Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Thursday - October 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EQD-1   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S MAGIC Jun23 Jun08 May03 Feb02 Nov28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
RED RIVER MAGIC Sep20 Aug10 Feb18 Dec29 Nov23 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
CAIRO STREET Sep08 Jul27 May10 Dec09 Oct11 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 20.00    
WEIGH THE RISKS Jul07 Jun06 May03 Mar09 Sep03 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
DO GOODER Sep02 Jul19 Jun06 May03 Mar30 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
RAGTIME LADY Aug22 Jul25 May10 Mar23 Feb09 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER Sep05 Jul21 Jun15 May09 Apr05 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SMOOTH WAVES Sep07 Jul27 Jun21 Oct25 Oct06 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
MILIEU Mar23 Jan31 Dec17 Sep03 Jul31 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
10  ROBIN SAGE Sep08 Jul20 Jun13 May23 Apr27 (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR Aug31 Jul21 May27 May04 Apr18 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
12  MINOUSHKA         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 28% 2.60    
13  MYSTIFYING Sep02 Mar15 Jan14     (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
14  GET TWISTED Aug04 Oct22 Sep15     (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
15  LEO TORO Sep07 Aug08 Jul04 May01 Mar31 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 13% 6.40    
16  CENTURIA (IRE) Sep02 Aug14 Jul18 Jun28 Apr18 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
 
EQD-2   10/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DUDE Aug11 Jul20 Jun23 Sep02 Aug12 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
SMOKIN' T Sep01 Jun01 May02 Mar30 Mar02 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 16% 5.20    
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Jul06 Nov04 Oct01 Jul30 Apr08 (damato philip)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
JOHNY'S FIREBALL Aug03 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar23 (casse w)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
HARLAN ESTATE Aug29 Jul20 May02 Mar23 Feb17 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
GIGANTE Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov26 Oct28 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50 12% 7.00    
UNCLE JAKE Aug04 May27 Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 (vaccarezza c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ENGLISH BEE Aug29 May18 Apr20 Mar21 Mar02 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
TONKA WARRIOR Sep29 Sep21 Aug25 Aug08 Jul10 (robertson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00    
10  CHASING THE CROWN Aug29 Jun29 Jun01 May09 Feb17 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
EQD-3   10/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 KEE Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHREDDIE MAC Sep07 May10 Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00    
SECURED LENDER Sep07 Aug10       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
LOU'S LEGACY Sep07 Jul28 Jul05 Jun13 May04 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
FAYETTE SPIRIT Sep07 Mar23 Jan27 Nov29 Nov08 (medina robert)VAZQUEZ A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
FORT THOMAS Sep08 Jul08 Jun08 May10 Apr06 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 12% 7.20    
HALF DOME (IRE) Aug25 Jul05       (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
OSCARGOT Jun30 May28       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
THE JACKAL Sep01 Jul20 Oct28 Sep03 Aug13 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
ETERNAL MISCHIEF         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00    
10  FREEDOM MAKER Jun16         (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
11  THE DOVER SPECTER Sep01 Jul22 Jun20 Apr13 Mar02 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  FINN MCSORLEY Dec15 Nov14       (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00    
13  PUBLICITY Sep07 Jun27 May30     (londono genevi)TORRES A 120 6.00    
14  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Sep01 Jul22 Jun16 May18 Apr24 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
15  GOLDEN SYMPHONY Aug29 Jul28       (wilkes r)LANERIE J 120 4.00    
16  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Nov30 Nov09       (cook brian)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 10% 9.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.