 44% 1.30    
2  HONORABLE BECKY Nov11 Sep24       (donk david)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00 25% 3.00    
3  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Jan10 Dec01 Nov03 Sep13 Aug14 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOWLING WIND Jan17 Dec14 Nov22     (ferraro james )LUZZI J 122 12.00    
5  LOTTIE MARGARET Jan05 Nov22       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20    
 
AQU-2   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSOURCE Jan04 Nov23       (dutrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TRADE AGREEMENT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
2  ASSET MANAGEMENT Dec15 Nov17 Nov02     (baker charlton)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of INDEMAND by SAARLAND)
3  LETS FIGHT Jan04 Nov23       (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 22% 3.50    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
4  ISLAND CHARLIE Jan04         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LITTLE BRAVE by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
5  THE TIRE MAN Dec03 Nov04 Oct07 Aug20 Jul23 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITERATA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
6  RESILIENT HERO Nov30 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 May27 (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ESPIRITU by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
AQU-3   02/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ruthless Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN N YOUR IN Jan11 Nov30 Oct19 Sep07 Aug10 (david carlos )SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of HELLO ROSIE by SECRET HELLO)
2  OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL Dec30 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14   (linder j)CIVACI SAHIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
3  VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS Dec30 Oct22       (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of PROM DRESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  MOONLIT DRIVE Jan10         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.20 29% 2.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY Dec30 Oct09 Aug24 Jul28 Jun24 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of AMERICA'S FRIEND by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
AQU-4   02/01/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S MIST Jan04 Nov21 Oct17 Sep02 Jul21 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50    
SCR  FLAG WOMAN Feb23 Feb10 Jan13 Oct21 Aug19 (johnston rob)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.40    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Jan03 Dec08 Nov21 Oct10 Sep15 (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 4.50 43% 1.30    
4  DASHING DELLA Jan05 Dec08 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  LAST GLORY Jan23 Jan10 Dec15 Nov10 Oct24 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
6  MYSARIA Jan05 Dec12 Aug02 Jul07 Jun09 (hills a)DAVIS KATIE 123 8.00    
 
AQU-5   02/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKEN ZIPPER         (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
2  AH CA IRA Jan01 Nov23       (abreu r)CIVACI SAHIN 120 4.00    
3  LOOKIN TO ROCK Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 Nov24 Nov02 (chichakly amir)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  RYE ON THE ROCKS Dec29 Nov30 Nov02     (hennig )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
5  DYNAMITENDIAMONDS Dec13 Nov22 Oct25 Sep19   (sanchez-piner)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 14% 6.10    
6  ROYAL EVENT Jan23 Nov30       (martin car)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EVELYN'S WAR Jan01 Nov23       (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 120 20.00    
 
AQU-6   02/01/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Toboggan Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUS MERIDIUS Dec28 Nov25 Oct15 Sep21 Aug24 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of QUIET VIRTUE by TURKOMAN)
2  FULL MOON MADNESS Dec28 Nov24 Jan01 Nov24 Oct07 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  CASTLE CHAOS Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 Apr06 Mar02 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
4  COASTAL MISSION Dec07 Oct26 Sep21 Aug23 Jul06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SMART CROWD by CROWD PLEASER)
5  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Dec28 Nov29 Oct26 Sep19 Aug22 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLDEN ARTEMIS by MALIBU MOON)
6  NELSON AVENUE Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Sep15 Aug18 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VIA STRATA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  GUN IT Dec29 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MISS BESILU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
AQU-7   02/01/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Withers Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBAL STEVE Dec30 Nov25       (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of A ROSEFOR ISABELLE by HARD SPUN)
2  SURFSIDE MOON Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 Jul24 Jun05 (lawrence james)CIVACI SAHIN 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CRESCENT LADY by SCAT DADDY)
3  CORVUS Jan02 Dec06 Oct18 Sep21 Aug03 (jimene)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DOLORES WESTWORLD by SCAT DADDY)
4  UNCLE JIM Dec06 Oct17       (cox h)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NOW NOW by DARBY CREEK LANCE)
5  MO QUALITY Jan04 Nov23 Oct23     (davis christoph)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of REVEALING QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
6  CAPTAIN COOK Dec28 Oct27       (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of POW WOW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  OMAHA OMAHA Jan04 Nov28 Oct10 Sep07 Aug17 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ENGLAND SWINGS by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
AQU-8   02/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESALITTLE EDGY Jan10 Dec12 Oct20 Sep29 Aug29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50    
2  SUNDAY GIRL Dec27 Nov23 Jul11 Jun09 Apr14 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 123 4.50 41% 1.40    
3  WILLOW BEND Dec29 Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 Sep13 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
4  GOLDEN DEGREE Dec01 Oct04 Aug10 Jun22 May16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Dec12 Oct19 Sep20 Aug07 Jun07 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.50 ★    
6  PROUD FOOT Jan12 Dec12 Aug04 Jun09 Apr25 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00    
 
AQU-9   02/01/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BADLANDS RULER Jan26 Dec13 Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00    
2  JANSSEN Jan18 Jan01 Dec14 Nov30 Oct31 (lakeman andre)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
3  PORTOS Jan16 Jan01 Dec12 Feb29 Feb04 (potts wayne)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 7% 13.10    
4  HELIUM Jan01 Dec17 Feb25 Feb11 Jan01 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 34% 1.90    
5  STRONG LIGHT Jan18 Jan01 Dec12 Nov23 Nov16 (samsunda)VILLA FAVINHO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WILD BANKER Jan01 Dec15 Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 (metivier ric)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
7  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Jan16 Jan02 Oct31 Oct03 Jun22 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
8  BOLD VICTORY Jan03 Nov24 Oct19 Sep13 Jul11 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.