Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/7)-(2/5/6)-(8/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(8/6/2)-(5/7/8/9/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-3   WIN (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/2)-(8/6/2)-(8/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/2)-(5/7/8/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2)-(5/7/8/9/6)-(2/4/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/7/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/9/6)-(5/7/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/9/6)-(5/7/8/9/6)-(5/7/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/8/9/6)-(2/4/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/9/6)-(2/4/10/11)-(5/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/11)-(2/4/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/11)-(2/4/10/11)-(2/4/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/10/11)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/10/11)-(5/1/2)-(3/1/12/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/1/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/1/12/9)-(4/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/1/12/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/12/9)-(3/1/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/12/9)-(3/1/12/9)-(3/1/12/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/12/9)-(4/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME HAROLD Jan09 Dec07 May06 Apr06 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
CATALINA DAY Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 May30 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 121 3.00 14% 6.30    
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Jan02 Aug10 Jul13 Jul04 May04 (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SHAWN'S SOLVING Jan02 Dec12 Aug28 Aug09 Jul13 (ney john)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 9% 10.30    
NERVY Jan09 Jul30 Jun15 Apr19 Mar22 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
STAR READY Jan02 Sep18 Aug20 Aug07 Jun17 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 12.00    
GATSBY'S FORTUNE Jan09 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (jackson dw)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
BYATHREAD Jan02 Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (zenon charles)MCMAHON J 121 10.00    
 
FG-2   01/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARYL'S BOLT Jan04 Nov30 Nov16 Oct16 Sep15 (birzer bonnie)MCMAHON J 121 4.50    
COOKN WIT CATMAN Sep26 Jul09 Jun04 Mar24 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
HEXCEL Jan03 Dec15 Nov23 Sep16 Aug28 (munoz yov)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
IMPECCABILITY Jan11 Dec27 Jul19 Jun29 Jun09 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00    
SMOOTHDINI Dec29 Nov23 Jul04 May17 Mar24 (sharp joe)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 3.50 22% 3.60    
PRINCE IS MY BOY Dec27 Dec06 Sep29 Sep07 Aug11 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
REGIMENTAL Jan05 Oct17 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00    
SCR  ROOSTER RUN Dec19 Dec05 Sep10 Jun05 Feb10 (munoz yova)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
 
FG-3   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEMPLE Jan03 Nov24 Aug24 Sep09 Jan28 (ramirez-r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00    
SUPER WISE Jan03 Sep05 Aug04 Jul10 Jun27 (scherer gary)MURRAY M 120 20.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Jan09 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  DAPPER DUDE Dec07 Nov02 Jul21 Jun30 Jun16 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 20.00    
NOTION Nov30 Aug31 Jul06 Jun14 Mar22 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 120 4.50    
BOITANO Jan03 Nov12 Jun07 May01 Mar07 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  FIREWATER JAKE Jan09 Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 Aug01 (barnett bo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
Z Z'S PRINCE Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Sep14 Aug12 (zeringue j)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
MY BARILEY Jan03 Dec13 Aug22 Jul15 Jun12 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
FG-4   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NANNETTE NO Dec13 Nov22 Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
COINMAKER Jan03 Nov08 Sep04 Aug07 Jun27 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00    
ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jan03 Dec15 Nov22 Sep25 Sep11 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
ROCK STAR DOCTOR Jan03 Dec15 Nov29 Nov10 Sep27 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
MISS DISTINCTIVE Jan05 Dec13 Dec05 Nov22 Oct17 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
FLOWERSFORSHANTELL Jan05 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Sep02 (tracy tanner)MCMAHON J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LILY'S CREED Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 Oct10 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
DASHYNS DREAM Dec15 Dec05 Oct30 Aug22 Jul25 (gelner jay)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
DRE ME LESS Jan03 Dec15 Sep11 Jul27 Jun27 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
FG-5   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMANY ROAD Jan03 Dec22 Dec06 Nov14   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
BLUSHING KAM Nov17 Nov06 Sep13     (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 6.00 51% 0.90    
TARTARIA Jan09 Sep11       (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
ACOUSTICAT Jan09 Dec15 Nov14 Sep27   (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
COMBATTANTE Nov17 Sep25 Sep13 Jun22 May31 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
CURLS NITE OUT Jan03 Dec06 Oct20 Sep26   (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER Jan10 Nov09 Sep08 Aug17 Jun28 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 120 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MARY Jan10 Dec13       (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
BEAMER Dec22 Nov23       (calhoun will)MURRAY M 120 15.00    
10  MAP OUT Dec29 Nov30 Oct18     (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 7% 14.20    
11  ADD TO CART Jan10         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMBRASSER Jan03 Dec15 Oct28 Oct09   (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00    
SCR  CHEVAL B Jan09 Dec15 Nov04 Sep08   (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00    
SCR  FUEGO K Sep25 Sep10       (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00    
SCR  LOLO'S GIRL         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
SCR  EZ TREE ATES Nov21 Oct27 Sep26     (casse w)TORRES A 120 4.50    
 
FG-6   01/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMBOURINE STAR Jan03 Dec16 Nov30 Jun19 Mar22 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
BRITTANY'S DREAM Jan10 Dec16 Jul04 Feb24 Feb09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 13% 6.80    
COURT JESTER Jan03 Dec14 Nov23 Oct17 Aug14 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 124 2.50    
SCR  DEAL WITH IT DADDY Dec20 Nov30 Nov09 Oct30 Aug05 (grimaldo jose)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50    
THE BOSS SOSS Dec07 Nov06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb10 (landry r)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
DUDE DROP KID Dec15 Nov06 Oct19 Jul23 Jun11 (foster jo)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
SYVESTAR Dec05 Nov24 Sep11 Aug12 Jul06 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00    
 
FG-7   01/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH CHUNNEL Jul22 Jun16       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  WARP NINE Dec27 Dec07 Nov03 Sep08 Aug25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
STORM READY Dec27 Nov29 Nov03 Jul12 Jun15 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
MARCUS GIFT Nov05 Sep14 Jul27     (gelner ja)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  INITIALIZE Nov29 Oct24       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 124 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SEAVILLE Jul26 Jun28 May08 Apr26 Apr12 (ladner chad)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  HARD PAR Dec27 Nov07 Aug30 Jul26 Jun14 (handal raymon)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
RAMPAGIUS Dec21 Mar08 Jan31     (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TEJIDA by RAHY)
KING ROSSO Dec27 Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 Aug09 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATCH THE FIRE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  BERKUS (FR)         (stall m)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DECORATING by GALILEO (IRE))
SCR  FINN MCSORLEY Dec27 Nov24 Nov03 Oct10 Dec15 (pessin ne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  SPIELMAN Jan05 Dec22 Nov24 Nov05 Sep21 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SASSY IMAGE by BROKEN VOW)
 
FG-8   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIV LOVES LUCY Dec28         (devereux j)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
GLOBAL VALUE Dec28 Nov22       (zeringue w)ALBERT S 120 4.50    
AVIE CAKES         (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
CRAWFISH BURL Dec28 Oct25 Aug17 Jul19   (ducoing sturges )CURTIS BEN 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
FRET NO MORE Dec28 Dec07 Jul27     (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
MO VISTA Jan01 Dec07       (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 9% 10.60    
WICKED SAILOR         (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  KISSES FOR COOPER Jan02 Dec19       (faul jason)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
SIR SAWYER Jan02         (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.